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    All Forums | Other

    AFL Rd16

    rooboybaz
    ecoute
    diop
    kiwipride1983
    Geelong
    ...
    Participants:
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    Views: 941
    Posts: 18
     
    rooboybaz
    rooboybaz
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    Posted: Jul. 5, 2011 - 11:18 PM ET #1

    Record: 9-10-1 (45%) +5.25units

    rough couple of weeks due to failed multis. 1 team always manages to let ya down, but hey thats the beauty of gambling 


    EARLY LEANS: (really really hard week regarding lines)
    All Leans $1.92
    Cats -3.5        (h2h  $1.82)

    Bombers -12.5     (h2h $1.53)

    GC Suns +34.5    (h2h $5.25)

    Saints -23.5         (h2h$1.27)

    Blues -23.5          (h2h $1.16) -not 100% on why the line is the same but the h2h odds are 0.11c different??? 

    ALREADY PLAYED:   


    CATS -3.5   1unit @$1.92
    ---- This week in general is going to be quite difficult to pick the right side of these lines. but i just cant look past this one. IMO this is MONEY. i do realise the EAGLES are playing great pressure footy and are now giving the top4 teams a good run for their money and cause this one is being played in the west gives them more of chance of a victory here. now what i think hurts the eagles the most though is the fact that the cats got beat last week. if the cats had of beaten the bombers i just might have picked the Weagles in this battle but they didnt. cats lost in a nail bitter by 4pts and with that being their first loss of the season just imagine what would be being said on the track leading up to friday. when your a team like the cats and your used to winning (all the time with or without GAZZA) a single loss is almost scaring and all you want to do is come out the next week and show it was a once off. perfect example is the blues! i do realise that TIGERS are NO WCE. but are blues really 100pts better? or did they come out harder due to the rare season loss they experienced the week before?- personally i think its the latter. and this is a HUGE factor in why i think the box cats will win by AT LEAST 1 goal. also (i know many ppl have mixed emotions on this) the EAGLES are just coming off a bye. i know that teams are starting to use the week of to an advantage and i noticed the SAINTS (who had a bye the week prior) won last week. but (if you actually watched the game) IMO the ROOS lost it more than the SAINTS won it. if the kangas could kick into their forward 50 that was a 4 goal win. saints were no where after half time and roos poor use cost them the W. CATS wont give this luxury to WCE and due to the fact they are coming off a loss is more of a reason to believe they wont take their foot off the petal. CATS by 3+goals.

    GL to all ya out there  

    might play more games as the weekend is upon us. but i just cant seem to find a game where the line (or odds) stick out enough to play. even 2 team multis are paying f*** ALL.
    Reply
    To remove first post, remove entire topic.
    Record: 9-10-1 (45%) +5.25units

    rough couple of weeks due to failed multis. 1 team always manages to let ya down, but hey thats the beauty of gambling 


    EARLY LEANS: (really really hard week regarding lines)
    All Leans $1.92
    Cats -3.5        (h2h  $1.82)

    Bombers -12.5     (h2h $1.53)

    GC Suns +34.5    (h2h $5.25)

    Saints -23.5         (h2h$1.27)

    Blues -23.5          (h2h $1.16) -not 100% on why the line is the same but the h2h odds are 0.11c different??? 

    ALREADY PLAYED:   


    CATS -3.5   1unit @$1.92
    ---- This week in general is going to be quite difficult to pick the right side of these lines. but i just cant look past this one. IMO this is MONEY. i do realise the EAGLES are playing great pressure footy and are now giving the top4 teams a good run for their money and cause this one is being played in the west gives them more of chance of a victory here. now what i think hurts the eagles the most though is the fact that the cats got beat last week. if the cats had of beaten the bombers i just might have picked the Weagles in this battle but they didnt. cats lost in a nail bitter by 4pts and with that being their first loss of the season just imagine what would be being said on the track leading up to friday. when your a team like the cats and your used to winning (all the time with or without GAZZA) a single loss is almost scaring and all you want to do is come out the next week and show it was a once off. perfect example is the blues! i do realise that TIGERS are NO WCE. but are blues really 100pts better? or did they come out harder due to the rare season loss they experienced the week before?- personally i think its the latter. and this is a HUGE factor in why i think the box cats will win by AT LEAST 1 goal. also (i know many ppl have mixed emotions on this) the EAGLES are just coming off a bye. i know that teams are starting to use the week of to an advantage and i noticed the SAINTS (who had a bye the week prior) won last week. but (if you actually watched the game) IMO the ROOS lost it more than the SAINTS won it. if the kangas could kick into their forward 50 that was a 4 goal win. saints were no where after half time and roos poor use cost them the W. CATS wont give this luxury to WCE and due to the fact they are coming off a loss is more of a reason to believe they wont take their foot off the petal. CATS by 3+goals.

    GL to all ya out there  

    might play more games as the weekend is upon us. but i just cant seem to find a game where the line (or odds) stick out enough to play. even 2 team multis are paying f*** ALL.
     
    ecoute
    ecoute
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    Posted: Jul. 7, 2011 - 1:44 AM ET #2

    You might want to have a look at the Hawks game as well. They are decimated with injury and Buddy might also miss this weekend. See what the Lions are at, wait for the teams 30 minutes before the game though.

    Yep stay away from the multis mate. You do good enough with em.


    Reply
    You might want to have a look at the Hawks game as well. They are decimated with injury and Buddy might also miss this weekend. See what the Lions are at, wait for the teams 30 minutes before the game though.

    Yep stay away from the multis mate. You do good enough with em.


     
    diop
    diop
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    Posted: Jul. 8, 2011 - 4:07 AM ET #3

    i cant believe how many ppl are taking the cats here..

    how is no one scared by the line opening at virtually pickem..

    I mean they just came off a loss, TO THE BOMBERS? WCE off a bye and everyone knows how badly teams play off one. and yet the line is so small.. Home court advantage cannot make a line this far in. Geelong has won 6 of last 7 vs WCE dating back to 2005.

    WTF?? so easy to pick geelong, even if u take them at 1-39 and think it might be a close game, it still pays heaps.

    line being hammered and only out to -7.5 so far. i dno just smells so fishy to me..

    with that said. GL tonight :)
    Reply
    i cant believe how many ppl are taking the cats here..

    how is no one scared by the line opening at virtually pickem..

    I mean they just came off a loss, TO THE BOMBERS? WCE off a bye and everyone knows how badly teams play off one. and yet the line is so small.. Home court advantage cannot make a line this far in. Geelong has won 6 of last 7 vs WCE dating back to 2005.

    WTF?? so easy to pick geelong, even if u take them at 1-39 and think it might be a close game, it still pays heaps.

    line being hammered and only out to -7.5 so far. i dno just smells so fishy to me..

    with that said. GL tonight :)
     
    kiwipride1983
    kiwipride1983
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    Posted: Jul. 8, 2011 - 4:25 AM ET #4

    Thanks for your early picks as always rooboybaz.

    Yeah, Geelong has been punted down leaving by 25c in most sportsbooks. Seems fishy, but punters must really love the play and so do I

    GL :)

    Reply

    Thanks for your early picks as always rooboybaz.

    Yeah, Geelong has been punted down leaving by 25c in most sportsbooks. Seems fishy, but punters must really love the play and so do I

    GL :)

     
    Geelong
    Geelong
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    Posted: Jul. 8, 2011 - 5:44 AM ET #5

    good luck roo

    I'm still undecided about the Swans/Suns matchreally can see Sydney wanting to snap this losing streak and also add some much needed percentage as we start approaching the business end of the season. Goodes will also have a field day

    Reply

    good luck roo

    I'm still undecided about the Swans/Suns matchreally can see Sydney wanting to snap this losing streak and also add some much needed percentage as we start approaching the business end of the season. Goodes will also have a field day

     
    ecoute
    ecoute
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    Posted: Jul. 8, 2011 - 7:49 PM ET #6

    Tough loss mate. So many easy 6 pointers missed
    Reply
    Tough loss mate. So many easy 6 pointers missed
     
    rooboybaz
    rooboybaz
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    Posted: Jul. 8, 2011 - 8:21 PM ET #7

    Quote Originally Posted by kiwipride1983:

    Thanks for your early picks as always rooboybaz.

    Yeah, Geelong has been punted down leaving by 25c in most sportsbooks. Seems fishy, but punters must really love the play and so do I

    GL :)


    they arent doin to good brother! wouldnt be thanking me 

    GL bro
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by kiwipride1983:

    Thanks for your early picks as always rooboybaz.

    Yeah, Geelong has been punted down leaving by 25c in most sportsbooks. Seems fishy, but punters must really love the play and so do I

    GL :)


    they arent doin to good brother! wouldnt be thanking me 

    GL bro
     
    rooboybaz
    rooboybaz
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    Posted: Jul. 8, 2011 - 8:23 PM ET #8

    ecoute     

    diop      

    geelong    
    Reply
    ecoute     

    diop      

    geelong    
     
    rooboybaz
    rooboybaz
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    Posted: Jul. 8, 2011 - 8:35 PM ET #9

    Quote Originally Posted by ecoute:

    Tough loss mate. So many easy 6 pointers missed

    not taking anything away from the eagles. the second Q was amazing (and the end to the first Q). but yeah CATS missed a lot of very easy goals and rolled over way to easy in the 2nd allowing 9 straight goals kicked against them. plus some of those eagles goals were complete ass. but when shits goin your way, its simply going your way. good on them and its honestly good to see them back up there playing really good footy.

    just the only sour thing bout WCE doin well is the 'supporters' all of a sudden come out of the woodwork (80% of them at least). they like to preach how well (almost brag) their team is doing. but when they are struggling they happily crucify their players (kerr, priddis,nicoski etc) and especially their coach. one thing WCE have exposed since going top 4 from 16th in a year is what fools their supporters are. 
    im from the west so i experience this retardedness first hand . BUT THERE IS NO DENYING THIS TEAM IS TOP 4 QUALITY. and with their run home its the LOCK of the season!!
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by ecoute:

    Tough loss mate. So many easy 6 pointers missed

    not taking anything away from the eagles. the second Q was amazing (and the end to the first Q). but yeah CATS missed a lot of very easy goals and rolled over way to easy in the 2nd allowing 9 straight goals kicked against them. plus some of those eagles goals were complete ass. but when shits goin your way, its simply going your way. good on them and its honestly good to see them back up there playing really good footy.

    just the only sour thing bout WCE doin well is the 'supporters' all of a sudden come out of the woodwork (80% of them at least). they like to preach how well (almost brag) their team is doing. but when they are struggling they happily crucify their players (kerr, priddis,nicoski etc) and especially their coach. one thing WCE have exposed since going top 4 from 16th in a year is what fools their supporters are. 
    im from the west so i experience this retardedness first hand . BUT THERE IS NO DENYING THIS TEAM IS TOP 4 QUALITY. and with their run home its the LOCK of the season!!
     
    rooboybaz
    rooboybaz
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    Posted: Jul. 8, 2011 - 8:43 PM ET #10

    WHAT DOES ANYONE THINK BOUT THE BOMBERS/TIGERS GAME?????

    does anyone like bomber to cover that line- im looking at playing it. i think last week sparked the bombers slightly and they should be able to dispose of the tigers. but i keep remembering the other month when tigers did them in easily and started the bombers rot from top 8

    Reply
    WHAT DOES ANYONE THINK BOUT THE BOMBERS/TIGERS GAME?????

    does anyone like bomber to cover that line- im looking at playing it. i think last week sparked the bombers slightly and they should be able to dispose of the tigers. but i keep remembering the other month when tigers did them in easily and started the bombers rot from top 8

     
    ecoute
    ecoute
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    Posted: Jul. 8, 2011 - 8:59 PM ET #11

    Tigers are gone mate. I'd be happy with a straight win on the Dons though.

    BUT Bombers could get ahead ahead of themselves and put up a poor performance. If the Dons had not beaten the Cats last week i'd easily take the line this week.
    Reply
    Tigers are gone mate. I'd be happy with a straight win on the Dons though.

    BUT Bombers could get ahead ahead of themselves and put up a poor performance. If the Dons had not beaten the Cats last week i'd easily take the line this week.
     
    rooboybaz
    rooboybaz
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    Posted: Jul. 8, 2011 - 9:03 PM ET #12

    Quote Originally Posted by ecoute:

    Tigers are gone mate. I'd be happy with a straight win on the Dons though.

    BUT Bombers could get ahead ahead of themselves and put up a poor performance. If the Dons had not beaten the Cats last week i'd easily take the line this week.

    my thoughts exactly. if i too bombers straight win i would have to multi it. but with what?

    any thoughts on the super 15 tonight?    GO REDS?!?!?!?!
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by ecoute:

    Tigers are gone mate. I'd be happy with a straight win on the Dons though.

    BUT Bombers could get ahead ahead of themselves and put up a poor performance. If the Dons had not beaten the Cats last week i'd easily take the line this week.

    my thoughts exactly. if i too bombers straight win i would have to multi it. but with what?

    any thoughts on the super 15 tonight?    GO REDS?!?!?!?!
     
    ecoute
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    Posted: Jul. 8, 2011 - 10:12 PM ET #13

    rooboybaz my thoughts is that the Crusaders will take it. Reds are a razzle dazzler team whereas the Crusaders can play the razzle dazzle stuff but also change their style of play......... anyway that is one view. S15 finals experience is with the Saders as well.

    I'd like the reds to win of course. Will be watching but not putting any money on
    Reply
    rooboybaz my thoughts is that the Crusaders will take it. Reds are a razzle dazzler team whereas the Crusaders can play the razzle dazzle stuff but also change their style of play......... anyway that is one view. S15 finals experience is with the Saders as well.

    I'd like the reds to win of course. Will be watching but not putting any money on
     
    bevoaustintx
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    Posted: Jul. 8, 2011 - 10:39 PM ET #14

    Hawthorne?
    Reply
    Hawthorne?
     
    rooboybaz
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    Posted: Jul. 8, 2011 - 10:57 PM ET #15

    Quote Originally Posted by bevoaustintx:

    Hawthorne?

    to win or to cover bro? like ecoute said the hawks are facing injuries so who knows if they will smash the lions. THEY SHOULD, but not everything goes to plan when teams step out there. i definitely like them to win though thats for sure!!

    GL bro    
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by bevoaustintx:

    Hawthorne?

    to win or to cover bro? like ecoute said the hawks are facing injuries so who knows if they will smash the lions. THEY SHOULD, but not everything goes to plan when teams step out there. i definitely like them to win though thats for sure!!

    GL bro    
     
    diop
    diop
    Rookie
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    Joined: Jun, 2010
    Posts: 896
    Posted: Jul. 8, 2011 - 11:16 PM ET #16

    someone should find out bombers records after big upset wins, i dont think its to flash from memory
    Reply
    someone should find out bombers records after big upset wins, i dont think its to flash from memory
     
    Alistair
    Alistair
    Prospect
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    Joined: Jan, 2011
    Posts: 195
    Posted: Jul. 8, 2011 - 11:46 PM ET #17

    I'm on Brisbane +39.5

    In last year's corresponding fixture (also Round 16 in Launceston), Hawthorn won by 75, BUT eight of their goals were kicked by Roughead & Lewis - both of whom are out today.

    The year before, Brisbane won by 42 and Jonathan Brown has kicked 8.0 in the last two games at the ground.
    Reply
    I'm on Brisbane +39.5

    In last year's corresponding fixture (also Round 16 in Launceston), Hawthorn won by 75, BUT eight of their goals were kicked by Roughead & Lewis - both of whom are out today.

    The year before, Brisbane won by 42 and Jonathan Brown has kicked 8.0 in the last two games at the ground.
     
     
    ecoute
    ecoute
    Captain
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Dec, 2003
    Posts: 7174
    Posted: Jul. 9, 2011 - 2:59 AM ET #18

    Quote Originally Posted by Alistair:

    I'm on Brisbane +39.5

    In last year's corresponding fixture (also Round 16 in Launceston), Hawthorn won by 75, BUT eight of their goals were kicked by Roughead & Lewis - both of whom are out today.

    The year before, Brisbane won by 42 and Jonathan Brown has kicked 8.0 in the last two games at the ground.


    That is tough mate. If Buddy wasn't in their team I also would have played in the +39.5 but he was named.
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by Alistair:

    I'm on Brisbane +39.5

    In last year's corresponding fixture (also Round 16 in Launceston), Hawthorn won by 75, BUT eight of their goals were kicked by Roughead & Lewis - both of whom are out today.

    The year before, Brisbane won by 42 and Jonathan Brown has kicked 8.0 in the last two games at the ground.


    That is tough mate. If Buddy wasn't in their team I also would have played in the +39.5 but he was named.
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