AFL Rd 18

Hey Fellas,

Week gets started with the match of the round in Hawks v. Tigers. Can't wait.

Still plenty of time, but here is my rhinking today...

Definite plays:
WCE -41.5 No Ablett.
WCE 4Q-L -10.5 Suns will peter out, as they have been whilst Eagles continue to dominate.
Hawthorn -34.5. They are not simply covering, they are crushing. Last year from early July or so they covered all but 2 through grand final. Determined, focused and best team. Tigers have the talent to cover here, but contine to show mental weakness (Saints 4Q and Freo).
Under Dees/Pies - Dees can't score and Pies hindered forward line.

Medium leans: Blues +33.5. Will try to atone for embarrassment whilst Roos have shown they lack consistency (never had consecutive ATS wins this season).
Crows +18.5. Crows will fight to the end. Can't trust Swans, and Buddy is uncertain.

Look forward to your thoughts and angles.

Hi Eric

Love the eagles and hawks plays. Both are steamrolling opponents and I have noticed enjoy doing it which is very important. Particularly Hawthorn, they don't take their foot off the gas, and until they show me otherwise, I see no reason not to take them at the line after the pounding they have been given all other teams, including good ones like Freo and Syd.

Eagles play I like.

Not sure on total for dees/pies

Have to disagree with Blues play. Kangaroos are a decent team who have reason to play hard for finals. They got most of their team in and they LOVE etihad stadium. Blues are a basketcase.
I think I'll be all over Ross unless something changes

I also think swans cover easily.

:)

and in saying all that i may have missed the best play on board.

Port Adelaide Power at the line

Hey mate,

You make all valid points. I seem to live in the past, Port are capable of absolutely exploding, especially at home. Just like when they destroyed hawks by about 10 goals in the first quarter at the start of the season. Whilst they are a shadow of that team, i feel as if they are slowly hitting their straps. And there are particular teams that just cant play good away from home. Saints, Dogs and GWS really spring to mind

never check the "other" section of this forum.

glad i did, so stoked someone is weighing in on the AFL.

great plays! 

Okay, first plays of the round:

Hawks -7.5 1Q line
Hawks -9.5 3Q Only line
Hawks -34.5 (TAB is offeri g -33.5)

Like it, I have one crazy parlay locked in already and will play single games closer to gametime.

Parlay:
Hawks -34.5
Sydney -18.5
West Coast -41.5
North Melbourne -33.5
Port -11.5 (bought pts but shouldnt have)
Fremantle -32.5

100 to win 4000

I don't recommend tailing, just for fun :)

Haha, like playing Lotto mate... :-D

People win lotto sometimes :)

Port -28.5 looking much better now with Riewoldt out (and 2 others)...

Ughh they were like -19.5 opening

It was 22.5 yesterday... Nick is worth more than a goal...

Oh my god just saw this post.  Thx  for peekay and erich777.  I will   Keep on eye some of picks.   

Hey Target, i don't follow Rugby mate...

Some lines moving, so locked these two plays:

Eagles -49.5
Eagles 4Q -13.5

More people are clued in to the 4Q play on Eagles now: it pays only 1.7 this week, lol.

BOL fellas

Playing favourites this week and buying points because I'm a scaredy cat. 

Hi T2 - I also parlay them all but it's a real longshot. I wouldn't recommend it but if you want to for fun then go for it. 

richmond +34.5. suicide play

Not a suicide play at all mate, line was about right.

Live bet Hawks -11.5... hoping Richmond continues in 2Q so i can get Hawks H2H at 2+ :-)

Start of 2Q also grabbed:

Hawks -9.5 1.9
Hawks 39+ 6.0...

Hey Peekay, LOVE all your "conservative" plays... a hundy on that parlay would be good too ;-) BOL buddy

Not good anymore, hawks were trash haha! Plenty of other games left!

Congrats to Richmond backers, they implemented a very good game plan!