AFL Rd 13

Question

"Met" a few other AFL followers/tippers in Rd 12, so thought I might post some lines/thoughts early for Rd 13, along with my leans. Goal is to share knowledge and help us all "beat the man" (or "joe public"). I think I might be "joe public" at the moment, so help me be better. :)

Home AwayPre Line Hm Line

25-Jun Freo Coll -25.5 -25.5

26-Jun Syd Rich -25.5 -25.5

27-Jun Haw Ess -44.5 -44.5

Bris Adel 25.5 25.5

STK WB 13.5 13.5

28-Jun Carl GC -10.5 -10.5

Lines will be updated tomorrow, but should be close to above with only 1 game left in Rd 12. My leans:

Collingwood +25.5. Bucks has them playing well, and with as much heart as anyone. Freo can't seem to get interested and focused enough (a la Hawks) to cover a 4+ goal line against a team that will play hard.

Hawthorn -44.5. Best-run team all around in the league, will come to play and get the %-age up.

Western Bulldogs -13.5. Love the Saints, but don't think the talent can match the confidence/ability of WB at the moment.

Carlton -10.5. They continue to push hard, and with a heavier line-up of opponents after this match, win by 3 goals.

Look forward to others' thoughts/views/leans...

Cheers

Erich777 · Answer

"Met" a few other AFL followers/tippers in Rd 12, so thought I might post some lines/thoughts early for Rd 13, along with my leans. Goal is to share knowledge and help us all "beat the man" (or "joe public"). I think I might be "joe public" at the moment, so help me be better. :)

Home AwayPre Line Hm Line

25-Jun Freo Coll -25.5 -25.5

26-Jun Syd Rich -25.5 -25.5

27-Jun Haw Ess -44.5 -44.5

Bris Adel 25.5 25.5

STK WB 13.5 13.5

28-Jun Carl GC -10.5 -10.5

Lines will be updated tomorrow, but should be close to above with only 1 game left in Rd 12. My leans:

Collingwood +25.5. Bucks has them playing well, and with as much heart as anyone. Freo can't seem to get interested and focused enough (a la Hawks) to cover a 4+ goal line against a team that will play hard.

Hawthorn -44.5. Best-run team all around in the league, will come to play and get the %-age up.

Western Bulldogs -13.5. Love the Saints, but don't think the talent can match the confidence/ability of WB at the moment.

Carlton -10.5. They continue to push hard, and with a heavier line-up of opponents after this match, win by 3 goals.

Look forward to others' thoughts/views/leans...

Cheers

peekay89 · Answer

Good luck with your bets Eric. Only one that stands out for me is Adelaide -25.5, I&#x27;d be all over that.Whats the total pts O/U for dogs saints game? That will be a shootout

Erich777 · Answer

Thanks Mate, going to play a lot fewer this round... have been chasing too much. Like the Adelaide play as well.

Going to Swans game, so will likely make a live bet if opp presents itself.

185.5 is the total for Saints game atm...

Look forward to your pics if you make any.

Cheers

peekay89 · Answer

I like to discuss bets but will rarely tell people one is "easy money" or "must play". I don't like the thought of losing others money, my own I can handle.

I like Crows -25.5 and Saints/Dogs over, good luck and enjoy the footy Friday!

Erich777 · Answer

Thanks buddy!Freo/Collingwood Over 165.5BOL

simple3 · Answer

tonight?

Erich777 · Answer

Hey fellas, didn&#x27;t play yesterday&#x27;s game, tho my lean was Tigers the line.  Would have taken if 30&#x2B;.  Wow.Can&#x27;t pull trigger on Adelaide Peekay, and will probably regret it.Taking Western Bulldogs &#x2B;10.5.

Erich777 · Answer

Sorry, -10.5 obviously.

Erich777 · Answer

Well, at 19-2with 7 mins to go 1Q, live bet Adel -1.5.

Erich777 · Answer

Freo/Collingwood Over 165.5

Taking Western Bulldogs +10.5

Well, at 19-2with 7 mins to go 1Q, live bet Adel -1.5.

Geez, dogs are 5-0 before the final game. I'm still hitting 33%, yikes.

Suns line is out to +15.5 now from 10.5, which feels about right given the number of key players they expect to have back. I lean Suns +15.5, but too many wild cards to make a play. Will watch the 1Q and see if there is a live bet opportunity; say a line either way of high 30s+. I don't see a high margin result either way.

Erich777 · Answer

Live bet Carlton ML down 35-21 with 30 secs left 1Q.

bettorjon · Answer

Dogs are winning all 1st quarter ml and ats since yesterday. Then faves cover or win Straight out. Wow...

Carlton will surely cover their ats. What a 2nd q turnaround.

Carlton -7.5 2H HUGEHUGE!!!

This gc team is struggling..no way they cover.

Erich777 · Answer

Happy with that win...

AFL Rd 13

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