2010 Tour de France

7 units Perez over Vandborg @ $1.55

Schleck tomorrow or will he way to the 17th stage??

disagree about lance going for a stage win.

If you are dead set keen on backin lance mate I think tonight is his only realistic chance of a stage win...

 

He should wait until 17. Tomorrow's stage has too much flat and descending after the climbing, giving Berto a chance to reel Andy back in. That being said though, I am taking Andy because if anything, Contador is just going to sit on Andy's back wheel and I'll get a push. I will be on Andy huge when 17 rolls around. I will be huge on Al on 18 if the match-up isn't juiced through the roof.

I actualy belive more and more that Andy will go for it tomorrow/today...
imo he doesn't care if he ends up 2nd or 5th in the GC cause he just want the yellow .
In a interview he always talked about that his legs is great and that there is two hard stages left to take it back and get some time on Contador -- he didn't want to say if he gonna try tomorrow/today, but he hessitated a bit and I belive he want the lead back and go all inn on a "big risk, big reward" breakaway....

Like Andy to win and Andy over Gesink @ 1.55 + over Contador @ 1.95...
Also, Contador won't let him go without a fight (obviously :p) so I also like Contador over De Weert @ 1.44...
IF Andy won't either get into a break or head over the last climb alone, I like either Samuel or L.L. to take it while I fear Cunego to screw me...

Polka contenders like Charteu, Vocklere, Pineau and Cunego should go in a break tomorrow with 90 pts up for grab, but I belive they will (if the GC contenders go) give to much for the points to be able to fight with the GC contenders at the end...

Contador doesn't need to try anything special tomoz he has the tour won already... He will tail andy and just make sure andy doesn't get any great time gap... The ball is in Schlecks court... Schleck has to make all the moves...

Schleck over Contador @ $2.05

Good Value...

# Moreau over Horner @ 1.48
With all those climbing points up for grab, Moreau who find himself 7th on the polka -- 47 pts behind Charteau should give it a trie...
Horner said last night that his legs were empty already on the first climb and that he suffered trough the whole stage....

On Schleck myself, but Berto won't let him go alone (if it happends) as he won't risk to today with stage 17 coming up next -- he will try to follow him, at least half the way up the final climb.....

Went with:

# S. Sanchez to win (21.0), 0.33u
# L.L. Sanchez to win (20.0), 0.33u
# A. Schleck to win (21.0), 0.50u

#  T. Löfkvist (1.71) over C. Horner, 1.50u
#  C. Moreau (1.52) over C. Horner, 3.00u
# A. Schleck (1.95) over A. Contador, 1.50u

* L.L. Sanchez over K. De Weert
* C. Moreau over C. Horner
# Parlay (2.63), 1.95u

* A. Contador (1.44) vs K. De Weert
* D. Menchov (1.40) vs C. Evans
# Parlay (2.01), 3.00u

BOL to all....

In play

2 units Moreau @ $10
4 units Fedrigo over Cunego @ $2.30

4 units Moreau over Casar @ $2.50

5 units Armstrong over Casar @ $1.60
2 units Armstrong @ $3.50

moreau just wants points at the top, don't think he's got it for the stage win.

3 units Menchov top 3 @ $4

6 units Menchov over Van Den Broeck @ $1.45

5 units Rodriguez over Kreuziger @ $1.40

5 units Rodriguez over Hesjedal @ $1.47

3 units Leipheimer over Gesink @ $1.85

4 units Menchov over Sanchez @ $1.70

3 units Vinokourov over Moreau @ $1.87

4 units Contador over Schleck @ $2.10

8 units Menchov over Leipheimer @ $1.35

5 units Armstrong over Evans @ $1.80

5 units Contador @ $3

3 units Rodriguez over Vinokourov @ $1.90

contador screwed me too, not going for the win.

4 units Hushovd over Boasson-Hagen @ $1.87 - Boasson-Hagen must be a bit tired after today's effort.
4 units Freire over Roelandts @ $2.20 - Freire hasn't figured in anything yet. Most sprinters legs will be tired but his legs should be able to cope.
2 units Freire top 3 @ $9

7 units Hushovd Green Jersey @ $2.50

Bolar...You`re always good for the Tour...Hope it has been kind to you this year my friend..I`ve been sitting on the sidelines..However got an itch that I`ve got to share..For mine this stage gets dominated by a breakaway...So my only bets on this years tour. are are this Stage 18...
ROCHE-$126
MILLAR-$101

Good luck tonight all....

$2.75 at the TAB

Yeah - it's been good. I was up 70 units at one stage, though have crashed to about 50. Either way, I will come out with a profit of over 50 units depending on how I bet here on in.

Bad luck with your bets but this is a sprint finish. Get em in the time trial tomorrow - I'll have a few good ones for you.

7 units Contador over Millar @ $1.28

5 units Martin over Millar @ $1.50

5 units Grabsch over Schleck @ $1.72 (Am I missing something here? Schleck is crap against the clock and Grabsch is decent. Though, it's the battle of the freshest man, Grabsch has no excuse not to come top ten tonight. He came 11th in the Dauphine, over 49km. If Schleck finishes ahead of him, I will be surprised.

3 units Kreuziger over Schleck @ $2.65 - Again, fading Schleck.

4 units Luis Leon Sanchez over Samuel Sanchez @ $2 - Lulu is better against the clock. Granted, Samuel has something strong to ride for but even if he pulls something out of his arse, I would expect Lulu to beat him 99% of the time.

3 units Rodriguez over Gesink @ $2.65 - Freshest man here. Both are crap against the clock, but from what I have seen, Rodriguez has been the freshest man. Gesink looks like he's been struggling whilst Rodriguez looks like he's getting better.

4 units Martin over Millar x L L Sanchez over Van Den Broeck @ $2.10
4 units Contador over Millar x L L Sanchez over Van Den Broeck @ $1.92

Thanks for your plays Bolar.. Good to see we hit the Cavendish bet :)

What do you think of this matchup?

Bert Grabsch

1.62

Geraint Thomas

2.15

Liking Grabsch very much..