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Stanley Cup Round 1 Strategy Thread 2026

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Posted: #26

Here we go...

DALLAS Over 6  even  1u moneybag

Gritties Over 5.5  -120  1/2u   Over 6 +110  1/2u moneybagmoneybag

Duckies  Over 6.5  -120  1/2u   Over 7 +110  1/2umoneybagmoneybag

Quacks +165  1/2umoneybag

2LP: Mild +1.5  &  Over 5.5  +140  1/2u moneybag

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Posted: #27

an_dance

"Goaltending is 90 percent of the game, unless you don't have it. Then it's 100 percent."
 
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Posted: #28

Thursday:

Canes Sens Over 5.5  -120  1.2u  Over 6 even 1/2u

B's Buff Over 6 -110  1u

Avs Queers Over 5.5 -110  1/2u  Over 6 +115  1/2u

Sens ML -120 1/2u  PL +170 1/4u

Buff +PL & Avs ML  +120  1/2u

Avs PL +170  1/4u

Friday:

Bolts Habs Over 6 even 1u

Moths VGK Over 6 +105 1u

Quacks Oil Over 7 even 1u

 

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Posted: #29

BOL today an_cheers

 
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Posted: #30

And tomorrow...thanks for posting. peace_5

Cautiously pessimistic
 
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Posted: #31

win

 
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Posted: #32

Quote Originally Posted by dyamarik:

Sens ML -120 1/2u  PL +170 1/4u

 

 

Did you really agree to accept a horrible +170 on the Senators -1.5? Many books have -1.5 +205.

 
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Posted: #33

@Gainsford  peace_5

@Raiders22 peace_5

@poolboy peace_5

@dubz4dummyz peace_5

 

@MrBator  had to bet this last night and could only access my shit offshore.  Working then driving 5 hrs tonight for golf weekend so had no choice.  Bol peace_5

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Posted: #34

Bolts ML -110 1/2u

Oil over7 -110 3/4u

Avs ML & Over 4.5 & MacDaddy 1+ pts. +140 1/4u. +110. 1/4u

Bahstahn live down 4 0.   +3.5 +170 1/4u

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Posted: #35

BOL an_cheers

 
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Posted: #36

Thursday:

Canes Sens Over 5.5  -120  1.2u  Over 6 even 1/2u an_burningbagan_burningbag

B's Buff Over 6 -110  1uan_burningbag

Avs Queers Over 5.5 -110  1/2u  Over 6 +115  1/2u moneybag sleep2

Sens ML -120 1/2u  PL +170 1/4u an_burningbagan_burningbag

Buff +PL & Avs ML  +120  1/2u moneybag

Avs PL +170  1/4u moneybag

Friday:

Bolts Habs Over 6 even 1u an_burningbag

Moths VGK Over 6 +105 1u sleep2

Quacks Oil Over 7 even 1u moneybag

Sunday:

Bolts ML -110 1/2umoneybag

Oil over7 -110 3/4usleep2

Avs ML & Over 4.5 & MacDaddy 1+ pts. +140 1/4u. +110. 1/4umoneybagmoneybag

Bahstahn live down 4 0.   +3.5 +170 1/4uan_burn_money

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Posted: #37

Is Vegas going down 1-3… that’s a deep hole.  

 
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Posted: #38

@Mskeets  If Utah gets outshot 32-12 again like Game 3, this series will be 2-2.  Like Vegas tonight either way. peace_5

Leaning Pens of Guin - more playoff XP in Pitts Big 3, and almost none on entire Philly roster.  I think Silovs plays too.  Skinner will be a backup next year.  Lean Pens.an_cheers

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Posted: #39

@dyamarik

 clover

Be the Hammer Not the Nail
 
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Posted: #40

@Crazy_Train  peace_5

 

2026 data:

Game 1:  2,7,5,3,7,7,6,7    5.5 5-3  6 Flat 4-3-1

Game 2:  3,5,6,5,6,5,3,10  5.5 3-5  6 Flat 1-5-2

Game 3:  7,7,4,3,6,5,6,11  5.5 5-3  6 Flat 3-3-2

Game 4:  6,5,6,7,6,5,7,      5.5 5-2  6 flat 2-2-3***

*** Pending Utah Vegas tilt tonight

 

So betting a lot at 6 does impact the results significantly.  Let's assume tonight goes Under:

5.5    record is 18-14-0   requires odds of  -130 or better to profit

6 Flat record is 10-14-8   requires odds of +140 or better to profit

 

Books totals have corrected for this in recent years, so system not a solid a play this year, with so many 5.5's juiced forcing a run to flat 6.  Looking at 5 Flat, the record is 18-7-7 (I assume a score total of 4 or less for tonight).  That is implied odds of 72% and you'd need -259 odds or better.

Both games tonight 5 Flat at FD are -250 & -260... an_roll_laugh

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Posted: #41

peace_5 Thanks for all the work w this DY… been just blindly trying this w smallish units just enjoying the games, fun to not have a side sometimes and enjoy playoff hockey!

So the system is just the first 4 games right? This means the degen in me needs something on the 5th pens game and u lean the pens way huh?

GL clover

after a swing and a miss I get to lay in the grass and look up at a beautiful blue sky…
 
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Posted: #42

Goodness.  Had no idea of shots on goal…. I’m going Vegas tonight.   Has any team come back to win from 0-3… this Pitt series feels like it could… I was surprised by games 0-3… but did not play either… maybe 2 teamer  with Vegas n Pitt.   Will do a little of that.  

 
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Posted: #43

@MtTum  thanks - yeah was hoping for slightly better results, but the Books are always sharp with their lines. an_cheers

@Mskeets  Utah was lucky to win IMO - Vegas -115 is the play today peace_5

 

Plays:

Ka-Niggits  ML  -115  1/2u  PL +210  1/10u

Pens of Guin  ML -130  1/2u   PL +190  1/8u

4LP: Both teams +2.5   &   Both Games Over 3.5  boosted  +150  1/4u   non-boost  +120  1/4u

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Posted: #44

One down… one to go.  Had a little on Pitt -1.5.. how in the world did they not get an empty netter… missed by inch few times.   Vegas up 2-0 now.   Go Vegas. 

 
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Posted: #45

surprised This game is turning into bat sheesh crazy where is CT and his system when you need it!!! but hey, I’m liking it because I’ve got this over so I’m hoping it comes through like it might and that Pitt Moneyline in a parlay so….

was wondering about over in the initial first four games in series of the playoffs…, And somebody said something about the first game not so much, maybe it’s just games two through five, or maybe the four games of two through six??? 

well I’m not looking into that tonight lol let’s enjoy this!!! an_2drinks

after a swing and a miss I get to lay in the grass and look up at a beautiful blue sky…
 
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Posted: #46

No time - work crazy today...

Saberz PL 3/8u  1/4u

Oil PL 3/8u  1/4

parlay both ML's  +170  1/2u

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Posted: #47

@dyamarik

 Good luck an_cheers

 
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Posted: #48

BOL an_cheers

 
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Posted: #49

1-2  both PL's were +150

 

Wednesday:

Pens Gritties Over 5.5  -120  1/2u  Over 6  +110  1/4u

Habs Bolts OT Yes +330  1/4u

Stahl #2:

5LP: Pens Over 3.5  &  Pens +2.5  &  Bolts TT Over 1.5  &  Habs +2.5  &  Moths +2.5  boosted +250  1/4  non-boosted +200  1/4u

 

Good luck tonight Fellas & Sheila's an_cheers 

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Posted: #50

BOL an_cheers

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