Saturday (YTD: 20-5 +15.88u)

Det/Tor o5.5 (-127) 1u

Write up is a second, once again right at puck drop lol sorry guys. If I don't hit this over I think I'm just going to stick to unders lol.

As stated before, I have been hitting all my unders and none of my overs so if I don't hit this one I'm just going to back off of them compeltely.

Detroit comes in playing pretty good offense and defense. Offensively, they are once again having a productive season. They are ranked #3 in the league averaging 3.26 goals per game. They see quite a big drop off on the road ranking #16 overall averaging 2.57 goals per game. The Power Play is once again of the the leagues best. They are ranked #6 overall hitting at a 19.5% clip and #7 overall with 29 PP goals. On the road they stay fairly consistent ranking #13 in PP% at 17.8% and #12 with 13 PP goals. Defensively they have been pretty consistent so far. They rank #26 overall allowing only 2.26 goals per game. On the road they are much worse, ranking #19 allowing an average of 2.67 goals per game. The Penalty Kill is actually better on the road. They rank #20 overall at 81.8% and #13 overall allowing 26 PP goals. On the road they rank #9 at 85.3% and #19 allowing 11 PP goals.

Toronto comes in with a great offense, and a less than stellar defense. They are ranked #3 overall averaging 3.26 goals per game. On the road they see an insignificant drop off, ranking #13 averaging 3.05 goals per game. Toronto's Power Play has been lights out so far this season. They rank #3 overall in PP% at 21.2% and #4 overall with 31 PP goals. Toronto does stay fairly consistent on the road. They are ranked #8 in PP% at 20.5% and #8 with 15 PP goals. We see a huge drop off in production when referring to their defensive performance thus far. They rank #6 overall allowing an average of 3.15 goals per game. They allow almost the same amount at home ranking #5 allowing 3.05 goals per game. The Penalty Kill is even worse. They are ranked dead last at #30 in PK% at 73.4% and #1 allowing 41 PP goals. They see a slight improvement at home ranking #23 in PK% at 78.6% and #5 allowing 15 PP goals.

A few other notes on this game. Gustavsson has made 19 starts so far this season, the over has hit 17 of 19 times. Detroit has scored 3+ 10 of their last 13 games, and Toronto has scored 3 or more goals in 8 of their past 10 games. That's all for now folks, may have 1 more play later. As always, Good luck everyone.

Quote Originally Posted by Spartacus10:

 Det/Tor o5.5 (-127) 1u

As stated before, I have been hitting all my unders and none of my overs so if I don't hit this one I'm just going to back off of them compeltely.

Detroit comes in playing pretty good offense and defense. Offensively, they are once again having a productive season. They are ranked #3 in the league averaging 3.26 goals per game. They see quite a big drop off on the road ranking #16 overall averaging 2.57 goals per game. The Power Play is once again of the the leagues best. They are ranked #6 overall hitting at a 19.5% clip and #7 overall with 29 PP goals. On the road they stay fairly consistent ranking #13 in PP% at 17.8% and #12 with 13 PP goals. Defensively they have been pretty consistent so far. They rank #26 overall allowing only 2.26 goals per game. On the road they are much worse, ranking #19 allowing an average of 2.67 goals per game. The Penalty Kill is actually better on the road. They rank #20 overall at 81.8% and #13 overall allowing 26 PP goals. On the road they rank #9 at 85.3% and #19 allowing 11 PP goals.

Toronto comes in with a great offense, and a less than stellar defense. They are ranked #3 overall averaging 3.26 goals per game. On the road they see an insignificant drop off, ranking #13 averaging 3.05 goals per game. Toronto's Power Play has been lights out so far this season. They rank #3 overall in PP% at 21.2% and #4 overall with 31 PP goals. Toronto does stay fairly consistent on the road. They are ranked #8 in PP% at 20.5% and #8 with 15 PP goals. We see a huge drop off in production when referring to their defensive performance thus far. They rank #6 overall allowing an average of 3.15 goals per game. They allow almost the same amount at home ranking #5 allowing 3.05 goals per game. The Penalty Kill is even worse. They are ranked dead last at #30 in PK% at 73.4% and #1 allowing 41 PP goals. They see a slight improvement at home ranking #23 in PK% at 78.6% and #5 allowing 15 PP goals.

A few other notes on this game. Gustavsson has made 19 starts so far this season, the over has hit 17 of 19 times. Detroit has scored 3+ 10 of their last 13 games, and Toronto has scored 3 or more goals in 8 of their past 10 games. That's all for now folks, may have 1 more play later. As always, Good luck everyone.

Today: 2-0 +2u

Quote Originally Posted by collectNOW:

Nice  Glad you're not letting these wannabee's   talk you out of your bets.

Thanks collect.

I don't listen because I really just don't care. I'm confident with my plays, they deeply researched and well thought out. If they were so confident with their plays they would start their own thread, post their plays, and keep a YTD. It's funny, the people who post their own plays and keep a YTD never bash, instead they support and congratulate. It's a lot easier to tell someone what to do when your not posting your own plays to back it up. Thanks for the support bud I appreciate it.

I said I wasn't going to do this anymore but I have decided to switch my play.

Min/Cal u5.0 (-102) 1u

This is official and once again, my write up will be up late. I vow this day forward to have my write ups up at least a half hour before the game lol.

Changed my play at the least minute from Minnesota TT u2.5, I said I wouldn't do it anymore so lets hope it works. It was one of my initial leans, and I decided to stick to it. They key in this game is defense, and both teams are going to play a tight, solid defensive game. Calgary just got blown out 9-0, so it's safe to believe that defense is going to be first priority tonight for Calgary. Minnesota on the other hand always plays a tight defensive game, usually resulting in low scores.

Minnesota enters the game having had a huge lack of offensive support this whole season. They are #29 in the league averaging only 2.22 goals per game. When it seemed like it couldn't get worse, it did. On the road, they are ranked #27 averaging an abysmal 2.05 goals per game. The Power Play isn't much prettier. They are #21 in PP% at 14.8% and #24 scoring 21 PP goals. Things stay pretty consistent on the road where they are ranked #22 in PP% at 15.0% and #14 scoring 12 PP goals. Their defense is an extremely large part of Minnesota's success this year. Minnesota is ranked #25 allowing an average of 2.29 goals per game. On the road things barely change where they are ranked #27 allowing only 2.24 goals against. That is truly an amazing number on the road. Their Penatly Kill is above average as well. They rank #8 in PK% at 84.8% and #21 allowing only 22 PP goals against all season. On the road, they are ranked #17 in PK% at 82.2% and #13 allowing 13 PP goals against.

Calgary is lacking in the offensive category compared to past seasons, but their defense remains fairly average. They are ranked #25 allowing 2.36 goals per game. They are slightly worse at home, ranking #22 averaging 2.53 goals per game. Their Power Play is absolutely brutal this year, especially at home. They are ranked #18 in PP% at 16.5% and #18 scoring 23 PP goals. At home they are ranked dead last in PP% ranked #30 hitting at a pathetic 10.4% clip and #28 scoring only 7 PP goals. Calgary's defense is pretty average when compared to league average's. They rank #11 allowing an average of 2.88 goals per game. They improve this stat by a nice margin at home ranking #20 allowing only 2.41 goals per game. Their Penalty Kill is slightly above average. They are ranked #19 overall at 82.1% and #13 allowing 26 PP goals against. At home they improve ranking #11 in PK% at 84.5% and #24 allowing only 9 PP goals against all season at home.

Kipper has made all 3 starts against Minnesota this year, he went 2-1, had a 1.69 GAA, and .934 SV%. Minnesota has scored 2 or less goals in 9 of their last 11 games. They are always a pure defensive minded team, and their goal every game is to play a low scoring type of game. They have been so successful this season because they have been able to succeed at this more often then not. Both teams will be looking to play a tight defensive game, and I'm quite confident with the play.

Again guys, sorry for the late write up. As always, Good luck everyone.

One more goal and that would be one big moose.

Quote Originally Posted by Spartacus10:

Min/Cal u5.0 (-102) 1u

Changed my play at the least minute from Minnesota TT u2.5, I said I wouldn't do it anymore so lets hope it works. It was one of my initial leans, and I decided to stick to it. They key in this game is defense, and both teams are going to play a tight, solid defensive game. Calgary just got blown out 9-0, so it's safe to believe that defense is going to be first priority tonight for Calgary. Minnesota on the other hand always plays a tight defensive game, usually resulting in low scores.

Minnesota enters the game having had a huge lack of offensive support this whole season. They are #29 in the league averaging only 2.22 goals per game. When it seemed like it couldn't get worse, it did. On the road, they are ranked #27 averaging an abysmal 2.05 goals per game. The Power Play isn't much prettier. They are #21 in PP% at 14.8% and #24 scoring 21 PP goals. Things stay pretty consistent on the road where they are ranked #22 in PP% at 15.0% and #14 scoring 12 PP goals. Their defense is an extremely large part of Minnesota's success this year. Minnesota is ranked #25 allowing an average of 2.29 goals per game. On the road things barely change where they are ranked #27 allowing only 2.24 goals against. That is truly an amazing number on the road. Their Penatly Kill is above average as well. They rank #8 in PK% at 84.8% and #21 allowing only 22 PP goals against all season. On the road, they are ranked #17 in PK% at 82.2% and #13 allowing 13 PP goals against.

Calgary is lacking in the offensive category compared to past seasons, but their defense remains fairly average. They are ranked #25 allowing 2.36 goals per game. They are slightly worse at home, ranking #22 averaging 2.53 goals per game. Their Power Play is absolutely brutal this year, especially at home. They are ranked #18 in PP% at 16.5% and #18 scoring 23 PP goals. At home they are ranked dead last in PP% ranked #30 hitting at a pathetic 10.4% clip and #28 scoring only 7 PP goals. Calgary's defense is pretty average when compared to league average's. They rank #11 allowing an average of 2.88 goals per game. They improve this stat by a nice margin at home ranking #20 allowing only 2.41 goals per game. Their Penalty Kill is slightly above average. They are ranked #19 overall at 82.1% and #13 allowing 26 PP goals against. At home they improve ranking #11 in PK% at 84.5% and #24 allowing only 9 PP goals against all season at home.

Kipper has made all 3 starts against Minnesota this year, he went 2-1, had a 1.69 GAA, and .934 SV%. Minnesota has scored 2 or less goals in 9 of their last 11 games. They are always a pure defensive minded team, and their goal every game is to play a low scoring type of game. They have been so successful this season because they have been able to succeed at this more often then not. Both teams will be looking to play a tight defensive game, and I'm quite confident with the play.

Again guys, sorry for the late write up. As always, Good luck everyone.

Yest: 3-0 +3.0u