Picks for today

Of course I'm going with the facs

Carolina - 262

Vegas - 164

Good luck to all 

Magiccarpetride, you and I seem to be among the few choosing the Golden Knights to win Game 1. I’m on them -165 and l intended to also bet them -1.5 +155 but that price kept changing for the worse because of bets I placed elsewhere in Vegas.

I’m also on the resurgent Golden Knights -185 to win the series, risking 18.5 units to win 10.

Coaching change hasn't lessened the GK being frauds. Utah absolutely blew that series.

- Coughed up 3 unanswered 3P goals to lose game 1 when ahead 2-1 given the vast majority of playoff games are not lost in regulation by the team leading after 2P.

- Lost both games to go to OT after leading in regulation in both of them. That's not an easy task to manage again statistically speaking.

- The only clear cut win of that series belonged to Utah. Not a single win by the GK could be described as emphatic.

Meanwhile Anaheim blew a 3P lead in G1 vs. the Oilers and essentially took G5 off after 3 straight wins. A 6 game series in which the Duckies led or tied in 5 games during the 3P.

Duckies are 3-0 hth vs Vegas this season, but the coaching change is going to have people erroneously write that off as not mattering anymore.

GK are clearly overpriced. Posted as of 0-0 at the start of the 2P in G1.

Bs no icing

@MrBator  Thank you for sharing.  Made the right calls. Congratulations 

@sandique  I enjoyed reading your information.  Thank you. 

@CusDAmato1  Thanks 

Great to hear from all of you.

Nailed them both!  

Refs hade the vegas ML

There's nothing you can do when the refs rape your behind without using lube.

@fab14  I think you are right.

@sandique 

Sounds like their lack of playoff experience hurt them quite a bit. The Utah (formerly Arizona) franchise hadn't made the playoffs in 14 years (obviously the fake 2020 "playoffs" don't count). Meanwhile the Golden Knights are in the playoffs for the 8th time in their 9 seasons.

Which one was that? Was it Game 2 when they won by one goal, or was it Game 3 when they won by 2 goals despite being outshot 32-12?

Really? Not even the Game 6 clincher that they won by four goals?

I don't think that matters anymore (sorry, I couldn't resist).

Maybe the oddsmakers feel that playoff experience counts for a lot, and these Golden Knights are matched up against another opponent that hasn't been in the playoffs in a long time (2018 when the Ducks were swept in the 1st round).

ESPN rules analyst Dave Jackson said that Barbashev clearly committed icing, but that Mills made a judgment call that Eichel would get to the puck before LaCombe could.

"What people don't realize, is that it's not a race to the dot. It's not the first player to get to the dot. The linesman has to make a decision at the dot as to who he thinks can get to the puck first," Jackson said on the ESPN telecast. "At that angle, the Vegas player seems to have a step on the Anaheim player. His judgment right there is that the Anaheim player stops skating, puts his arm out and the Vegas player would win the race to the puck. That's why he waves it off."

No they didn't. See post #14.

Mr. Bator: I've written one big post in this thread I'm not into more, but I will clarify something you responded to. A big margin does not automatically make an emphatic win in my world. If a game is tied 1-1 with 5 minutes to go and then one team scores 5 goals in that final 5 minutes, the margin of 6-1 looks emphatic, but the way the game played out means it's not. For me an emphatic win by definition is a game that's all but dead entering the 3P/becomes dead sometime early in the 3P (think Buffalo's 4-0 1P start against Boston that stayed that way heading into the 3P when it then quickly grew to 6-0 after 6 mins of the 3rd). That final game between Utah & Vegas was 2-1 with 11 min to go & 3-1 with 5 mins to go. Any game still up in the air w/10 to go doesn't get to qualify an as emphatic result for whichever team ends up getting the W.