Going to tempt fate and play another total. This is my way of getting around laying the -220 on Pittsburgh as if they win this game they'll probably have to score at least 3 goals to do so.
Crosby is back tonight and it should give the whole team a boost and the rink should be absolutely jumping tonight, certainly there will be much more energy than a typical Monday Night game against a team as bad as the Islanders. On top of that Pittsburgh has lost two in a row and need a boost. I think these guys are going to be skating and playing with energy tonight and that usually leads to goals.
The Islanders are throwing a rookie in net tonight and sometimes a new goalie is what a team needs but the Islanders problem is their defensemen are just awful. These guys are allowing 37.5 shots per game on the road and face a Pens team that fires 33 on net a game. NY has allowed 4, 4, 3, 6, 4, and 4 goals on the road this year. Crosby gets a couple points tonight.
GL.
This should do in your bet tonight.
There is no 100% cappers in the world
0
Quote Originally Posted by andarmac99:
YTD: +15.62
Pittsburgh Team Total OVER 3 -135 (2 units)
Going to tempt fate and play another total. This is my way of getting around laying the -220 on Pittsburgh as if they win this game they'll probably have to score at least 3 goals to do so.
Crosby is back tonight and it should give the whole team a boost and the rink should be absolutely jumping tonight, certainly there will be much more energy than a typical Monday Night game against a team as bad as the Islanders. On top of that Pittsburgh has lost two in a row and need a boost. I think these guys are going to be skating and playing with energy tonight and that usually leads to goals.
The Islanders are throwing a rookie in net tonight and sometimes a new goalie is what a team needs but the Islanders problem is their defensemen are just awful. These guys are allowing 37.5 shots per game on the road and face a Pens team that fires 33 on net a game. NY has allowed 4, 4, 3, 6, 4, and 4 goals on the road this year. Crosby gets a couple points tonight.
Going to tempt fate and play another total. This is my way of getting around laying the -220 on Pittsburgh as if they win this game they'll probably have to score at least 3 goals to do so.
Crosby is back tonight and it should give the whole team a boost and the rink should be absolutely jumping tonight, certainly there will be much more energy than a typical Monday Night game against a team as bad as the Islanders. On top of that Pittsburgh has lost two in a row and need a boost. I think these guys are going to be skating and playing with energy tonight and that usually leads to goals.
The Islanders are throwing a rookie in net tonight and sometimes a new goalie is what a team needs but the Islanders problem is their defensemen are just awful. These guys are allowing 37.5 shots per game on the road and face a Pens team that fires 33 on net a game. NY has allowed 4, 4, 3, 6, 4, and 4 goals on the road this year. Crosby gets a couple points tonight.
GL.
Sharing is Caring
0
Quote Originally Posted by andarmac99:
YTD: +15.62
Pittsburgh Team Total OVER 3 -135 (2 units)
Going to tempt fate and play another total. This is my way of getting around laying the -220 on Pittsburgh as if they win this game they'll probably have to score at least 3 goals to do so.
Crosby is back tonight and it should give the whole team a boost and the rink should be absolutely jumping tonight, certainly there will be much more energy than a typical Monday Night game against a team as bad as the Islanders. On top of that Pittsburgh has lost two in a row and need a boost. I think these guys are going to be skating and playing with energy tonight and that usually leads to goals.
The Islanders are throwing a rookie in net tonight and sometimes a new goalie is what a team needs but the Islanders problem is their defensemen are just awful. These guys are allowing 37.5 shots per game on the road and face a Pens team that fires 33 on net a game. NY has allowed 4, 4, 3, 6, 4, and 4 goals on the road this year. Crosby gets a couple points tonight.
Huge card for me Wednesday easily the biggest of the year.
Calgary +0.5 (reg) +101 & Calgary ML +165
I just don't trust an old Wings team in their 1st game back after a road trip. Calgary has already won here which should give them some confidence.
Buffalo ML +115 (2 units)
Huge revenge and statement game here. If the Sabres don't come out jumping and ready to kick some ass tonight then they really are a box team.
Montreal ML +113 (2 units)
Not buying Carolina's two game streak, they still stink and shouldn't be favored over anyone. Montreal 7-2 since start of last year after being shutout.
Chicago +0.5 (reg) -128 & Chicago ML +128
Give me the better team please and thank you. I don't care what happened in Alberta the Hawks always seem to throw up at least one stinker on that swing.
Looking at three more.
0
YTD: +17.10
Huge card for me Wednesday easily the biggest of the year.
Calgary +0.5 (reg) +101 & Calgary ML +165
I just don't trust an old Wings team in their 1st game back after a road trip. Calgary has already won here which should give them some confidence.
Buffalo ML +115 (2 units)
Huge revenge and statement game here. If the Sabres don't come out jumping and ready to kick some ass tonight then they really are a box team.
Montreal ML +113 (2 units)
Not buying Carolina's two game streak, they still stink and shouldn't be favored over anyone. Montreal 7-2 since start of last year after being shutout.
Chicago +0.5 (reg) -128 & Chicago ML +128
Give me the better team please and thank you. I don't care what happened in Alberta the Hawks always seem to throw up at least one stinker on that swing.
Hey I know Crosby came back and looked like the best player in the league but the first game back is always the easiest because expectations are tempered and drive and excitement are high. This will be the tough game where we really see what kind of shape he's in. The crowd will be much quieter and the team won't have as much energy which the Pens really fed off against the Islanders.
And let's remember last game came against the Islanders who are easily the worst defensive team and probably team as a whole in the league. St. Louis is a playoff calibre team and shouldn't be +180 against anyone. The three biggest dogs they've been this year have resulted in 3 SU wins by multiple goals.
Need a little line movement in another game I like. GL.
0
St. Louis +0.5 (reg) +114 & St. Louis ML +180
Hey I know Crosby came back and looked like the best player in the league but the first game back is always the easiest because expectations are tempered and drive and excitement are high. This will be the tough game where we really see what kind of shape he's in. The crowd will be much quieter and the team won't have as much energy which the Pens really fed off against the Islanders.
And let's remember last game came against the Islanders who are easily the worst defensive team and probably team as a whole in the league. St. Louis is a playoff calibre team and shouldn't be +180 against anyone. The three biggest dogs they've been this year have resulted in 3 SU wins by multiple goals.
Need a little line movement in another game I like. GL.
Hey I know Crosby came back and looked like the best player in the league but the first game back is always the easiest because expectations are tempered and drive and excitement are high. This will be the tough game where we really see what kind of shape he's in. The crowd will be much quieter and the team won't have as much energy which the Pens really fed off against the Islanders.
And let's remember last game came against the Islanders who are easily the worst defensive team and probably team as a whole in the league. St. Louis is a playoff calibre team and shouldn't be +180 against anyone. The three biggest dogs they've been this year have resulted in 3 SU wins by multiple goals.
Need a little line movement in another game I like. GL.
0
Quote Originally Posted by andarmac99:
St. Louis +0.5 (reg) +114 & St. Louis ML +180
Hey I know Crosby came back and looked like the best player in the league but the first game back is always the easiest because expectations are tempered and drive and excitement are high. This will be the tough game where we really see what kind of shape he's in. The crowd will be much quieter and the team won't have as much energy which the Pens really fed off against the Islanders.
And let's remember last game came against the Islanders who are easily the worst defensive team and probably team as a whole in the league. St. Louis is a playoff calibre team and shouldn't be +180 against anyone. The three biggest dogs they've been this year have resulted in 3 SU wins by multiple goals.
Need a little line movement in another game I like. GL.
Boy one of those real infuriating losses with the Hawks on Wednesday to turn a potential real nice day into a small loss. They go in there and play their best game of the year as they controlled the play, outshot San Jose in every period and held the league's leading shot team to just 21 on their own ice but they just couldnt buy a goal. They had 3 clear cut or partial breaks but it wasn't meant to be. Fitting SJ got the only goal on the PP from a D-man that had 6 career goals. End of rant.
Black Friday:
Detroit/Boston UNDER 5.5 -118
Boston just played a very emotional and open game against the Sabres. I cant help but think the legs just will not be there are they turn around and play another game a day and a half later. Had they been playing a doormat I would have faded them. No legs = No goals.
Babcock is not stupid he knows the best way to go on the road and slow down a red hot team is to play puck possession and slow it down. It also helps he has a really good goalie this year. I expect Thomas to go in this one for Boston and Rask the next night against a much weaker team. So far in 4 games this year after giving up at least three goals Thomas has a 0.98 GAA and .964 SV% in his next game, he has only given up 4 total goals in those games.A strange start time for both teams with just a day and a half off, may lead to the teams being a little off.
Calgary +0.5 (reg) -107 & Calgary ML +152
Loved STL as a big dog the other night now they are a big fav and I will go the other way. 3rd game in 4 days off a huge win on the road, a game they put a lot into with 43 shots, not a great spot. I dont think they come with the same energy as a big fav. Calgary lost in Detroit but they played well and most importantly showed some heart as twice they came back from deficits. The winning goals for Detroit came late in the 3rd on a 5 on 3. Misleading score there as the Flames played well and showed signs of life.
Tampa Bay +0.5 (reg) -130 & Tampa Bay ML +125
Just 18 days ago these two teams played in this building and Tampa bay won in a SO 4-3 but they were priced as even. Is a 25 cent difference in the line justified over just 18 days? I do not think so. Tampa has been total garbage as a fav lately but they are on a 5-2 +3.36 run as dogs. I also look for the Lighting to man up in this one after being totally embarrassed by a banged up Leafs team in their last game at home.
GL tomorrow.
0
YTD: +16.30
Boy one of those real infuriating losses with the Hawks on Wednesday to turn a potential real nice day into a small loss. They go in there and play their best game of the year as they controlled the play, outshot San Jose in every period and held the league's leading shot team to just 21 on their own ice but they just couldnt buy a goal. They had 3 clear cut or partial breaks but it wasn't meant to be. Fitting SJ got the only goal on the PP from a D-man that had 6 career goals. End of rant.
Black Friday:
Detroit/Boston UNDER 5.5 -118
Boston just played a very emotional and open game against the Sabres. I cant help but think the legs just will not be there are they turn around and play another game a day and a half later. Had they been playing a doormat I would have faded them. No legs = No goals.
Babcock is not stupid he knows the best way to go on the road and slow down a red hot team is to play puck possession and slow it down. It also helps he has a really good goalie this year. I expect Thomas to go in this one for Boston and Rask the next night against a much weaker team. So far in 4 games this year after giving up at least three goals Thomas has a 0.98 GAA and .964 SV% in his next game, he has only given up 4 total goals in those games.A strange start time for both teams with just a day and a half off, may lead to the teams being a little off.
Calgary +0.5 (reg) -107 & Calgary ML +152
Loved STL as a big dog the other night now they are a big fav and I will go the other way. 3rd game in 4 days off a huge win on the road, a game they put a lot into with 43 shots, not a great spot. I dont think they come with the same energy as a big fav. Calgary lost in Detroit but they played well and most importantly showed some heart as twice they came back from deficits. The winning goals for Detroit came late in the 3rd on a 5 on 3. Misleading score there as the Flames played well and showed signs of life.
Tampa Bay +0.5 (reg) -130 & Tampa Bay ML +125
Just 18 days ago these two teams played in this building and Tampa bay won in a SO 4-3 but they were priced as even. Is a 25 cent difference in the line justified over just 18 days? I do not think so. Tampa has been total garbage as a fav lately but they are on a 5-2 +3.36 run as dogs. I also look for the Lighting to man up in this one after being totally embarrassed by a banged up Leafs team in their last game at home.
I don't think the Avs are nearly as bad as their record. These guys are just really snake bitten right now. They are Top 5 in the league in shots but can't buy a goal. Everybody else that averages 32 shots per game scores at least 2.9 goals per game but the Avs are just at 2.44. That is just variance. Sooner or later the breaks will go their way and they will bust out. They average 35 shots at home but score on just 4.7% which is almost impossible.
I think this is a nice spot on 3 days rest against a team at altitude on a b2b. Even though Edmonton is young this is still a tough spot and with a backup goalie likely going I think the Avs could break out. Also an interesting situation for Edmonton here as they have lost both times they have been favored this year and even though they aren't actually favored in this one they play a 3-8 home team who they have a better record than, and who has lost 9 of 11. This is a spot they may feel like a fav without actually being one if that makes sense.
Montreal +0.5 (reg) -135 & Montreal ML +125
Just feels like a spot for Montreal to get a signature win. They don't really have one this year or certainly haven't in a while. Now they get a national TV home game to finally get one.
Winnipeg +0.5 (reg) +130 & Winnipeg ML +200
I think Boston has a little bit of a hangover off their first loss in a while. They have put a hell of a lot into the last two games: A huge game @ Buffalo and then a national TV home game yesterday against the Wings. Both games were up and down and yesterday they managed over 40 shots on a Wings team that probably hadn't given up that many in a long, long time. Tough to see them playing with the same type of intensity on their 3rd game in 4 days as a -220 fav.
Winnipeg is a losing team but their current form is great. They have won 4 of 5 and their only loss was in OT. It's also worth noting 4 of those 5 games were against winning teams. I think they come in and go toe to toe with a B's team that may not be too interested.
GL.
0
YTD: +17.17
Colorado ML -115 & Colorado -0.5 (reg) +145
I don't think the Avs are nearly as bad as their record. These guys are just really snake bitten right now. They are Top 5 in the league in shots but can't buy a goal. Everybody else that averages 32 shots per game scores at least 2.9 goals per game but the Avs are just at 2.44. That is just variance. Sooner or later the breaks will go their way and they will bust out. They average 35 shots at home but score on just 4.7% which is almost impossible.
I think this is a nice spot on 3 days rest against a team at altitude on a b2b. Even though Edmonton is young this is still a tough spot and with a backup goalie likely going I think the Avs could break out. Also an interesting situation for Edmonton here as they have lost both times they have been favored this year and even though they aren't actually favored in this one they play a 3-8 home team who they have a better record than, and who has lost 9 of 11. This is a spot they may feel like a fav without actually being one if that makes sense.
Montreal +0.5 (reg) -135 & Montreal ML +125
Just feels like a spot for Montreal to get a signature win. They don't really have one this year or certainly haven't in a while. Now they get a national TV home game to finally get one.
Winnipeg +0.5 (reg) +130 & Winnipeg ML +200
I think Boston has a little bit of a hangover off their first loss in a while. They have put a hell of a lot into the last two games: A huge game @ Buffalo and then a national TV home game yesterday against the Wings. Both games were up and down and yesterday they managed over 40 shots on a Wings team that probably hadn't given up that many in a long, long time. Tough to see them playing with the same type of intensity on their 3rd game in 4 days as a -220 fav.
Winnipeg is a losing team but their current form is great. They have won 4 of 5 and their only loss was in OT. It's also worth noting 4 of those 5 games were against winning teams. I think they come in and go toe to toe with a B's team that may not be too interested.
Small gain yesterday could have been huge had MTL and WIN not blown 2 goal leads, but that's what tends to happen to teams against Pittsburgh and Boston who are clearly the two best in the league IMO.
Sunday:
Anaheim ML -106 & Anaheim -0.5 (reg) +151
Toronto isn't good enough to be priced like this on the road against anyone. I know they have had a nice start but I think this Leafs club is highly overrated. They can't keep the puck out of their own net and those types of teams should never be priced like this on the road. Not to mention this is the last game of a successful trip for the Leafs, a Ducks team in desperate need of a win may smell blood.
GL.
0
YTD: +17.23
Small gain yesterday could have been huge had MTL and WIN not blown 2 goal leads, but that's what tends to happen to teams against Pittsburgh and Boston who are clearly the two best in the league IMO.
Sunday:
Anaheim ML -106 & Anaheim -0.5 (reg) +151
Toronto isn't good enough to be priced like this on the road against anyone. I know they have had a nice start but I think this Leafs club is highly overrated. They can't keep the puck out of their own net and those types of teams should never be priced like this on the road. Not to mention this is the last game of a successful trip for the Leafs, a Ducks team in desperate need of a win may smell blood.
Couldn't have been more wrong about Anaheim last night. The Islanders are the least talented team in the league but at least they have heart. Something is off in Duck land.
Minnesota ML -105 & Minnesota -0.5 (reg) +150
Both teams may be regressing (or progressing in the case of Tampa I guess) but I think Minny shows up tonight. Losing to Edmonton is one thing but to completely not show up last night against a Flames team that lost 3 in a row is not acceptable. They honored Boogaard in an emotional ceremony before the game and as often happens in those cases the home team comes out flat. Quotes from the Wild after last night:
"The good news is I don't think we can play worse than that" - Coach Mike Yeo.
"This can't happen again." - Captain Mikko Koivu.
Love the fact Backstrom goes again after getting pulled in the 1st period yesterday and that this is a b2b, quick chance to get the bad taste out of their mouths. Tampa on the road is nothing to write home about. They have two road wins outside of Florida all season and none since October 25th.
0
YTD: +15.23
Couldn't have been more wrong about Anaheim last night. The Islanders are the least talented team in the league but at least they have heart. Something is off in Duck land.
Minnesota ML -105 & Minnesota -0.5 (reg) +150
Both teams may be regressing (or progressing in the case of Tampa I guess) but I think Minny shows up tonight. Losing to Edmonton is one thing but to completely not show up last night against a Flames team that lost 3 in a row is not acceptable. They honored Boogaard in an emotional ceremony before the game and as often happens in those cases the home team comes out flat. Quotes from the Wild after last night:
"The good news is I don't think we can play worse than that" - Coach Mike Yeo.
"This can't happen again." - Captain Mikko Koivu.
Love the fact Backstrom goes again after getting pulled in the 1st period yesterday and that this is a b2b, quick chance to get the bad taste out of their mouths. Tampa on the road is nothing to write home about. They have two road wins outside of Florida all season and none since October 25th.
I'll ride the two goalies that are on absolute fire right now. Columbus has played well recently because they have kept the puck out of their own net. Van City is 8-2 to the under with Schenider starting and off a nice winning road trip I don't see them coming home on a Tuesday night and skating up and down the ice as a -200 fav. Columbus has to play tight in this one to have a chance. The Jackets have also scored more than two goals just twice on the road all year.
GL.
0
YTD: +17.68
Columbus/Vancouver UNDER 5.5 -120
I'll ride the two goalies that are on absolute fire right now. Columbus has played well recently because they have kept the puck out of their own net. Van City is 8-2 to the under with Schenider starting and off a nice winning road trip I don't see them coming home on a Tuesday night and skating up and down the ice as a -200 fav. Columbus has to play tight in this one to have a chance. The Jackets have also scored more than two goals just twice on the road all year.
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