WEEK 1 OVERALL: 15-9 +18.07 Units YTD REGULAR PICKS: 15-9 +18.07 Units YTD PARLAYS: 0-3 -1.74 Units
Alright, hit a big donut yesterday! I had actually planned to take Sunday off, as I didn't really like the card, but I got greedy and paid the price for it to be sure.
I'm not too concerned, because honestly, it was still a hell of a week. If only I could go +18 units/week all season! Anyways, a good Monday card has me coming right back with quite a few plays on day one of the week! Here we go, kids!
Colorado Avalanche ML (+219) vs. Boston Bruins -- Risking 1.5 Units to win 3.29 Units
AND
Colorado Avalanche vs. Boston Bruins 1st Period u1.5 goals (-104)-- Risking 4.16 Units to win 4 Units
- Alright, I'm sure that I will get a lot of criticism for taking Colorado, especially considering my avatar, but here's why. I bet Detroit -1.5 vs. Colorado, and hit that. Detroit played a VERY solid game, but Colorado's PK was on fire. Detroit has more firepower up front (not as much from the blue line) than Boston. Tim Thomas can honestly be hit or miss with his hybrid style. As for the first period under. Varlamov looked so good against Detroit, stopping 36 shots of 39, and Boston has two starter worthy goaltenders. Rask plays a solid butterfly, so if he starts, I'm VERY confident in the first period under.
Carolina Hurricanes ML (+123) vs. New Jersey Devils -- Risking 2 Units to win 2.46 Units
- Brodeur allowed 3 goals on 29 shots against Philly who couldn't capitalize on a single PP. Carolina scored in half of their power plays against a better performance from a goaltender in Newvirth with Washington. Close loss for Carolina against potential Stanley cup favourites. Now they get to try and earn their first win of the season against a significantly worse team all around.
TO BE CONTINUED.....
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
YESTERDAY: 0-4 -5.54 Units
WEEK 1 OVERALL: 15-9 +18.07 Units YTD REGULAR PICKS: 15-9 +18.07 Units YTD PARLAYS: 0-3 -1.74 Units
Alright, hit a big donut yesterday! I had actually planned to take Sunday off, as I didn't really like the card, but I got greedy and paid the price for it to be sure.
I'm not too concerned, because honestly, it was still a hell of a week. If only I could go +18 units/week all season! Anyways, a good Monday card has me coming right back with quite a few plays on day one of the week! Here we go, kids!
Colorado Avalanche ML (+219) vs. Boston Bruins -- Risking 1.5 Units to win 3.29 Units
AND
Colorado Avalanche vs. Boston Bruins 1st Period u1.5 goals (-104)-- Risking 4.16 Units to win 4 Units
- Alright, I'm sure that I will get a lot of criticism for taking Colorado, especially considering my avatar, but here's why. I bet Detroit -1.5 vs. Colorado, and hit that. Detroit played a VERY solid game, but Colorado's PK was on fire. Detroit has more firepower up front (not as much from the blue line) than Boston. Tim Thomas can honestly be hit or miss with his hybrid style. As for the first period under. Varlamov looked so good against Detroit, stopping 36 shots of 39, and Boston has two starter worthy goaltenders. Rask plays a solid butterfly, so if he starts, I'm VERY confident in the first period under.
Carolina Hurricanes ML (+123) vs. New Jersey Devils -- Risking 2 Units to win 2.46 Units
- Brodeur allowed 3 goals on 29 shots against Philly who couldn't capitalize on a single PP. Carolina scored in half of their power plays against a better performance from a goaltender in Newvirth with Washington. Close loss for Carolina against potential Stanley cup favourites. Now they get to try and earn their first win of the season against a significantly worse team all around.
Dallas Stars -1.5 (+222) vs. Phoenix Coyotes -- Risking 1.5 Units to win 3.33 Units
- Dallas is 1-1 after winning and losing a game in a home@home against the power team that is the Chicago Blackhawks. Their win came courteousy of a stellar performance from Lehtonen, followed by a disappointing backup goaltending performance. Lehtonen should start again vs. the Coyotes, who have minimal offense in comparison to Chicago. I feel very comfortable that Dallas can cover this game by 2 or 3 points.
Tampa Bay Lightning ML (+148) vs. Washington Capitals -- Risking 3 Units to win 4.44 Units
AND
Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Washington Capitals 1st period o1.5 goals (-104) -- Risking 3.12 Units to win 3 Units
- I very much expect Roloson back in net for this game. If not for any reason this becomes a no-play for me. Roloson was hot in their season opener, and I haven't seen anything too convincing out of Washington this year. Tampa Bay is carrying forward their momentum from the last playoffs. I know there's a lot of pressure this year for Roloson to be stellar, and I think he will be against one of the hottest offensive lines in the NHL. Tampa Bay is the best they have been in years, and Washington may be in limbo. Neuvirth or Vokoun is going to have to put up .940 or better I think to win this game! As for the first period over, let's just put two of the top10 NHL offenses against eachother and see what happens.
Vancouver Canucks -1.5 (+200) vs. Columbus Blue Jackets --Risking 2 Units to win 4 Units
- Vancouver came back to tie it up in the 3rd against the Pens where they lost in a shootout, which Luongo has done more often than not. However, Columbus hasn't played a team on the same level as Pittsburgh, and they MAY be facing the best goaltender they have so far this year (If not Rinne). I know Kessler and Raymond and Rome are all still out, but I think Vancouver will have made the appropriate line adjustments and with 3-4 days of practice time, I imagine the new lines will be clicking just fine. Vancouver really wants their first win this season. As the defending western Champions, I think they will be hungrier and more capable than Columbus.
TO BE CONTINUED....
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Dallas Stars -1.5 (+222) vs. Phoenix Coyotes -- Risking 1.5 Units to win 3.33 Units
- Dallas is 1-1 after winning and losing a game in a home@home against the power team that is the Chicago Blackhawks. Their win came courteousy of a stellar performance from Lehtonen, followed by a disappointing backup goaltending performance. Lehtonen should start again vs. the Coyotes, who have minimal offense in comparison to Chicago. I feel very comfortable that Dallas can cover this game by 2 or 3 points.
Tampa Bay Lightning ML (+148) vs. Washington Capitals -- Risking 3 Units to win 4.44 Units
AND
Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Washington Capitals 1st period o1.5 goals (-104) -- Risking 3.12 Units to win 3 Units
- I very much expect Roloson back in net for this game. If not for any reason this becomes a no-play for me. Roloson was hot in their season opener, and I haven't seen anything too convincing out of Washington this year. Tampa Bay is carrying forward their momentum from the last playoffs. I know there's a lot of pressure this year for Roloson to be stellar, and I think he will be against one of the hottest offensive lines in the NHL. Tampa Bay is the best they have been in years, and Washington may be in limbo. Neuvirth or Vokoun is going to have to put up .940 or better I think to win this game! As for the first period over, let's just put two of the top10 NHL offenses against eachother and see what happens.
Vancouver Canucks -1.5 (+200) vs. Columbus Blue Jackets --Risking 2 Units to win 4 Units
- Vancouver came back to tie it up in the 3rd against the Pens where they lost in a shootout, which Luongo has done more often than not. However, Columbus hasn't played a team on the same level as Pittsburgh, and they MAY be facing the best goaltender they have so far this year (If not Rinne). I know Kessler and Raymond and Rome are all still out, but I think Vancouver will have made the appropriate line adjustments and with 3-4 days of practice time, I imagine the new lines will be clicking just fine. Vancouver really wants their first win this season. As the defending western Champions, I think they will be hungrier and more capable than Columbus.
1) Colorado ML (+219) vs. Boston Bruins & Tampa Bay ML (+148) vs. Washington Capitals -- Risking 1 unit to win 6.91 Units
- Don't even TRY and tell me this doesn't hit 1/6 times in this matchup. I say Tampa can easily win 3/6 against WAS and then Colorado only needs to win 1/3 against BOS. I know that's kind of broken logic because they need to win a specific 1/3, so really more like 1/1.5, but I still see this as profitable in the long run.
2) Vancouver ML (-150) & Dallas ML (-133) & Carolina ML (+123) --Risking 1 Unit to win 5.55 Units
- I already explained my logic for each of these teams to win. Love this parlay. I would even do DAL regulation maybe...
Anyways, as an aside, Edmonton looked REALLY good tonight. Dubnyk was good, their PK was incredible, so many blocked shots (go Smid), and Hall+Hopkins seemed to click very well. I will be betting pretty heavily on them vs. Minnesota on thursday!
HUGE day to start the week. Could go either way financially, but this is how I cap! Not worried!
Risking a total of 17.28 Units to win a potential of 24.52 Units excluding parlays.
Best of luck to everyone this Monday! Very excited!
- Jimmus
P.S. Sorry about the triple post... 7800 character limit *sigh*
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Parlays:
1) Colorado ML (+219) vs. Boston Bruins & Tampa Bay ML (+148) vs. Washington Capitals -- Risking 1 unit to win 6.91 Units
- Don't even TRY and tell me this doesn't hit 1/6 times in this matchup. I say Tampa can easily win 3/6 against WAS and then Colorado only needs to win 1/3 against BOS. I know that's kind of broken logic because they need to win a specific 1/3, so really more like 1/1.5, but I still see this as profitable in the long run.
2) Vancouver ML (-150) & Dallas ML (-133) & Carolina ML (+123) --Risking 1 Unit to win 5.55 Units
- I already explained my logic for each of these teams to win. Love this parlay. I would even do DAL regulation maybe...
Anyways, as an aside, Edmonton looked REALLY good tonight. Dubnyk was good, their PK was incredible, so many blocked shots (go Smid), and Hall+Hopkins seemed to click very well. I will be betting pretty heavily on them vs. Minnesota on thursday!
HUGE day to start the week. Could go either way financially, but this is how I cap! Not worried!
Risking a total of 17.28 Units to win a potential of 24.52 Units excluding parlays.
Best of luck to everyone this Monday! Very excited!
- Jimmus
P.S. Sorry about the triple post... 7800 character limit *sigh*
Seymour, I agree. Don't get me wrong, it IS my smallest play (the ML), because it's not my strongest play. I do like the +219 though... It's so hard not to bet +220 or more dogs in the NHL!!!
amd - A few years back I played a lot of pucks, then life just got wild for a couple of years with work. Now I've settled very comfortably in my career and am back at it in full force. I'm not claiming to be an amazing capper by any means, but I do plan to make a bit of a profit this year. I also like to bet on MMA & NFL. We shall see how this goes tomorrow. I'll probably end up wagering about 80 Units this week. Could you imagine going -80 units in a week!
Anyways, yeah, I just like to post my personal reasons for making picks. That's the best way for people to make informed decisions is by doing research, so as the best community forum on covers, I like to see us helping eachother out!
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Seymour, I agree. Don't get me wrong, it IS my smallest play (the ML), because it's not my strongest play. I do like the +219 though... It's so hard not to bet +220 or more dogs in the NHL!!!
amd - A few years back I played a lot of pucks, then life just got wild for a couple of years with work. Now I've settled very comfortably in my career and am back at it in full force. I'm not claiming to be an amazing capper by any means, but I do plan to make a bit of a profit this year. I also like to bet on MMA & NFL. We shall see how this goes tomorrow. I'll probably end up wagering about 80 Units this week. Could you imagine going -80 units in a week!
Anyways, yeah, I just like to post my personal reasons for making picks. That's the best way for people to make informed decisions is by doing research, so as the best community forum on covers, I like to see us helping eachother out!
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