@vanzack
Alot of interest it seems in the Philadelphia game. I do not know if A.J. is playing yet. The almost entire regression in Philadelphia mirrors the entire regression in Browns numbers. Why would any Quarterback not take advantage and throw to one of the best 3 receivers in the game?
But the race does not always go to the Swift......
I am glad you finally agreed Bucs are going to the superbowl
agree on KC. quite honestly I'd love to fade KC, Miami, TB and Philly. Feels like they are all limping into the playoffs.
Tua just isnt Tua behind this OLine. Waddle hurt. Mostert hurt. Howard hurt. Chubb out. They seem like a shell of the team they used to be.
KC seems much healthier except for Kadarius...and him being out could be addition by subtraction for the Chefs.
Will have to give this some more thought I guess
@vanzack
You always do a great job on breaking down exactly how a team is playing right now. 
I noticed you share a lot on how defenses pressure the qbs from previous posts. Any concern that the high pressure rate that the Eagles typically bring will spell trouble for Baker?
* Bucs +3 (4 units) 3.5 (4.5), 2.5 (3)
* Texans +2.75 (3.5 units) 3 (4), 2.5 (3), 2 (2.5)
* Steelers +9.75 (2.5 units) 10.5 (3), 8 (2)
* Cowboys -7.5 (2 units) -8 (1.5), -7 (2.5)
* Dolphins +4.5 (2 units) 5 (2.5), 3.5 (1.5)
5 is a key number these days? Half unit addition for that half point? You only add a half unit for Tampa to get to 3.5 which has to be more important, right?
* Rams +3.25 (1 unit) 3.5 (1.5), 2.5 (no bet)
Also, is it normal for you to have plays on every wildcard game?
@vanzack
It seems that many can’t get over the fact that last year’s Super Bowl teams are possibly two of the worst teams in this year’s playoffs.
The Eagles are tired. They’re beat up. Look at the players in post game/ mid week interviews. Kelce looks old and worn out. The coach is clinging on to hope that his team hasn’t given up. As of late they are one of the worst teams in the league.
Kansas City is in a similar situation, but with a better defense. Mahomes remains seemingly confident that offense will get going, but the numbers are what they are. This team can’t score enough. Maybe the week off helps, but the problems go deeper than rest. Will Travis Kelce show up in the playoffs? Or is he too busy making commercials and banging Taylor Swift?
The comment you made in one of your posts is perfect. Take the jerseys off these two teams and you can’t even recognize them. KC now laying 4.5 against Miami? They better hope that the weather wins the game for them.
Love all the plays with the exception of Dallas. Cowboys are no doubt the better team, but if Green Bay jumps out to an early lead like they did on Thanksgiving, it will be tough to cover the number. GL van great season
@brn2loslive2win
That Turkeyday game is still fresh in the minds of dog bettors which is why the books laid the trap with +7.5 I am betting Dallas 1st half because of that 7-1 ats record at home only behind Denver's 8-1 ats 1st half home record which had a ROI of 70.35 %. Dallas will be up 16-10 at half and then pull away to a 33-20 win IMHO 
GREAT THREAD!!
Careful, that opinion could be a crow-eating situation..................gl
been fading philly for a few weeks no. i see no reason to stop here. are they really going to turn the switch on just like that? i mean losing to arizona and the giants the way they did is concerning. even when philly was winning they were getting outgained and outplayed.
dont care about stroud being a rookie. he has shown poise. but that defense in cleveland is legit. have to check the texans dline injuries but will anderson not playing in last weeks must win game and already starting with 2 DNP's is concerning. he is huge for that run D. if texans cannot stop the run, i think browns offense will find some success especially with the way flacco is playing. also have to check if woods and brown are playing for houston. nico collins is a beast, but this isnt the colts pass defense. honestly im surprised you are so big on texans after what we saw last week. indy really should have won that imo. would like to here your thoughts here van.
give me some of your bitcoin
Leaning your way on all
Phins are last on my lean list, but no way I can lay point with KC. Tua won't be throwing bombs in the freezing night air....so Achane and Masterton gonna be running more.....KC wrs have been their downfall and they can't really make up for it because their running game is mediocre at best....Digging the under 44.....I dont think the winner scores more than 20.....
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