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    All Forums | NFL Betting Forum

    Why are the Chiefs still SB favs

    GrayMatter2019
    pa2918
    thorpe
    vetdrm
    Aronrogers
    ...
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    GrayMatter2019
    GrayMatter2019
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    Posted: Jan. 18, 2021 - 1:20 PM ET #1

    Current odds have KC as a slight SB favorite over Pack ?? . But other than KC being the defending champions, how does this make any sense? GB has been murdering teams left & right while KC hasn't covered in 9 or 10 straight games if my math is correct. I won't even touch Mahomes injury bc I believe he is healthy. But with a comparable offense and significantly better D, how is GB not the overall favorite??

    Reply
    To remove first post, remove entire topic.

    Current odds have KC as a slight SB favorite over Pack ?? . But other than KC being the defending champions, how does this make any sense? GB has been murdering teams left & right while KC hasn't covered in 9 or 10 straight games if my math is correct. I won't even touch Mahomes injury bc I believe he is healthy. But with a comparable offense and significantly better D, how is GB not the overall favorite??

     
    pa2918
    pa2918
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    Posted: Jan. 18, 2021 - 1:30 PM ET #2

    It is the “Mahomes” brand. Ask around. Seriously none of the common folk more casual football knowledge type fans can picture him losing. A big part in setting lines is perception. They cant tip their hand and not have chiefs be the favorite as it would raise too many questions. It makes sense that they are favorites. Plus they are the defending super bowl champs which is a premium as well. It will provide tremendous value on whoever they face if they get past Buffalo

    Reply

    It is the “Mahomes” brand. Ask around. Seriously none of the common folk more casual football knowledge type fans can picture him losing. A big part in setting lines is perception. They cant tip their hand and not have chiefs be the favorite as it would raise too many questions. It makes sense that they are favorites. Plus they are the defending super bowl champs which is a premium as well. It will provide tremendous value on whoever they face if they get past Buffalo

     
    thorpe
    thorpe
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    Posted: Jan. 18, 2021 - 1:42 PM ET #3

    Lines aren't meant to predict what will happen.  Lines are meant to maximize profits for the books.  With futures, the amount of money already bet on a team is factored in.  If the books have enough KC action, they are not going to put out a line to get more.

     

    Reply

    Lines aren't meant to predict what will happen.  Lines are meant to maximize profits for the books.  With futures, the amount of money already bet on a team is factored in.  If the books have enough KC action, they are not going to put out a line to get more.

     

     
    vetdrm
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    Posted: Jan. 18, 2021 - 1:42 PM ET #4

    One reason is Andy Reid. Matt Lafleur is a great coach. Andy Reid will someday be in the Hall of Fame.

    Plus recently, GBs defense has played very well, but KCs is pretty damn consistent.

    And no matter what you say, KC has more weapons besides running back.

    Still believe in GB but until KC loses , they should be a slight favorite.peace_5

    Reply

    One reason is Andy Reid. Matt Lafleur is a great coach. Andy Reid will someday be in the Hall of Fame.

    Plus recently, GBs defense has played very well, but KCs is pretty damn consistent.

    And no matter what you say, KC has more weapons besides running back.

    Still believe in GB but until KC loses , they should be a slight favorite.peace_5

     
    GrayMatter2019
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    Posted: Jan. 18, 2021 - 2:40 PM ET #5

    KC's D has given up at least 27 pts 4 times in the past 8. Meanwhile GB hasn't given up that many, not once in the past 6. If anything the team that has been more consistent is GB.

    Reply

    KC's D has given up at least 27 pts 4 times in the past 8. Meanwhile GB hasn't given up that many, not once in the past 6. If anything the team that has been more consistent is GB.

     
    Aronrogers
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    Posted: Jan. 18, 2021 - 2:43 PM ET #6

    Gb played no body 

    Reply

    Gb played no body 

     
    kcblitzkrieg
    kcblitzkrieg
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    Posted: Jan. 18, 2021 - 2:50 PM ET #7

    Quote Originally Posted by thorpe:

    Lines aren't meant to predict what will happen.  Lines are meant to maximize profits for the books.  With futures, the amount of money already bet on a team is factored in.  If the books have enough KC action, they are not going to put out a line to get more.

    ^This is the only correct answer in this thread... 

     

    Time is a flat circle....
    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by thorpe:

    Lines aren't meant to predict what will happen.  Lines are meant to maximize profits for the books.  With futures, the amount of money already bet on a team is factored in.  If the books have enough KC action, they are not going to put out a line to get more.

    ^This is the only correct answer in this thread... 

     

     
    NONEED4LUCK
    NONEED4LUCK
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    Posted: Jan. 18, 2021 - 2:51 PM ET #8

    This is shades of Brett Favre 1997. Won it 1996. Darling of the league. Lost to the Broncos the next year. 

    Reply

    This is shades of Brett Favre 1997. Won it 1996. Darling of the league. Lost to the Broncos the next year. 

     
    bouncer07
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    Posted: Jan. 18, 2021 - 2:53 PM ET #9

    State Farm Bowl. NFL ratings and a real Super Bowl between two MVP's. With Covid this year the NFL need views and this year made it possible. With Top Defenses losing to Top Offenses in the Divisional rounds, we have Top Offenses taking on the Conference rounds. 

    TAMPA BAY Offense- Ranks 4/Defense- Ranks 4
    GREEN BAY Offense- Ranks 1/Defense- Ranks 2
    BILLS Offense- Ranks 3/Defense- Ranks 3
    KC Offense- Ranks 2/Defense- Ranks 1

    GB + KC would have the best Offense and Defense very close heading to the Super Bowl in Tampa Bay. 2017 Vikings almost hosted their own Super Bowl but lost to the Eagles in the Conference. Tampa Bay will also be the team to lose before going to their own Super Bowl stadium. 

    Reply

    State Farm Bowl. NFL ratings and a real Super Bowl between two MVP's. With Covid this year the NFL need views and this year made it possible. With Top Defenses losing to Top Offenses in the Divisional rounds, we have Top Offenses taking on the Conference rounds. 

    TAMPA BAY Offense- Ranks 4/Defense- Ranks 4
    GREEN BAY Offense- Ranks 1/Defense- Ranks 2
    BILLS Offense- Ranks 3/Defense- Ranks 3
    KC Offense- Ranks 2/Defense- Ranks 1

    GB + KC would have the best Offense and Defense very close heading to the Super Bowl in Tampa Bay. 2017 Vikings almost hosted their own Super Bowl but lost to the Eagles in the Conference. Tampa Bay will also be the team to lose before going to their own Super Bowl stadium. 

     
    GrayMatter2019
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    Posted: Jan. 18, 2021 - 3:12 PM ET #10

    How exactly is the KC D #1? If anything they should be below Buffalo & GB.

    Reply

    How exactly is the KC D #1? If anything they should be below Buffalo & GB.

     
    DoubleUp4Life
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    Posted: Jan. 18, 2021 - 3:26 PM ET #11

    Quote Originally Posted by thorpe:

    Lines aren't meant to predict what will happen.  Lines are meant to maximize profits for the books.  With futures, the amount of money already bet on a team is factored in.  If the books have enough KC action, they are not going to put out a line to get more.

     

     

    Facts 

    Thorpe for the WIN..

    .

     

    BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS,WEALTH, BLESSINGS and LUCK TO ALL !!
    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by thorpe:

    Lines aren't meant to predict what will happen.  Lines are meant to maximize profits for the books.  With futures, the amount of money already bet on a team is factored in.  If the books have enough KC action, they are not going to put out a line to get more.

     

     

    Facts 

    Thorpe for the WIN..

    .

     

     
    NutinButtLove
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    Posted: Jan. 18, 2021 - 4:12 PM ET #12

    If you have to ask this question you really are slow on the uptake.

    The Chiefs are the champs first of all... They may not be covering this year but are still winning. The champs are always the champs until proven otherwise.

    2nd and more importantly, the Packers have to play TB. And by TB I mean Tom Brady. Have a look at his playoff record. It's pretty good. Whether you agree or not with this, it's widely accepted that there is a better chance of GB getting knocked off than KC because the Goat has 6 rings and Josh Allen has won a total of 1 playoff game.

    Reply

    If you have to ask this question you really are slow on the uptake.

    The Chiefs are the champs first of all... They may not be covering this year but are still winning. The champs are always the champs until proven otherwise.

    2nd and more importantly, the Packers have to play TB. And by TB I mean Tom Brady. Have a look at his playoff record. It's pretty good. Whether you agree or not with this, it's widely accepted that there is a better chance of GB getting knocked off than KC because the Goat has 6 rings and Josh Allen has won a total of 1 playoff game.

     
    gonnapuigyou
    gonnapuigyou
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    Posted: Jan. 18, 2021 - 4:17 PM ET #13

    @NutinButtLove

     Josh allen has only one playoff win? confused

    Reply

    @NutinButtLove

     Josh allen has only one playoff win? confused

     
    vetdrm
    vetdrm
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    Posted: Jan. 18, 2021 - 4:25 PM ET #14

    OK. Let's look at it another way. If Green Bay and Kansas City with a healthy maholmes  both win Sunday , they will play each other in the Super Bowl on a neutral  field.

    Opening line. Kansas City would be favored.

    .

    Reply

    OK. Let's look at it another way. If Green Bay and Kansas City with a healthy maholmes  both win Sunday , they will play each other in the Super Bowl on a neutral  field.

    Opening line. Kansas City would be favored.

    .

     
     
    bouncer07
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    Posted: Jan. 18, 2021 - 7:11 PM ET #15

    @vetdrm

     Healthy Mahomes? The kid is only 25 years old. That sack was no where near what Bret Farve endured! Young kid brushed it off and cleared the protocol over night. Staged injury if you ask me.

    Reply

    @vetdrm

     Healthy Mahomes? The kid is only 25 years old. That sack was no where near what Bret Farve endured! Young kid brushed it off and cleared the protocol over night. Staged injury if you ask me.

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