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    All Forums | NFL Betting Forum

    Week 9's Public Burial, or mine?

    «First Previous 12
    JackDragonJack
    lmb4321
    chicubs09
    brn2loslive2win
    dynamicz
    ...
    Participants:
    Search
    Views: 725
    Posts: 36
    «First Previous 12
     
    JackDragonJack
    JackDragonJack
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Jul, 2025
    Posts: 393
    Posted: Nov. 4, 2026 - 10:00 AM ET #26

    @undermysac

     Very nice sir

    an_praise

    @incognegro

     I c -3 man...not even -2.5..u have an amazing site i guess

    ....

    GL all

    peace_5

    Reply

    @undermysac

     Very nice sir

    an_praise

    @incognegro

     I c -3 man...not even -2.5..u have an amazing site i guess

    ....

    GL all

    peace_5

     
    lmb4321
    lmb4321
    All-Star
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Feb, 2014
    Posts: 12737
    Posted: Nov. 4, 2026 - 10:02 AM ET #27

    @undermysac

     Deshaun Watson in Concussion protocol..

    Reply

    @undermysac

     Deshaun Watson in Concussion protocol..

     
    chicubs09
    chicubs09
    Captain
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Apr, 2009
    Posts: 5326
    Posted: Nov. 4, 2026 - 10:04 AM ET #28

    Quote Originally Posted by lmb4321:

    @undermysac  Deshaun Watson in Concussion protocol..
    Saints now -3 at DK

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by lmb4321:

    @undermysac  Deshaun Watson in Concussion protocol..
    Saints now -3 at DK

     
    brn2loslive2win
    brn2loslive2win
    Veteran
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Nov, 2016
    Posts: 2938
    Posted: Nov. 4, 2026 - 10:16 AM ET #29

    @undermysac

     Panthers is a really tricky one. Early money appears to favor Carolina, but the line is moving the other way. Carolina is in trouble with that o line. 

    Carolinas wins are against Atlanta who had no qb, home against Detroit who was on the road on a Thursday game and had major ol and defensive issues, and at Philly who actually kept it close for a while. 

    Everyone hates Denver right now. The KC win was “lucky”, the qb stinks, and they can’t win without a comeback victory…but is this the get right game? If the pass rush can get home is this another disaster spot for Bryce Young? I’m very close to pulling the trigger on -2.5 while it’s still there but haven’t done anything yet.

    Reply

    @undermysac

     Panthers is a really tricky one. Early money appears to favor Carolina, but the line is moving the other way. Carolina is in trouble with that o line. 

    Carolinas wins are against Atlanta who had no qb, home against Detroit who was on the road on a Thursday game and had major ol and defensive issues, and at Philly who actually kept it close for a while. 

    Everyone hates Denver right now. The KC win was “lucky”, the qb stinks, and they can’t win without a comeback victory…but is this the get right game? If the pass rush can get home is this another disaster spot for Bryce Young? I’m very close to pulling the trigger on -2.5 while it’s still there but haven’t done anything yet.

     
    dynamicz
    dynamicz
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    Joined: Dec, 2008
    Posts: 2003
    Posted: Nov. 4, 2026 - 10:24 AM ET #30

    Quote Originally Posted by undermysac:

    I'm seeing 3 public dogs. These never turn out well. The favs are on my target list.   Lions otr in Miami. Outdoors, should be warm/hot... Jets otr in KC. Why is this # so high? Falcons in Madrid... Then this one, Broncos public fav... Broncos otr in Carolina. This is a particularly bad spot for the Broncos, I'll go into it later. But the Panthers injuries and terrible O line has me paused for now. Any thoughts?

    gun to my head, id take fins and panthers...not touching either, esp panthers for the reason stated

    think theres better games on the board to dive into

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by undermysac:

    I'm seeing 3 public dogs. These never turn out well. The favs are on my target list.   Lions otr in Miami. Outdoors, should be warm/hot... Jets otr in KC. Why is this # so high? Falcons in Madrid... Then this one, Broncos public fav... Broncos otr in Carolina. This is a particularly bad spot for the Broncos, I'll go into it later. But the Panthers injuries and terrible O line has me paused for now. Any thoughts?

    gun to my head, id take fins and panthers...not touching either, esp panthers for the reason stated

    think theres better games on the board to dive into

     
    Way2Good
    Way2Good
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    Joined: Dec, 2022
    Posts: 3445
    Posted: Nov. 4, 2026 - 11:08 AM ET #31

    @undermysac

     Hey Sac, 

     

    i am also looking into this game but the -2.5 seems too short for this game and they have been horrible ats and so much more at home. I will also be playing the saints but only the ml. My projected line put the saints at -4.5 but of course the books know better. Good luck my friend!

    Even a broken clock is right twice a day.
    Reply

    @undermysac

     Hey Sac, 

     

    i am also looking into this game but the -2.5 seems too short for this game and they have been horrible ats and so much more at home. I will also be playing the saints but only the ml. My projected line put the saints at -4.5 but of course the books know better. Good luck my friend!

     
    undermysac
    undermysac
    Legend
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    Joined: Dec, 2014
    Posts: 52621
    Posted: Nov. 4, 2026 - 11:28 AM ET #32

    Quote Originally Posted by chicubs09:

    Quote Originally Posted by lmb4321: @undermysac  Deshaun Watson in Concussion protocol.. Saints now -3 at DK

    Yea I missed pk-115, sucks.

    Bring on Shadeur

    an_cheers

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by chicubs09:

    Quote Originally Posted by lmb4321: @undermysac  Deshaun Watson in Concussion protocol.. Saints now -3 at DK

    Yea I missed pk-115, sucks.

    Bring on Shadeur

    an_cheers

     
    Yanasaur
    Yanasaur
    Veteran
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Nov, 2011
    Posts: 3306
    Posted: Nov. 4, 2026 - 11:30 AM ET #33

    You beat me to it, I was gonna post Saints too, but Im waiting to try and get -2.5, stuck at 3 on my book now. Might just lay the 3 at -105. Either way I'll be on it too

    peace_5 an_cheers

    Reply

    You beat me to it, I was gonna post Saints too, but Im waiting to try and get -2.5, stuck at 3 on my book now. Might just lay the 3 at -105. Either way I'll be on it too

    peace_5 an_cheers

     
    kidd22
    kidd22
    MVP
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Dec, 2015
    Posts: 17033
    Posted: Nov. 4, 2026 - 2:12 PM ET #34

    Quote Originally Posted by undermysac:

    Quote Originally Posted by chicubs09: Quote Originally Posted by lmb4321: @undermysac  Deshaun Watson in Concussion protocol.. Saints now -3 at DK Yea I missed pk-115, sucks. Bring on Shadeur
    agree bring on shadeur clover

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by undermysac:

    Quote Originally Posted by chicubs09: Quote Originally Posted by lmb4321: @undermysac  Deshaun Watson in Concussion protocol.. Saints now -3 at DK Yea I missed pk-115, sucks. Bring on Shadeur
    agree bring on shadeur clover

     
    Killer_B
    Killer_B
    Captain
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Jan, 2007
    Posts: 6301
    Posted: Nov. 4, 2026 - 2:56 PM ET #35

    @undermysac

    One of those "miracles" cost my team 5 entries in Circa Survivor. Three hour weather with 2:00 to go and Week 2 TB driving for a winning score vs Browns, then 3 hour weather delay to keep us hanging on. They should've let them play it out. P*ssy's.

    Reply

    @undermysac

    One of those "miracles" cost my team 5 entries in Circa Survivor. Three hour weather with 2:00 to go and Week 2 TB driving for a winning score vs Browns, then 3 hour weather delay to keep us hanging on. They should've let them play it out. P*ssy's.

     
     
    undermysac
    undermysac
    Legend
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Dec, 2014
    Posts: 52621
    Posted: Nov. 4, 2026 - 4:05 PM ET #36

    @brn2loslive2win

    Thanks for the post. You make good points. Here's where I am with this game so far.

    The spot. It's a Panthers line. There's no doubt it's the "sharp" side.

    The Panthers only ticket into the playoffs will be by winning the nfc south. There absolutely won't be a wild card coming from this division. No one has more than 3 wins, no one is .500, 3 of the 4 teams have 5 losses. 

    Anyone of these teams could win this division, although the Buccaneers look to have the momentum and overall better talent than the rest of the division. Only Todd Bowles can fuck it up, and he still very well can.

    The Panthers lost b2b games, looking terrible in both. Vs Tampa, then on a short week @ Lambeau. Like you said, that O line is bad. I literally cringed multiple times watching them vs the Packers. Guards Damien Lewis and Torricelli Simpkins missed that game. RT Taylor Moton broke his leg in the 3rd quarter vs the Bucs. He's a stout tackle.

    Scary stuff when going against the d line of the Broncos. 

    Let's not forget that the Panthers lost 2 excellent corner backs not long ago. Mike Jackson and Jaycee Horn. What a combo to be missing...

    Why is it a sharp side though? Maybe it's the Bryce Young after a loss trend(it's still strong). Maybe it's the Panthers as a home dog? Maybe it's Dave Canales, he is a good coach. Or maybe it's the situation, that's what I like most...

    The Broncos haven't had a bye yet, and it follows this game. This will be their 4th road game in 6 weeks. They had OT vs the Seahawks in week 6 on TNF. This will be the Broncos first time traveling to the East Coast, and the game is at noon.

    They just beat division rival Chiefs, in a hell of game, it was high leverage stuff.

    The Panthers have extended rest here coming off TNF.

    All my soul is telling me to bet the Panthers and don't worry about anything else. My brain is telling me to worry about A LOT of things with this Panthers team.

    If I can turn my brain off I'll make this bet peace_5

     

    Reply

    @brn2loslive2win

    Thanks for the post. You make good points. Here's where I am with this game so far.

    The spot. It's a Panthers line. There's no doubt it's the "sharp" side.

    The Panthers only ticket into the playoffs will be by winning the nfc south. There absolutely won't be a wild card coming from this division. No one has more than 3 wins, no one is .500, 3 of the 4 teams have 5 losses. 

    Anyone of these teams could win this division, although the Buccaneers look to have the momentum and overall better talent than the rest of the division. Only Todd Bowles can fuck it up, and he still very well can.

    The Panthers lost b2b games, looking terrible in both. Vs Tampa, then on a short week @ Lambeau. Like you said, that O line is bad. I literally cringed multiple times watching them vs the Packers. Guards Damien Lewis and Torricelli Simpkins missed that game. RT Taylor Moton broke his leg in the 3rd quarter vs the Bucs. He's a stout tackle.

    Scary stuff when going against the d line of the Broncos. 

    Let's not forget that the Panthers lost 2 excellent corner backs not long ago. Mike Jackson and Jaycee Horn. What a combo to be missing...

    Why is it a sharp side though? Maybe it's the Bryce Young after a loss trend(it's still strong). Maybe it's the Panthers as a home dog? Maybe it's Dave Canales, he is a good coach. Or maybe it's the situation, that's what I like most...

    The Broncos haven't had a bye yet, and it follows this game. This will be their 4th road game in 6 weeks. They had OT vs the Seahawks in week 6 on TNF. This will be the Broncos first time traveling to the East Coast, and the game is at noon.

    They just beat division rival Chiefs, in a hell of game, it was high leverage stuff.

    The Panthers have extended rest here coming off TNF.

    All my soul is telling me to bet the Panthers and don't worry about anything else. My brain is telling me to worry about A LOT of things with this Panthers team.

    If I can turn my brain off I'll make this bet peace_5

     

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