Posted:
#26
you're right NYC, I did talk about discipline and I end up with a card of 9 plays + 1 teaser (but hey, that card is 25% smaller than my week 1 card LOL), but the bottom line is, I am going to play any and all games where I feel I have a STRONG edge based on where/how I cap the games.
Based on the Eagles QB situation, the Chargers injury situation at RB and OL, and the Patriots line movement due to a major public overreaction to week 1 and the line moves 3 full points in the PATS favor, I decided to add those 3 plays to my card. To stay rigid and lock myself into a specific # of plays each week and IGNORING when I feel I have identified a game that I have an edge in, would be downright stupid.
So yes, I am playing all of them, and yes it is a bit too large of a card again, but I am not going to just lay off a game if I feel very strongly.
I took the UNDER in ATL/CAR at 43.5, it has now moved to 42.5 like I though it would. I took the OVER in Dal/NYG at 43.5 before it moved upwards and it is now at 44.5 at my book. TEN/HOU hasn't moved from 40.5 but I expect it to be as low as 39 even by gametime, imo. Should I have not capped those 3 totals just because of the number of plays? Clearly, at the moment, I am on the right side of 2 of them, lol.
BOL to you and all of your plays, we'll see how week 2 goes.
Based on the Eagles QB situation, the Chargers injury situation at RB and OL, and the Patriots line movement due to a major public overreaction to week 1 and the line moves 3 full points in the PATS favor, I decided to add those 3 plays to my card. To stay rigid and lock myself into a specific # of plays each week and IGNORING when I feel I have identified a game that I have an edge in, would be downright stupid.
So yes, I am playing all of them, and yes it is a bit too large of a card again, but I am not going to just lay off a game if I feel very strongly.
I took the UNDER in ATL/CAR at 43.5, it has now moved to 42.5 like I though it would. I took the OVER in Dal/NYG at 43.5 before it moved upwards and it is now at 44.5 at my book. TEN/HOU hasn't moved from 40.5 but I expect it to be as low as 39 even by gametime, imo. Should I have not capped those 3 totals just because of the number of plays? Clearly, at the moment, I am on the right side of 2 of them, lol.
BOL to you and all of your plays, we'll see how week 2 goes.
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