Vegasbuster Week 7 NFL: 16-10-1 YTD

Rough week in Week 6 going 2-7.

Several coin flip ATS losses at the end of two games: Seattle and Jacksonville losses, Buffalo giving up a late cover on a garbage TD up 10 and the 49ers blowing a 23-3 lead and losing the cover.

It happens. The end goal is to be consistent with the plays and ride-through the shit weeks and end up with a good ATS % at the end of the year.

I just can't get the two football models running together each week. CFB in Week 7 finished 13-9.

Week 7:

New England +3.5

Pittsburgh -3

NY Jets -4

San Francisco -2.5

Carolina -2.5

Cleveland -1

Minnesota -6

LA Rams -4

Kansas City +3

One Tier 3 Play: Denver -4

Pass on Philly, Houston, Baltimore and Green Bay.

Good Luck. 

you really can see all three undefeated teams to not lose this sunday???

If youre gonna hit 60% by end of year my friend youve gotta lay off playing all favorites. 

Yes some will win but not when youre playing every public favorite on the board

Jets, Minnesota, Cleveland, Denver & KC are probably the 5 most public plays of the entire weekend ( Yes, with KC being the most public dog on primetime yet this year.  That is not to say a few will not cover... but there's 100% chance all 5 won't unless we see an early Christmas present from Vegas... Which never happens, because this is a multi-trillion dollar industry and there is greed from the top down.

Good luck VB.  

@asmth14

I set this model up and it was 14-3-1 entering Week 6 and the Tier 3 plays were also rolling but I didn't include those.

There were 4 games last week that could have swung my way but all ended up on the losing end. Do I tear it down and start over every time a bad week occurs?

Nah. It takes more than one bad week to start reevaluating everything.

Another Tier 3 play: Philly +4.5 with the expectation that Saquon is playing on MNF.

My model has Dallas with the worst defense in the NFL.

Another Tier 3 lean on Green Bay +3.5

I like Niners, Vikes, & KC on ur board

GL bro 

i do love GB in this spot

@Vegasbuster

 It’s only a matter of time before It’s a huge week for the favorites. I think this could be the one. Gl on your plays