The Ravens were blown out the week before that. This isn't even close to the same situation.
Of course it's not the same situation...but Rams been in the same spot all year is my point. GL, I saw that you will be on the Rams. I'll keep my fingers crossed for you......haha.
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Quote Originally Posted by andarmac99:
The Ravens were blown out the week before that. This isn't even close to the same situation.
Of course it's not the same situation...but Rams been in the same spot all year is my point. GL, I saw that you will be on the Rams. I'll keep my fingers crossed for you......haha.
I don't know, Andy. Your fascination with these "bad" teams is beating your ass like it did early in the 2009 season before you made an adjustment and finished strong. I know you are like me and will always take a tasty dog over the chalk, but maybe it's time to back off a little bit just till you get hot again(which is inevitable as you are a great capper).
I can't say I really disagree with you though on the Indy play though. Take away last week's game in a situation where they walked into a buzzsaw and what do you see with Indy? A scrappy team who hung with a bunch of primarily hardnosed run heavy offenses. With the exception of Houston(and even that game a lot of crazy shit happened to turn that into such a rout), Indy hung right in there with everyone they played. Suddenly New Orleans comes to town seething off an awful loss to Tampa Bay, and their pass heavy, spread em out offense run by one of the game's best shows the world how to expose Indianapolis' defense. Something Indy has not seen all year. It also didn't help that young Painter who is still getting his dick wet in the NFL got his first look at a William's defense scheme with all his blitz packages firing from 1,000 different angles. So where does Tennessee fit into this? To the naked eye, they are in the category of hard nosed running teams that Indy has seen so much of this year(and has a decent degree of success although it never turned into wins), but Tennessee isn't exactly that this season. It is not for lack of trying as they have done everything possible to get CJ going, but it just isn't happening. With a decent quarterback for once, they have kinda morphed into a throwing team first as Hasselbeck must be averaging 35 pass attempts a game this year. Is that the recipe for success against this Indy team, or is New Orleans just a totally different animal? Honestly I have no fucking idea, but looking at Tennessee the last few weeks I have to believe that they cannot duplicate what New Orleans did last week. I don't think I will be touching this game, but I believe Indy has a good chance of keeping this one close.
You mentioned possibly backing the Rams. Unlike Indy, I don't really care for this one. Especially with the uncertainty at QB. I do not trust Feeley in any way here.
I like the Giants Sunday. Looking at a card where half the games were teams laying 9+, I tried to find the one chalk monster I could hit and watch a blowout ensue and I think this is the one. It is strange what a couple weeks can do in the NFL to a teams health and perception. If you heard the NY media just a few weeks ago after the Seattle loss, you would think this team is doomed, Eli is a piece of shit, Coughlin is on his last leg, and yet another disappointing season for the Giants. Fast forward a week after a decent win over the Bills, and they are clicking on all cylinders, winning the usually tough East, are getting healthy over the bye, and might be a force to be reckoned with. Now, I think the truth is somewhere in the middle of those two, but they are getting healthy. With Tuck back, this is the first time that monster group of defensive linemen have all been healthy in over a year. Jacobs will be back. Chris Snee(C) will be back after missing the Buffalo game with a concussion. Andrews might also be back although that is not definite. On the other side, Miami's starting QB is on IR, their backup got his ribs smashed in and is questionable, and their best cover guy is looking to not be playing. Miami also has to be in the toilet after last week's collapse against fellow toilet bowl team the Broncos. This might be a spot for a big time Giant blowout.
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I don't know, Andy. Your fascination with these "bad" teams is beating your ass like it did early in the 2009 season before you made an adjustment and finished strong. I know you are like me and will always take a tasty dog over the chalk, but maybe it's time to back off a little bit just till you get hot again(which is inevitable as you are a great capper).
I can't say I really disagree with you though on the Indy play though. Take away last week's game in a situation where they walked into a buzzsaw and what do you see with Indy? A scrappy team who hung with a bunch of primarily hardnosed run heavy offenses. With the exception of Houston(and even that game a lot of crazy shit happened to turn that into such a rout), Indy hung right in there with everyone they played. Suddenly New Orleans comes to town seething off an awful loss to Tampa Bay, and their pass heavy, spread em out offense run by one of the game's best shows the world how to expose Indianapolis' defense. Something Indy has not seen all year. It also didn't help that young Painter who is still getting his dick wet in the NFL got his first look at a William's defense scheme with all his blitz packages firing from 1,000 different angles. So where does Tennessee fit into this? To the naked eye, they are in the category of hard nosed running teams that Indy has seen so much of this year(and has a decent degree of success although it never turned into wins), but Tennessee isn't exactly that this season. It is not for lack of trying as they have done everything possible to get CJ going, but it just isn't happening. With a decent quarterback for once, they have kinda morphed into a throwing team first as Hasselbeck must be averaging 35 pass attempts a game this year. Is that the recipe for success against this Indy team, or is New Orleans just a totally different animal? Honestly I have no fucking idea, but looking at Tennessee the last few weeks I have to believe that they cannot duplicate what New Orleans did last week. I don't think I will be touching this game, but I believe Indy has a good chance of keeping this one close.
You mentioned possibly backing the Rams. Unlike Indy, I don't really care for this one. Especially with the uncertainty at QB. I do not trust Feeley in any way here.
I like the Giants Sunday. Looking at a card where half the games were teams laying 9+, I tried to find the one chalk monster I could hit and watch a blowout ensue and I think this is the one. It is strange what a couple weeks can do in the NFL to a teams health and perception. If you heard the NY media just a few weeks ago after the Seattle loss, you would think this team is doomed, Eli is a piece of shit, Coughlin is on his last leg, and yet another disappointing season for the Giants. Fast forward a week after a decent win over the Bills, and they are clicking on all cylinders, winning the usually tough East, are getting healthy over the bye, and might be a force to be reckoned with. Now, I think the truth is somewhere in the middle of those two, but they are getting healthy. With Tuck back, this is the first time that monster group of defensive linemen have all been healthy in over a year. Jacobs will be back. Chris Snee(C) will be back after missing the Buffalo game with a concussion. Andrews might also be back although that is not definite. On the other side, Miami's starting QB is on IR, their backup got his ribs smashed in and is questionable, and their best cover guy is looking to not be playing. Miami also has to be in the toilet after last week's collapse against fellow toilet bowl team the Broncos. This might be a spot for a big time Giant blowout.
IM JUST NORTH OF INDY...WE HAVE A REPORTER THAT GOSE TO INDY ONCE A WK..
THEY R PULLIN PEOPLE OFF THE STEET TO PLAY,,WELL ALMOST...SO THERE R A LOT OF SPEED BUMPS FOR THE COLTS THIS WK,,BUT ANYTHING CAN HAPPEN ON ANY SUNDAY,,BOL...
PS..REMEMBER,,MANNING IS THE QT AND PLAY CALLER..
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IM JUST NORTH OF INDY...WE HAVE A REPORTER THAT GOSE TO INDY ONCE A WK..
THEY R PULLIN PEOPLE OFF THE STEET TO PLAY,,WELL ALMOST...SO THERE R A LOT OF SPEED BUMPS FOR THE COLTS THIS WK,,BUT ANYTHING CAN HAPPEN ON ANY SUNDAY,,BOL...
Going to try something different this week to try get going:
3 team 10 point teaser: Pittsburgh +13/Seattle +13/NY Giants pk
I talked about Pittsburgh earlier, this is a very big game for them and I'm not sold on the Pats. This game will probably be a battle and whoever scores last wins.
Cincinnati has won 3 games by 10 points this year and in all three needed late TD's (2 of which was defensive scores) to turn 3 point wins into 10 point wins. the Bengals are a nice story but sooner or later I think they come back to earth. Granted Seattle is bad (is it just me or does the league really suck this year?) but they always play tough at home. Not a good spot for the Bengals either traveling up there off a bye. Cincy was rolling before the bye, this could be a situation where the bye screws up their momentum. Seahawks get Lynch back for sure and Tavaris Jackson, Max Unger, and Zach Miller have resumed practicing and should play. +13 is plenty of points here.
The Giants seem to always be tooth and nail to win these games they are big favs in. But I think losing in the same situation to Seattle a couple weeks ago will be too fresh on their minds and they will be determined not to let it happen again. Miami is a mess. They had a win by the balls last week and miraculously coughed it up. The front office has reportedly called John Gruden and Bill Cowher and Sparano is all but done. They should give him a break and can him now instead of letting him embarrass himself the rest of the year and screw any potential job oppotunities down the line.
Washington +6
Talked about this earlier. I don't think there is much difference between these two teams except the Skins actually have a defense. Last week was the first time all year they allowed more than 21 points and they played 3 Top 11 offenses in the Giants, Cowboys, and Eagles. But if you look at the game last week they held Carolina to 9 in the first half but in the second half Cam Newton was making some unbelievable throws that really were impossible to defend. Everyone is aware of the Skins injuries but like I mentioned I don't think the Hightower injury is much, and neither is Santana Moss who stinks, they are better off playing a younger kid. Fletcher is a concern as is Trent Williams.
Buffalo has injuries too. Merriman was placed on IR today, their Pro Bowl NT has already been ruled out, and their LT is out and will be replaced by the LG making his first start at tackle against a Washington defense that leads the league in sacks. Let's not pretend one team comes in limping while the other is healthy, both teams have issues.
Another note is this game is being played in Toronto and the stadium is a dump. The crowds have been awful in all the Toronto games and there aren't too many Bills fans. There were more Dolphins, Jets, and Bears fans there the last three years. This is not anywhere near a home game for the Bills and they know it. Good read on the situation here, sounds like they aren't too happy. Buffalo has played 3 home games this year and they were all wild, entertaining wins in front of a raucous crowd. This "home" game in a dead atmosphere is going to seem like a massive disappointment compared to the earlier 3.
Somehow I will find my way onto the Rams again this week and will a little line movement will get involved in DAL/PHI as well.
GL
Love Indy as well. Debating a ML play.
Other side of PIT. 2u on NE -2.5 (-115) and 1u on the Ov. My instinct says NE with two weeks is deadly against a team I personally do consider to be over rated, but boy am I getting more and more nervous by the day...
But I wanted to talk about the Bills in T.o...
The other years when crowds have been low and not fully behind the bills are true, but IMO it was because the Bills were BAD teams those years. There are millions of Bills fans in southern Ontario (I'm not one) and I can pretty much guarantee this will be the best crowd or the to date this year. As your link pointed out the players may be unhappy with this game because of years past so going into the game it could be a disadvantage, but if the crowd is rukus and supportive I could see it giving them a boost after the first 5 min, they could be like "damn the crowd is behind us."
I have the Bills at -4 (-120) for 1u but I like the Skins if I can get a full 7 especially. The bills play close games, so I'm leaning on either buying off or putting two units on the skins plus the points. Or maybe a total play. Logic says under but my gut says Over.
Help me out here andy idk if I should be happy w/ 1u at a decent line or play around with the above
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Quote Originally Posted by andarmac99:
Going to try something different this week to try get going:
3 team 10 point teaser: Pittsburgh +13/Seattle +13/NY Giants pk
I talked about Pittsburgh earlier, this is a very big game for them and I'm not sold on the Pats. This game will probably be a battle and whoever scores last wins.
Cincinnati has won 3 games by 10 points this year and in all three needed late TD's (2 of which was defensive scores) to turn 3 point wins into 10 point wins. the Bengals are a nice story but sooner or later I think they come back to earth. Granted Seattle is bad (is it just me or does the league really suck this year?) but they always play tough at home. Not a good spot for the Bengals either traveling up there off a bye. Cincy was rolling before the bye, this could be a situation where the bye screws up their momentum. Seahawks get Lynch back for sure and Tavaris Jackson, Max Unger, and Zach Miller have resumed practicing and should play. +13 is plenty of points here.
The Giants seem to always be tooth and nail to win these games they are big favs in. But I think losing in the same situation to Seattle a couple weeks ago will be too fresh on their minds and they will be determined not to let it happen again. Miami is a mess. They had a win by the balls last week and miraculously coughed it up. The front office has reportedly called John Gruden and Bill Cowher and Sparano is all but done. They should give him a break and can him now instead of letting him embarrass himself the rest of the year and screw any potential job oppotunities down the line.
Washington +6
Talked about this earlier. I don't think there is much difference between these two teams except the Skins actually have a defense. Last week was the first time all year they allowed more than 21 points and they played 3 Top 11 offenses in the Giants, Cowboys, and Eagles. But if you look at the game last week they held Carolina to 9 in the first half but in the second half Cam Newton was making some unbelievable throws that really were impossible to defend. Everyone is aware of the Skins injuries but like I mentioned I don't think the Hightower injury is much, and neither is Santana Moss who stinks, they are better off playing a younger kid. Fletcher is a concern as is Trent Williams.
Buffalo has injuries too. Merriman was placed on IR today, their Pro Bowl NT has already been ruled out, and their LT is out and will be replaced by the LG making his first start at tackle against a Washington defense that leads the league in sacks. Let's not pretend one team comes in limping while the other is healthy, both teams have issues.
Another note is this game is being played in Toronto and the stadium is a dump. The crowds have been awful in all the Toronto games and there aren't too many Bills fans. There were more Dolphins, Jets, and Bears fans there the last three years. This is not anywhere near a home game for the Bills and they know it. Good read on the situation here, sounds like they aren't too happy. Buffalo has played 3 home games this year and they were all wild, entertaining wins in front of a raucous crowd. This "home" game in a dead atmosphere is going to seem like a massive disappointment compared to the earlier 3.
Somehow I will find my way onto the Rams again this week and will a little line movement will get involved in DAL/PHI as well.
GL
Love Indy as well. Debating a ML play.
Other side of PIT. 2u on NE -2.5 (-115) and 1u on the Ov. My instinct says NE with two weeks is deadly against a team I personally do consider to be over rated, but boy am I getting more and more nervous by the day...
But I wanted to talk about the Bills in T.o...
The other years when crowds have been low and not fully behind the bills are true, but IMO it was because the Bills were BAD teams those years. There are millions of Bills fans in southern Ontario (I'm not one) and I can pretty much guarantee this will be the best crowd or the to date this year. As your link pointed out the players may be unhappy with this game because of years past so going into the game it could be a disadvantage, but if the crowd is rukus and supportive I could see it giving them a boost after the first 5 min, they could be like "damn the crowd is behind us."
I have the Bills at -4 (-120) for 1u but I like the Skins if I can get a full 7 especially. The bills play close games, so I'm leaning on either buying off or putting two units on the skins plus the points. Or maybe a total play. Logic says under but my gut says Over.
Help me out here andy idk if I should be happy w/ 1u at a decent line or play around with the above
If I'm getting tired about hearing how Pittsburgh is old, New England owns them, and Pittsburgh has beat up on crap teams while losing bad to the only two goods teams they've played, then how must the Steelers feel?
I'll be the first to admit I was on the Pittsburgh is old and their defense can't stop a good offense train earlier in the year. I faded them against Baltimore and Houston and cashed both times. The problem with this is it is like the Falcons last week, everyone now thinks they are probably down, old, overrated, and can't beat good teams and as a result we see radically different lines. These two teams met less than a year ago and the line was PIT -4.5. Has the gap between these teams really increased by 7.5 points? I'm not sure. I don't think New England is as good as they were last year, their defense has taken some hits and some of the younger players who played last year have played pretty bad this year.
If I didn't know any better I'd say this was a statement game for the Steelers, but then again Tom Brady owns them, they are old, and can't beat good teams. But I'm sure you already knew that.
Just saw this post.
I'm not big for trends, you know that. But yesterday on a gut feeling grabbed NE -2.5. I've been up Pitt's ass the last few years. Love that squad, love their style, but thinking back over the last half decade or so, I have bet Pitt over NE on five different occasions. I think NE won and covered all 5. So it may not be "The Wire" sort of detective work on the play, but between that and NE's history off the bye(an obvious reflection of BB's coaching), I'm taking a shot with the Pats.
Also hit up Seattle +2, Giants -9.5, and Philly -3. Don't have time to talk them up but I am confident.
I know I haven't been around much in the threads this year. Part of it is you took a bit of a mini retirement(and I barely use Covers forums for anything else), but most of it is I have been out of work since June with an injury. I would say that 98% of any baseball and football capping is done from my desk at WORK, so being at home this whole season, my "routine" is off, and I no longer have those Mon-Fri 8 hours a day to pop off while I'm bored at work(when at home I like to do ANYTHING but be on the computer...well unless I'm jerking off). Anyway, I'm back to work in a week or two, and I look to contribute more.
GL this week Andy, and let this be the week you start to get back on track. I know what you are going through(do you remember that crazy run last year I had?). That bad streak CRUSHED my confidence and made me bet differently and thank Christ I got hot in the playoffs or I might still be fucked up mentally. Good start to this year and POOF that horseshit from Week 6-15 last year is forgotten like it never happened. My point is it happens to the best of us. No matter how good you are the gambling Gods will kick your ass once in awhile, and sometimes the game changes enough so it sometimes isn't so easy as it used to be. You are a mean motherfucking capper, better than your record shows, and I know by the playoffs you will be in the black, and by the Super Bowl up nicely(like every other year).
GET EM!
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Quote Originally Posted by andarmac99:
Someone talk to me about New England/Pittsburgh.
If I'm getting tired about hearing how Pittsburgh is old, New England owns them, and Pittsburgh has beat up on crap teams while losing bad to the only two goods teams they've played, then how must the Steelers feel?
I'll be the first to admit I was on the Pittsburgh is old and their defense can't stop a good offense train earlier in the year. I faded them against Baltimore and Houston and cashed both times. The problem with this is it is like the Falcons last week, everyone now thinks they are probably down, old, overrated, and can't beat good teams and as a result we see radically different lines. These two teams met less than a year ago and the line was PIT -4.5. Has the gap between these teams really increased by 7.5 points? I'm not sure. I don't think New England is as good as they were last year, their defense has taken some hits and some of the younger players who played last year have played pretty bad this year.
If I didn't know any better I'd say this was a statement game for the Steelers, but then again Tom Brady owns them, they are old, and can't beat good teams. But I'm sure you already knew that.
Just saw this post.
I'm not big for trends, you know that. But yesterday on a gut feeling grabbed NE -2.5. I've been up Pitt's ass the last few years. Love that squad, love their style, but thinking back over the last half decade or so, I have bet Pitt over NE on five different occasions. I think NE won and covered all 5. So it may not be "The Wire" sort of detective work on the play, but between that and NE's history off the bye(an obvious reflection of BB's coaching), I'm taking a shot with the Pats.
Also hit up Seattle +2, Giants -9.5, and Philly -3. Don't have time to talk them up but I am confident.
I know I haven't been around much in the threads this year. Part of it is you took a bit of a mini retirement(and I barely use Covers forums for anything else), but most of it is I have been out of work since June with an injury. I would say that 98% of any baseball and football capping is done from my desk at WORK, so being at home this whole season, my "routine" is off, and I no longer have those Mon-Fri 8 hours a day to pop off while I'm bored at work(when at home I like to do ANYTHING but be on the computer...well unless I'm jerking off). Anyway, I'm back to work in a week or two, and I look to contribute more.
GL this week Andy, and let this be the week you start to get back on track. I know what you are going through(do you remember that crazy run last year I had?). That bad streak CRUSHED my confidence and made me bet differently and thank Christ I got hot in the playoffs or I might still be fucked up mentally. Good start to this year and POOF that horseshit from Week 6-15 last year is forgotten like it never happened. My point is it happens to the best of us. No matter how good you are the gambling Gods will kick your ass once in awhile, and sometimes the game changes enough so it sometimes isn't so easy as it used to be. You are a mean motherfucking capper, better than your record shows, and I know by the playoffs you will be in the black, and by the Super Bowl up nicely(like every other year).
I'm not big for trends, you know that. But yesterday on a gut feeling grabbed NE -2.5. I've been up Pitt's ass the last few years. Love that squad, love their style, but thinking back over the last half decade or so, I have bet Pitt over NE on five different occasions. I think NE won and covered all 5. So it may not be "The Wire" sort of detective work on the play, but between that and NE's history off the bye(an obvious reflection of BB's coaching), I'm taking a shot with the Pats.
Also hit up Seattle +2, Giants -9.5, and Philly -3. Don't have time to talk them up but I am confident.
I know I haven't been around much in the threads this year. Part of it is you took a bit of a mini retirement(and I barely use Covers forums for anything else), but most of it is I have been out of work since June with an injury. I would say that 98% of any baseball and football capping is done from my desk at WORK, so being at home this whole season, my "routine" is off, and I no longer have those Mon-Fri 8 hours a day to pop off while I'm bored at work(when at home I like to do ANYTHING but be on the computer...well unless I'm jerking off). Anyway, I'm back to work in a week or two, and I look to contribute more.
GL this week Andy, and let this be the week you start to get back on track. I know what you are going through(do you remember that crazy run last year I had?). That bad streak CRUSHED my confidence and made me bet differently and thank Christ I got hot in the playoffs or I might still be fucked up mentally. Good start to this year and POOF that horseshit from Week 6-15 last year is forgotten like it never happened. My point is it happens to the best of us. No matter how good you are the gambling Gods will kick your ass once in awhile, and sometimes the game changes enough so it sometimes isn't so easy as it used to be. You are a mean motherfucking capper, better than your record shows, and I know by the playoffs you will be in the black, and by the Super Bowl up nicely(like every other year).
GET EM!
Thanks for the kind words man and you are right about a run like this, it is very tough on the mind. I like this card a lot which means I'll be paying the man again today. My style just isn't working in the NFL right now, I'm crushing CFB doing basically the same thing. I went 10-4 in the NFL preseason but the regular season has been a disaster. It's not as horrible as the 11-20 record suggests because of the nice preseason but still......
GL buddy.
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Quote Originally Posted by glyde69:
Just saw this post.
I'm not big for trends, you know that. But yesterday on a gut feeling grabbed NE -2.5. I've been up Pitt's ass the last few years. Love that squad, love their style, but thinking back over the last half decade or so, I have bet Pitt over NE on five different occasions. I think NE won and covered all 5. So it may not be "The Wire" sort of detective work on the play, but between that and NE's history off the bye(an obvious reflection of BB's coaching), I'm taking a shot with the Pats.
Also hit up Seattle +2, Giants -9.5, and Philly -3. Don't have time to talk them up but I am confident.
I know I haven't been around much in the threads this year. Part of it is you took a bit of a mini retirement(and I barely use Covers forums for anything else), but most of it is I have been out of work since June with an injury. I would say that 98% of any baseball and football capping is done from my desk at WORK, so being at home this whole season, my "routine" is off, and I no longer have those Mon-Fri 8 hours a day to pop off while I'm bored at work(when at home I like to do ANYTHING but be on the computer...well unless I'm jerking off). Anyway, I'm back to work in a week or two, and I look to contribute more.
GL this week Andy, and let this be the week you start to get back on track. I know what you are going through(do you remember that crazy run last year I had?). That bad streak CRUSHED my confidence and made me bet differently and thank Christ I got hot in the playoffs or I might still be fucked up mentally. Good start to this year and POOF that horseshit from Week 6-15 last year is forgotten like it never happened. My point is it happens to the best of us. No matter how good you are the gambling Gods will kick your ass once in awhile, and sometimes the game changes enough so it sometimes isn't so easy as it used to be. You are a mean motherfucking capper, better than your record shows, and I know by the playoffs you will be in the black, and by the Super Bowl up nicely(like every other year).
GET EM!
Thanks for the kind words man and you are right about a run like this, it is very tough on the mind. I like this card a lot which means I'll be paying the man again today. My style just isn't working in the NFL right now, I'm crushing CFB doing basically the same thing. I went 10-4 in the NFL preseason but the regular season has been a disaster. It's not as horrible as the 11-20 record suggests because of the nice preseason but still......
Good luck today bro. I agree with many of your thoughts; disagree completely on the colts though....not betting that game so I will be rooting for you nonetheless.
I am big today on the rams, cardinals, dolphins (made me sick to bet them really), and skins.
Glide- you are right guys who bet bad teams like myself and Andy haven't had the best results yet this year, but jumping off now.... Especially today is the absolute worst time to do so. There is always regression toward the mean, and with respect to bad teams, it usually begins in the second half of the season. I think the next few weeks will be the best time to bet some of these disgusting teams. Just my $0.02.
Good luck today everyone.
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Good luck today bro. I agree with many of your thoughts; disagree completely on the colts though....not betting that game so I will be rooting for you nonetheless.
I am big today on the rams, cardinals, dolphins (made me sick to bet them really), and skins.
Glide- you are right guys who bet bad teams like myself and Andy haven't had the best results yet this year, but jumping off now.... Especially today is the absolute worst time to do so. There is always regression toward the mean, and with respect to bad teams, it usually begins in the second half of the season. I think the next few weeks will be the best time to bet some of these disgusting teams. Just my $0.02.
Good luck today bro. I agree with many of your thoughts; disagree completely on the colts though....not betting that game so I will be rooting for you nonetheless.
I am big today on the rams, cardinals, dolphins (made me sick to bet them really), and skins.
Glide- you are right guys who bet bad teams like myself and Andy haven't had the best results yet this year, but jumping off now.... Especially today is the absolute worst time to do so. There is always regression toward the mean, and with respect to bad teams, it usually begins in the second half of the season. I think the next few weeks will be the best time to bet some of these disgusting teams. Just my $0.02.
Good luck today everyone.
I agree. I think the lines have gotten to the point where we see value and I also like the spots the Colts and Rams are in today. Not sure about Miami, they are a mess.
GL Niner.
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Quote Originally Posted by BigNiner:
Good luck today bro. I agree with many of your thoughts; disagree completely on the colts though....not betting that game so I will be rooting for you nonetheless.
I am big today on the rams, cardinals, dolphins (made me sick to bet them really), and skins.
Glide- you are right guys who bet bad teams like myself and Andy haven't had the best results yet this year, but jumping off now.... Especially today is the absolute worst time to do so. There is always regression toward the mean, and with respect to bad teams, it usually begins in the second half of the season. I think the next few weeks will be the best time to bet some of these disgusting teams. Just my $0.02.
Good luck today everyone.
I agree. I think the lines have gotten to the point where we see value and I also like the spots the Colts and Rams are in today. Not sure about Miami, they are a mess.
Wow. 30 seconds left in a 31-14 game. Breed gets sacked at the 40 yard line. Game over right? He calls a timeout. Then a 30 yard screen pass. Then fires ball after ball into the end zone and finally connects to fuck the last leg of a "shits and giggles" last leg of a 4 team under parlay I did. The fucking difference of a + 70 1pm and a +600 1pm. Unreal.
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Wow. 30 seconds left in a 31-14 game. Breed gets sacked at the 40 yard line. Game over right? He calls a timeout. Then a 30 yard screen pass. Then fires ball after ball into the end zone and finally connects to fuck the last leg of a "shits and giggles" last leg of a 4 team under parlay I did. The fucking difference of a + 70 1pm and a +600 1pm. Unreal.
Unreal. Just saw how Seattle fucked you out of that teaser. I thought I was mad when Carroll botched that drive before halftime, but that punt return then pk6 under 2 minutes? BRUTAL.
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Unreal. Just saw how Seattle fucked you out of that teaser. I thought I was mad when Carroll botched that drive before halftime, but that punt return then pk6 under 2 minutes? BRUTAL.
Unreal. Just saw how Seattle fucked you out of that teaser. I thought I was mad when Carroll botched that drive before halftime, but that punt return then pk6 under 2 minutes? BRUTAL.
that was a bad moose- I prob had the worst moose of the day though- NE +7.5 to finish off a 10-pt, Brady has the ball with 6 seconds left at their own 20 and he fumbles. Polumalu doesn't just fall on the ball to end the game- the buffoon illegally punches not 5 but 25 yards in the endzone and the Steelers get the safety to win by 8 in a play where Polumalu had no business doing anything but falling on the ball the game was over
FUCK I hate the Steelers
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Quote Originally Posted by glyde69:
Unreal. Just saw how Seattle fucked you out of that teaser. I thought I was mad when Carroll botched that drive before halftime, but that punt return then pk6 under 2 minutes? BRUTAL.
that was a bad moose- I prob had the worst moose of the day though- NE +7.5 to finish off a 10-pt, Brady has the ball with 6 seconds left at their own 20 and he fumbles. Polumalu doesn't just fall on the ball to end the game- the buffoon illegally punches not 5 but 25 yards in the endzone and the Steelers get the safety to win by 8 in a play where Polumalu had no business doing anything but falling on the ball the game was over
Unreal. Just saw how Seattle fucked you out of that teaser. I thought I was mad when Carroll botched that drive before halftime, but that punt return then pk6 under 2 minutes? BRUTAL.
Cincinnati had 378 return yards.
Seattle outgains em by 150+ but gives up two mammoth punt returns to not even cover the +13.
Another losing week. I might hit Philly in the 2nd half depending on the score, they are going to smash Dallas tonight. No chance they let up at 2-4 and at home on SNF. Their defensive line will beat up Romo in the 2nd half.
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Quote Originally Posted by glyde69:
Unreal. Just saw how Seattle fucked you out of that teaser. I thought I was mad when Carroll botched that drive before halftime, but that punt return then pk6 under 2 minutes? BRUTAL.
Cincinnati had 378 return yards.
Seattle outgains em by 150+ but gives up two mammoth punt returns to not even cover the +13.
Another losing week. I might hit Philly in the 2nd half depending on the score, they are going to smash Dallas tonight. No chance they let up at 2-4 and at home on SNF. Their defensive line will beat up Romo in the 2nd half.
that was a bad moose- I prob had the worst moose of the day though- NE +7.5 to finish off a 10-pt, Brady has the ball with 6 seconds left at their own 20 and he fumbles. Polumalu doesn't just fall on the ball to end the game- the buffoon illegally punches not 5 but 25 yards in the endzone and the Steelers get the safety to win by 8 in a play where Polumalu had no business doing anything but falling on the ball the game was over
FUCK I hate the Steelers
Holy shit man that is brutal.
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Quote Originally Posted by mtbaker:
that was a bad moose- I prob had the worst moose of the day though- NE +7.5 to finish off a 10-pt, Brady has the ball with 6 seconds left at their own 20 and he fumbles. Polumalu doesn't just fall on the ball to end the game- the buffoon illegally punches not 5 but 25 yards in the endzone and the Steelers get the safety to win by 8 in a play where Polumalu had no business doing anything but falling on the ball the game was over
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