🏈🏈🏈 “To BEt, or not to BEt, that is the question” ...Fubah2's risky bets

Quote Originally Posted by KellyM_1964:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by KellyM_1964: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Big losses backing the #1 seed at home......sigh.....oh well....just reloaded some funds at 2 of my books and onward we go   The 11 - 6 Chiefs (tied for 5th in the league) move on and if they get those LUCKY BREAKS again like they did today and in last year's SB, I think they win it AGAIN!I consider the game2 to be a coin flipper on the spread for sure..... but the ML a bit too high for a pre-game bet not knowing how each team is playing so I will waitWOW!  That was quick......7 - 0 Leos ML on NINERS plunges from -360 to -200 After that quick score it almost sounded like a partisan LIONS crowd! So whatdya think?  Will this be a repat of game #1?  Or do the odds of two top seeds going down at home make that unlikely? Difficult seeing NINERS coming back from this without some big lucky breaks....and we can't count on those happening just to one team only....   very unlikely now Agreed.  This is why I backed off making a pregame bet on a coinflipper.....and why I hedged my early bets! so whats the play for  second half ?  49ers ?

Quote Originally Posted by KellyM_1964:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by KellyM_1964: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Big losses backing the #1 seed at home......sigh.....oh well....just reloaded some funds at 2 of my books and onward we go   The 11 - 6 Chiefs (tied for 5th in the league) move on and if they get those LUCKY BREAKS again like they did today and in last year's SB, I think they win it AGAIN!I consider the game2 to be a coin flipper on the spread for sure..... but the ML a bit too high for a pre-game bet not knowing how each team is playing so I will waitWOW!  That was quick......7 - 0 Leos ML on NINERS plunges from -360 to -200 After that quick score it almost sounded like a partisan LIONS crowd! So whatdya think?  Will this be a repat of game #1?  Or do the odds of two top seeds going down at home make that unlikely? Difficult seeing NINERS coming back from this without some big lucky breaks....and we can't count on those happening just to one team only....   very unlikely now Agreed.  This is why I backed off making a pregame bet on a coinflipper.....and why I hedged my early bets! so whats the play for  second half ?  49ers ?

Quote Originally Posted by KellyM_1964:

Quote Originally Posted by KellyM_1964: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by KellyM_1964: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Big losses backing the #1 seed at home......sigh.....oh well....just reloaded some funds at 2 of my books and onward we go   The 11 - 6 Chiefs (tied for 5th in the league) move on and if they get those LUCKY BREAKS again like they did today and in last year's SB, I think they win it AGAIN!I consider the game2 to be a coin flipper on the spread for sure..... but the ML a bit too high for a pre-game bet not knowing how each team is playing so I will waitWOW!  That was quick......7 - 0 Leos ML on NINERS plunges from -360 to -200 After that quick score it almost sounded like a partisan LIONS crowd! So whatdya think?  Will this be a repat of game #1?  Or do the odds of two top seeds going down at home make that unlikely? Difficult seeing NINERS coming back from this without some big lucky breaks....and we can't count on those happening just to one team only....   very unlikely now Agreed.  This is why I backed off making a pregame bet on a coinflipper.....and why I hedged my early bets! so whats the play for  second half ?  49ers ?  big comeback

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by KellyM_1964: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by KellyM_1964: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Big losses backing the #1 seed at home......sigh.....oh well....just reloaded some funds at 2 of my books and onward we go   The 11 - 6 Chiefs (tied for 5th in the league) move on and if they get those LUCKY BREAKS again like they did today and in last year's SB, I think they win it AGAIN!I consider the game2 to be a coin flipper on the spread for sure..... but the ML a bit too high for a pre-game bet not knowing how each team is playing so I will waitWOW!  That was quick......7 - 0 Leos ML on NINERS plunges from -360 to -200 After that quick score it almost sounded like a partisan LIONS crowd! So whatdya think?  Will this be a repat of game #1?  Or do the odds of two top seeds going down at home make that unlikely? Difficult seeing NINERS coming back from this without some big lucky breaks....and we can't count on those happening just to one team only....   very unlikely now Agreed.  This is why I backed off making a pregame bet on a coinflipper.....and why I hedged my early bets! so whats the play for  second half ?  49ers ? Possibly, but not now....the moneyline is too steep given the current level of play....3rdQ early, 24 - 10...LIVE BET: Team to make 7th score, DET -400 3uOhh Campbell you ass!   LIONS had a FG in their pocket to go up 3 scores.....but he gambles on 2 full yards and of course loses....LUCKY BREAK for NINERS they didn't kick the FG..... Now SF has life if they can score this Q.... BIG LUCKY BREAK on a fluke catch for NINERSDetroit lead only by 7 now....LIVE BET:  NINERS +7.5 -350 *BB 10u Score tied...UNBELIEVABLE!  WTF?  17 pt lead gone....although they would still be up 3 had Campbell elected to kick the FG before SF marched down to score their first TD of 3Q.... late 3Q LIVE BET SF -270 *BB 10u  and Team to make 9th score, SF -334 *BB 5u

Quote Originally Posted by KellyM_1964:

Quote Originally Posted by KellyM_1964: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by KellyM_1964: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Big losses backing the #1 seed at home......sigh.....oh well....just reloaded some funds at 2 of my books and onward we go   The 11 - 6 Chiefs (tied for 5th in the league) move on and if they get those LUCKY BREAKS again like they did today and in last year's SB, I think they win it AGAIN!I consider the game2 to be a coin flipper on the spread for sure..... but the ML a bit too high for a pre-game bet not knowing how each team is playing so I will waitWOW!  That was quick......7 - 0 Leos ML on NINERS plunges from -360 to -200 After that quick score it almost sounded like a partisan LIONS crowd! So whatdya think?  Will this be a repat of game #1?  Or do the odds of two top seeds going down at home make that unlikely? Difficult seeing NINERS coming back from this without some big lucky breaks....and we can't count on those happening just to one team only....   very unlikely now Agreed.  This is why I backed off making a pregame bet on a coinflipper.....and why I hedged my early bets! so whats the play for  second half ?  49ers ?  big comeback

Quote Originally Posted by KellyM_1964:

Quote Originally Posted by KellyM_1964: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by KellyM_1964: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Big losses backing the #1 seed at home......sigh.....oh well....just reloaded some funds at 2 of my books and onward we go   The 11 - 6 Chiefs (tied for 5th in the league) move on and if they get those LUCKY BREAKS again like they did today and in last year's SB, I think they win it AGAIN!I consider the game2 to be a coin flipper on the spread for sure..... but the ML a bit too high for a pre-game bet not knowing how each team is playing so I will waitWOW!  That was quick......7 - 0 Leos ML on NINERS plunges from -360 to -200 After that quick score it almost sounded like a partisan LIONS crowd! So whatdya think?  Will this be a repat of game #1?  Or do the odds of two top seeds going down at home make that unlikely? Difficult seeing NINERS coming back from this without some big lucky breaks....and we can't count on those happening just to one team only....   very unlikely now Agreed.  This is why I backed off making a pregame bet on a coinflipper.....and why I hedged my early bets! so whats the play for  second half ?  49ers ?  big comeback

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Previous CONFERENCE games with lines on a HOME FAV at a TD similar to what the NINERS line is today: 2021 -  KC -7.0   LOSE  + FAIL (in OT)2019 -  KC -7.0    win + cover2017 -  NE -7.5    win  but FAIL2014 -  NE -7.0    win + cover2012 -  NE -7.5   LOSE  + FAIL2011 -  NE -7.0    win but FAIL2007 -  GB -7.5   LOSE  + FAIL All above since 2002...

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Previous CONFERENCE games with lines on a HOME FAV at a TD similar to what the NINERS line is today: 2021 -  KC -7.0   LOSE  + FAIL (in OT)2019 -  KC -7.0    win + cover2017 -  NE -7.5    win  but FAIL2014 -  NE -7.0    win + cover2012 -  NE -7.5   LOSE  + FAIL2011 -  NE -7.0    win but FAIL2007 -  GB -7.5   LOSE  + FAIL All above since 2002...   Previous CONFERENCE games (season) with lines on a HOME FAV at a TD similar to what the NINERS line is today:   2023 -  SF  -7.5   win but FAIL  ---> home favs of a TD only 2 - 6 ATS 2021 -  KC -7.0   LOSE  + FAIL (in OT)2019 -  KC -7.0    win + cover2017 -  NE -7.5    win  but FAIL2014 -  NE -7.0    win + cover2012 -  NE -7.5   LOSE  + FAIL2011 -  NE -7.0    win but FAIL2007 -  GB -7.5   LOSE  + FAIL All above since 2002...

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

It's Super-Duper Bowl time again   ...and that means fun props!    So many to choose. What looks good? Anytime touchdowns for Aiyuk, Samuel, Jennings, and Kittle all offer PLUS MONEY!

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: It's Super-Duper Bowl time again   ...and that means fun props!    So many to choose. What looks good? Anytime touchdowns for Aiyuk, Samuel, Jennings, and Kittle all offer PLUS MONEY! Early 1st Q  NINERS ball and driving....and sure enough the CHIEFS get the first BIG LUCKY BREAK of the day with a fumble recovery surrounded by Niners players!   As many will recall it was a HUGE LUCKY BREAK going to the CHIEFS (on 2 UNforced errors on the same play by the Eagles) which flipped the game and ultimately won the game for KC....

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: It's Super-Duper Bowl time again   ...and that means fun props!    So many to choose. What looks good? Anytime touchdowns for Aiyuk, Samuel, Jennings, and Kittle all offer PLUS MONEY! Early 1st Q  NINERS ball and driving....and sure enough the CHIEFS get the first BIG LUCKY BREAK of the day with a fumble recovery surrounded by Niners players!   As many will recall it was a HUGE LUCKY BREAK going to the CHIEFS (on 2 UNforced errors on the same play by the Eagles) which flipped the game and ultimately won the game for KC....

Quote Originally Posted by Europa:

@fubah2 It's about time for some actions, good luck Fubah!

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: It's Super-Duper Bowl time again   ...and that means fun props!    So many to choose. What looks good? Anytime touchdowns for Aiyuk, Samuel, Jennings, and Kittle all offer PLUS MONEY! Early 1st Q  NINERS ball and driving....and sure enough the CHIEFS get the first BIG LUCKY BREAK of the day with a fumble recovery surrounded by Niners players!   As many will recall it was a HUGE LUCKY BREAK going to the CHIEFS (on 2 UNforced errors on the same play by the Eagles) which flipped the game and ultimately won the game for KC....

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: It's Super-Duper Bowl time again   ...and that means fun props!    So many to choose. What looks good? Anytime touchdowns for Aiyuk, Samuel, Jennings, and Kittle all offer PLUS MONEY! Early 1st Q  NINERS ball and driving....and sure enough the CHIEFS get the first BIG LUCKY BREAK of the day with a fumble recovery surrounded by Niners players!   As many will recall it was a HUGE LUCKY BREAK going to the CHIEFS (on 2 UNforced errors on the same play by the Eagles) which flipped the game and ultimately won the game for KC....Scoreless 1stQ....unusual.... early 2Q SF lead 3 - 0 ....CHIEFS 3rd drive having done nothing but 16 yards so far......deep pass to set up at the 9 yard line!!!

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: It's Super-Duper Bowl time again   ...and that means fun props!    So many to choose. What looks good? Anytime touchdowns for Aiyuk, Samuel, Jennings, and Kittle all offer PLUS MONEY! Early 1st Q  NINERS ball and driving....and sure enough the CHIEFS get the first BIG LUCKY BREAK of the day with a fumble recovery surrounded by Niners players!   As many will recall it was a HUGE LUCKY BREAK going to the CHIEFS (on 2 UNforced errors on the same play by the Eagles) which flipped the game and ultimately won the game for KC....Scoreless 1stQ....unusual.... early 2Q SF lead 3 - 0 ....CHIEFS 3rd drive having done nothing but 16 yards so far......deep pass to set up at the 9 yard line!!!

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: It's Super-Duper Bowl time again   ...and that means fun props!    So many to choose. What looks good? Anytime touchdowns for Aiyuk, Samuel, Jennings, and Kittle all offer PLUS MONEY! Early 1st Q  NINERS ball and driving....and sure enough the CHIEFS get the first BIG LUCKY BREAK of the day with a fumble recovery surrounded by Niners players!   As many will recall it was a HUGE LUCKY BREAK going to the CHIEFS (on 2 UNforced errors on the same play by the Eagles) which flipped the game and ultimately won the game for KC....Scoreless 1stQ....unusual.... early 2Q SF lead 3 - 0 ....CHIEFS 3rd drive having done nothing but 16 yards so far......deep pass to set up at the 9 yard line!!! SF Greenlaw hurt and OUT      .....another LUCKY BREAK goes to KC...... Niners D was looking very good to that point.....

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: It's Super-Duper Bowl time again   ...and that means fun props!    So many to choose. What looks good? Anytime touchdowns for Aiyuk, Samuel, Jennings, and Kittle all offer PLUS MONEY! Early 1st Q  NINERS ball and driving....and sure enough the CHIEFS get the first BIG LUCKY BREAK of the day with a fumble recovery surrounded by Niners players!   As many will recall it was a HUGE LUCKY BREAK going to the CHIEFS (on 2 UNforced errors on the same play by the Eagles) which flipped the game and ultimately won the game for KC....Scoreless 1stQ....unusual.... early 2Q SF lead 3 - 0 ....CHIEFS 3rd drive having done nothing but 16 yards so far......deep pass to set up at the 9 yard line!!!And they fumble to the Niners...... BIG LUCKY BREAKS are now  EVEN at one each.

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: It's Super-Duper Bowl time again   ...and that means fun props!    So many to choose. What looks good? Anytime touchdowns for Aiyuk, Samuel, Jennings, and Kittle all offer PLUS MONEY! Early 1st Q  NINERS ball and driving....and sure enough the CHIEFS get the first BIG LUCKY BREAK of the day with a fumble recovery surrounded by Niners players!   As many will recall it was a HUGE LUCKY BREAK going to the CHIEFS (on 2 UNforced errors on the same play by the Eagles) which flipped the game and ultimately won the game for KC....Scoreless 1stQ....unusual.... early 2Q SF lead 3 - 0 ....CHIEFS 3rd drive having done nothing but 16 yards so far......deep pass to set up at the 9 yard line!!!And they fumble to the Niners...... BIG LUCKY BREAKS are now  EVEN at one each.But we could argue that the NINERS benefitted directly much more from their LUCKY BREAK because it prevented an almost certain KC score of some kind at the 9 yard line....

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: It's Super-Duper Bowl time again   ...and that means fun props!    So many to choose. What looks good? Anytime touchdowns for Aiyuk, Samuel, Jennings, and Kittle all offer PLUS MONEY! Early 1st Q  NINERS ball and driving....and sure enough the CHIEFS get the first BIG LUCKY BREAK of the day with a fumble recovery surrounded by Niners players!   As many will recall it was a HUGE LUCKY BREAK going to the CHIEFS (on 2 UNforced errors on the same play by the Eagles) which flipped the game and ultimately won the game for KC....Scoreless 1stQ....unusual.... early 2Q SF lead 3 - 0 ....CHIEFS 3rd drive having done nothing but 16 yards so far......deep pass to set up at the 9 yard line!!!And they fumble to the Niners...... BIG LUCKY BREAKS are now  EVEN at one each.But we could argue that the NINERS benefitted directly much more from their LUCKY BREAK because it prevented an almost certain KC score of some kind at the 9 yard line....Obviously the Ds are dominating this half......what will the 2H look like??  The same?

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: It's Super-Duper Bowl time again   ...and that means fun props!    So many to choose. What looks good? Anytime touchdowns for Aiyuk, Samuel, Jennings, and Kittle all offer PLUS MONEY! Early 1st Q  NINERS ball and driving....and sure enough the CHIEFS get the first BIG LUCKY BREAK of the day with a fumble recovery surrounded by Niners players!   As many will recall it was a HUGE LUCKY BREAK going to the CHIEFS (on 2 UNforced errors on the same play by the Eagles) which flipped the game and ultimately won the game for KC....Scoreless 1stQ....unusual.... early 2Q SF lead 3 - 0 ....CHIEFS 3rd drive having done nothing but 16 yards so far......deep pass to set up at the 9 yard line!!!And they fumble to the Niners...... BIG LUCKY BREAKS are now  EVEN at one each.But we could argue that the NINERS benefitted directly much more from their LUCKY BREAK because it prevented an almost certain KC score of some kind at the 9 yard line....Obviously the Ds are dominating this half......what will the 2H look like??  The same?

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: It's Super-Duper Bowl time again   ...and that means fun props!    So many to choose. What looks good? Anytime touchdowns for Aiyuk, Samuel, Jennings, and Kittle all offer PLUS MONEY! Early 1st Q  NINERS ball and driving....and sure enough the CHIEFS get the first BIG LUCKY BREAK of the day with a fumble recovery surrounded by Niners players!   As many will recall it was a HUGE LUCKY BREAK going to the CHIEFS (on 2 UNforced errors on the same play by the Eagles) which flipped the game and ultimately won the game for KC....Scoreless 1stQ....unusual.... early 2Q SF lead 3 - 0 ....CHIEFS 3rd drive having done nothing but 16 yards so far......deep pass to set up at the 9 yard line!!! SF Greenlaw hurt and OUT      .....another LUCKY BREAK goes to KC...... Niners D was looking very good to that point.....