Still looking into some things, but did want to drop some interesting info
As a favorite of 7 or more Prescott led cowboys are 22-3SU -- so this is probably a good moneyline or teaser spot for them
ATS that number drops to 10-14-1 -- so probably not a good idea to back them on the spread... although im not rushing to the counter to back a tampa team that has not covered like 13 straight? and starting an undrafted rookie so pass on any side
Be back if i see any worthwhile props today
So far no plays, just some info that they usually do win in this spot pretty reliably
To remove first post, remove entire topic.
+5.45U YTD NFL
Still looking into some things, but did want to drop some interesting info
As a favorite of 7 or more Prescott led cowboys are 22-3SU -- so this is probably a good moneyline or teaser spot for them
ATS that number drops to 10-14-1 -- so probably not a good idea to back them on the spread... although im not rushing to the counter to back a tampa team that has not covered like 13 straight? and starting an undrafted rookie so pass on any side
Be back if i see any worthwhile props today
So far no plays, just some info that they usually do win in this spot pretty reliably
If you can get this at 6ish Dallas actually covers that number much more frequent 19-9-1 ATS
So if say TB gets out to a fg lead and you can grab Dallas @ 5.5/6 that might be a good spot to enter the market at since they are covering those clips pretty handily in these types of games
Oh, and some maybe in-game stuff
If you can get this at 6ish Dallas actually covers that number much more frequent 19-9-1 ATS
So if say TB gets out to a fg lead and you can grab Dallas @ 5.5/6 that might be a good spot to enter the market at since they are covering those clips pretty handily in these types of games
Total wise -- dallas favored by 7 or more @ home has gone over, 9-0ATS in last nine... very tempting but im not a big totals guy. Good info to know though
Total wise -- dallas favored by 7 or more @ home has gone over, 9-0ATS in last nine... very tempting but im not a big totals guy. Good info to know though
3.15/3 -- Ceedee Lamb o85 Yards -- 54% of the time when dak is blitzed he tosses it to lamb. Tampa has a top 5 blitz rate in the nfl. Tampa run defense is stout 3.2 ypc. Game script is good for a lamb spot. I did an escalator up to 150 receiving for him but ill just list the basic over
3.3/3 Godwin o32 Yards -- Cowboys boast a fierce #32 pass defense in the nfl and allow a terrifying 122.7 passer rating to opposing qbs. Hey, maybe even an undrafted lamar-lite qb can look decent tonight vs that. Cowboys underneath and middle of the field is especially vulnerable so im attacking that part of the props on the Tampa side. Given that game says they should be trailing and in passing script it helps these props
2.2/2 Cade Otton o30 Yards -- See above -- dallas is avrging 6.5 catches and 68.3 yards to TEs
Some leans that almost made the card -- Over daniels passing yards, Williams under rushing(tb is allowing 3.2 yards a carry -- just worried if they get up big he could get a lot of carries so the script doesn't love this play).
RISK/WIN
3.15/3 -- Ceedee Lamb o85 Yards -- 54% of the time when dak is blitzed he tosses it to lamb. Tampa has a top 5 blitz rate in the nfl. Tampa run defense is stout 3.2 ypc. Game script is good for a lamb spot. I did an escalator up to 150 receiving for him but ill just list the basic over
3.3/3 Godwin o32 Yards -- Cowboys boast a fierce #32 pass defense in the nfl and allow a terrifying 122.7 passer rating to opposing qbs. Hey, maybe even an undrafted lamar-lite qb can look decent tonight vs that. Cowboys underneath and middle of the field is especially vulnerable so im attacking that part of the props on the Tampa side. Given that game says they should be trailing and in passing script it helps these props
2.2/2 Cade Otton o30 Yards -- See above -- dallas is avrging 6.5 catches and 68.3 yards to TEs
Some leans that almost made the card -- Over daniels passing yards, Williams under rushing(tb is allowing 3.2 yards a carry -- just worried if they get up big he could get a lot of carries so the script doesn't love this play).
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