All Forums | NFL Betting Forum

Thursday Night Over the Moon Play!

...

Participants:

Posts: 121

St2ee

Captain

Joined: Apr, 2010

Posts: 7947

Posted: Dec. 3, 2015 - 3:34 PM ET #1

This is as close to a Titan play without actually being one that I will ever make. The only thing keeping it from such, is a banged up O-line that cannot afford another early in-game injury. This is still the Lions people. The Lions. This is still Aaron Rogers in a prime time game, coming off a home loss on Turkey day the previous week. Betting anything other than the Pack in this spot is financial suicide. Please just use your money to start a campfire and keep warm. Do not over think this one. Lions have been hot, Packers not. The line is what it should be. It will change rapidly after the first drive. Get it now.

Packers -2.5

gambler1976

Prospect

Joined: Nov, 2015

Posts: 57

Posted: Dec. 3, 2015 - 3:41 PM ET #2

You keep adding those circles.:) that's really funny. I see Detroit winning this close game. Vegas knows it as well. Public is heavily on packers but line moved all the way from 5.5 to 2.5.

I m going big on Detroit money line.

WilliamMunny

Veteran

Joined: Feb, 2005

Posts: 4251

Posted: Dec. 3, 2015 - 3:43 PM ET #3

Two teams going in opposite directions. I could care less if it's Arron Rodgers or what uniform they wear. This is easy money Detroit big .. Even Vegas realizes how dumb the public is

gambler1976

Prospect

Joined: Nov, 2015

Posts: 57

Posted: Dec. 3, 2015 - 3:44 PM ET #4

Think on this angle. Detroit has nothing to lose. No more fear for anything. Their season is over. But they hate packers like anything. So they give it everything and more physical to affect packers chance.

DrJohn3719

Veteran

Joined: Oct, 2015

Posts: 1047

Posted: Dec. 3, 2015 - 3:44 PM ET #5

Quote Originally Posted by gambler1976:

You keep adding those circles.:) that's really funny. I see Detroit winning this close game. Vegas knows it as well. Public is heavily on packers but line moved all the way from 5.5 to 2.5.

I m going big on Detroit money line.

5.5 was the advance line. This one opened at 3.5. Nevertheless, it is now 2 at the sharper books.

JoeyTwoTimes

Prospect

Joined: Dec, 2014

Posts: 31

Posted: Dec. 3, 2015 - 3:49 PM ET #6

I dont know its a tough call but you all realize you are betting again Aaron Rogers in a prime time division game right? The packers will give it everythng they got to get back on track.

Lions with 3 games and all of a sudden everyone is counting on them to beat one of the best QBs of our lifetime.

Gotta say Packers here. You'll only lose if they win by 1 or 2 pts. Slim chances.

Good luck to all....

DrJohn3719

Veteran

Joined: Oct, 2015

Posts: 1047

Posted: Dec. 3, 2015 - 3:54 PM ET #7

Quote Originally Posted by JoeyTwoTimes:

I dont know its a tough call but you all realize you are betting again Aaron Rogers in a prime time division game right? The packers will give it everythng they got to get back on track.

Lions with 3 games and all of a sudden everyone is counting on them to beat one of the best QBs of our lifetime.

Gotta say Packers here. You'll only lose if they win by 1 or 2 pts. Slim chances.

Good luck to all....

sophist!!!

Is this to imply they haven't been giving it there all in games leading up to this?

mafia13

Veteran

Joined: Sep, 2013

Posts: 1415

Posted: Dec. 3, 2015 - 3:55 PM ET #8

pack

vankiep_0007

Hall of Fame

Joined: Oct, 2008

Posts: 24569

Posted: Dec. 3, 2015 - 3:55 PM ET #9

Gl tonight Bro

St2ee

Captain

Joined: Apr, 2010

Posts: 7947

Posted: Dec. 3, 2015 - 3:56 PM ET #10

Thanks for the advice guys!

Perhaps you have mistaken me for someone who loses big plays

Heatcheck

Prospect

Joined: Jan, 2015

Posts: 491

Posted: Dec. 3, 2015 - 4:09 PM ET #11

really hate to see you on the packers tonight because i was leaning lions since public was all over the packers. But you are a very good capper so I might just sit this one out. Maybe. Either way good luck.

St2ee

Captain

Joined: Apr, 2010

Posts: 7947

Posted: Dec. 3, 2015 - 4:16 PM ET #12

Quote Originally Posted by Heatcheck:

really hate to see you on the packers tonight because i was leaning lions since public was all over the packers. But you are a very good capper so I might just sit this one out. Maybe. Either way good luck.

I appreciate the sentiments. Thanks.

Remember one thing heat check, the public wins at an alarming rate. Public sides...or believed to be public sides, win more than most people think. It's really a 5% difference when it boils down to real numbers. If the public never won, no one would gamble.

No_FUN_League

Prospect

Joined: Nov, 2008

Posts: 216

Posted: Dec. 3, 2015 - 4:17 PM ET #13

Quote Originally Posted by St2ee:

Thanks for the advice guys!

Perhaps you have mistaken me for someone who loses big plays

Well said bud!

NinjaNight

Captain

Joined: Sep, 2015

Posts: 5206

Posted: Dec. 3, 2015 - 4:24 PM ET #14

Agree St2ee the Packers will be gold tonight

On a quest to be the very best

JoeyTwoTimes

Prospect

Joined: Dec, 2014

Posts: 31

Posted: Dec. 3, 2015 - 4:28 PM ET #15

Quote Originally Posted by DrJohn3719:

sophist!!!

Is this to imply they haven't been giving it there all in games leading up to this?

No I am implying that when their season is pretty much on the line I will take a superbowl MVP QB over Stafford who up until the past few games has a proven CHOKING track record.

DrJohn3719

Veteran

Joined: Oct, 2015

Posts: 1047

Posted: Dec. 3, 2015 - 4:34 PM ET #16

Quote Originally Posted by JoeyTwoTimes:

No I am implying that when their season is pretty much on the line I will take a superbowl MVP QB over Stafford who up until the past few games has a proven CHOKING track record.

Their season has been on the line every game...Aaron Rodgers knows this. They haven't won when they needed to, hence why they're in this position. Look for the trend to continue tonight.

melossinglet

Banned

Joined: Jan, 2013

Posts: 15769

Posted: Dec. 3, 2015 - 4:40 PM ET #17

wmi799

Banned

Joined: Mar, 2010

Posts: 33652

Posted: Dec. 3, 2015 - 4:42 PM ET #18

I always laugh at the "Vegas knows blah blah" crap people post. Simply amazes me people use this spiel

Good luck on the play St2ee

Histrionic personality disorder. It's sad

nwcrazy

Veteran

Joined: Dec, 2008

Posts: 1916

Posted: Dec. 3, 2015 - 4:51 PM ET #19

Quote Originally Posted by DrJohn3719:

5.5 was the advance line. This one opened at 3.5. Nevertheless, it is now 2 at the sharper books.

That's EXACTLY how I saw it. I can't see the public winning this one.

Detroit +2.5

saigonbynight

Captain

Joined: Dec, 2010

Posts: 8681

Posted: Dec. 3, 2015 - 4:52 PM ET #20

If you look at line, you pick det but look at situation, you pick GB, GB lost at home to Det but favor on the road. Det should favor this game

naesiy

Veteran

Joined: Dec, 2010

Posts: 2005

Posted: Dec. 3, 2015 - 4:52 PM ET #21

Quote Originally Posted by JoeyTwoTimes:

I dont know its a tough call but you all realize you are betting again Aaron Rogers in a prime time division game right? The packers will give it everythng they got to get back on track.

Lions with 3 games and all of a sudden everyone is counting on them to beat one of the best QBs of our lifetime.

Gotta say Packers here. You'll only lose if they win by 1 or 2 pts. Slim chances.

Good luck to all....

Umm, didn't the lions already do that in those said 3 games BUT @ Lambeau?

naesiy

Veteran

Joined: Dec, 2010

Posts: 2005

Posted: Dec. 3, 2015 - 4:55 PM ET #22

Quote Originally Posted by St2ee:

I appreciate the sentiments. Thanks.

Across the board, yes. But when you narrow that figure down to prime time (or standalone, TNF/SNF/MNF) games that feature a HEAVY public favorite, I'd take a guess that that 5% difference isn't even close to reality.