Fade Browns (8-5-0 +$2730): Patriots -9 [-102] $1020 to win 1000
Fade Bills (8-6-0 +$1780)
Fade Browns (9-5-0 +$3730)
At best you will finish .500 and lose on the juice. Pinpointing 2 teams like this can be good but you need to know when to jump to the other side based on home team/matchups and other factors. Good Luck, you will need it.
At best you will finish .500 and lose on the juice. Pinpointing 2 teams like this can be good but you need to know when to jump to the other side based on home team/matchups and other factors. Good Luck, you will need it.
OK. I read the whole thread. I guess you get credit for doubling up on the KC bet, but the bottom line is this is a really stupid strategy.
Given the choice between playing both of these teams every week and fading them both each week , I would play them....and it wouldn't be a remotely close decision.
There is a whole lot of parity in this league. The difference between the good and bad teams is nowhere near as large as people seem to think and the value bet is often on the "bad" team.
You mention several times that if the Browns were to start winning, you might switch your bets. By that point the lines would have adjusted as well and the value bet might actually be fading them.
You'd be doing the exact wrong thing twice.
Honestly, people might think I'm insane but I'd rather fade the Colts the whole year than the Browns.
OK. I read the whole thread. I guess you get credit for doubling up on the KC bet, but the bottom line is this is a really stupid strategy.
Given the choice between playing both of these teams every week and fading them both each week , I would play them....and it wouldn't be a remotely close decision.
There is a whole lot of parity in this league. The difference between the good and bad teams is nowhere near as large as people seem to think and the value bet is often on the "bad" team.
You mention several times that if the Browns were to start winning, you might switch your bets. By that point the lines would have adjusted as well and the value bet might actually be fading them.
You'd be doing the exact wrong thing twice.
Honestly, people might think I'm insane but I'd rather fade the Colts the whole year than the Browns.
Time to stop fading the Browns, or you my friend will end up looking like a clown
WOOOF WOOOF WOOOOOF WOOOOOF WOOOOOF WOOOOOF WOOOOF WOOOF
WOOOF WOOOF WOOOOOF WOOOOOF WOOOOOF WOOOOOF WOOOOF WOOOF
Time to stop fading the Browns, or you my friend will end up looking like a clown
WOOOF WOOOF WOOOOOF WOOOOOF WOOOOOF WOOOOOF WOOOOF WOOOF
WOOOF WOOOF WOOOOOF WOOOOOF WOOOOOF WOOOOOF WOOOOF WOOOF
This thread should have been called fade Browns since the Bills were
8-7-1 ATS this year....
You did skip one week when both teams covered as well.
That being said, you did good work and I deserve the idiot comment. Not a hater, just personally don't believe in this approach. But whatever works for you.
Glad you won some money this year.![]()
This thread should have been called fade Browns since the Bills were
8-7-1 ATS this year....
You did skip one week when both teams covered as well.
That being said, you did good work and I deserve the idiot comment. Not a hater, just personally don't believe in this approach. But whatever works for you.
Glad you won some money this year.![]()
Nevertheless, nice job. Glad made some nice money this season ![]()
Nevertheless, nice job. Glad made some nice money this season ![]()

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