@DeeDragoN
Detroit did for a while
Is it true that favorites usually have covered this current century on Thanksgiving day? Somehow my memory is telling me that.
I just found this little jewel doing a quick search:
Favorites have historically dominated on Thanksgiving. Since 2004, favorites on Thanksgiving are 51-9 straight up (SU) and 40-20 against the spread. In the Wild Card era (since 1990), favorites of 7 points or more on Thanksgiving are 30-5 SU and 25-10 ATS, with the Ravens fitting that bill this week.
https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-thanksgiving-betting-trends-stats-notes-action-network-betting-primer-2025
Is it true that favorites usually have covered this current century on Thanksgiving day? Somehow my memory is telling me that.
I just found this little jewel doing a quick search:
Favorites have historically dominated on Thanksgiving. Since 2004, favorites on Thanksgiving are 51-9 straight up (SU) and 40-20 against the spread. In the Wild Card era (since 1990), favorites of 7 points or more on Thanksgiving are 30-5 SU and 25-10 ATS, with the Ravens fitting that bill this week.
https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-thanksgiving-betting-trends-stats-notes-action-network-betting-primer-2025
I like Philly and went ahead and grabbed the -6.5.
I also played Isiah Likely o23.5 rec yds since Cincy is historically bad against the TE. Same as I did Sunday with Hunter Henry. Mark Andrews is in the mid 30s, I'd rather go with the more athletic run after catch guy who should get more work too bc Cincy is actually pretty good against WRs so expect Flowers to have a down game
I like Philly and went ahead and grabbed the -6.5.
I also played Isiah Likely o23.5 rec yds since Cincy is historically bad against the TE. Same as I did Sunday with Hunter Henry. Mark Andrews is in the mid 30s, I'd rather go with the more athletic run after catch guy who should get more work too bc Cincy is actually pretty good against WRs so expect Flowers to have a down game
away favorites since 2004 :
24-1 SU
19-6 ATS
play on KC
https://gimmethedog.com/NFL?q=1122%3C%3Dint(str(date)%5B4%3A%5D)%3C%3D1128%20and%20day%3DThursday%20and%20AF%20and%20season%3E2003%20%20
home favorites just 20-15 ats during that time. the big money maker are away favorites
away favorites since 2004 :
24-1 SU
19-6 ATS
play on KC
https://gimmethedog.com/NFL?q=1122%3C%3Dint(str(date)%5B4%3A%5D)%3C%3D1128%20and%20day%3DThursday%20and%20AF%20and%20season%3E2003%20%20
home favorites just 20-15 ats during that time. the big money maker are away favorites
It was inevitable that the 7 wouldn't last after what transpired on Sunday.
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It was inevitable that the 7 wouldn't last after what transpired on Sunday.
![]()
There could be an adverse effect by being in cruise control last week vs the Vikings. They faced a QB who is not NFL caliber. Now have to face Goff otr on short rest. Food for thought
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There could be an adverse effect by being in cruise control last week vs the Vikings. They faced a QB who is not NFL caliber. Now have to face Goff otr on short rest. Food for thought
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Honest question, the spread is -6.5(-120) and -7 at most books. Do you think this is a Burrow # or a Flacco #?
Or neither, the books might have it in the middle and wait for the news?
Honest question, the spread is -6.5(-120) and -7 at most books. Do you think this is a Burrow # or a Flacco #?
Or neither, the books might have it in the middle and wait for the news?
His response was to my question in the opening post, if there were any trends against teams playing the weekend before Thanksgiving.
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His response was to my question in the opening post, if there were any trends against teams playing the weekend before Thanksgiving.
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I think that if Burrow is announced the starter, the line will be 6.
The look ahead was 7.5, that had to of been assuming Flacco. Now it's bouncing between 6.5 and 7.
So the Burrow anticipation is definitely there I think.
I think that if Burrow is announced the starter, the line will be 6.
The look ahead was 7.5, that had to of been assuming Flacco. Now it's bouncing between 6.5 and 7.
So the Burrow anticipation is definitely there I think.
I seen the line as high as +8.5 for the Bengals at Draftkings, then +7.5 & now its +7 when it was announced Burrow will play Thanksgiving night. I seen it dropped to +6.5 but it quickly went up to +7 again.
I seen the line as high as +8.5 for the Bengals at Draftkings, then +7.5 & now its +7 when it was announced Burrow will play Thanksgiving night. I seen it dropped to +6.5 but it quickly went up to +7 again.
windy night ![]()
windy night ![]()
@bigred84
If it's windy, Lamar can't run the triple option anymore. He hasn't been right since coming back from injury. Hip, knee, and now his toe.
Bengals to the bank ![]()
@bigred84
If it's windy, Lamar can't run the triple option anymore. He hasn't been right since coming back from injury. Hip, knee, and now his toe.
Bengals to the bank ![]()
The Stadium is known as the Bank...![]()
The Stadium is known as the Bank...![]()

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