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*** Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Minnesota Vikings ***

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Posted: #51
LC,

always respect your opinions and picks but i'm on TB tonight. MIN isn't for real unless ponder improves dramatically. 6.5 is too much to a TB team that could win SU.
 
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Posted: #52
Quote Originally Posted by clubtnt:

LC,

always respect your opinions and picks but i'm on TB tonight. MIN isn't for real unless ponder improves dramatically. 6.5 is too much to a TB team that could win SU.

I don't understand this whole point about Minnesota not being for real.  They may not be as good as their record indicates, not sure.  However, there strength of schedule is actually more difficult to date than Tampa's is and Tampa has a losing record. 
 
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Posted: #53
Quote Originally Posted by edubb13:

Ive bet against the bucs twice this year and both games they were 7.5 dogs 1st against dallas 2nd verse giants and both games the backdoored. 7 points is alot to lay on the number 3 rush defense against a team that relys mainly on a run game.Ponder is nothing more than a game manager.And yes the vikings are streaking but so is the bucs passing game right now.Its far superior than the vikings passing game.Ill take the bucs to backdoor yet again and there will be a team that stops the trend of 0-14 ats on thursday night games.And I see it happening tonight with a possible dog upset. Bucs +7


Maybe cuz they just faced the 30th ranked pass defense in the league (and still lost by 7 at home). Vikings are MUCH better than 30th.

 
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Posted: #54
Quote Originally Posted by LeagueCapper:


Ever since the start of Thursday Night Football, road teams travelling farther than 1,500 miles for a game if they just played on sunday are 0-14 ATS and 0-14 SU ALL TIME.

Nice trend, though there are several games that come dangerously close to violating it. I'm not sure it's enough for me to lay the points with an overrated Viking squad.
 
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Posted: #55
Quote Originally Posted by LeagueCapper:

Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Minnesota Vikings

Ever since the start of Thursday Night Football, road teams travelling farther than 1,500 miles for a game if they just played on sunday are 0-14 ATS and 0-14 SU ALL TIME. It happens about once a year, the last two years it was the Seahawks over the Eagles and the Broncos over the Jets.

This Thursday we have an emotionally drained Buccaneers team travelling 1,300 miles to face a streaking Vikings team. While it doesn't meet the 1,500 mile trend, it's pretty dam close.

Great spot to fade the Buccaneers here. One thing I will say though is that the Vikings don't have the type of offense to blow teams out so I was kind of discouraged with the opening line. Therefore, I will do a very rare buying of a few points. In for a little more than I'd want to be but I feel much more confident buying the points in this one occasion.

Time to get juicy!

141838548-1 10/23/12 2:33pm $234.00 $200.00 Pending 10/25/12 8:25pm  NFL Football  104 Minnesota Vikings -6 -117* vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers 

141838520-1 10/23/12 2:33pm $740.00 $400.00 Pending 10/25/12 8:25pm  NFL Football  104 Minnesota Vikings -3 -185* vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers 


 

LC , the line on  this game is down to  5  any thoughts

 
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Posted: #56
Quote Originally Posted by jimmyrugs:

 

LC , the line on  this game is down to  5  any thoughts



line movement definitely indicates TB is the play. line is even down to -4.5 on 5dimes. i don't make plays based on line movement though, especially late line movement. line dropping or raising doesn't change the fact that i like the spot the Vikings are in here. sticking with my play.
 
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Posted: #57
Just a thought - 6 Point Teaser - Minny PK and Under 47.
 
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Posted: #58

Quote Originally Posted by Parlayed:

Just a thought - 6 Point Teaser - Minny PK and Under 47.

I use to love teasing

I then and now hate teasing

I love this tease

 
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Posted: #59
LEAGUE CAPPER YOU ARE ONE OF THE BEST! - AT FIRST I WAS THINKING TB - BUT I HAVE BEEN THINKING ABOUT THE GAME OVER THE LAST FEW HOURS - AND IT ALL POINTS TO A FUN LOVING VIKINGS CROWD RUNNING TO A 37-7 BLOWOUT - THEY WILL BE SO HAPPY FOR THE PRIME TIME SPOT
 
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Posted: #60
Quote Originally Posted by LeagueCapper:

Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Minnesota Vikings

Ever since the start of Thursday Night Football, road teams travelling farther than 1,500 miles for a game if they just played on sunday are 0-14 ATS and 0-14 SU ALL TIME. It happens about once a year, the last two years it was the Seahawks over the Eagles and the Broncos over the Jets.

This Thursday we have an emotionally drained Buccaneers team travelling 1,300 miles to face a streaking Vikings team. While it doesn't meet the 1,500 mile trend, it's pretty dam close.

Great spot to fade the Buccaneers here. One thing I will say though is that the Vikings don't have the type of offense to blow teams out so I was kind of discouraged with the opening line. Therefore, I will do a very rare buying of a few points. In for a little more than I'd want to be but I feel much more confident buying the points in this one occasion.

Time to get juicy!

141838548-110/23/12 2:33pm$234.00$200.00Pending10/25/12 8:25pm  NFL Football  104 Minnesota Vikings -6 -117* vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers 

141838520-110/23/12 2:33pm$740.00$400.00Pending10/25/12 8:25pm  NFL Football  104 Minnesota Vikings -3 -185* vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers 


This is the dumbest trend of all time. So your telling me if its 1548 miles and not 1327 then that makes any difference. Oh so that extra 200 miles means they lose by more than 7. These are pro football players that get paid for this. Gl with your bet I hope you don't lose cash on the game. But betting a grand on a football game because of some airline miles seems a little weird to me.
 
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Posted: #61
Quote Originally Posted by strshootr:


This is the dumbest trend of all time. So your telling me if its 1548 miles and not 1327 then that makes any difference. Oh so that extra 200 miles means they lose by more than 7. These are pro football players that get paid for this. Gl with your bet I hope you don't lose cash on the game. But betting a grand on a football game because of some airline miles seems a little weird to me.

Um your an idiot.

 

 
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Posted: #62
Quote Originally Posted by strshootr:


This is the dumbest trend of all time. So your telling me if its 1548 miles and not 1327 then that makes any difference. Oh so that extra 200 miles means they lose by more than 7. These are pro football players that get paid for this. Gl with your bet I hope you don't lose cash on the game. But betting a grand on a football game because of some airline miles seems a little weird to me.


The whole point of the trend is to show how much of a factor fatigue is for road teams on a short week. It shows nothing more. Your post makes absolutely no sense
 
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Posted: #63
Quote Originally Posted by mrquija27:

Um your an idiot.

 



you're **** typical stupid lions fan.
 
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Posted: #64

Quote Originally Posted by LeagueCapper:



line movement definitely indicates TB is the play. line is even down to -4.5 on 5dimes. i don't make plays based on line movement though, especially late line movement. line dropping or raising doesn't change the fact that i like the spot the Vikings are in here. sticking with my play.

Just curious.  Mine started at -6.5, down to -5, and back up to -5.5.  Concerning the drop from -6.5 to -5, wouldn't that indicate line movement favours Vikings as the play?  I've always understood it to mean that more $ was coming in on TB, so line drops to encourage more $ on Vikings. If you were playing on line movement, wouldn't you take Vikings to stay off public play?

 
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Posted: #65
I'm a die-hard Bucs fan and haven't missed a game in many years. I have been disappointed all too often the past two years. TB can beat them outright, but I don't think MIN has the offense to beat them by 7 or more. I like TB here getting the points.
 
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Posted: #66
Quote Originally Posted by jmac80:

Just curious.  Mine started at -6.5, down to -5, and back up to -5.5.  Concerning the drop from -6.5 to -5, wouldn't that indicate line movement favours Vikings as the play?  I've always understood it to mean that more $ was coming in on TB, so line drops to encourage more $ on Vikings. If you were playing on line movement, wouldn't you take Vikings to stay off public play?



public doesn't move lines, sharps do. the fact that the line dropped from -6.5 to -5 more times than not indicates some heavy bets were placed on TB. most people like to follow the steam of the sharps. however, i just checked and your right line has moved back up to -5.5, interested to see where this line closes now
 
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Posted: #67
 
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Posted: #68
Ouch
 
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Posted: #69
Buccs +5 and what's the absurd talk about Miami? Might look somewhat similar to Jets vs Colts IMO 
 
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Posted: #70
Quote Originally Posted by LeagueCapper:



Maybe cuz they just faced the 30th ranked pass defense in the league (and still lost by 7 at home). Vikings are MUCH better than 30th.

I agree the vikings do have a better pass defense than the saints but they dont have anywhere near the quick struike offense of the saints either.Ive watched every bucs game and besiders the washington game theyve been in the game if not leaduing it the first half.And theyve faced some of the better qbs in the league.And the washington game they came back in the second half to lead it but gave it up at the end.And they could of won against the saints also.They led like 17 to 3.Im just saying the bucs have played far better than there record shows.I could be wrong leaguecapper but I just dont see this getting out of hand.And if it does the bucs have been good at backdooring and covering the spread with garbage points at the end of the game
 
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Posted: #71

Quote Originally Posted by LasVegasLord:

This game has backdoor cover written all over it like the Skins/Giants game +6.5.   I'm on TB but love the Under more tomorrow.  BOL.

I could see this game being a lot like Monday Night Football with more scoring. Back door cover looks very possible in this one.  

 
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Posted: #72
The line appears to be heading back up with it now sitting at -5.5 on my book.  My guess is it will close at around -6 or 6.5.  I am happy with locking in -6 given that there is really no difference between that and -5.
 
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Posted: #73
All I have to say is LeagueCappers what you say goes along way with me! Go Vikings!!!
 
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Posted: #74
Quote Originally Posted by mrquija27:

U ever fly a 3 hour flight?   It takes damn near half-whole day bro.  These guys just played Sunday NEED to recover, then practice and gameplan, then travel and be ready for a football game. 

 

don't forget...they gotta eat too, plus shit, pee pee...not to mentioned some may fuck also, lol.

GL .....

 
 
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Posted: #75
TB ML 

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