Super Bowl will be New England & Atlanta

Question

I&#x27;ve noticed a trend over the years.  Some would call it common sense.  Why does Vegas make so much money? Because the public loses.  A lot.  This past season I didn&#x27;t bother studying numbers, looking at matchups.  I read message boards like this, listened to "experts", read articles online.  Got a good sense of what people thought were the best bets on the board.  I would grab anywhere from 3-7 where the consensus was clear.&#xD;&#xA;And I would bet the opposite.&#xD;&#xA;My best year yet.  As the saying goes "the public only remembers what happenned last week".  Last week the Falcons barely held on to win &amp; the 49ers beat up on the Packers.  Last week the Ravens won an emotional game (some call it top 5 all time) while the Patriots were just their normal selves.&#xD;&#xA;Public is all over 49ers minus the points.  And the Ravens plus the points.  Public is stupid.  I&#x27;m not saying that the Falcons are a better team than the 49ers.  I think it&#x27;s clear they are not.  But since when does the best team always win?  If that was true, Brady would have 5 Super Bowls at least.  If that was true, the Colts would not have made the playoffs.  If that was true, the Redskins sure as hell wouldn&#x27;t have won the division.&#xD;&#xA;Patriots cover.  Falcons win outright.&#xD;&#xA;And we get 2 weeks of boring storylines for New England vs Atlanta.&#xD;&#xA;Book it.

revengeissweet1 · Answer

I&#x27;ve noticed a trend over the years.  Some would call it common sense.  Why does Vegas make so much money? Because the public loses.  A lot.  This past season I didn&#x27;t bother studying numbers, looking at matchups.  I read message boards like this, listened to "experts", read articles online.  Got a good sense of what people thought were the best bets on the board.  I would grab anywhere from 3-7 where the consensus was clear.&#xD;&#xA;And I would bet the opposite.&#xD;&#xA;My best year yet.  As the saying goes "the public only remembers what happenned last week".  Last week the Falcons barely held on to win &amp; the 49ers beat up on the Packers.  Last week the Ravens won an emotional game (some call it top 5 all time) while the Patriots were just their normal selves.&#xD;&#xA;Public is all over 49ers minus the points.  And the Ravens plus the points.  Public is stupid.  I&#x27;m not saying that the Falcons are a better team than the 49ers.  I think it&#x27;s clear they are not.  But since when does the best team always win?  If that was true, Brady would have 5 Super Bowls at least.  If that was true, the Colts would not have made the playoffs.  If that was true, the Redskins sure as hell wouldn&#x27;t have won the division.&#xD;&#xA;Patriots cover.  Falcons win outright.&#xD;&#xA;And we get 2 weeks of boring storylines for New England vs Atlanta.&#xD;&#xA;Book it.

chestbrah · Answer

good point

Zoot · Answer

dont you think the public loves NE? You said  "the public only remembers what happenned last week". Well that was a big NE win at home covering a large spread wasnt it?

FadeOnly · Answer

I&#x27;m seeing only 59% on Baltimore, and I&#x27;d say by game time that it will be about 50/50.

Bigballer · Answer

I don&#x27;t see Balt as a huge public favourite, early action is on Baltimore with the initial opening at &#x2B;9.5 but there should be a lot of late money coming in on NE as the line drops. There should be a ton of teaser money on NE also. Balt has a chance at a win here, we&#x27;ve seen time and time again NE lose as big faves in the playoff to Giants, Jets etc..

mrquija27 · Answer

[Quote: Originally Posted by revengeissweet1] &#xD;&#xA;I&#x27;ve noticed a trend over the years.  Some would call it common sense.  Why does Vegas make so much money? Because the public loses.  A lot.  This past season I didn&#x27;t bother studying numbers, looking at matchups.  I read message boards like this, listened to "experts", read articles online.  Got a good sense of what people thought were the best bets on the board.  I would grab anywhere from 3-7 where the consensus was clear.&#xD;&#xA;And I would bet the opposite.&#xD;&#xA;My best year yet.  As the saying goes "the public only remembers what happenned last week".  Last week the Falcons barely held on to win &amp; the 49ers beat up on the Packers.  Last week the Ravens won an emotional game (some call it top 5 all time) while the Patriots were just their normal selves.&#xD;&#xA;Public is all over 49ers minus the points.  And the Ravens plus the points.  Public is stupid.  I&#x27;m not saying that the Falcons are a better team than the 49ers.  I think it&#x27;s clear they are not.  But since when does the best team always win?  If that was true, Brady would have 5 Super Bowls at least.  If that was true, the Colts would not have made the playoffs.  If that was true, the Redskins sure as hell wouldn&#x27;t have won the division.&#xD;&#xA;Patriots cover.  Falcons win outright.&#xD;&#xA;And we get 2 weeks of boring storylines for New England vs Atlanta.&#xD;&#xA;Book it.&#xD;&#xA;[/Quote]&#xD;&#xA;Well you got smoked this year!  Good job!  Weakest form of capping Ive ever seen and for people to cheers this is pathetic.

Rocafella · Answer

[Quote: Originally Posted by mrquija27]  &#xD;&#xA;Well you got smoked this year!  Good job!  Weakest form of capping Ive ever seen and for people to cheers this is pathetic.  [/Quote]Indeed.

chestbrah · Answer

[Quote: Originally Posted by mrquija27]  &#xD;&#xA;Well you got smoked this year!  Good job!  Weakest form of capping Ive ever seen and for people to cheers this is pathetic.  [/Quote]why do you care?

mrquija27 · Answer

&#xD;&#xA;Why do you care to immply I care? And then proceed to point and laugh as if I am the fool?

chestbrah · Answer

[Quote: Originally Posted by mrquija27]  &#xD;&#xA;Why do you care to immply I care? And then proceed to point and laugh as if I am the fool?  [/Quote]ok buddy, please feel less insecure lol

revengeissweet1 · Answer

Fading the public isn&#39;t new.  And if this is the weakest form of capping you&#39;ve ever seen then you must be new to this world.  Thsnks for dropping by son.

theclaw · Answer

The public can, and often does go on incredible runs.

Fading the public is the biggest "foolsgold" one can buy.

In fact, the public is on a tear right now, 6-0 run in totals including winning 3 straight games with over 70% and 2 of those over 80%.

All this available at vegasinsiders.

One year the public went 7-1 ATS in the playoffs a couple years back.

surfrancis · Answer

Agreed, That is exactlt what I was trying to tell my fellow betters about. Guys like us should try and get together some day. Enjoy the week end my friend. Surfs Up.

revengeissweet1 · Answer

I&#39;m using the term public loosely.  I don&#39;t go looking for numbers of who&#39;s getting bet more, I scroll over degenerates like you &amp; the media.

TheForbes777 · Answer

I think Vegas set these lines and moving them perfectly. It's obvious to the World that the 49ers should blow them out of the water this Saturday. 49ers are a bigger, faster Seattle and arent going to mess the bed in the first half.

With that reasoning it only makes sense to lure everyone who thinks they're a savvy bettor into taking the Falcons. The books will clean up with the juice and everyone going huge on ATL to do something they cannot, have not, and will not do....win with Matty Ice in the big one.

NE/BALT is even more obvious. Who the hell wouldn't take the Raven's +10 when the line opened. Now that the line is shading towards New England watch the late week push put the public money on New England. Baltimore is fired up, and they DO play New England better than anyone in the AFC. They are mentally tough and legitimately fired up. I think they can win outright if not lose 24-21 alah miracle field goal for New England...again.

bpickin · Answer

ABOUT F-ING TIME SOMEONE SAID THIS. Who needs to cap this game when it is so easy to see what is happening here. no way in hell are both San Fran and Balt winning and or covering this week if either  at all.

bpickin · Answer

NO ONE IS PAYING ATTENTION TO NEW ENGLAND&#x27;S WIN LAST WEEK. THEY ONLY CARE ABOUT WHAT THEY THINK BALTIMORE MIGHT DO. Lol good luck with that.

forty9ersfan80 · Answer

stupid fuckin reasoning

bpickin · Answer

I think the books will clean up because it may end up being San Fran and New England.or something like that  Everyone will split out for the day and books kill on juice.

KBD56 · Answer

This reminds me of a guy a few days ago telling another fella how he liked the atlanta hawks to win this weekend. FFS....zzzz Really? Ok, I'll take that bet. Hawks he says....

Lots of love guys, feel the rhythm....cool runnings.

revengeissweet1 · Answer

The fact that so many of you are throwing opinions in as facts tells me I'm on the right track.

You're never as good as your best game or as bad as your worst game. San Fran had their best game last week. Atlanta had one of their worst. You're foolish if you think the exact same thing will happen a 2nd time

OCguy · Answer

Nobody has thought of this.  You, my friend, have just cracked the code.  I expect pictures of your Whale suite at Wynn, your resignation letter to your current employer, and your first book signing, all in the next 12 months.

mrquija27 · Answer

&#xD;&#xA;Well thanks for all the facts you have given us in this thread.  Some of you cant smell your own bull sh1t!

cody2 · Answer

Pats and Falcons well said!!!!!!   mequija27 with the Lions avatar says it all!!!! idiot loser

Super Bowl will be New England & Atlanta

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