Sep 28 NFL Picks — Eagles @ Bears | Win + Total

8:15 PM ET — PHI @ CHI
Win: PHI ML (-205)
Total: U45.5
Our NFL model has Philadelphia on the Win side and prefers the higher alternate Under at 45.5.
Full result will be posted after the game.

Any model that tells you to take a -205 ML is a bad model.

@SportsIntuition

 Fair point. The model ranks win probability first — -205 is the market price, not a claim that it’s automatically +EV.

Fair point. The model ranks win probability first — -205 is the market price, not a claim that it’s automatically +EV.

Final: Bears 27, Eagles 7
PHI ML (-205) — Loss
Under 45.5 — Win
Result: 1 Win, 1 Loss
The win side missed badly, while the Total stayed comfortably Under with 34 combined points.
All picks were posted before kickoff. Wins and losses both stay on the record.