Posted:
#26
Quote Originally Posted by bigdude:
lol
80 % of money is on KC
SB public burial and it won't be close
..
...!!
Posted:
#28
Quote Originally Posted by getem9:
Quote Originally Posted by statfreak:
SBR is 53/47 Chiefs Quote Originally Posted by lancer89074:
im a bookie, small sample, about 40 clients from different areas, not all of them have placed their bets yet but if they are being truthful 80% will be on SF... i hear the same from other bookies... there is also SBR consensus, but i dont know if all those sites are real info or not... i tendo to believe its real because most of the time its the same i see from live experiencie... anyway i dont expect anyone to take my word as truth or as the ONLY truth... all i know is these guys are bad at betting but hey i think its a flip Quote Originally Posted by statfreak:
all the money is on SF tho...
Ok, can you tell me what leads you to state that? My sources are not very good (vegasinsider and thespread dot com) but what I am seeing is 60% and 65% on KC...all the money is on SF tho...
And 2 to 1 on SF as far as money bet. Who cares about the percentage of tickets on each side?
Posted:
#30
Quote Originally Posted by getem9:
Ok, can you tell me what leads you to state that? My sources are not very good (vegasinsider and thespread dot com) but what I am seeing is 60% and 65% on KC... im a bookie, small sample, about 40 clients from different areas, not all of them have placed their bets yet but if they are being truthful 80% will be on SF... i hear the same from other bookies... there is also SBR consensus, but i dont know if all those sites are real info or not... i tendo to believe its real because most of the time its the same i see from live experiencie... anyway i dont expect anyone to take my word as truth or as the ONLY truth... all i know is these guys are bad at betting but hey i think its a flip
Ok, can you tell me what leads you to state that? My sources are not very good (vegasinsider and thespread dot com) but what I am seeing is 60% and 65% on KC... im a bookie, small sample, about 40 clients from different areas, not all of them have placed their bets yet but if they are being truthful 80% will be on SF... i hear the same from other bookies... there is also SBR consensus, but i dont know if all those sites are real info or not... i tendo to believe its real because most of the time its the same i see from live experiencie... anyway i dont expect anyone to take my word as truth or as the ONLY truth... all i know is these guys are bad at betting but hey i think its a flip
SBR is 53/47 Chiefs 
That SBR you have is on wagers team wise. SBR also shows money wise 68.5/31.5 Niners. I think that’s something to consider
Posted:
#32
on covers it's 58% on KC, public on KC vegas insiders and public was 2-0 in conf finals, doubtful they win again.
MGM reported 3... 6 figure bets on KC none on 9ers, latest one a $550,000 bet on KC WHICH MOVED THE LINE TO 1.5.
OF the squares I know, they are all on KC. THEY were against Pats last year in SB and conf finals and said no way Foles wins SB THE YEAR BEFORE.
Posted:
#33
Quote Originally Posted by gambling-devil:
Many of you guys here saying the NFL is not fixed, blah blah blah but care about which side the public is on.
Many of you guys here saying the NFL is not fixed, blah blah blah but care about which side the public is on.
This is what I was saying.
If you think the public is wrong because they are dumb, to me, that makes no sense, public has been right a number of times.
If you think the public is wrong because there is too much money at stake and Vegas controls the outcome of the game before it is played, explain how the fix is in. IMHO the easiest way to have a shot at fixing these games is to have a secret directive handed down to the field officials from the NFL stating how the game should be called which favors a specific outcome (i.e. call more holding penalties, keeps the game lower scoring by rewinding long plays/scoring plays). Lastly, "just let them play" favors a higher scoring game.
Higher scoring game favors KC (fewer overall penalties called)
Lower scoring game favors SF (anything resembling a penalty is called)
That's why nearly all the KC backers are saying the over is a (lock) and all the SF backers are preaching about the under.
Posted:
#38
Quote Originally Posted by theclaw:
on covers it's 58% on KC, public on KC vegas insiders and public was 2-0 in conf finals, doubtful they win again.MGM reported 3... 6 figure bets on KC none on 9ers, latest one a $550,000 bet on KC WHICH MOVED THE LINE TO 1.5.OF the squares I know, they are all on KC. THEY were against Pats last year in SB and conf finals and said no way Foles wins SB THE YEAR BEFORE.
on covers it's 58% on KC, public on KC vegas insiders and public was 2-0 in conf finals, doubtful they win again.MGM reported 3... 6 figure bets on KC none on 9ers, latest one a $550,000 bet on KC WHICH MOVED THE LINE TO 1.5.OF the squares I know, they are all on KC. THEY were against Pats last year in SB and conf finals and said no way Foles wins SB THE YEAR BEFORE.
Guys guys guys...hold on here.... Your current covers % is correct. VI % is not representative of multiple books, only one I believe and that is William Hill (although a monster book that is), but yes VI has KC at 67%. This is probably the highest out there but the site that lists ALL of the offshore books has KC at 53% / SF 47% BUT....you must also take into account the ML %, especially on such a short line. When you compare the ML vs. the spread it is a whole different story. The Niners are now 58% vs. KC 42% ML. VI shows 53% SF vs. 47% KC.
Claw, if you are saying the squares you know as "the public" went 2-0 that is one thing, can't argue. If you are referring to "the public" as representing those % on Covers / VI / SBR I can tell you that is not the correct info on the public being 2-0 in conference finals.
Our very own covers had Green Bay at 58% and Tennesse at 56% 0-2 for covers public
SBR had KC slightly ahead at 53% but Tennessee was 66% on the money line. The Packers were 53% point spread and 66% money line. Now when the lines first opened up yes heavy action was on the favorites but by game day this was how the money looked. 0-2 public big time.
Just want to make sure the correct narrative is out there on these numbers as I follow them extremely close and have so for a decade plus. There are definitely correlations to make based on the book's winning vs. losing weekends / games. GL on Sunday
Time is a flat circle....
Posted:
#41
Quote Originally Posted by theclaw:
on covers it's 58% on KC, public on KC vegas insiders and public was 2-0 in conf finals, doubtful they win again.
I personally know a guy who put 500K before season on SF...and now going all in with 1.5 mill on SF......maybe he knows something we don’t on covers it's 58% on KC, public on KC vegas insiders and public was 2-0 in conf finals, doubtful they win again.
MGM reported 3... 6 figure bets on KC none on 9ers, latest one a $550,000 bet on KC WHICH MOVED THE LINE TO 1.5.
OF the squares I know, they are all on KC. THEY were against Pats last year in SB and conf finals and said no way Foles wins SB THE YEAR BEFORE.
STAY HUNGRY MY FRIENDS!!!!!
Posted:
#42
Quote Originally Posted by lancer89074:
67% of all money KC
Quote Originally Posted by statfreak:
all the money is on SF tho...
Ok, can you tell me what leads you to state that? My sources are not very good (vegasinsider and thespread dot com) but what I am seeing is 60% and 65% on KC...all the money is on SF tho...
sources my friends who write in vegas
Fade BookieFaker & Bee Free SHAKE IT JIL GmCock
Posted:
#44
Quote Originally Posted by TruthIsLight7:
You’re seeing ticket count, not total money wagered. All the morons in Silicon Valley are going to bet millions on SF
Yeah all the "Morons" in Silicon Valley....the same Morons that make millions of dollars a year while you live in ARKLABAMA counting how many in bred children you have.....lol
49ers will win AND it will go over. The 49ers are without question the more complete team...someone earlier said look at the Rams last year...yes look at them...no backbone or toughness whatsoever...just a bunch of overpaid names. The niners are completely different and will easily prove it Sunday. I love that the majority of the IDIOTS who are not sharps are playing the Chiefs...please keep those bets coming!
Posted:
#45
Boys. Boys. Boys.
All I see is Money on the Chiefs! Money on the 49'ers!
Sounds like the Super Bowl.... lmao
Its the two best American Football teams. Period. It's High Power O vs. High Power D
There's a reason this is historically the most bet game in all of sports.
With all this being said. might sound cliche... but Defense ALWAYS wins Championships.
The Slogan Didn't Come From Nowhere...
Theres only one side to bet in this game... WIN or LOSE.
SWIGZ
"Money won is twice as sweet as money earned."
Posted:
#49
Quote Originally Posted by Donkey_Punch_:
Quote Originally Posted by Egoodie:
Mattress Mack just placed the $1 million bet with BetMGMCurrently, largest reported Super Bowl LIV wager in legal U.S. markets
chasing MLB World Series losses?Mattress Mack just placed the $1 million bet with BetMGMCurrently, largest reported Super Bowl LIV wager in legal U.S. markets
I think he made a ton of money on that. He had like a 15 million dollar liability on his "Houston wins the Series and your mattress is free" promo. He saved a ton of money on that bet.
Hot Forum Topics
