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    All Forums | NFL Betting Forum

    SB public burial and it won't be close

    123 Next Last»
    deano99
    Donkey_Punch_
    tombstoned
    statfreak
    lancer89074
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    123 Next Last»
     
    deano99
    deano99
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    Posted: Jan. 29, 2020 - 12:06 PM ET #1

    wow the chiefs money. all the rooms reporting chiefs $ and over dough in the mid 60% 

    Fade BookieFaker & Bee Free SHAKE IT JIL GmCock
    Reply
    To remove first post, remove entire topic.

    wow the chiefs money. all the rooms reporting chiefs $ and over dough in the mid 60% 

     
    Donkey_Punch_
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    Posted: Jan. 29, 2020 - 12:09 PM ET #2

    Quote Originally Posted by deano99:

    wow the chiefs money. all the rooms reporting chiefs $ and over dough in the mid 60%

    Over closer to 80%

    Do you think "the fix" is in?  What kind of secret directives will the NFL hand down to the refs? Call more holding penalties?  Refuse to overturn PI calls?  Please tell us what the fix is that you are predicting.

    Impossible for the public to be correct on such a simple matchup, right?!?

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by deano99:

    wow the chiefs money. all the rooms reporting chiefs $ and over dough in the mid 60%

    Over closer to 80%

    Do you think "the fix" is in?  What kind of secret directives will the NFL hand down to the refs? Call more holding penalties?  Refuse to overturn PI calls?  Please tell us what the fix is that you are predicting.

    Impossible for the public to be correct on such a simple matchup, right?!?

     
    tombstoned
    tombstoned
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    Posted: Jan. 29, 2020 - 12:16 PM ET #3

    Quote Originally Posted by Donkey_Punch_:

    Quote Originally Posted by deano99:

    wow the chiefs money. all the rooms reporting chiefs $ and over dough in the mid 60%
    Over closer to 80% Do you think "the fix" is in?  What kind of secret directives will the NFL hand down to the refs? Call more holding penalties?  Refuse to overturn PI calls?  Please tell us what the fix is that you are predicting. Impossible for the public to be correct on such a simple matchup, right?!?

     

     

    Why does "the fix" need to be in for the public side to lose? Not saying it will, just curious why you think this. Public perception is built into every number. If perception is off, so is the number. It doesn't require a fix this to occur.

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by Donkey_Punch_:

    Quote Originally Posted by deano99:

    wow the chiefs money. all the rooms reporting chiefs $ and over dough in the mid 60%
    Over closer to 80% Do you think "the fix" is in?  What kind of secret directives will the NFL hand down to the refs? Call more holding penalties?  Refuse to overturn PI calls?  Please tell us what the fix is that you are predicting. Impossible for the public to be correct on such a simple matchup, right?!?

     

     

    Why does "the fix" need to be in for the public side to lose? Not saying it will, just curious why you think this. Public perception is built into every number. If perception is off, so is the number. It doesn't require a fix this to occur.

     
    statfreak
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    Posted: Jan. 29, 2020 - 12:20 PM ET #4

    all the money is on SF tho... 

    Reply

    all the money is on SF tho... 

     
    deano99
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    Posted: Jan. 29, 2020 - 12:27 PM ET #5

    Quote Originally Posted by Donkey_Punch_:

    Quote Originally Posted by deano99:

    wow the chiefs money. all the rooms reporting chiefs $ and over dough in the mid 60%
    Over closer to 80% Do you think "the fix" is in?  What kind of secret directives will the NFL hand down to the refs? Call more holding penalties?  Refuse to overturn PI calls?  Please tell us what the fix is that you are predicting. Impossible for the public to be correct on such a simple matchup, right?!?
    yeah  I see that sorry 60+% side 80+% over  unreal 

    Fade BookieFaker & Bee Free SHAKE IT JIL GmCock
    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by Donkey_Punch_:

    Quote Originally Posted by deano99:

    wow the chiefs money. all the rooms reporting chiefs $ and over dough in the mid 60%
    Over closer to 80% Do you think "the fix" is in?  What kind of secret directives will the NFL hand down to the refs? Call more holding penalties?  Refuse to overturn PI calls?  Please tell us what the fix is that you are predicting. Impossible for the public to be correct on such a simple matchup, right?!?
    yeah  I see that sorry 60+% side 80+% over  unreal 

     
    lancer89074
    lancer89074
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    Posted: Jan. 29, 2020 - 12:28 PM ET #6

    Quote Originally Posted by deano99:

    wow the chiefs money. all the rooms reporting chiefs $ and over dough in the mid 60%

    Are you a ticket writer for a sportsbook?

    In Vegas, I have heard ticket writers tell bettors if one of the sides is being bet heavily...surprisingly, many of them aren't shy about sharing this information either. One of them gave me some valuable advice once about a certain pitcher...

    Too bad we don't have more ticket writers share what they know on here...an_eek2

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by deano99:

    wow the chiefs money. all the rooms reporting chiefs $ and over dough in the mid 60%

    Are you a ticket writer for a sportsbook?

    In Vegas, I have heard ticket writers tell bettors if one of the sides is being bet heavily...surprisingly, many of them aren't shy about sharing this information either. One of them gave me some valuable advice once about a certain pitcher...

    Too bad we don't have more ticket writers share what they know on here...an_eek2

     
    deano99
    deano99
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    Posted: Jan. 29, 2020 - 12:29 PM ET #7

    Quote Originally Posted by statfreak:

    all the money is on SF tho...

    theres bigger money on sf yup larger wagers smaller public is chiefs and over   if you been around for a while you can smell it. Mahomey will throw a couple picks and poof the niners are up by 14-17 

    Fade BookieFaker & Bee Free SHAKE IT JIL GmCock
    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by statfreak:

    all the money is on SF tho...

    theres bigger money on sf yup larger wagers smaller public is chiefs and over   if you been around for a while you can smell it. Mahomey will throw a couple picks and poof the niners are up by 14-17 

     
    lancer89074
    lancer89074
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    Posted: Jan. 29, 2020 - 12:31 PM ET #8

    Quote Originally Posted by statfreak:

    all the money is on SF tho...

    Ok, can you tell me what leads you to state that? My sources are not very good (vegasinsider and thespread dot com) but what I am seeing is 60% and 65% on KC...

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by statfreak:

    all the money is on SF tho...

    Ok, can you tell me what leads you to state that? My sources are not very good (vegasinsider and thespread dot com) but what I am seeing is 60% and 65% on KC...

     
    deano99
    deano99
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    Posted: Jan. 29, 2020 - 12:31 PM ET #9

    Quote Originally Posted by lancer89074:

    Quote Originally Posted by deano99:

    wow the chiefs money. all the rooms reporting chiefs $ and over dough in the mid 60%
    Are you a ticket writer for a sportsbook? In Vegas, I have heard ticket writers tell bettors if one of the sides is being bet heavily...surprisingly, many of them aren't shy about sharing this information either. One of them gave me some valuable advice once about a certain pitcher... Too bad we don't have more ticket writers share what they know on here...
    I have a dozen friends who write. been around a while. I have no dog in the race as to this post. I'm just passing along some info yup

    Fade BookieFaker & Bee Free SHAKE IT JIL GmCock
    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by lancer89074:

    Quote Originally Posted by deano99:

    wow the chiefs money. all the rooms reporting chiefs $ and over dough in the mid 60%
    Are you a ticket writer for a sportsbook? In Vegas, I have heard ticket writers tell bettors if one of the sides is being bet heavily...surprisingly, many of them aren't shy about sharing this information either. One of them gave me some valuable advice once about a certain pitcher... Too bad we don't have more ticket writers share what they know on here...
    I have a dozen friends who write. been around a while. I have no dog in the race as to this post. I'm just passing along some info yup

     
    statfreak
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    Posted: Jan. 29, 2020 - 12:39 PM ET #10

    Quote Originally Posted by lancer89074:

    Quote Originally Posted by statfreak:

    all the money is on SF tho...
    Ok, can you tell me what leads you to state that? My sources are not very good (vegasinsider and thespread dot com) but what I am seeing is 60% and 65% on KC...

     

    im a bookie, small sample, about 40 clients from different areas, not all of them have placed their bets yet but if they are being truthful 80% will be on SF... i hear the same from other bookies... 

    there is also SBR consensus, but i dont know if all those sites are real info or not... i tendo to believe its real because most of the time its the same i see from live experiencie... 

     

    anyway i dont expect anyone to take my word as truth or as the ONLY truth... all i know is these guys are bad at betting but hey i think its a flip

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by lancer89074:

    Quote Originally Posted by statfreak:

    all the money is on SF tho...
    Ok, can you tell me what leads you to state that? My sources are not very good (vegasinsider and thespread dot com) but what I am seeing is 60% and 65% on KC...

     

    im a bookie, small sample, about 40 clients from different areas, not all of them have placed their bets yet but if they are being truthful 80% will be on SF... i hear the same from other bookies... 

    there is also SBR consensus, but i dont know if all those sites are real info or not... i tendo to believe its real because most of the time its the same i see from live experiencie... 

     

    anyway i dont expect anyone to take my word as truth or as the ONLY truth... all i know is these guys are bad at betting but hey i think its a flip

     
    lancer89074
    lancer89074
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    Posted: Jan. 29, 2020 - 12:52 PM ET #11

    Swell, ok statfreak...thanks for passing that long. peace_5

    Reply

    Swell, ok statfreak...thanks for passing that long. peace_5

     
    Digitalkarma
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    Posted: Jan. 29, 2020 - 12:54 PM ET #12

    public burial....

    isnt that what they said last year and the year before. vividly recall last year almost everyone on this board was on Rams saying it will be public burial for Pats backers and i was on the Pats.. this board was pretty quiet soon after 
    Sip on that plus money honey!
    Reply
    public burial....

    isnt that what they said last year and the year before. vividly recall last year almost everyone on this board was on Rams saying it will be public burial for Pats backers and i was on the Pats.. this board was pretty quiet soon after 
     
    lancer89074
    lancer89074
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    Posted: Jan. 29, 2020 - 1:08 PM ET #13

    Quote Originally Posted by Digitalkarma:

    public burial....isnt that what they said last year and the year before. vividly recall last year almost everyone on this board was on Rams saying it will be public burial for Pats backers and i was on the Pats.. this board was pretty quiet soon after

    Right DK, I remember last year that way too...this year it seems that most are on SF to me...does it seem that way to you also?

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by Digitalkarma:

    public burial....isnt that what they said last year and the year before. vividly recall last year almost everyone on this board was on Rams saying it will be public burial for Pats backers and i was on the Pats.. this board was pretty quiet soon after

    Right DK, I remember last year that way too...this year it seems that most are on SF to me...does it seem that way to you also?

     
    Digitalkarma
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    Posted: Jan. 29, 2020 - 1:16 PM ET #14

    Quote Originally Posted by lancer89074:

    Right DK, I remember last year that way too...this year it seems that most are on SF to me...does it seem that way to you also?


    they said Rams D-line would give Brady trouble and sack the garbage out of him like those Giant super bowl teams. he was barely touched... 

    and maybe but im not really focused on that 
    Sip on that plus money honey!
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by lancer89074:

    Right DK, I remember last year that way too...this year it seems that most are on SF to me...does it seem that way to you also?


    they said Rams D-line would give Brady trouble and sack the garbage out of him like those Giant super bowl teams. he was barely touched... 

    and maybe but im not really focused on that 
     
    lancer89074
    lancer89074
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    Posted: Jan. 29, 2020 - 1:23 PM ET #15

    Quote Originally Posted by Digitalkarma:

    Quote Originally Posted by lancer89074:

    Right DK, I remember last year that way too...this year it seems that most are on SF to me...does it seem that way to you also?
    they said Rams D-line would give Brady trouble and sack the garbage out of him like those Giant super bowl teams. he was barely touched... and maybe but im not really focused on that

    Aaron Donald had 1 tackle, 3 assists, and 0 sacks in that game... 

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by Digitalkarma:

    Quote Originally Posted by lancer89074:

    Right DK, I remember last year that way too...this year it seems that most are on SF to me...does it seem that way to you also?
    they said Rams D-line would give Brady trouble and sack the garbage out of him like those Giant super bowl teams. he was barely touched... and maybe but im not really focused on that

    Aaron Donald had 1 tackle, 3 assists, and 0 sacks in that game... 

     
    DoubleUp4Life
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    Posted: Jan. 29, 2020 - 1:28 PM ET #16

    Joe Bettor usually pounds rhe small chalk , especially when it's perceived they have a huge advantage at QB ...

    My very large local said he has plenty of large action on the Chiefs , 70/30 right now , but has no interest in moving the line to -2.5/3 , bc he doesn't want to give out too much value in SF ML ....


    BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS,WEALTH, BLESSINGS and LUCK TO ALL !!
    Reply
    Joe Bettor usually pounds rhe small chalk , especially when it's perceived they have a huge advantage at QB ...

    My very large local said he has plenty of large action on the Chiefs , 70/30 right now , but has no interest in moving the line to -2.5/3 , bc he doesn't want to give out too much value in SF ML ....


     
    chic-cardinals
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    Posted: Jan. 29, 2020 - 2:34 PM ET #17

    The challenge for the books isn't who wins. What they lose in straight up. They make plenty back in points and all the other side junk.

    Everyone  that takes the  over will be the balance.

     

    Reply

    The challenge for the books isn't who wins. What they lose in straight up. They make plenty back in points and all the other side junk.

    Everyone  that takes the  over will be the balance.

     

     
    kamphil
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    Posted: Jan. 29, 2020 - 4:10 PM ET #18

    @lancer89074  I wish more ticket writers would share info too.....they have seen lots on the other side of the counter.   when Im in Vegas, I always make it a point to tip/strike up friendly conversations w people behind the counter during slow times

    @statfreak I wish bookies like you would share info more, I have always found that going against the smaller recreational player is the best way to win.   I love playing craps...and most of my money is made going against the small players/beginners at the table.    someone mentioned this, but I would think an even larger consensus will be on the OVER the total.  

    Reply

    @lancer89074  I wish more ticket writers would share info too.....they have seen lots on the other side of the counter.   when Im in Vegas, I always make it a point to tip/strike up friendly conversations w people behind the counter during slow times

    @statfreak I wish bookies like you would share info more, I have always found that going against the smaller recreational player is the best way to win.   I love playing craps...and most of my money is made going against the small players/beginners at the table.    someone mentioned this, but I would think an even larger consensus will be on the OVER the total.  

     
    kcblitzkrieg
    kcblitzkrieg
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    Posted: Jan. 29, 2020 - 4:16 PM ET #19

    Quote Originally Posted by deano99:

    Quote Originally Posted by statfreak:

    all the money is on SF tho...
    theres bigger money on sf yup larger wagers smaller public is chiefs and over   if you been around for a while you can smell it. Mahomey will throw a couple picks and poof the niners are up by 14-17

    Mahomie has thrown a grand total of ZERO picks in his four nfl playoff games.  2 is a bit of a stretch but I'm sure there is a prop bet out that that will pay you +money on that over.  

    Time is a flat circle....
    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by deano99:

    Quote Originally Posted by statfreak:

    all the money is on SF tho...
    theres bigger money on sf yup larger wagers smaller public is chiefs and over   if you been around for a while you can smell it. Mahomey will throw a couple picks and poof the niners are up by 14-17

    Mahomie has thrown a grand total of ZERO picks in his four nfl playoff games.  2 is a bit of a stretch but I'm sure there is a prop bet out that that will pay you +money on that over.  

     
    TruthIsLight7
    TruthIsLight7
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    Posted: Jan. 29, 2020 - 8:32 PM ET #20

    Quote Originally Posted by lancer89074:

    Ok, can you tell me what leads you to state that? My sources are not very good (vegasinsider and thespread dot com) but what I am seeing is 60% and 65% on KC...


    You’re seeing ticket count, not total money wagered. All the morons in Silicon Valley are going to bet millions on SF
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by lancer89074:

    Ok, can you tell me what leads you to state that? My sources are not very good (vegasinsider and thespread dot com) but what I am seeing is 60% and 65% on KC...


    You’re seeing ticket count, not total money wagered. All the morons in Silicon Valley are going to bet millions on SF
     
    WISEGUY36
    WISEGUY36
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    Posted: Jan. 29, 2020 - 8:40 PM ET #21

    Quote Originally Posted by TruthIsLight7:


    You’re seeing ticket count, not total money wagered. All the morons in Silicon Valley are going to bet millions on SF




    It's what we , in Economic circles refer to as the

    " Classic Redistribution of Wealth "     
    Helping Kama'aina to beat their " Local " since 1994.
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by TruthIsLight7:


    You’re seeing ticket count, not total money wagered. All the morons in Silicon Valley are going to bet millions on SF




    It's what we , in Economic circles refer to as the

    " Classic Redistribution of Wealth "     
     
    lancer89074
    lancer89074
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    Posted: Jan. 29, 2020 - 8:52 PM ET #22

    Quote Originally Posted by TruthIsLight7:

    Quote Originally Posted by lancer89074:

    Ok, can you tell me what leads you to state that? My sources are not very good (vegasinsider and thespread dot com) but what I am seeing is 60% and 65% on KC...
    You’re seeing ticket count, not total money wagered. All the morons in Silicon Valley are going to bet millions on SF

    Yes, I agree...the total amount of money bet on each side is where 'the rubber meets the road'. 

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by TruthIsLight7:

    Quote Originally Posted by lancer89074:

    Ok, can you tell me what leads you to state that? My sources are not very good (vegasinsider and thespread dot com) but what I am seeing is 60% and 65% on KC...
    You’re seeing ticket count, not total money wagered. All the morons in Silicon Valley are going to bet millions on SF

    Yes, I agree...the total amount of money bet on each side is where 'the rubber meets the road'. 

     
    chic-cardinals
    chic-cardinals
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    Posted: Jan. 29, 2020 - 8:56 PM ET #23

    Quote Originally Posted by kcblitzkrieg:

    Quote Originally Posted by deano99:

    Quote Originally Posted by statfreak:

    all the money is on SF tho...
    theres bigger money on sf yup larger wagers smaller public is chiefs and over   if you been around for a while you can smell it. Mahomey will throw a couple picks and poof the niners are up by 14-17
    Mahomie has thrown a grand total of ZERO picks in his four nfl playoff games.  2 is a bit of a stretch but I'm sure there is a prop bet out that that will pay you +money on that over.

    That's fine. He'll just get sacked more anyway. 

     

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by kcblitzkrieg:

    Quote Originally Posted by deano99:

    Quote Originally Posted by statfreak:

    all the money is on SF tho...
    theres bigger money on sf yup larger wagers smaller public is chiefs and over   if you been around for a while you can smell it. Mahomey will throw a couple picks and poof the niners are up by 14-17
    Mahomie has thrown a grand total of ZERO picks in his four nfl playoff games.  2 is a bit of a stretch but I'm sure there is a prop bet out that that will pay you +money on that over.

    That's fine. He'll just get sacked more anyway. 

     

     
    getem9
    getem9
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    Posted: Jan. 29, 2020 - 9:02 PM ET #24

    Quote Originally Posted by statfreak:

    Quote Originally Posted by lancer89074:

    Quote Originally Posted by statfreak:

    all the money is on SF tho...
    Ok, can you tell me what leads you to state that? My sources are not very good (vegasinsider and thespread dot com) but what I am seeing is 60% and 65% on KC...
      im a bookie, small sample, about 40 clients from different areas, not all of them have placed their bets yet but if they are being truthful 80% will be on SF... i hear the same from other bookies...  there is also SBR consensus, but i dont know if all those sites are real info or not... i tendo to believe its real because most of the time its the same i see from live experiencie...    anyway i dont expect anyone to take my word as truth or as the ONLY truth... all i know is these guys are bad at betting but hey i think its a flip

    SBR is 53/47 Chiefs peace_5

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by statfreak:

    Quote Originally Posted by lancer89074:

    Quote Originally Posted by statfreak:

    all the money is on SF tho...
    Ok, can you tell me what leads you to state that? My sources are not very good (vegasinsider and thespread dot com) but what I am seeing is 60% and 65% on KC...
      im a bookie, small sample, about 40 clients from different areas, not all of them have placed their bets yet but if they are being truthful 80% will be on SF... i hear the same from other bookies...  there is also SBR consensus, but i dont know if all those sites are real info or not... i tendo to believe its real because most of the time its the same i see from live experiencie...    anyway i dont expect anyone to take my word as truth or as the ONLY truth... all i know is these guys are bad at betting but hey i think its a flip

    SBR is 53/47 Chiefs peace_5

     
     
    bigdude
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    Posted: Jan. 29, 2020 - 9:06 PM ET #25

    80 % of money is on KC

    Reply

    80 % of money is on KC

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