Posted:
#276
I’m going to update everything later. I had/have to break up my super bowl bets into multiple bets.
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Playoff Thread
Posted:
#277
Big Niner,
been reading your insight all year and we are on the same page. 9ers seem to get no respect, a lot of cappers (mainly east coast bias ones) are thinking KC destroys SF in the SB. They say....
1. Who’s Mostert he sucks
2. Jimmy Will fuck up
3. overrated defense ya da ya da ya da...
I think KC gets punched in the mouth early, make a comeback but 9ers ultimately take it.
would love your insight on the prop bets, are you going to start a new thread or stay on this one
will be sprinkling for sb mvp
1. Mostert
2. Deebo
3. Sanders
4. Bosa
thoughts?
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Posted:
#278
Quote Originally Posted by BigNiner:
15-6 + 129.99 UNITS
Here we go...
49ers +102 risk to win 132.60
all-in
Dude...why risk it all when those incredible futures plays are in play?
I won't preach money management cause mine ain't always good either.
You may be right with the side, you're on a roll. Good Luck
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Posted:
#279
Quote Originally Posted by undermysac:
Quote Originally Posted by BigNiner:
15-6 + 129.99 UNITS Here we go... 49ers +102 risk to win 132.60 all-in
Dude...why risk it all when those incredible futures plays are in play?I won't preach money management cause mine ain't always good either.You may be right with the side, you're on a roll. Good Luck15-6 + 129.99 UNITS Here we go... 49ers +102 risk to win 132.60 all-in
Not my style...at all actually, but I went into the playoffs with a plan to be aggressive and ride the Niners. It’s a lot of money, not going to lie, but to have the symmetry of a rooting interest from a fan perspective intersect perfectly with a strong betting interest, this is one time I’m going to enjoy the synergy and let the chips fall where they may. It’s a lot of money, but it’s not even about the money to me this time. That probably doesn’t even make sense to anyone, because it’s illogical, but that’s my reasoning.
1
Posted:
#280
I had to break up my bets, so had maneuver things, a bit, but locked in now and here is what I have:
Playoffs:
15-6 +129.99 units
San Francisco ML(+102) 60 units to win 61.2 units
San Francisco ML(+104) 70 units to win 72.8 units
San Francisco (+800) futures to win Super Bowl 10 units to win 80 units
San Francisco to beat KC in Super Bowl 10 units to win 40 units
All in all, that is a risk of 150 units to win 280 units on the 49ers moneyline, essentially. If they win, it would put me at +390 units for the playoffs. Let’s finish this strong!
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Posted:
#283
Quote Originally Posted by andarmac99:
Win or lose I don't see how the bets aren't +EV. Awesome work this playoffs. Hope your boys bring it home.
Win or lose I don't see how the bets aren't +EV. Awesome work this playoffs. Hope your boys bring it home.
Thanks bud. It’s not like me to put all of this money in play. It’s significant, but it’s been fun as hell and I think I’m on the right side. Great call on the games this weekend. I’ll be adding to the thread you started at some point.
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Posted:
#284
I think you are right here..BigNiner..this is a different San Francisco 49ers team going into the SuperBowl than it was with Jim Harbaugh..there was no drama in the media through the whole season..no bumping of the heads between coach and Jed York or anyone else..Jed wasn’t on the field or in the media there was zero drama. Or even player for player drama..Jerry rice was feeling young again haha..
I have an inside the locker room source that works with the team and they were telling me this team is different as far as the moral..everyone is positive and joking around having fun..compared to the other San Francisco 49ers teams since Harbaugh days they have witnessed..where they were “clicky”..they said that there is a Family/friendly environment as far as everyone in there..
Coach Shanahan said this as well to the media..that there is not one person wanting play time they all are playing for each other and are playing as a team..my point is they spoke a lot about how they all pretty much were like a family/brotherhood which was emphasized a lot..it’s a different locker room..
I’m going with the facts here as far as team play and this info to me seems like the cherry on top.. either way I too have a futures wager on them and have made an initial wager for the Super Bowl and depending on the line I may place a bit more..
Good Luck BigNiner
Winning isn’t everything.. It’s the Only thing.
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Posted:
#285
KC's point differential is very badly skewed by them having a huge stretch of games where they weren't healthy. Especially Patrick Mahomes dealing w/ nagging injuries. Look at the games where they were healthy (before and after weeks 5-10 or something like that)
On a quest to be the very best
0
Posted:
#289
-Jimmy G led the NFC and was second in the NFL in Yards Per Attempt
-Jimmy G led the NFL in 4th quarter comebacks
-Jimmy G 4th best compl % (69.1%) despite the 3rd highest drop rate (6%)
- 4th best % of on-target throws (80.7%)
- 4th best % of bad throws (13.7%)
- Best YAC per completion (6.6)
-Kyle Shanahan with Jimmy Garoppolo: 21-5
-Kyle Shanahan without Jimmy Garoppolo 4-20
Garoppolo In the 4th quarter:
75-of-107 (70% compl)
8.33 YPA
6 TDs
1 INT
107.1 rating
Garoppolo When trailing:
117-of-161 (73%)
9.1 YPA
11 TDs
3 INTs
115.7 rating
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Posted:
#292
Quote Originally Posted by BigNiner:
115.7 rating
Great info! People think Jimmy G is not clutch but he has come through again and again.
Steelers at home, led game winning drive
Arizona, on the road he completed 3rd and 11 to ice the game
Seattle at home, drove down for the game tying and game winning FG which was missed
Arizona at home, led them down field on game winning drive
New Orleans, game winning drive
Rams at home, two 3rd and 16 conversions during game winning drive
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Posted:
#296
Quote Originally Posted by zebrakiller:
i added up both teams full season and two playoff gamesKC 537 for and 364 against diff equals +173 49ers 543 for 350 against diff = +193 ummmmmmmmmmmmm wrong team is favored guys
i added up both teams full season and two playoff gamesKC 537 for and 364 against diff equals +173 49ers 543 for 350 against diff = +193 ummmmmmmmmmmmm wrong team is favored guys
Strength of schedule? Big moments big players rise to the top. Who do you trust to make the play? It's a coin toss books know it we know it. But the over is the play.
0
Posted:
#297
Quote Originally Posted by Belmont3b:
Big Niner, been reading your insight all year and we are on the same page. 9ers seem to get no respect, a lot of cappers (mainly east coast bias ones) are thinking KC destroys SF in the SB. They say.... 1. Who’s Mostert he sucks 2. Jimmy Will fuck up 3. overrated defense ya da ya da ya da... I think KC gets punched in the mouth early, make a comeback but 9ers ultimately take it. would love your insight on the prop bets, are you going to start a new thread or stay on this one will be sprinkling for sb mvp 1. Mostert 2. Deebo 3. Sanders 4. Bosa thoughts?
Big Niner, been reading your insight all year and we are on the same page. 9ers seem to get no respect, a lot of cappers (mainly east coast bias ones) are thinking KC destroys SF in the SB. They say.... 1. Who’s Mostert he sucks 2. Jimmy Will fuck up 3. overrated defense ya da ya da ya da... I think KC gets punched in the mouth early, make a comeback but 9ers ultimately take it. would love your insight on the prop bets, are you going to start a new thread or stay on this one will be sprinkling for sb mvp 1. Mostert 2. Deebo 3. Sanders 4. Bosa thoughts?
I think Kittle, Sanders, Bosa, and Samuel in that order. I think Garoppolo has a big game and makes the most sense to win MVP, but betting wise, Kittle and Sanders are better reaches.
0
Posted:
#298
Quote Originally Posted by ChOmP:
I think you are right here..BigNiner..this is a different San Francisco 49ers team going into the SuperBowl than it was with Jim Harbaugh..there was no drama in the media through the whole season..no bumping of the heads between coach and Jed York or anyone else..Jed wasn’t on the field or in the media there was zero drama. Or even player for player drama..Jerry rice was feeling young again haha..I have an inside the locker room source that works with the team and they were telling me this team is different as far as the moral..everyone is positive and joking around having fun..compared to the other San Francisco 49ers teams since Harbaugh days they have witnessed..where they were “clicky”..they said that there is a Family/friendly environment as far as everyone in there..Coach Shanahan said this as well to the media..that there is not one person wanting play time they all are playing for each other and are playing as a team..my point is they spoke a lot about how they all pretty much were like a family/brotherhood which was emphasized a lot..it’s a different locker room..I’m going with the facts here as far as team play and this info to me seems like the cherry on top.. either way I too have a futures wager on them and have made an initial wager for the Super Bowl and depending on the line I may place a bit more..Good Luck BigNiner
I think you are right here..BigNiner..this is a different San Francisco 49ers team going into the SuperBowl than it was with Jim Harbaugh..there was no drama in the media through the whole season..no bumping of the heads between coach and Jed York or anyone else..Jed wasn’t on the field or in the media there was zero drama. Or even player for player drama..Jerry rice was feeling young again haha..I have an inside the locker room source that works with the team and they were telling me this team is different as far as the moral..everyone is positive and joking around having fun..compared to the other San Francisco 49ers teams since Harbaugh days they have witnessed..where they were “clicky”..they said that there is a Family/friendly environment as far as everyone in there..Coach Shanahan said this as well to the media..that there is not one person wanting play time they all are playing for each other and are playing as a team..my point is they spoke a lot about how they all pretty much were like a family/brotherhood which was emphasized a lot..it’s a different locker room..I’m going with the facts here as far as team play and this info to me seems like the cherry on top.. either way I too have a futures wager on them and have made an initial wager for the Super Bowl and depending on the line I may place a bit more..Good Luck BigNiner
Good stuff, ChOmp. Thanks for sharing
0
Posted:
#300
Quote Originally Posted by Belmont3b:
Big Niner, been reading your insight all year and we are on the same page. 9ers seem to get no respect, a lot of cappers (mainly east coast bias ones) are thinking KC destroys SF in the SB. They say.... 1. Who’s Mostert he sucks 2. Jimmy Will fuck up 3. overrated defense ya da ya da ya da... I think KC gets punched in the mouth early, make a comeback but 9ers ultimately take it. would love your insight on the prop bets, are you going to start a new thread or stay on this one will be sprinkling for sb mvp 1. Mostert 2. Deebo 3. Sanders 4. Bosa thoughts?
Big Niner, been reading your insight all year and we are on the same page. 9ers seem to get no respect, a lot of cappers (mainly east coast bias ones) are thinking KC destroys SF in the SB. They say.... 1. Who’s Mostert he sucks 2. Jimmy Will fuck up 3. overrated defense ya da ya da ya da... I think KC gets punched in the mouth early, make a comeback but 9ers ultimately take it. would love your insight on the prop bets, are you going to start a new thread or stay on this one will be sprinkling for sb mvp 1. Mostert 2. Deebo 3. Sanders 4. Bosa thoughts?
LMAO no one who is a real capper thinks or is saying any of that stuff. Youre making this up. Where has anyone said Mostert sucks after he just shattered a playoff rushing record that would be retarded.
This site is actually such rubbish leading up to the super bowl, all these homers (esp 9er fans) that you never hear from the other 20 weeks of the season coming in spouting BS.
9ers are overall the better team. But it's Reid's year, he gets the story book ending. No doubt in my mind. Mahomes is the new face of the NFL. It will be an exciting, high scoring game, and the Chiefs will take it.
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