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Playoff Thread

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BigNiner

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Joined: Oct, 2002

Posts: 8230

Posted: Jan. 18, 2020 - 2:17 PM ET #251

Quote Originally Posted by Phillip2002:

If they lose by 20 tomorrow no one will even care or say anything.

A lot of people on this board are going to care, that’s for sure.

Phillip2002

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Joined: Jul, 2018

Posts: 2888

Posted: Jan. 18, 2020 - 2:19 PM ET #252

Quote Originally Posted by BigNiner:

Quote Originally Posted by Phillip2002:

If they lose by 20 tomorrow no one will even care or say anything.

A lot of people on this board are going to care, that’s for sure.

Yes but I mean in general I feel like if we see another 37-8 tomorrow then the public could care less and not really bash them. But if the Niners even just lose by a field goal then there will for sure be talk.

Phillip2002

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Posts: 2888

Posted: Jan. 18, 2020 - 2:20 PM ET #253

Quote Originally Posted by ActionMagnet:

Quote Originally Posted by Phillip2002:

they do not need an out card. they have nothing to lose at all. If they lose by 20 tomorrow no one will even care or say anything. there really is no pressure on the packers.

Rodgers has a ton of pressure.

yes himself he does, but I have seen Aaron Rodgers have numerous amazing playoff games and still lose cause his defense gave up 35...

AFNfootballnerd

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Joined: Nov, 2012

Posts: 4050

Posted: Jan. 18, 2020 - 4:11 PM ET #254

Quote Originally Posted by begginerboy:

To my mind, the Vikings and Packers are about equal talent with the Packers having the benefit of seeing them up close and getting a second crack at them. I posted the trend for such matchups in my thread. The team that won in a blowout wins the second game by an average of 8 points. That just about covers the -7 or -7.5. I have 64 units riding on this game and all I need is for the Niners to win. But I'm still worried and will probably hedge some by taking Packers ML. Good luck.

Seen you cap niners games all year...what still has you worried of a possible packers straight up win?

begginerboy

MVP

Joined: Jul, 2013

Posts: 15267

Posted: Jan. 18, 2020 - 5:04 PM ET #255

Quote Originally Posted by AFNfootballnerd:

Seen you cap niners games all year...what still has you worried of a possible packers straight up win?

That is right, my friend. I'm 8-1 on my recommended SF plays on covers. 9-1 if you count my advice to tease the Redskins game. The only loss was Seattle on Monday night. I'm worried only because the Packers have seen this team once. That is a big advantage in my opinion. Whether the Packers can take advantage of it is another story. Yes the niners are even healthier than when they first met, and they have Ford and Alexander for this game, but the Packers are also a bit healthier. When the Niners faced an opponent they beat this year a second time, Cardinals and Rams, those teams fared much better because of familiarity. If you put no stock on that angle, and simply look at which is better across the board, then the Niners are a no-brainer.

fts1409

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Posts: 4015

Posted: Jan. 18, 2020 - 8:19 PM ET #256

Excellent discussion ! Thx.

BigNiner

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Joined: Oct, 2002

Posts: 8230

Posted: Jan. 18, 2020 - 8:46 PM ET #257

This game is going to be a double digit San Fran win tomorrow. The Niners are going to wear down Green Bay with their 3 fresh running backs, and their rested defense. There are a lot of great cappers here who are on the Packers. I am surprised so many of them are in love with GB. I feel as confident in my San Fran -7 bet as I have any game all season long. In fact, I’m considering adding a few more units at -7.5. Sports radio and the general public keep speculating Garappolo is going to do something tomorrow to lose the game for SF, but in reality it’s just talk that people blindly accept as fact and perpetuate; because if you look at Garappolo’s body of work this season, there isn’t much to nitpick. I fully expect him to make some big time throws tomorrow for big plays.

If I’m wrong about this game, I’ll be back tomorrow to take my lickings like a man, but the board is about to get punched in the face. Don’t say I didn’t warn you.

FSerpico

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Joined: Dec, 2009

Posts: 1381

Posted: Jan. 18, 2020 - 10:32 PM ET #258

Only 5 first year head coaches have made it to the SB in NFL history. Peppe LeFleur ain’t going to the big dance. I don’t see it at all.

Like the play alot.

BigNiner

Captain

Joined: Oct, 2002

Posts: 8230

Posted: Jan. 19, 2020 - 7:18 PM ET #259

Quote Originally Posted by BigNiner:

This game is going to be a double digit San Fran win tomorrow. The Niners are going to wear down Green Bay with their 3 fresh running backs, and their rested defense. There are a lot of great cappers here who are on the Packers. I am surprised so many of them are in love with GB. I feel as confident in my San Fran -7 bet as I have any game all season long. In fact, I’m considering adding a few more units at -7.5. Sports radio and the general public keep speculating Garappolo is going to do something tomorrow to lose the game for SF, but in reality it’s just talk that people blindly accept as fact and perpetuate; because if you look at Garappolo’s body of work this season, there isn’t much to nitpick. I fully expect him to make some big time throws tomorrow for big plays. If I’m wrong about this game, I’ll be back tomorrow to take my lickings like a man, but the board is about to get punched in the face. Don’t say I didn’t warn you.

undermysac

Legend

Joined: Dec, 2014

Posts: 52203

Posted: Jan. 19, 2020 - 7:44 PM ET #260

Quote Originally Posted by undermysac:

I think I'll be joining you BigNiner.

I just can not find many(if any at all) matchups on the field that the Packers exploit.

Dee Ford and Kittle didn't practice today, any chance they don't go?

Remind me, did Westin Richburg play vs the Packers last time? Ben Garland has seemed to be doing well. Those Air force lineman can plow in the run game.

In a nutshell, Mike Petinne is an idiot. He doesn't disguise anything. The niners use motion more than any other team, they'll read him. His best weapons on D are the Smith brothers on the edge, especially pass rushing. 2 TE sets with a FB is perfect to run at guys like that. The Packers Nose Tackle Kenny Clark got hurt last game. Big dude with a bad back is not good as a NT is the center piece of the 3-4. It didn't matter vs Seattle cause that o line is trash.

Just a few things I dig. Still looking. GL

Remind me why I didn't bet this game again???

BigNiner

Captain

Joined: Oct, 2002

Posts: 8230

Posted: Jan. 19, 2020 - 7:47 PM ET #261

Quote Originally Posted by undermysac:

Quote Originally Posted by undermysac:

I think I'll be joining you BigNiner.I just can not find many(if any at all) matchups on the field that the Packers exploit.Dee Ford and Kittle didn't practice today, any chance they don't go? Remind me, did Westin Richburg play vs the Packers last time? Ben Garland has seemed to be doing well. Those Air force lineman can plow in the run game.In a nutshell, Mike Petinne is an idiot. He doesn't disguise anything. The niners use motion more than any other team, they'll read him. His best weapons on D are the Smith brothers on the edge, especially pass rushing. 2 TE sets with a FB is perfect to run at guys like that. The Packers Nose Tackle Kenny Clark got hurt last game. Big dude with a bad back is not good as a NT is the center piece of the 3-4. It didn't matter vs Seattle cause that o line is trash. Just a few things I dig. Still looking. GL

Remind me why I didn't bet this game again???

Because you are more disciplined than 90+% of sports bettors, which is the reason you flourish in this when most people fail. peace_5

kimoinsd808

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Joined: Apr, 2008

Posts: 6529

Posted: Jan. 19, 2020 - 8:42 PM ET #262

Bitcoin, not crypto.

BigNiner

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Joined: Oct, 2002

Posts: 8230

Posted: Jan. 19, 2020 - 8:57 PM ET #263

Quote Originally Posted by BigNiner:

Putting this in now as I’ve seen some movement in the lines: San Francisco -7 Risking 66 units to win 60 units

15-6 + 129.99 UNITS

Pending: 49ers to win Super bowl Risking 10 units to win 80 units

49ers over Chiefs rising 10 units to win 40 units

BigNiner

Captain

Joined: Oct, 2002

Posts: 8230

Posted: Jan. 19, 2020 - 9:40 PM ET #264

Quote Originally Posted by andarmac99:

Neither of these dogs has a hope this weekend. I laid -6.5 on some low limit stuff Saturday night before the Sunday games and then laid -7 again with both teams. The wannabe sharps will be saying things like "Square teaser of the century" and "No way this wins it's too easy". Except it is. People make sports betting way harder than it needs to be. Niners/Chiefs teaser is one of the best bets you'll see. Hell of a run, buddy. See you in Miami.

POST OF THE WEEKEND!!! That’s why you’re one of the best! an_cheers

midnightprowl

Captain

Joined: Oct, 2012

Posts: 8779

Posted: Jan. 19, 2020 - 10:28 PM ET #265

Bigniner, with your future pending not sure if you are going to bet.

But if you didnt have the futures may i ask which side you would have bet and the amount?

Keep it going sir

BigNiner

Captain

Joined: Oct, 2002

Posts: 8230

Posted: Jan. 19, 2020 - 10:31 PM ET #266

Quote Originally Posted by midnightprowl:

Bigniner, with your future pending not sure if you are going to bet.But if you didnt have the futures may i ask which side you would have bet and the amount?Keep it going sir

I’ll be betting very aggressively....