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    All Forums | NFL Betting Forum

    Pix Teasers NFL Week 9

    1234 Next Last»
    Pix
    boomersooner18
    brooklyn1
    Baby_BA
    cashin
    ...
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    Pix
    Pix
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    Posted: Nov. 3, 2013 - 10:31 AM ET #1


    Ok folks......another NFL week.....need to continue my success after a sub-par day in college.


    I already have Saints +7.5 in 100 teasers when the line came out:


    Saints +7.5
    OPEN
    OPEN
    OPEN


    going to be another big day in the NFL, went nearly perfect last week at 220-30 record in the teaser and 19-1 on 4 team 13 pt teaser selections.
    Reply
    To remove first post, remove entire topic.

    Ok folks......another NFL week.....need to continue my success after a sub-par day in college.


    I already have Saints +7.5 in 100 teasers when the line came out:


    Saints +7.5
    OPEN
    OPEN
    OPEN


    going to be another big day in the NFL, went nearly perfect last week at 220-30 record in the teaser and 19-1 on 4 team 13 pt teaser selections.
     
    Pix
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    Posted: Nov. 3, 2013 - 10:34 AM ET #2

    Carolina +5.5 & over 33.5:  Carolina scored 30+ last three games and has looked nothing short of dominant.  In a 13 point teaser both the Rams and Tampa had cheap late scores to cover going the other way.  I said last week Ariz would stomp atl last week by 20 and they needed a late rally to cover a +16.5 teaser line.  There is nothing I like about the paper falcons: can't protect the qb, can't run the ball with a useless veteran, all their WRs with speed and talent are on the shelf and they own a sieve of a defense.  I think they get their doors blown off by carolina 37-13.  I was tempted to take Atlanta +20.5 but I just can't.  In 7 games this season in a 4 team teaser Car is 6-1 against the spread moving the line 13 points and just missed by 2 points to be a perfect 7-0 on the year.  Last 10ev games in the series win has scored 28+....make it 11 in a row.  Under is 59.5 is 14-0 between these two teams and the over 33.5 is 12-2.  I went with the over because every atl game has gone over 40+ pts and even St Lou scored 15 pts against carolina on the road. worse case is 21-14 whic scrapes over....however, I feel they put some points up on ATL's D.
    Prediction: 35-13


    Bills +17.5 ov 27.5: Quick quizz what do Jason Campbell and Case Keenum have in common?  In their first starts of 2013 they pushed the undefeated chiefs to the edge.  Campbell hadn't started in also a year and rookie Keenum made his debut.  More importantly both of these contests were in KC and the TOTAL was a 7 point deficit. Outside of Jacksonville and the Giants, a combined 2-14 record, they haven't beaten anyone by 18 pts.   It won't matter who plays QB for the bills.  They can get someone out of the stands.  Bills just show up and play and aren't world beaters, but good enough to cover a 13 teaser.  Let's look at their schedule for a moment:  Baltimore, New orleans, Cincy, New england, carolina, miami, clev and jets.  They are a spotless 8-0 against the spread in a 13 point teaser.....and quite honestly you might have only been concerned by 1 or 2 of them the rest you sat back and relaxed with either the lead or down one possession.  This one won't be pretty...but with a solid TD and hook to spare, you won't have to watch the last 5 mins.
    Prediction:20-13
    Reply
    Carolina +5.5 & over 33.5:  Carolina scored 30+ last three games and has looked nothing short of dominant.  In a 13 point teaser both the Rams and Tampa had cheap late scores to cover going the other way.  I said last week Ariz would stomp atl last week by 20 and they needed a late rally to cover a +16.5 teaser line.  There is nothing I like about the paper falcons: can't protect the qb, can't run the ball with a useless veteran, all their WRs with speed and talent are on the shelf and they own a sieve of a defense.  I think they get their doors blown off by carolina 37-13.  I was tempted to take Atlanta +20.5 but I just can't.  In 7 games this season in a 4 team teaser Car is 6-1 against the spread moving the line 13 points and just missed by 2 points to be a perfect 7-0 on the year.  Last 10ev games in the series win has scored 28+....make it 11 in a row.  Under is 59.5 is 14-0 between these two teams and the over 33.5 is 12-2.  I went with the over because every atl game has gone over 40+ pts and even St Lou scored 15 pts against carolina on the road. worse case is 21-14 whic scrapes over....however, I feel they put some points up on ATL's D.
    Prediction: 35-13


    Bills +17.5 ov 27.5: Quick quizz what do Jason Campbell and Case Keenum have in common?  In their first starts of 2013 they pushed the undefeated chiefs to the edge.  Campbell hadn't started in also a year and rookie Keenum made his debut.  More importantly both of these contests were in KC and the TOTAL was a 7 point deficit. Outside of Jacksonville and the Giants, a combined 2-14 record, they haven't beaten anyone by 18 pts.   It won't matter who plays QB for the bills.  They can get someone out of the stands.  Bills just show up and play and aren't world beaters, but good enough to cover a 13 teaser.  Let's look at their schedule for a moment:  Baltimore, New orleans, Cincy, New england, carolina, miami, clev and jets.  They are a spotless 8-0 against the spread in a 13 point teaser.....and quite honestly you might have only been concerned by 1 or 2 of them the rest you sat back and relaxed with either the lead or down one possession.  This one won't be pretty...but with a solid TD and hook to spare, you won't have to watch the last 5 mins.
    Prediction:20-13
     
    Pix
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    Posted: Nov. 3, 2013 - 10:43 AM ET #3



    Dallas +4.5 & over 36.5:  Not much to say other than the latest line movement is a monumental trap.  I will take the extra point and hope I don't need it.  Much like the Bears game Dallas is going to make Ponder look like Rodgers today passing the ball......unfortunately for the Vikes Romo will look like Romo and will get the damn ball to Dez.
    Murray is healthy and the ground game for Minny won't be a factor long once Dallas has the lead.  Dallas lost a heart breaker last week, I am convinced they put together a solid effort both on the ground and through the air and win a wild one.  Last 10 home games they have not lost by 4 pts in any of them.  Fact: Dallas has scored 31+ points in every home game this season...still a fact tomorrow morning.
    Prediction: 34-28
    Reply


    Dallas +4.5 & over 36.5:  Not much to say other than the latest line movement is a monumental trap.  I will take the extra point and hope I don't need it.  Much like the Bears game Dallas is going to make Ponder look like Rodgers today passing the ball......unfortunately for the Vikes Romo will look like Romo and will get the damn ball to Dez.
    Murray is healthy and the ground game for Minny won't be a factor long once Dallas has the lead.  Dallas lost a heart breaker last week, I am convinced they put together a solid effort both on the ground and through the air and win a wild one.  Last 10 home games they have not lost by 4 pts in any of them.  Fact: Dallas has scored 31+ points in every home game this season...still a fact tomorrow morning.
    Prediction: 34-28
     
    Pix
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    Posted: Nov. 3, 2013 - 10:52 AM ET #4



    SD +13.5 & over 37.5 :  Speaking of sucker bets......here is one in the over 37.5.  This one should be in by half time.  Heck in the last three games against the Bears, dal, Denver the Skins have given up 80 points just in the 2nd half.  Keep in mind the Bears did their damage with a QB who hadn't thrown the ball in 5 years and passed for 200+ yards....I watched the game and he ran around like RGIII and there wasn't any pressure on him.  This does not bode well with Rivers coming into town off a bye.  I will take the almost two TDs but I feel SD wins outright as the free fall continues for the skins....however, not before they put up 60 points on the scoreboard.
    Prediction: 35-25
    Reply


    SD +13.5 & over 37.5 :  Speaking of sucker bets......here is one in the over 37.5.  This one should be in by half time.  Heck in the last three games against the Bears, dal, Denver the Skins have given up 80 points just in the 2nd half.  Keep in mind the Bears did their damage with a QB who hadn't thrown the ball in 5 years and passed for 200+ yards....I watched the game and he ran around like RGIII and there wasn't any pressure on him.  This does not bode well with Rivers coming into town off a bye.  I will take the almost two TDs but I feel SD wins outright as the free fall continues for the skins....however, not before they put up 60 points on the scoreboard.
    Prediction: 35-25
     
    Pix
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    Posted: Nov. 3, 2013 - 11:05 AM ET #5




    Last two picks:  Saints over 33.5 (already have the side) and Titans +9.5.

    I like that St Lou can run the ball.....but the passes that were thrown on last monday night were hideous.


    Reply



    Last two picks:  Saints over 33.5 (already have the side) and Titans +9.5.

    I like that St Lou can run the ball.....but the passes that were thrown on last monday night were hideous.


     
    Pix
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    Posted: Nov. 3, 2013 - 11:17 AM ET #6

    Quote Originally Posted by Pix:



    SD +13.5 & over 37.5 :  Speaking of sucker bets......here is one in the over 37.5.  This one should be in by half time.  Heck in the last three games against the Bears, dal, Denver the Skins have given up 80 points just in the 2nd half.  Keep in mind the Bears did their damage with a QB who hadn't thrown the ball in 5 years and passed for 200+ yards....I watched the game and he ran around like RGIII and there wasn't any pressure on him.  This does not bode well with Rivers coming into town off a bye.  I will take the almost two TDs but I feel SD wins outright as the free fall continues for the skins....however, not before they put up 60 points on the scoreboard.
    Prediction: 35-25

     line has dropped on the total to 35.5

    I am going to absolutely pound it.

    anchors away !  
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by Pix:



    SD +13.5 & over 37.5 :  Speaking of sucker bets......here is one in the over 37.5.  This one should be in by half time.  Heck in the last three games against the Bears, dal, Denver the Skins have given up 80 points just in the 2nd half.  Keep in mind the Bears did their damage with a QB who hadn't thrown the ball in 5 years and passed for 200+ yards....I watched the game and he ran around like RGIII and there wasn't any pressure on him.  This does not bode well with Rivers coming into town off a bye.  I will take the almost two TDs but I feel SD wins outright as the free fall continues for the skins....however, not before they put up 60 points on the scoreboard.
    Prediction: 35-25

     line has dropped on the total to 35.5

    I am going to absolutely pound it.

    anchors away !  
     
    boomersooner18
    boomersooner18
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    Posted: Nov. 3, 2013 - 11:50 AM ET #7

    GL
    Reply
    GL
     
    boomersooner18
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    Posted: Nov. 3, 2013 - 12:01 PM ET #8

    still do not completly understand your teasers, my book offers up to 10 but if one team looses the entire bet looses.  You said you went 19-1 on teasers.  just kind of confused
    Reply
    still do not completly understand your teasers, my book offers up to 10 but if one team looses the entire bet looses.  You said you went 19-1 on teasers.  just kind of confused
     
    brooklyn1
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    Posted: Nov. 3, 2013 - 12:01 PM ET #9

    I am loaded up with seattle to finish and dallas to finish   also using Balt +11.5  whats your thought on this one?
    Reply
    I am loaded up with seattle to finish and dallas to finish   also using Balt +11.5  whats your thought on this one?
     
    Baby_BA
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    Posted: Nov. 3, 2013 - 12:02 PM ET #10

    GL    
    Reply
    GL    
     
    Pix
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    Posted: Nov. 3, 2013 - 12:07 PM ET #11

    Quote Originally Posted by boomersooner18:

    still do not completly understand your teasers, my book offers up to 10 but if one team looses the entire bet looses.  You said you went 19-1 on teasers.  just kind of confused

    I had 250 teasers in play last sunday.

    I went 220-30.

    I had 20 sides/total in the teasers.  I went 19-1 losing over Giants.


    Today I have 11 plays @ 1pm:


    Does that make sense buddy?
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by boomersooner18:

    still do not completly understand your teasers, my book offers up to 10 but if one team looses the entire bet looses.  You said you went 19-1 on teasers.  just kind of confused

    I had 250 teasers in play last sunday.

    I went 220-30.

    I had 20 sides/total in the teasers.  I went 19-1 losing over Giants.


    Today I have 11 plays @ 1pm:


    Does that make sense buddy?
     
    Pix
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    Posted: Nov. 3, 2013 - 12:08 PM ET #12



    Crap not again.

    Today I have 11 plays @ 1pm:

    Car  +5.5

    car ov 33.5

    dal +4.5

    dal ov 37.5

    sd +13.5

    sd ov 35.5

    saints  +7.5

    saints ov 32.5

    buff +17.5

    buff ov  27.5

    Tenn +9.5

    Reply


    Crap not again.

    Today I have 11 plays @ 1pm:

    Car  +5.5

    car ov 33.5

    dal +4.5

    dal ov 37.5

    sd +13.5

    sd ov 35.5

    saints  +7.5

    saints ov 32.5

    buff +17.5

    buff ov  27.5

    Tenn +9.5

     
    cashin
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    Posted: Nov. 3, 2013 - 12:18 PM ET #13

    Gl pix & thx for the small college teaser yesterday that hit

    Like most of these & on a couple, but took KC +9 vs Buff +17. Both should be good especially what you're gettin Buff at, but just can't trust Tuel in his 1st pro start not to have 2/3 meaningful picks/to's vs that KC defense & pass rush that could make the difference.







     
    Reply
    Gl pix & thx for the small college teaser yesterday that hit

    Like most of these & on a couple, but took KC +9 vs Buff +17. Both should be good especially what you're gettin Buff at, but just can't trust Tuel in his 1st pro start not to have 2/3 meaningful picks/to's vs that KC defense & pass rush that could make the difference.







     
     
    Pix
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    Posted: Nov. 3, 2013 - 12:24 PM ET #14


    Sup Cashin ~ can't blame you for taking KC.....it is just that with the Manager QBing for KC and the way they looked against Hou, Clev and Raiders.....and the giants for that matter......all four of those games were within one score at home......just took a shot with Buff.

    Both sides should cover in a tight game where the winner scores 20 or so.


    Reply

    Sup Cashin ~ can't blame you for taking KC.....it is just that with the Manager QBing for KC and the way they looked against Hou, Clev and Raiders.....and the giants for that matter......all four of those games were within one score at home......just took a shot with Buff.

    Both sides should cover in a tight game where the winner scores 20 or so.


     
    Pix
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    Posted: Nov. 3, 2013 - 12:35 PM ET #15

    So I am playing 4 block of 50 teasers....200 total....each teaser has 4 slots.  800 slots total.  5 units a piece.  

    Frequency/strength of plays:

     

    sd ov 35.5                          130

    saints  +7.5                        125

    Car  +5.5                             105

    sd +13.5                                85

    dal +4.5                                75

    saints ov 32.5                      65

    buff ov  27.5                        55

    dal ov 37.5                           50

    buff +17.5                            50

    car ov 33.5                           40

    Tenn +9.5                             20

    TOTAL:                                800
    Reply
    So I am playing 4 block of 50 teasers....200 total....each teaser has 4 slots.  800 slots total.  5 units a piece.  

    Frequency/strength of plays:

     

    sd ov 35.5                          130

    saints  +7.5                        125

    Car  +5.5                             105

    sd +13.5                                85

    dal +4.5                                75

    saints ov 32.5                      65

    buff ov  27.5                        55

    dal ov 37.5                           50

    buff +17.5                            50

    car ov 33.5                           40

    Tenn +9.5                             20

    TOTAL:                                800
     
    Pix
    Pix
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    Posted: Nov. 3, 2013 - 12:39 PM ET #16

    Teaser block #1 ~ 50 teasers

    Saints                       slots ~ 50

    sd ov 35.5                slots ~30

    buff ov  27.5            slots ~30

    sd +13.5                    slots ~25

    car ov 33.5               slots ~20

    saints ov 32.5           slots ~20

    dal ov 37.5               slots ~15

    Tenn +9.5                     slots ~10


    Teaser block #2 ~ 50 teasers

    Saints                        slots ~50

    Dal                             slots ~30

    Carolina                    slots ~25

    sd ov 35.5                 slots ~25

    sd +13.5                    slots ~20

    buff +17.5                slots ~20

    saints ov 32.5          slots ~20

    dal ov 37.5                  slots ~10

    Reply

    Teaser block #1 ~ 50 teasers

    Saints                       slots ~ 50

    sd ov 35.5                slots ~30

    buff ov  27.5            slots ~30

    sd +13.5                    slots ~25

    car ov 33.5               slots ~20

    saints ov 32.5           slots ~20

    dal ov 37.5               slots ~15

    Tenn +9.5                     slots ~10


    Teaser block #2 ~ 50 teasers

    Saints                        slots ~50

    Dal                             slots ~30

    Carolina                    slots ~25

    sd ov 35.5                 slots ~25

    sd +13.5                    slots ~20

    buff +17.5                slots ~20

    saints ov 32.5          slots ~20

    dal ov 37.5                  slots ~10

     
    Pix
    Pix
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    Posts: 8333
    Posted: Nov. 3, 2013 - 12:43 PM ET #17

    Teaser block #3 ~ 50 teasers

    Carolina                    slots ~50              buff +17.5                slots ~30

    sd ov 35.5                slots ~25

    buff ov  27.5           slots ~25

    dal                            slots ~20

    car ov 33.5              slots ~20

    sd +13.5                    slots ~15

    Saints                      slots ~10

    Tenn                                slots ~5


    Teaser block #4 ~ 50 teasers

    sd ov 35.5                slots ~50

    Carolina                   slots ~30

    sd +13.5                   slots ~25

    dal                            slots ~25

    saints ov 32.5          slots ~25

    dal ov 37.5             slots ~25

    Saints                     slots ~15

    Tenn +9.5                      slots ~5
    Reply

    Teaser block #3 ~ 50 teasers

    Carolina                    slots ~50              buff +17.5                slots ~30

    sd ov 35.5                slots ~25

    buff ov  27.5           slots ~25

    dal                            slots ~20

    car ov 33.5              slots ~20

    sd +13.5                    slots ~15

    Saints                      slots ~10

    Tenn                                slots ~5


    Teaser block #4 ~ 50 teasers

    sd ov 35.5                slots ~50

    Carolina                   slots ~30

    sd +13.5                   slots ~25

    dal                            slots ~25

    saints ov 32.5          slots ~25

    dal ov 37.5             slots ~25

    Saints                     slots ~15

    Tenn +9.5                      slots ~5
     
    Pix
    Pix
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    Posts: 8333
    Posted: Nov. 3, 2013 - 12:54 PM ET #18



    Brooklyn ~ I think Balt shows a running game for the first time this year and throws up 20 points.....I can't see Clev scoring 32.....I am on this as well.

    Seattle scares me the way they have played so poorly against the horrible Titans and Rams in back to back weeks.....especially the home game against Titans.  

    I know seattle is good but you can get +28 or more points with Tampa.....that is hard to ignore.

    5 of the 7 games seattle has played they have not reached 29.5 pts.


    Reply


    Brooklyn ~ I think Balt shows a running game for the first time this year and throws up 20 points.....I can't see Clev scoring 32.....I am on this as well.

    Seattle scares me the way they have played so poorly against the horrible Titans and Rams in back to back weeks.....especially the home game against Titans.  

    I know seattle is good but you can get +28 or more points with Tampa.....that is hard to ignore.

    5 of the 7 games seattle has played they have not reached 29.5 pts.


     
    Pix
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    Posted: Nov. 3, 2013 - 1:01 PM ET #19



    Carolina ML 1H ~ 100 units
    Und 20.5 st lou ~ 100 units


    good luck guys
    Reply


    Carolina ML 1H ~ 100 units
    Und 20.5 st lou ~ 100 units


    good luck guys
     
    brooklyn1
    brooklyn1
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    Posts: 2348
    Posted: Nov. 3, 2013 - 1:11 PM ET #20

    i must have seattle in 25 teasers   crazy like you   lol
    Reply
    i must have seattle in 25 teasers   crazy like you   lol
     
    Pix
    Pix
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    Posts: 8333
    Posted: Nov. 3, 2013 - 2:23 PM ET #21



    Brooklyn you are nuts.....oh wait.....so am I!

    Reply


    Brooklyn you are nuts.....oh wait.....so am I!

     
    AAY
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    Posts: 22762
    Posted: Nov. 3, 2013 - 2:27 PM ET #22

    GL
    Reply
    GL
     
    brooklyn1
    brooklyn1
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    Posted: Nov. 3, 2013 - 2:28 PM ET #23

    before i saw your posts  i thought i was the only nut doing so many teasers but you my friend passed me like i was standing still . its too time consuming to put in so many...just bet bigger dollars less bets....same results
    Reply
    before i saw your posts  i thought i was the only nut doing so many teasers but you my friend passed me like i was standing still . its too time consuming to put in so many...just bet bigger dollars less bets....same results
     
    Pix
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    Posted: Nov. 3, 2013 - 2:30 PM ET #24

      so far so good......nothing I am really worried about.

    What do you see at the half?
    Reply
      so far so good......nothing I am really worried about.

    What do you see at the half?
     
     
    brooklyn1
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    Posted: Nov. 3, 2013 - 2:31 PM ET #25

    like dallas -6.5
    Reply
    like dallas -6.5
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