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    All Forums | NFL Betting Forum

    OMG I went 1-10 today!

    «First Previous 123 Next Last»
    veNicedammmit
    handpicked
    SirJohnDrake
    Texasfan
    bigcash
    ...
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    Search
    Views: 2120
    Posts: 53
    «First Previous 123 Next Last»
     
    veNicedammmit
    veNicedammmit
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    Posted: Dec. 14, 2009 - 1:05 AM ET #26

    you can fade yourself...but you start chasing your tail.   not good.  mine as well flip a coin then.

    water on a duck's ass my friend.    like most here said.   happens to all of us........
    Reply
    you can fade yourself...but you start chasing your tail.   not good.  mine as well flip a coin then.

    water on a duck's ass my friend.    like most here said.   happens to all of us........
     
    handpicked
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    Posted: Dec. 14, 2009 - 1:07 AM ET #27

    i've faded as i made the call & hit once hehe on g.bay a few games ago>hehe
    Reply
    i've faded as i made the call & hit once hehe on g.bay a few games ago>hehe
     
    SirJohnDrake
    SirJohnDrake
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    Posted: Dec. 14, 2009 - 1:13 AM ET #28

    Quote Originally Posted by Texasfan:

    can you ever actually fade yourself though?  I've thought about doing that.

    No that doesn't work in the long run, it's because all gamblers in the long run are hitting at 50% and so even if you fade you own self you will still be hitting 50% in the long run.

    But hey if there was such a gambler that was hitting 30% in the long run after years and years of gambling and one day decided to fade himself then he would be hitting 70% in the long run...lol

    What a turnaround eh!

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by Texasfan:

    can you ever actually fade yourself though?  I've thought about doing that.

    No that doesn't work in the long run, it's because all gamblers in the long run are hitting at 50% and so even if you fade you own self you will still be hitting 50% in the long run.

    But hey if there was such a gambler that was hitting 30% in the long run after years and years of gambling and one day decided to fade himself then he would be hitting 70% in the long run...lol

    What a turnaround eh!

     
    Texasfan
    Texasfan
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    Posted: Dec. 14, 2009 - 1:19 AM ET #29

    Quote Originally Posted by SirJohnDrake:

    No that doesn't work in the long run, it's because all gamblers in the long run are hitting at 50% and so even if you fade you own self you will still be hitting 50% in the long run.

    But hey if there was such a gambler that was hitting 30% in the long run after years and years of gambling and one day decided to fade himself then he would be hitting 70% in the long run...lol

    What a turnaround eh!

    lol, but in the end, is it really a true fade?  
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by SirJohnDrake:

    No that doesn't work in the long run, it's because all gamblers in the long run are hitting at 50% and so even if you fade you own self you will still be hitting 50% in the long run.

    But hey if there was such a gambler that was hitting 30% in the long run after years and years of gambling and one day decided to fade himself then he would be hitting 70% in the long run...lol

    What a turnaround eh!

    lol, but in the end, is it really a true fade?  
     
    handpicked
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    Posted: Dec. 14, 2009 - 1:21 AM ET #30

    well if you can Always Fade yourself you're a WINNER if you're a LOSER>hehe
    Reply
    well if you can Always Fade yourself you're a WINNER if you're a LOSER>hehe
     
    bigcash
    bigcash
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    Posted: Dec. 14, 2009 - 1:22 AM ET #31

    you are a moron
    Reply
    you are a moron
     
    DOVJAK
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    Posted: Dec. 14, 2009 - 1:26 AM ET #32

    Reply
     
    Aalon
    Aalon
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    Posted: Dec. 14, 2009 - 1:29 AM ET #33

    Fade yourself on a couple small picks and see what happens.  Pride can empty your wallet in this game.  However, a rut can only last so long.
    Reply
    Fade yourself on a couple small picks and see what happens.  Pride can empty your wallet in this game.  However, a rut can only last so long.
     
    handpicked
    handpicked
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    Posted: Dec. 14, 2009 - 1:30 AM ET #34

    bigcash is that directed to me if so let's go to war>hehe
    Reply
    bigcash is that directed to me if so let's go to war>hehe
     
    wizardofroz
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    Posted: Dec. 14, 2009 - 1:31 AM ET #35

    Quote Originally Posted by Texasfan:

    can you ever actually fade yourself though?  I've thought about doing that.

    It does not work.  I've tried that before when I have been on a losing streak.  I concentrated real hard on two games and bet the opposite.  I lost again as my ORIGINAL plays both won.  Then it gets to the point where you do not know if your are fading yourself or fading a fade to lead you back to your original pick.  It basically makes you nuts and is not even worth trying.   

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by Texasfan:

    can you ever actually fade yourself though?  I've thought about doing that.

    It does not work.  I've tried that before when I have been on a losing streak.  I concentrated real hard on two games and bet the opposite.  I lost again as my ORIGINAL plays both won.  Then it gets to the point where you do not know if your are fading yourself or fading a fade to lead you back to your original pick.  It basically makes you nuts and is not even worth trying.   

     
    veNicedammmit
    veNicedammmit
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    Posted: Dec. 14, 2009 - 1:32 AM ET #36

    Quote Originally Posted by bigcash:

    you are a moron



    and your an unfriendly fuck.  touche' douche'
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by bigcash:

    you are a moron



    and your an unfriendly fuck.  touche' douche'
     
    handpicked
    handpicked
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    Posted: Dec. 14, 2009 - 1:36 AM ET #37

    WTF? can't WE Just be freinds??hehe
    Reply
    WTF? can't WE Just be freinds??hehe
     
    kerryvonerick
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    Posted: Dec. 14, 2009 - 1:38 AM ET #38

    Quote Originally Posted by veNicedammmit:




    and your an unfriendly fuck.  touche' douche'

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by veNicedammmit:




    and your an unfriendly fuck.  touche' douche'

     
    SirJohnDrake
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    Posted: Dec. 14, 2009 - 1:38 AM ET #39

    Quote Originally Posted by handpicked:

    bigcash is that directed to me if so let's go to war>hehe

    Well it wasn't me he was calling a moron...hihihihihi! It was you hp!...hihihihihi!

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by handpicked:

    bigcash is that directed to me if so let's go to war>hehe

    Well it wasn't me he was calling a moron...hihihihihi! It was you hp!...hihihihihi!

     
    handpicked
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    Posted: Dec. 14, 2009 - 1:41 AM ET #40

    I thought "F"ing SO hehe on me hehe. Well where the "F" is that DOG-MAN "F"er??
    Reply
    I thought "F"ing SO hehe on me hehe. Well where the "F" is that DOG-MAN "F"er??
     
    DontFadeMeBro
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    Posted: Dec. 14, 2009 - 1:46 AM ET #41

    Quote Originally Posted by SirJohnDrake:

    No that doesn't work in the long run, it's because all gamblers in the long run are hitting at 50% and so even if you fade you own self you will still be hitting 50% in the long run.

    But hey if there was such a gambler that was hitting 30% in the long run after years and years of gambling and one day decided to fade himself then he would be hitting 70% in the long run...lol

    What a turnaround eh!


    All gamblers are not hitting 50% in the long run.

    If there was such a gambler who is only hitting 30%. Once he decides to fade himself his analysis will change and his past results will differentiate from his current system.
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by SirJohnDrake:

    No that doesn't work in the long run, it's because all gamblers in the long run are hitting at 50% and so even if you fade you own self you will still be hitting 50% in the long run.

    But hey if there was such a gambler that was hitting 30% in the long run after years and years of gambling and one day decided to fade himself then he would be hitting 70% in the long run...lol

    What a turnaround eh!


    All gamblers are not hitting 50% in the long run.

    If there was such a gambler who is only hitting 30%. Once he decides to fade himself his analysis will change and his past results will differentiate from his current system.
     
    sjthor
    sjthor
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    Posted: Dec. 14, 2009 - 1:50 AM ET #42

    last sunday 5-0...today 1-7. I feel ya.
    Reply
    last sunday 5-0...today 1-7. I feel ya.
     
    handpicked
    handpicked
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    Posted: Dec. 14, 2009 - 1:56 AM ET #43

    hey @ least your honest
    Reply
    hey @ least your honest
     
    SirJohnDrake
    SirJohnDrake
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    Posted: Dec. 14, 2009 - 2:14 AM ET #44

    Quote Originally Posted by DontFadeMeBro:


    All gamblers are not hitting 50% in the long run.

    If there was such a gambler who is only hitting 30%. Once he decides to fade himself his analysis will change and his past results will differentiate from his current system.

    All gamblers in the long run are hitting in the 50% region after years and years of gambling making thousands upon thousands of wagers and no one is exempt from this and it's because of this mathematical law called THE LAW OF AVERAGES.

    In the short run there are gamblers who can hit in the high 50% region, or the high 60% region, or the high 70% region etc. etc.

    Right now this season I'm hitting 62.79% in the NFL with a 27-16-1 record, in the NBA right now I'm hitting 59.52% with a 25-17 record ATS, however in the long run I am only hitting 51.52% with a record of 2143-2016-31.

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by DontFadeMeBro:


    All gamblers are not hitting 50% in the long run.

    If there was such a gambler who is only hitting 30%. Once he decides to fade himself his analysis will change and his past results will differentiate from his current system.

    All gamblers in the long run are hitting in the 50% region after years and years of gambling making thousands upon thousands of wagers and no one is exempt from this and it's because of this mathematical law called THE LAW OF AVERAGES.

    In the short run there are gamblers who can hit in the high 50% region, or the high 60% region, or the high 70% region etc. etc.

    Right now this season I'm hitting 62.79% in the NFL with a 27-16-1 record, in the NBA right now I'm hitting 59.52% with a 25-17 record ATS, however in the long run I am only hitting 51.52% with a record of 2143-2016-31.

     
    SirJohnDrake
    SirJohnDrake
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    Posted: Dec. 14, 2009 - 2:19 AM ET #45

    Oh I forgot to mention the most important stat, I am up +140.5093 units and because my 1 unit is equivalent to a 100 bucks I am up $14,050.93.

    So despite only hitting at 51.52% overall I'm able to have winnings because I'm a prog bettor, I don't keep my wagers always the same amount.

    Reply

    Oh I forgot to mention the most important stat, I am up +140.5093 units and because my 1 unit is equivalent to a 100 bucks I am up $14,050.93.

    So despite only hitting at 51.52% overall I'm able to have winnings because I'm a prog bettor, I don't keep my wagers always the same amount.

     
    Ace of Spades
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    Posted: Dec. 14, 2009 - 3:01 AM ET #46

    Quote Originally Posted by SirJohnDrake:

    All gamblers in the long run are hitting in the 50% region after years and years of gambling making thousands upon thousands of wagers and no one is exempt from this and it's because of this mathematical law called THE LAW OF AVERAGES.

    "The Law of Averages" doesnt really exist in Mathematics

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Law_of_averages

    Maybe the Law of Large Numbers would fit your logic, but that is taking an infinite number of bets among all players.

    But I think in the "Long Run" for an individual player is his entire life.  And there are definitely players that will average 55-60% (as well as those that are 40-45%) in their lives

    Unfortuntely, I'm probably in the 45% range for my "Long Run"

     

     

    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by SirJohnDrake:

    All gamblers in the long run are hitting in the 50% region after years and years of gambling making thousands upon thousands of wagers and no one is exempt from this and it's because of this mathematical law called THE LAW OF AVERAGES.

    "The Law of Averages" doesnt really exist in Mathematics

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Law_of_averages

    Maybe the Law of Large Numbers would fit your logic, but that is taking an infinite number of bets among all players.

    But I think in the "Long Run" for an individual player is his entire life.  And there are definitely players that will average 55-60% (as well as those that are 40-45%) in their lives

    Unfortuntely, I'm probably in the 45% range for my "Long Run"

     

     

     
    DAWGPRINT
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    Posted: Dec. 14, 2009 - 7:26 AM ET #47

    rough week bro.....keep your head up, just because u lose bets doesn't mean YOU'RE a loser.

    worse thing u can do is chase

      gl
    Reply
    rough week bro.....keep your head up, just because u lose bets doesn't mean YOU'RE a loser.

    worse thing u can do is chase

      gl
     
    Gridguesser
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    Posted: Dec. 14, 2009 - 8:10 AM ET #48

    I SWEPT THE BOARD YESTERDAY WITH :

    MIAMI + 2
    GREEN BAY - 4 1/2
    INDIANAPOLIS - 6
    SAN DIEGO + 3
    PHILLY EAGLES - I

    I TOLD YOU YOU COULD FLAT BET ,  PARLAY, OR TEASE ALL OF THESE !!!

    Reply

    I SWEPT THE BOARD YESTERDAY WITH :

    MIAMI + 2
    GREEN BAY - 4 1/2
    INDIANAPOLIS - 6
    SAN DIEGO + 3
    PHILLY EAGLES - I

    I TOLD YOU YOU COULD FLAT BET ,  PARLAY, OR TEASE ALL OF THESE !!!

     
    MrTTL
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    Posted: Dec. 14, 2009 - 9:10 AM ET #49

    Ahh honest betters... you don't normally hear from people like you guys.Hang in there man,as previously stated..."We've all been there".. When I go bad,I take a step back.. refocus...bet small.Better luck to you bro.
    Reply
    Ahh honest betters... you don't normally hear from people like you guys.Hang in there man,as previously stated..."We've all been there".. When I go bad,I take a step back.. refocus...bet small.Better luck to you bro.
     
     
    daveshingle
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    Posts: 52
    Posted: Dec. 14, 2009 - 9:24 AM ET #50

    Quote Originally Posted by Texasfan:

    can you ever actually fade yourself though?  I've thought about doing that.

    Fading yourself is key! Esspecially if track your bets and know what type of spots you tend to lose in.

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by Texasfan:

    can you ever actually fade yourself though?  I've thought about doing that.

    Fading yourself is key! Esspecially if track your bets and know what type of spots you tend to lose in.

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