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***NFL WEEK 3 PLAYS***

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Posted: #51

Colts +7.5 does look tempting. However, like you pointed out earlier...

"Broncos are 9-2-1 ATS as a homedog since 1994."

The 4 teams option above is if I go with the 4 team 13pt teaser which would look like this:

Wager type : Teaser 
  Teaser     : 4T 13 Point SP Teaser 

  Select #1  : NFL Football for Game
               New England Patriots  9/26/2010 10:00 AM - (PST) 
               Spread -1  for Game  
  Select #2  : NFL Football for Game
               Baltimore Ravens  9/26/2010 10:00 AM - (PST) 
               Spread  +2½  for Game  
  Select #3  : NFL Football for Game
               Atlanta Falcons  9/26/2010 10:00 AM - (PST) 
               Spread  +17  for Game  
  Select #4  : NFL Football for Game
               Minnesota Vikings  9/26/2010 10:00 AM - (PST) 
               Spread  +2  for Game  

Now if I go with the 3 team, it would look like this:

Wager type : Teaser 
  Teaser     : 3T 8-10 SP-Point Teaser 

  Select #1  : NFL Football for Game
               New England Patriots  9/26/2010 10:00 AM - (PST) 
               Spread -4  for Game  
  Select #2  : NFL Football for Game
               Baltimore Ravens  9/26/2010 10:00 AM - (PST) 
               Spread -½  for Game  
  Select #3  : NFL Football for Game
               Minnesota Vikings  9/26/2010 10:00 AM - (PST) 
               Spread -1  for Game   
 

If you had to choose, which out of the 2 scenarios has more value?

 
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Posted: #52
The 4 team 13 point teaser looks better to me.
 
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Posted: #53

I took a 10 1/2 point teaser.

Calgary + 1/2  CFL

Baltimore Pick

New England - 2 1/2

 
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Posted: #54
Quote Originally Posted by coldsnap55:

I took a 10 1/2 point teaser.

Calgary + 1/2  CFL

Baltimore Pick

New England - 2 1/2

 

I dont know anything about Canadien football but the other two look very nice. I like having the Pats less than a fg in a teaser.

 
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Posted: #55

Just want to get your take on it PTB but wouldn't the 3 team be less of a risk instead of the 4?

Do the lines on the 4 teamer have that much more value then the 3?

Enlighten me with your Jedi ways great master..

 
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Posted: #56
Quote Originally Posted by PrimeTimeBoys:

 

I dont know anything about Canadien football but the other two look very nice. I like having the Pats less than a fg in a teaser.

The best team in the CFL is at home playing maybe the worst team ....After a loss too.

 

 
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Posted: #57
Quote Originally Posted by avrgsr:

Just want to get your take on it PTB but wouldn't the 3 team be less of a risk instead of the 4?

Do the lines on the 4 teamer have that much more value then the 3?

Enlighten me with your Jedi ways great master..

 

HaHa@jedi wisdom.......What if the Pats win by 3? You get screwed.

 
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Posted: #58

Plays so far:

 

Vikings -11  (Best Bet)

Giants -3  (Best Bet)

Bills +14

Tampa (ML)  (Best Bet)

Falcons +3.5

Broncos +5.5  (changed play from Colts)

Chargers -5.5 

 

 

 
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Posted: #59

Thanks for all of your input PTB...Much appreciated...

Best of luck to us both this weekend bud!

 
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Posted: #60
My opinions....My colts, yeah I'm scared laying 6 on the road in Mile high, really depends on what the Broncos fans think about their team, they may not believe and that will undoubtedly lead to a Peyton cover...I also know what Peyton is capable of and scoring 24+ is pretty simple for this Indy team, question is can Denv score anywhere near 17+ w/ a mediocre run game and less than mediocre passing game? I have no confidence w/ favre and crew, hell im counting on making money fading these boyz and his ridiculous 33-7 TD/INT ratio. No way would I bet on the Giants-Titans game as both teams have something to prove unless I could get the Titans ML near +150 which I would jump on in a heartbeat.
I will not bet against Brady throwing 5+ TD's at home after an embarrassing loss, I think Buffalo gets smoked faster than a blunt I've been feaning for. Tampa hasn't proven anything to me, even w/ betting on them both games they've only faced Carolina and Clev who probably are the 2 worst teams in the NFL this season. Atl doesn't convince me either, yeah they beat ARI bad but does that mean they can beat NO in NO. I wouldn't be confident betting Denv while facing Indy as Polian has made it a point to get this team ready for semi tough road games, and Denv really isn't as good as last season IMO....I've watched SD play and I have Floyd as a fantasy WR and passed on Gates for Clark and Vernon as my TE so I clearly think this SD team is overrated and majorly missing their deep play WR in Vincent. I guess I'm saying PT 1 of us has a good day since I can't justify 1 of your plays using my philosophy.

 
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Posted: #61

Quote Originally Posted by mwhit82:

My opinions....My colts, yeah I'm scared laying 6 on the road in Mile high, really depends on what the Broncos fans think about their team, they may not believe and that will undoubtedly lead to a Peyton cover...I also know what Peyton is capable of and scoring 24+ is pretty simple for this Indy team, question is can Denv score anywhere near 17+ w/ a mediocre run game and less than mediocre passing game? I have no confidence w/ favre and crew, hell im counting on making money fading these boyz and his ridiculous 33-7 TD/INT ratio. No way would I bet on the Giants-Titans game as both teams have something to prove unless I could get the Titans ML near +150 which I would jump on in a heartbeat.
I will not bet against Brady throwing 5+ TD's at home after an embarrassing loss, I think Buffalo gets smoked faster than a blunt I've been feaning for. Tampa hasn't proven anything to me, even w/ betting on them both games they've only faced Carolina and Clev who probably are the 2 worst teams in the NFL this season. Atl doesn't convince me either, yeah they beat ARI bad but does that mean they can beat NO in NO. I wouldn't be confident betting Denv while facing Indy as Polian has made it a point to get this team ready for semi tough road games, and Denv really isn't as good as last season IMO....I've watched SD play and I have Floyd as a fantasy WR and passed on Gates for Clark and Vernon as my TE so I clearly think this SD team is overrated and majorly missing their deep play WR in Vincent. I guess I'm saying PT 1 of us has a good day since I can't justify 1 of your plays using my philosophy.

 

Its good that there are people that disagree because the last thing I would want is to have everyone agreeing with my plays.

 
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Posted: #62

bol this week

nice write-ups

 
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Posted: #63

I agree.   big time!!

GL Prime

- The storms will come, the storms will pass -
 
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Posted: #64

I like Houston and Detroit. I'm in Minneapolis, and the Vikings are that bad. BTW, it's not Farve or AP it's their offensive line that is killing them.

Looking for one more pick, thinking Denver.

 
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Posted: #65

Giants/Titans Over 43

 

I like this play  

 
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Posted: #66
Quote Originally Posted by Wizerguy:

I agree.   big time!!

GL Prime

 

 
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Posted: #67
Quote Originally Posted by DOVJAK:

bol this week

nice write-ups

 

Thanks man, same to you!  

 
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Posted: #68
Quote Originally Posted by PrimeTimeBoys:

Plays so far:

 

Vikings -11  (Best Bet)

Giants -3  (Best Bet)

Bills +14

Tampa (ML)  (Best Bet)

Falcons +3.5

Broncos +5.5  (changed play from Colts)

Chargers -5.5 

 

 



Like them most except SD.  Love Giant game Over 42.5 .  BOL buddy
 
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Posted: #69

(Chargers -5.5 at Seattle)  Seattle blew out the 49ers in week 1 only to get blown out themselves in week 2. Seattle is a different team at home but imo, they are outclassed & it will show come game day.

Chargers were embarrassed in week 1 on Monday night but came back to win convincingly in week 2. Will the Chargers start out slow like they always have? I dont see it this year as they will have their way with Seattle. Play on: Chargers -5.5

 

 

 

(Zona -4.5 vs Raiders)  Arizona barely won on the road in week 1 vs the Rams & got hammered ny Atlanta in week 2. Arizona was definitel outclassed last week but Oakland is a bottom feeder in the NFL so no worries for Arizona this coming week.

Raiders got pummeled week 1 on the road but came back to barely beat the Rams in week 2. The Raiders have no shot of winning this game imo. Play on: Arizona -4.5

 

 

 

(Miami -1.5 vs Jets)  Miami is under rated so far this season & you are catching great value on them this week & will also get great value next Monday night at home vs the Patriots. Everyone is talking about the Jets & Patriots while Miami is flying under the radar.

Jets were way over hyped before the season even started. They played a very physical game week 1 vs the Ravens losing by 1 point & took out the Patriots in week 2. I would think the Jets are battered after playing 2 big games back to back while Miami played the Bills & the Vikings. Play on: Miami -1.5

 
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Posted: #70

Official plays:

 

Vikings -11  (Best Bet)

Giants -3  (Best Bet)

Bills +14

Tampa (ML)  (Best Bet)

Falcons +3.5

Broncos +5.5  (changed play from Colts)

Chargers -5.5 

Arizona -4.5  (Cardinals are 11-0 SU & 10-1 ATS at home off a loss with Whisenhunt as the head coach.

Miami -1.5  (Best Bet)

 
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Posted: #71
 
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Posted: #72

Official plays:

 

Vikings -11  (Best Bet)

Giants -3  (Best Bet)

Bills +14

Tampa (ML)  (Best Bet)

Falcons +3.5

Broncos +5.5  (changed play from Colts)

Chargers -5.5 

Arizona -4.5  (Cardinals are 11-0 SU & 10-1 ATS at home off a loss with Whisenhunt as the head coach.

Miami -1.5  (Best Bet)

quote

Official plays:

 

Vikings -11  (Best Bet)

Giants -3  (Best Bet)

Bills +14

Tampa (ML)  (Best Bet)

Falcons +3.5

Broncos +5.5  (changed play from Colts)

Chargers -5.5 

Arizona -4.5  (Cardinals are 11-0 SU & 10-1 ATS at home off a loss with Whisenhunt as the head coach.

Miami -1.5  (Best Bet)

quote

Official plays:

 

Vikings -11  (Best Bet)

Giants -3  (Best Bet)

Bills +14

Tampa (ML)  (Best Bet)

Falcons +3.5

Broncos +5.5  (changed play from Colts)

Chargers -5.5 

Arizona -4.5  (Cardinals are 11-0 SU & 10-1 ATS at home off a loss with Whisenhunt as the head coach.

Miami -1.5  (Best Bet)

 

Adding:

Panthers  ML & (plus points, im sure it will hit +3.5 or +4 by Sunday)

Cowboys +3  & ML  (Was thinking of taking the Texans but the more I thought about it & read several threads on this site on how the Cowboys are in the "spot" in need of a win, I agree.)

 
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Posted: #73

^^^^^^^^

Triple copy & paste. oops.......

 
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Posted: #74

Adding:

 

Ravens -10.5  (Best Bet)

 

Here are some trends for this game:

Ravens are 7-0 ATS in September vs opponent off back to back SU losses with revenge

Ravens are 10-2 ATS as a double digit home favorite vs opponent off SU loss.

 

I have alot more trends favoring the Ravens in this game but you catch my drift.......

 
 
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Posted: #75

I can not see Minnestoa betting Detroit by 11.

The cowboys are in real trouble Houston 27 cowboys 10

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