I can't back the Titans. Not with what Chris Johnson isn't doing out there. It's disgusting. Locker had more rushing yards in that game than Johnson had in BOTH games this season. I can't put my money behind that.
Jax looks like a VERY solid pick though.
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I can't back the Titans. Not with what Chris Johnson isn't doing out there. It's disgusting. Locker had more rushing yards in that game than Johnson had in BOTH games this season. I can't put my money behind that.
Good to see you buddy. What the piss are we going to do with no Pucks?
That is a good point about the Ravens in the stadium (though they have a losing ATS record at home over that span). It's something the Pats will be aware of though and something that may play into their favor. Perhaps just as impressive as the Ravens home record is the fact that the Pats have lost 3 road games by more than 3 points since the Ravens home run started. This team loves playing in hostile environments and through adversity. All this Hernandez hurt, Welker being phased out, O-line questions, Ravens coming out pissed with revenge on their minds talk all plays into the Pats hands IMO. These are the types of games they live for and play their best and their record in these spots backs that up.
GL
I'll be honest, haven't even been following the hockey stuff; every year my interest in it wanes (could be due to how awful the Flames organization is being run and how painful it is to watch them wallow in mediocrity, at best, season after season). Granted, I'm single again and watching Canucks games at the bar is a good social event, so I suppose I have at least one reason to be disappointed by what's going on.
PTB made a good point, and it looks like there's numerous trends backing either side in this Sunday Night Football contest. I just think the whole "Pats off a loss" thing is cancelled out by the fact that the Ravens had a win stolen from them last week too...I'd be less confident in this game if Baltimore was sitting pretty at 2-0. And yeah the Pats have been great off a loss with Brady and Belichick, but are we even certain that they're as good a team as they have been in the past? My personal rankings have the Ravens as the superior team, so quite simply laying less than a fg at home is the clear play (for me).
BOL in whatever you decide, and I'm sure we'll be treated to a good one no matter what.
I've been out of town the last 2 weekends, so I'm absolutely stoked for my first 10-hour Sunday couch session of the season .
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Quote Originally Posted by andarmac99:
Good to see you buddy. What the piss are we going to do with no Pucks?
That is a good point about the Ravens in the stadium (though they have a losing ATS record at home over that span). It's something the Pats will be aware of though and something that may play into their favor. Perhaps just as impressive as the Ravens home record is the fact that the Pats have lost 3 road games by more than 3 points since the Ravens home run started. This team loves playing in hostile environments and through adversity. All this Hernandez hurt, Welker being phased out, O-line questions, Ravens coming out pissed with revenge on their minds talk all plays into the Pats hands IMO. These are the types of games they live for and play their best and their record in these spots backs that up.
GL
I'll be honest, haven't even been following the hockey stuff; every year my interest in it wanes (could be due to how awful the Flames organization is being run and how painful it is to watch them wallow in mediocrity, at best, season after season). Granted, I'm single again and watching Canucks games at the bar is a good social event, so I suppose I have at least one reason to be disappointed by what's going on.
PTB made a good point, and it looks like there's numerous trends backing either side in this Sunday Night Football contest. I just think the whole "Pats off a loss" thing is cancelled out by the fact that the Ravens had a win stolen from them last week too...I'd be less confident in this game if Baltimore was sitting pretty at 2-0. And yeah the Pats have been great off a loss with Brady and Belichick, but are we even certain that they're as good a team as they have been in the past? My personal rankings have the Ravens as the superior team, so quite simply laying less than a fg at home is the clear play (for me).
BOL in whatever you decide, and I'm sure we'll be treated to a good one no matter what.
I've been out of town the last 2 weekends, so I'm absolutely stoked for my first 10-hour Sunday couch session of the season .
andarmac99: In total agreement with you on SEATTLE-GBY. The only thing I can add to this is that R. Wilson has the fewest attempts of all starting QBs in the league. What if GBY goes up by 10 points and SEATTLE has to open it up? Just checked the STATS and the PACKERS lead the league with 11.0 sacks. I read somewhere Wilson is 9-24 with 4 sacks when teams bring 5 or more defenders. When you just look at the QB situation Rodgers vs Wilson it's a no brainer and 90% of the time teams that win cover. GOOD LUCK
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andarmac99: In total agreement with you on SEATTLE-GBY. The only thing I can add to this is that R. Wilson has the fewest attempts of all starting QBs in the league. What if GBY goes up by 10 points and SEATTLE has to open it up? Just checked the STATS and the PACKERS lead the league with 11.0 sacks. I read somewhere Wilson is 9-24 with 4 sacks when teams bring 5 or more defenders. When you just look at the QB situation Rodgers vs Wilson it's a no brainer and 90% of the time teams that win cover. GOOD LUCK
JerryWrasse - Agree with you DEN and NE. GL on PIT I'm not on them just the Over in that one. I think Oakland plays a good game and if they do they should be. I can't trust their defense one bit though I just think that is a terrible unit. Pittsburgh has too many weapons to not put points on the board.
scalabrine - We will find out pretty quickly here if that jackass has divided the Titans locker room.
worthashot - Got trucked in the regular season last year. Won futures, preseason, and playoffs but had first losing regular season and it wasn't close. Something like 15 games under .500.
shivaseven - I'm not sure it's as simple as the QB matchup but like I said before all of the factors that make this a big game for Seattle will ensure the Packers come out strong. This line is inflated in favor of Seattle from where it should be. Similar to CLEM/FSU last night. That line should have been 10 and everyone buying FSU was buying high on an inflated line and they deserved to lose. Same situation here where anyone playing Seattle is playing an inflated spread. The Packers are the play on the line and on the field. Nice trend on the 20+ loss stat.
Denver +2
GL today fellas.
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JerryWrasse - Agree with you DEN and NE. GL on PIT I'm not on them just the Over in that one. I think Oakland plays a good game and if they do they should be. I can't trust their defense one bit though I just think that is a terrible unit. Pittsburgh has too many weapons to not put points on the board.
scalabrine - We will find out pretty quickly here if that jackass has divided the Titans locker room.
worthashot - Got trucked in the regular season last year. Won futures, preseason, and playoffs but had first losing regular season and it wasn't close. Something like 15 games under .500.
shivaseven - I'm not sure it's as simple as the QB matchup but like I said before all of the factors that make this a big game for Seattle will ensure the Packers come out strong. This line is inflated in favor of Seattle from where it should be. Similar to CLEM/FSU last night. That line should have been 10 and everyone buying FSU was buying high on an inflated line and they deserved to lose. Same situation here where anyone playing Seattle is playing an inflated spread. The Packers are the play on the line and on the field. Nice trend on the 20+ loss stat.
Was busy all week so couldn't post. Wacky week. I hit the Titans like you and man I was spitting at my television when they blew the lead they built all afternoon and went down 27-20. Caught some breaks as they came back and covered, but man it's never easy.
Had Eagles -3. Arizona was really impressive. I thought that the Philly defense was gonna have their way with Zona and cover regardless of whether Philly turned the ball another 4 times, but I was wrong. I only saw bits and pieces of the game as I was bouncing around between NFL and MLB(squeaked by to win my keeper league with the Ryan Dempster win!!!), but what I saw was impressive. Arizona D is faster and more physical than I thought(and I ranked them high in preseason). Well coached and extremely disciplined team. I think the days of them being 3+ point home dogs are OVER.
And thank god I switched my Pats ML bet at the last second and took the points. Mid week the game jumped down to 1.5 with my local(its fucking killing me having only one book now, but local 1 got busted and I pulled all my money overseas last year) and I panicked and locked up prematurely. Was at the confirm screen NE +115, and at the last second took the points. I'll take the good luck. Last week every single bad break hijacked what should have been a profitable week, but it evened out this week with lots of lucky breaks and overall good luck.
Titans +12.5 jumped out at me for next week, as well. Didn't lock it up, but gonna watch it all week. 11.5 and up and it's probably a play.
GL tomorrow. I have a play on the Under(I tail Sharp Football Analysis with all his totals), but the Packers look like the play. I don't see the Pack losing this game. This was a 15 win team after winning the SB a year before and have arguably the best QB in the game. 12th man behind Seattle or not, the rook is gonna have a helluva time making reads on a Dom Caper's defense. Only way Seattle covers(imo) is if their running game truly and utterly dominates the game, and Rodgers turns over the ball.
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Nice week, Andy.
Was busy all week so couldn't post. Wacky week. I hit the Titans like you and man I was spitting at my television when they blew the lead they built all afternoon and went down 27-20. Caught some breaks as they came back and covered, but man it's never easy.
Had Eagles -3. Arizona was really impressive. I thought that the Philly defense was gonna have their way with Zona and cover regardless of whether Philly turned the ball another 4 times, but I was wrong. I only saw bits and pieces of the game as I was bouncing around between NFL and MLB(squeaked by to win my keeper league with the Ryan Dempster win!!!), but what I saw was impressive. Arizona D is faster and more physical than I thought(and I ranked them high in preseason). Well coached and extremely disciplined team. I think the days of them being 3+ point home dogs are OVER.
And thank god I switched my Pats ML bet at the last second and took the points. Mid week the game jumped down to 1.5 with my local(its fucking killing me having only one book now, but local 1 got busted and I pulled all my money overseas last year) and I panicked and locked up prematurely. Was at the confirm screen NE +115, and at the last second took the points. I'll take the good luck. Last week every single bad break hijacked what should have been a profitable week, but it evened out this week with lots of lucky breaks and overall good luck.
Titans +12.5 jumped out at me for next week, as well. Didn't lock it up, but gonna watch it all week. 11.5 and up and it's probably a play.
GL tomorrow. I have a play on the Under(I tail Sharp Football Analysis with all his totals), but the Packers look like the play. I don't see the Pack losing this game. This was a 15 win team after winning the SB a year before and have arguably the best QB in the game. 12th man behind Seattle or not, the rook is gonna have a helluva time making reads on a Dom Caper's defense. Only way Seattle covers(imo) is if their running game truly and utterly dominates the game, and Rodgers turns over the ball.
Baker - Good to see you on TEN. Where's your threads this year?
Haven't been doing well and just don't have the time to sustain a weekly thread that produces good quality write-ups and winners- I will chime in here if I like anything. Great week buddy!
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Quote Originally Posted by andarmac99:
Baker - Good to see you on TEN. Where's your threads this year?
Haven't been doing well and just don't have the time to sustain a weekly thread that produces good quality write-ups and winners- I will chime in here if I like anything. Great week buddy!
Son of a bitch. Just wrote a long ass post and somehow lost it.
Anyway ended up on some tough bets (NE ML) and some sweet ones (JAX ML). Gonna come away ahead this week in a highly entertaining Week 3. Glyde - Missed you last week buddy. Had about 3 paragraphs for ya and just lost it! Great start to the day.
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Son of a bitch. Just wrote a long ass post and somehow lost it.
Anyway ended up on some tough bets (NE ML) and some sweet ones (JAX ML). Gonna come away ahead this week in a highly entertaining Week 3. Glyde - Missed you last week buddy. Had about 3 paragraphs for ya and just lost it! Great start to the day.
Awesome info man... can't stand people not backing up why they are capping the way they are. Tough on the GB game... did a lot of research and led to GB covering. Similar to your thought process, except I did it on the official thread with the trolls.
I don't know if I can trust Locker against Houston. With the pass & rush defense so good... Locker & CJ's horrible dancing in the backfield... I don't know what to do. What are your thoughts on Tennessee?
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Awesome info man... can't stand people not backing up why they are capping the way they are. Tough on the GB game... did a lot of research and led to GB covering. Similar to your thought process, except I did it on the official thread with the trolls.
I don't know if I can trust Locker against Houston. With the pass & rush defense so good... Locker & CJ's horrible dancing in the backfield... I don't know what to do. What are your thoughts on Tennessee?
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