NFL WEEK 11 ............................2025

Yes I was likely on Packers this week.............

They are not more then a 1 score favorite instead of being a big favorite VS not good teams.

And you bring up another good point.

Well my other system did it on the Pats.

Goes to 7-6.

Anyone wanted the Pats that did not get the cover was your own foolish fault. Plenty of 12.5's out there .

I even seen a guy take Jets +12.5 when 13's were available. 

Much like I talked about for some time now that off back to back losing weeks this method produces some of the best records of the year.

Unfortunately  for me I could not take advantage  with the large line movement on the Pats who have been playing so incredible .

The method had a fade on the Jets not a play on Pats.

Now it is up to the Eagles to take care of bussiness for a 2-0  ATS record this week.

If not then we go to next week with another very good opportunity for a good week.

Why is this a bounce factor play?  Both teams have won and covered their last 4 games.  Just curious.  Thanks.

Seattle more dominate in their wins in the BF method. Rams not dominate enough to qualify..............

Good question Jimmy

Seattle is threatening to emerge as an NFC Favorite to go to the SB Im sorry to say. 

Wash +3 (-125) over Dolphins --- 2.5 units

Grabbing the 3 while I can. Was hoping  to see this line move to 3 with Dolphins juiced but not sure it gets there.

Broncos up to +4 over KC.

Pts Per Plays Margin.....

Broncos like .095

KC like .080

And Broncos playing better  past 3 games so it is not like KC struggling early is an excuse.

Better team as a +4 home dog , has to be the play or pass.

And KC far better at home.

Wash +1.5 (1st half) over Dol0hins --- 1.1 units

Appreciate  your perspective  Jimmy. I do agree and I have Seahawks to win division for like +275 or such but this is not a good spot for them.

Rams are equally as good and likely better overall balance plus Seahawks well over .200 in pts per plays which is not sustainable and coming off big performances  recently.

Only 1 way for Seahawks to go and that is down.

With that said maybe they could get past this week with a win and cover but they will regress and it should be soon if history is any indicator,  no real question about that. Very, very unlikely they don't.

Which of your strategies led you to Washington? Is it pro Wash or anti Miami?

So the Rams and Washington are the plays so far? 

Redskins I believe are the only 2 teams along with Arizona in 2002 to lose 4 straight games by 20 or more. From what I could find that might just be recent.

Play on team is Wash...................

They are playing so pathetic only 1 wsy they can go.

Interesting  ...........

So far but I may take a small play on Packers.....

Also I have a play on the Eagles -2.5............

Good luck.

@theclaw

 Eagles by 7+....

Claw:

The systems are good but there's mental issues at play especially in a league where coaching and preparation can be deadly...NO QUESTION Buffalo, Miami and GB both lack that and NE doesn't. I'm mad at myself and shocked you didn't pick Miami last week or the Eagles(apologize if you did pick the Eagles, I missed it). Miami, Buffalo and GB should fire their coaches, it's clear that Miami chose to show up last week and played way more intentively and with purpose..where was that in WEEK 1 AND VS CLEVELAND? McDaniels can't inspire consistently. In comes a perfect opponent Buffalo, a division rival off a big win, a great record vs them recently and they were completely flat.  THAT'S COACHING ON BOTH SIDES. GB has consistently showed casualness on offense-perfect example-when down 10-0 vs. Philly, they went down the field so fast and precisely and scored a TD in minutes..where the hell was that the prior 45 minutes, vs. Carolina, vs. Cleveland, vs. Dallas, on and on..Vrable and NE, McVay anad the Rams, MCDonald and Seattle, Shanahan and the 49ers never looked like that ALL SEASON. They lost but they showed up every week.

Now watch Miami lose today, GB and Buffalo give their best and win...awesome..a win or 2 more and you can fade them again especially as medium to large favs..Neither GB or Buffalo will ever make the SB with these coaches...

C 

Congratulations on getting WAS +3.

Yep .............

Appreciate your perspective. Alot of what you say is true but I play my methods and no doubt there are methods that counter my methods  but if I stay the course with my methods I have a good shot at a winning record...........

That was big for sure .............