Week --- 2-1-1 ATS, lost .4 units
Rams not covering was brutal, I think they were covering 80% or better part of the game.
And Wash throwing INT first play of OT. They also missed a 59 yd FG with like 1:31 left in game. Long FG for sure but a decent opportunity.
But hey I did get a good share of breaks going my way in other games so some bad breaks even things out over time.
This for sure is because of Mason Rudolph on the road.
Pts Per Plays Margin ................
1. Seahawks .197
2. Colts .193
3. Rams .172
4. Lions .113
5. Steelers .105
6. Pats .101
7. Broncos .092
With more games played we are getting a pretty good list of the best teams who'll likely be there at the end.
Keep in mind most SB winners by far are over .090.
In many years we do see 1 team below .020 make the conference title game. I suspect because of injuries early on or maybe trades made or a team getting hot at the right time.
Of those teams we do have ...
9ers .005
Jags (-.012)
Bucs (-.008)
amoung some other teams but these seem the most interesting to me anyway.
Then we have these teams .............
Chargers (-.036) ......possible maybe
Bears (-.052) ... not (-.056) i posted above. Worst team on the road in league. Doubt they can make conference title game.
Panthers (-.092), to far back at this point
As we can see all teams have regressed below .200 now.
And no team is below (-.200) either with the Titans playing better they are now (-.192).
That brings up next week's game Seahawks VS Titans.
A big blowout win by Seahawks could move both teams once again over .200.
Will they do it ? I doubt it myself. Granted looks easy but may not be as easy as it looks.
Remember 2cd half of year things do tend to reverse off the 1st half.
This will be an interesting game to see if this happens.
Seahawks ranking No.1 is kind of crazy when we look at TO's, they have 17 and created 15 for (-2).
How can a team be this efficient with (-2) TO margin not sure that has ever happened before.
Breaking down the Rams game Seahawks completely outplayed the Rams but the 4 INT's by Darnold cost them the game.
According to PR II Rams should of won by 2.45 pts. Only because of those TO's.
Opps I looked at the wrong thing........
Seahawks TO's are even worse 20 TO's to 13 created = (-7)
That is even more incredible how the Seahawks can rank no. 1.
I looked at TD's 17 to 15 given up.
More specific Seahawks (-2) in INT's 11 thrown to 9.
Fumbles 9 lost to 5 recovered = (-5)
Seems like maybe some bad fumble luck by Seahawks that could even out.
Even if we took away the 4 INT's Darnold threw VS Rams they were 7 to 9 = +2 is still not that great when you consider they have big leads in many games and that is when teams get INT's when they know the opp has to pass.
Exactly what happen to Seahawks VS Rams when Rams got up early with 14 pts scored pretty quick and Seahawks had to pass.
To lose TO battle 4 to 1 and still have a chance to win let-alone cover is off the charts amazing.
This might be the weak spot cost Seahawks come playoff time.
Something to keep an eye on in the remaining Seahawks games
TOP FIVE RANKINGS
FTN Fantasy: SEA LAR IND DET KC
Jeff Sagarin: PHL DET KC LAR BUF
Ken Massey: LAR DET SEA KC BUF
It's interesting that all 3 have KC in the TOP FIVE despite the .500 record. Will this be the week that KC finally wakes up and justifies those rankings or will a home loss to IND basically end any realistic chance of making the playoffs.
I just saw online dog that in the DVOA era KC at 5-5 is the best or 2cd best team to be 5-5.
Bears are the 2cd worst 7-3 team.
Lions one of best 6-4 teams.
Pats I believe we're one of the worst 9-2 teams.
All things I would agree with.................
I don't think KC at this point is even close to the best team but they are much better then a 5-5 team no doubt to me anyways.
Colts 2cd best home team to Detroit. And not bad on road not great but KC at home would rank above Colts on the road.
Where-as Detroit not very good on the road, actually outplayed by opps.
I'd still side with Colts covering the +3.5 .
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