Posted:
#1
Pittsburgh Steelers @ Denver Broncos
First I wanna start off by saying I hate Tim Tebow. I think he has absolutely no mechanics and shouldn't be a starting QB in this league. Despite this I LOVE the Broncos chances of not only covering but winning this game and this will be my biggest play of the playoffs.
Everyone knows about the Steelers defense but the Broncos defense has been playing just as good as of late. Going up against this Bronco defense we have NO Mendenhall and an injured Big Ben who struggled to put up 3 points against the 49ers and 13 points to the Cleveland Browns the past few weeks. Mike Tomlin's decision not to rest Big Ben the past couple weeks will really haunt him in this game. Ben's biggest attribute is his mobility and his toughness to bring him down for a sack. He won't have this luxury in this game against this Vaunted Denver Dline. I truly feel the Steelers will abandon the run early as they have a below average run game with their starting RB out going up against a solid rushing defense. Being one-dimensional with an injured QB in the playoffs is a recipe for disaster.
Enough about defense's, todays difference-maker will be John Fox. While Mike Tomlin already screwed up by not resting Big Ben, John Fox is a great playoff coach and Im surprised noone else has been talking about this. He's been in 8 playoff games winning 5 of them, a few of those coming as big underdogs. I fully expect a lot of trickeration plays going for long yardage. Everyone in the world is doubting the Broncos and if the players lose it would be expected for them. This type of mindset usually puts fire into those players especially playing in front of their home crowd.
I also love the over in this game. In playoff games the best way to look at over-under is to see what the coaches have to tweak during their gameplanning. Since both of these teams strive on their defense and both coaches have confidence in their defense, they will be doing most of their gameplanning for their offense. As I said before don't be surprised to see a lot of trick plays by John Fox to catch the Steelers D off guard. Also there have been 8 playoff games to date with a total less than 35. Those games went 7-1 to the OVER. As I said above when you have two solid defenses that don't play each other alot the coaches are mostly gameplanning for the offenses switching stuff up.
The Steelers are 1-8 ATS as road favorites of -8 or more the past 7 years. Even if the Steelers win big road favorite games like these they never cover.
Denver Tebows +7.5 (+100)
7 units to win 7 units
Over 33.5
3.3 units to win 3 units
Denver TT Over 13.5
3.3 units to win 3 units
Pending: NY Giants -3 (3 units)
Playoff YTD: (1-0) +4 units
2010-2011 Playoffs: (15-8) +24.35 units
First I wanna start off by saying I hate Tim Tebow. I think he has absolutely no mechanics and shouldn't be a starting QB in this league. Despite this I LOVE the Broncos chances of not only covering but winning this game and this will be my biggest play of the playoffs.
Everyone knows about the Steelers defense but the Broncos defense has been playing just as good as of late. Going up against this Bronco defense we have NO Mendenhall and an injured Big Ben who struggled to put up 3 points against the 49ers and 13 points to the Cleveland Browns the past few weeks. Mike Tomlin's decision not to rest Big Ben the past couple weeks will really haunt him in this game. Ben's biggest attribute is his mobility and his toughness to bring him down for a sack. He won't have this luxury in this game against this Vaunted Denver Dline. I truly feel the Steelers will abandon the run early as they have a below average run game with their starting RB out going up against a solid rushing defense. Being one-dimensional with an injured QB in the playoffs is a recipe for disaster.
Enough about defense's, todays difference-maker will be John Fox. While Mike Tomlin already screwed up by not resting Big Ben, John Fox is a great playoff coach and Im surprised noone else has been talking about this. He's been in 8 playoff games winning 5 of them, a few of those coming as big underdogs. I fully expect a lot of trickeration plays going for long yardage. Everyone in the world is doubting the Broncos and if the players lose it would be expected for them. This type of mindset usually puts fire into those players especially playing in front of their home crowd.
I also love the over in this game. In playoff games the best way to look at over-under is to see what the coaches have to tweak during their gameplanning. Since both of these teams strive on their defense and both coaches have confidence in their defense, they will be doing most of their gameplanning for their offense. As I said before don't be surprised to see a lot of trick plays by John Fox to catch the Steelers D off guard. Also there have been 8 playoff games to date with a total less than 35. Those games went 7-1 to the OVER. As I said above when you have two solid defenses that don't play each other alot the coaches are mostly gameplanning for the offenses switching stuff up.
The Steelers are 1-8 ATS as road favorites of -8 or more the past 7 years. Even if the Steelers win big road favorite games like these they never cover.
Denver Tebows +7.5 (+100) 7 units to win 7 units Over 33.5 3.3 units to win 3 units Denver TT Over 13.5 3.3 units to win 3 units Pending: NY Giants -3 (3 units)
Playoff YTD: (1-0) +4 units
2010-2011 Playoffs: (15-8) +24.35 units
0
thanks LC 
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