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All Forums | NFL Betting Forum

mTbaKer's NFL Picks- Week 11

«First Previous 123 Next Last»
ballinonabudget
beantownforlife
Orangemen44
Atrain5
GerManiac
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«First Previous 123 Next Last»
 
ballinonabudget
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Posted: Nov. 20, 2011 - 4:10 AM ET #26

Love it Baker.

 My biggest lean going into this week was Baltimore followed by the Phins. May have just about convinced me on the 49ers too but I'll have to think it out, just worried they don't cover a lot of points with that double digit spread since they're a running team n I'm sure don't necessarily care to cover the spread.  I'm pretty certain I'll be on that teaser with SF and Baltimore though, definitely don't see either of those teams losing tomorrow. 

Cincy before last game hadn't played any of their division games vs the ravens or steelers yet and have basically had the easiest schedule in the NFL. Now these last cpl weeks they've played their toughest 2 games of the year vs Tenn and Pitt and now have to play Balty off a tough loss and after losing lockdown corner Leon Hall along with stud WR Aj Green. On top of that Ravens will be at home off an embaressing loss in a sandwich game in Seattle they overlooked knowing this huge game vs Cincy was coming up. Horrible spot for the bengals if you ask me. I can't say they definitely cover 7 bc Baltimore isn't the most explosive of teams but def do not see Baltimore losing this one. I'll be on them - the 7 anyway though. May even like it more with ray ray out since Ayanbadejo will def. step up in his absence and the spread may even drop some.  Like that people are on cincy too and that people probably look at their record and believe they truly are the real deal this year. Yeah they were underrated coming into the season but now comes the tough part of the schedule.

No opinion on the browns game.. Other leans of mine are SF Zona under, seattle, chicago, atl

smaller leans: caro and tb

GL

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Love it Baker.

 My biggest lean going into this week was Baltimore followed by the Phins. May have just about convinced me on the 49ers too but I'll have to think it out, just worried they don't cover a lot of points with that double digit spread since they're a running team n I'm sure don't necessarily care to cover the spread.  I'm pretty certain I'll be on that teaser with SF and Baltimore though, definitely don't see either of those teams losing tomorrow. 

Cincy before last game hadn't played any of their division games vs the ravens or steelers yet and have basically had the easiest schedule in the NFL. Now these last cpl weeks they've played their toughest 2 games of the year vs Tenn and Pitt and now have to play Balty off a tough loss and after losing lockdown corner Leon Hall along with stud WR Aj Green. On top of that Ravens will be at home off an embaressing loss in a sandwich game in Seattle they overlooked knowing this huge game vs Cincy was coming up. Horrible spot for the bengals if you ask me. I can't say they definitely cover 7 bc Baltimore isn't the most explosive of teams but def do not see Baltimore losing this one. I'll be on them - the 7 anyway though. May even like it more with ray ray out since Ayanbadejo will def. step up in his absence and the spread may even drop some.  Like that people are on cincy too and that people probably look at their record and believe they truly are the real deal this year. Yeah they were underrated coming into the season but now comes the tough part of the schedule.

No opinion on the browns game.. Other leans of mine are SF Zona under, seattle, chicago, atl

smaller leans: caro and tb

GL

 
beantownforlife
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Posted: Nov. 20, 2011 - 6:00 AM ET #27

Like that Ravens one a lot mr mtbaker, gl bud.
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Like that Ravens one a lot mr mtbaker, gl bud.
 
Orangemen44
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Posted: Nov. 20, 2011 - 6:06 AM ET #28

Good Luck today
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Good Luck today
 
Atrain5
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Posted: Nov. 20, 2011 - 7:42 AM ET #29

Good stuff my man! You still like Baltimore with no Ray Lewis??
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Good stuff my man! You still like Baltimore with no Ray Lewis??
 
GerManiac
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Posted: Nov. 20, 2011 - 10:39 AM ET #30

BOL this weekend buddy  .. great write ups as always

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BOL this weekend buddy  .. great write ups as always

 
HotRoute
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Posted: Nov. 20, 2011 - 10:42 AM ET #31

gl today mt
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gl today mt
 
luckyly
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Posted: Nov. 20, 2011 - 10:53 AM ET #32

[Quote: Originally Posted by mtbaker]

*NOTE:*

Hey guys just wanted to let you know I'm getting a weird feeling about the Phins game.  So if you are cloning any picks don't lock in the Phins yet- want to sleep on that one.  Will update any changes tomorrow morning.  BAL, SF, the teaser, and CLE are ready to rock for sure.  Sorry for the inconvenience

MIAMI COMIN OFF 3 ATP WINS,,BUFF OFF 2 LOST,,,AND THE PTS GOIN UP,,,HMMMM
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[Quote: Originally Posted by mtbaker]

*NOTE:*

Hey guys just wanted to let you know I'm getting a weird feeling about the Phins game.  So if you are cloning any picks don't lock in the Phins yet- want to sleep on that one.  Will update any changes tomorrow morning.  BAL, SF, the teaser, and CLE are ready to rock for sure.  Sorry for the inconvenience

MIAMI COMIN OFF 3 ATP WINS,,BUFF OFF 2 LOST,,,AND THE PTS GOIN UP,,,HMMMM
 
JerryWrasse
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Posted: Nov. 20, 2011 - 10:57 AM ET #33



GL im all but the 9ers. 
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GL im all but the 9ers. 
 
mtbaker
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Posted: Nov. 20, 2011 - 11:54 AM ET #34

Quote Originally Posted by Atrain5:

Good stuff my man! You still like Baltimore with no Ray Lewis??

ya no Lewis no problem the players will step up

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Quote Originally Posted by Atrain5:

Good stuff my man! You still like Baltimore with no Ray Lewis??

ya no Lewis no problem the players will step up

 
mtbaker
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Posted: Nov. 20, 2011 - 11:56 AM ET #35

FOLKS IN A RUSH TODAY SO CAN'T GET TO ALL YOUR COMMENTS:

FINAL CARD:

Adding:

Vikings -1 (-122) to win 20 units

Hedging:

Dolphins -3

 

So final card is Vikings -1, 49ers -10, Ravens -7, and Browns -1

BOL

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FOLKS IN A RUSH TODAY SO CAN'T GET TO ALL YOUR COMMENTS:

FINAL CARD:

Adding:

Vikings -1 (-122) to win 20 units

Hedging:

Dolphins -3

 

So final card is Vikings -1, 49ers -10, Ravens -7, and Browns -1

BOL

 
No_Contest
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Posted: Nov. 20, 2011 - 7:51 PM ET #36

MtBaker, you killing'em Mhane! 
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MtBaker, you killing'em Mhane! 
 
mtbaker
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Posted: Nov. 20, 2011 - 11:05 PM ET #37

Quote Originally Posted by Jose_Reyes:

I think there is going to be a lot of unhappy Buffalo backers this week.  The opening line tells the story here.

why did I hedge this play woulda been 5-0

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Quote Originally Posted by Jose_Reyes:

I think there is going to be a lot of unhappy Buffalo backers this week.  The opening line tells the story here.

why did I hedge this play woulda been 5-0

 
mtbaker
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Posted: Nov. 20, 2011 - 11:18 PM ET #38

HUGE 4-1 DAY BEEN A GOOD COUPLE WEEKS SINCE I'VE HAD A DAY LIKE THIS!  Awesome day too, caught some great CFL action as I was the B.C. Lions game today.

49ers -10 (-110) to win 35 units 

Ravens -6.5 (-113) to win 30 units 

2-Team 7-Point Teaser- Ravens PK and 49ers -3 (-130) to win 10 units 

Browns ML (-110) to win 20 units 

Vikings -1 (-122) to win 20 units 

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HUGE 4-1 DAY BEEN A GOOD COUPLE WEEKS SINCE I'VE HAD A DAY LIKE THIS!  Awesome day too, caught some great CFL action as I was the B.C. Lions game today.

49ers -10 (-110) to win 35 units 

Ravens -6.5 (-113) to win 30 units 

2-Team 7-Point Teaser- Ravens PK and 49ers -3 (-130) to win 10 units 

Browns ML (-110) to win 20 units 

Vikings -1 (-122) to win 20 units 

 
mtbaker
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Posted: Nov. 20, 2011 - 11:22 PM ET #39

NFL Preseason-to-date: 7-1-0 (+21.66 units)

NFL Regular Season-to-date: 34-30-1 (+136.15 units)


Futures:

Jacksonville Jaguars Under 6 Wins (+155) to win 50 units

Buffalo Bills Over 5 Wins (-150) to win 15 units

Buffalo Bills Over 5.5 Wins (Even) to win 15 units

49ers to win NFC West Division (+272) to win 30 units

Ravens to win Super Bowl (+1006) to win 65 units

Bears to win NFC Championship (+2700) to win 200 units 

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NFL Preseason-to-date: 7-1-0 (+21.66 units)

NFL Regular Season-to-date: 34-30-1 (+136.15 units)


Futures:

Jacksonville Jaguars Under 6 Wins (+155) to win 50 units

Buffalo Bills Over 5 Wins (-150) to win 15 units

Buffalo Bills Over 5.5 Wins (Even) to win 15 units

49ers to win NFC West Division (+272) to win 30 units

Ravens to win Super Bowl (+1006) to win 65 units

Bears to win NFC Championship (+2700) to win 200 units 

 
mtbaker
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Posted: Nov. 20, 2011 - 11:24 PM ET #40

Quote Originally Posted by ballinonabudget:

Love it Baker.

 My biggest lean going into this week was Baltimore followed by the Phins. May have just about convinced me on the 49ers too but I'll have to think it out, just worried they don't cover a lot of points with that double digit spread since they're a running team n I'm sure don't necessarily care to cover the spread.  I'm pretty certain I'll be on that teaser with SF and Baltimore though, definitely don't see either of those teams losing tomorrow. 

Cincy before last game hadn't played any of their division games vs the ravens or steelers yet and have basically had the easiest schedule in the NFL. Now these last cpl weeks they've played their toughest 2 games of the year vs Tenn and Pitt and now have to play Balty off a tough loss and after losing lockdown corner Leon Hall along with stud WR Aj Green. On top of that Ravens will be at home off an embaressing loss in a sandwich game in Seattle they overlooked knowing this huge game vs Cincy was coming up. Horrible spot for the bengals if you ask me. I can't say they definitely cover 7 bc Baltimore isn't the most explosive of teams but def do not see Baltimore losing this one. I'll be on them - the 7 anyway though. May even like it more with ray ray out since Ayanbadejo will def. step up in his absence and the spread may even drop some.  Like that people are on cincy too and that people probably look at their record and believe they truly are the real deal this year. Yeah they were underrated coming into the season but now comes the tough part of the schedule.

No opinion on the browns game.. Other leans of mine are SF Zona under, seattle, chicago, atl

smaller leans: caro and tb

GL

Awesome man I was happy to see you liked the Ravens play in the morning when I opened my thread- great leans and plays you musta had a big payday this week.  Love your insights on games and I respect your opinions!

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Quote Originally Posted by ballinonabudget:

Love it Baker.

 My biggest lean going into this week was Baltimore followed by the Phins. May have just about convinced me on the 49ers too but I'll have to think it out, just worried they don't cover a lot of points with that double digit spread since they're a running team n I'm sure don't necessarily care to cover the spread.  I'm pretty certain I'll be on that teaser with SF and Baltimore though, definitely don't see either of those teams losing tomorrow. 

Cincy before last game hadn't played any of their division games vs the ravens or steelers yet and have basically had the easiest schedule in the NFL. Now these last cpl weeks they've played their toughest 2 games of the year vs Tenn and Pitt and now have to play Balty off a tough loss and after losing lockdown corner Leon Hall along with stud WR Aj Green. On top of that Ravens will be at home off an embaressing loss in a sandwich game in Seattle they overlooked knowing this huge game vs Cincy was coming up. Horrible spot for the bengals if you ask me. I can't say they definitely cover 7 bc Baltimore isn't the most explosive of teams but def do not see Baltimore losing this one. I'll be on them - the 7 anyway though. May even like it more with ray ray out since Ayanbadejo will def. step up in his absence and the spread may even drop some.  Like that people are on cincy too and that people probably look at their record and believe they truly are the real deal this year. Yeah they were underrated coming into the season but now comes the tough part of the schedule.

No opinion on the browns game.. Other leans of mine are SF Zona under, seattle, chicago, atl

smaller leans: caro and tb

GL

Awesome man I was happy to see you liked the Ravens play in the morning when I opened my thread- great leans and plays you musta had a big payday this week.  Love your insights on games and I respect your opinions!

 
mtbaker
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Posted: Nov. 20, 2011 - 11:25 PM ET #41

Quote Originally Posted by beantownforlife:

Like that Ravens one a lot mr mtbaker, gl bud.

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Quote Originally Posted by beantownforlife:

Like that Ravens one a lot mr mtbaker, gl bud.

 
mtbaker
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Posted: Nov. 20, 2011 - 11:26 PM ET #42

Orangemen44, GerManiac, and HotRoute 
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Orangemen44, GerManiac, and HotRoute 
 
mtbaker
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Posted: Nov. 20, 2011 - 11:27 PM ET #43

Quote Originally Posted by luckyly:

Quote Originally Posted by mtbaker:

*NOTE:*

Hey guys just wanted to let you know I'm getting a weird feeling about the Phins game.  So if you are cloning any picks don't lock in the Phins yet- want to sleep on that one.  Will update any changes tomorrow morning.  BAL, SF, the teaser, and CLE are ready to rock for sure.  Sorry for the inconvenience

MIAMI COMIN OFF 3 ATP WINS,,BUFF OFF 2 LOST,,,AND THE PTS GOIN UP,,,HMMMM

Still upset about hedging this would have been a perfect day- congrats if you took Miami man that team is rolling

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Quote Originally Posted by luckyly:

Quote Originally Posted by mtbaker:

*NOTE:*

Hey guys just wanted to let you know I'm getting a weird feeling about the Phins game.  So if you are cloning any picks don't lock in the Phins yet- want to sleep on that one.  Will update any changes tomorrow morning.  BAL, SF, the teaser, and CLE are ready to rock for sure.  Sorry for the inconvenience

MIAMI COMIN OFF 3 ATP WINS,,BUFF OFF 2 LOST,,,AND THE PTS GOIN UP,,,HMMMM

Still upset about hedging this would have been a perfect day- congrats if you took Miami man that team is rolling

 
mtbaker
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Posted: Nov. 20, 2011 - 11:28 PM ET #44

Quote Originally Posted by JerryWrasse:



GL im all but the 9ers. 

nice- liked the Browns post you made in andarmac's thread too!

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Quote Originally Posted by JerryWrasse:



GL im all but the 9ers. 

nice- liked the Browns post you made in andarmac's thread too!

 
mtbaker
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Posted: Nov. 20, 2011 - 11:28 PM ET #45

Quote Originally Posted by No_Contest:

MtBaker, you killing'em Mhane! 

finally had a breakthrough week!

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Quote Originally Posted by No_Contest:

MtBaker, you killing'em Mhane! 

finally had a breakthrough week!

 
akatdrake
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Posted: Nov. 21, 2011 - 1:02 AM ET #46

mt - Curious as to why you decided against the Phins? I don't mean to rub salt in the wound.

Congrats on the excellent day!!

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mt - Curious as to why you decided against the Phins? I don't mean to rub salt in the wound.

Congrats on the excellent day!!

 
mtbaker
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Posted: Nov. 21, 2011 - 1:08 AM ET #47

Quote Originally Posted by akatdrake:

mt - Curious as to why you decided against the Phins? I don't mean to rub salt in the wound.

Congrats on the excellent day!!

thanks!

no worries about the salt in the wounds- I just felt that they might have been content after ending their home losing streak and season losing streak over the past two weeks- dumb call but at least it didn't put too big a damper in my week

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Quote Originally Posted by akatdrake:

mt - Curious as to why you decided against the Phins? I don't mean to rub salt in the wound.

Congrats on the excellent day!!

thanks!

no worries about the salt in the wounds- I just felt that they might have been content after ending their home losing streak and season losing streak over the past two weeks- dumb call but at least it didn't put too big a damper in my week

 
mtbaker
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Posted: Nov. 21, 2011 - 1:11 AM ET #48

Leans for Week 12:

Browns +7- Lovin this right now

Rams ATS

Wash-Seattle Over 37.5

Eagles ATS

Bears ATS

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Leans for Week 12:

Browns +7- Lovin this right now

Rams ATS

Wash-Seattle Over 37.5

Eagles ATS

Bears ATS

 
cutebrute
cutebrute
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Posts: 4128
Posted: Nov. 21, 2011 - 1:18 AM ET #49

your bookie must hate you. nice job today.
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your bookie must hate you. nice job today.
 
 
GerManiac
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Posted: Nov. 21, 2011 - 5:27 AM ET #50

Quote Originally Posted by mtbaker:

finally had a breakthrough week!



I knew it right from the beginning... i didn´t had the time yesterday to cap and to inform on all the games... but it was so obvious, if I don´t play anything all plays (I wanted to play, but I didn´t) will win.

I´m happy you cashed buddy ... I need more time next week


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Quote Originally Posted by mtbaker:

finally had a breakthrough week!



I knew it right from the beginning... i didn´t had the time yesterday to cap and to inform on all the games... but it was so obvious, if I don´t play anything all plays (I wanted to play, but I didn´t) will win.

I´m happy you cashed buddy ... I need more time next week


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