49ers -10 (-110) to win 35 units
The Niners were my biggest play last week and they got it done so why not go back to the well on a team that is undefeated against the spread this season when there are a lot of reasons to like em. The Niners are like the Chicago Bulls of the NBA last year. They are finally winning a lot with a driven coach and want to keep it going during the season. A lot of people including myself at first glance thought that the Niners would be looking ahead to their big game against the Ravens on Thanksgiving after a big win over the Giants, but the more I look into it the more I don’t think the Niners will be looking past the Cardinals who beat a solid Eagles team and almost beat the Ravens on the road.
"We're not going to save anything for the swim back if that's what you're asking," Harbaugh said on Wednesday. "This is a division game, these games are worth two games. It's all important. This is the most important game of the year, because it's the next game."
"He told us, 'I don't care if you're tired (for preseason),'" cornerback Carlos Rogers recalled. "I was like, 'Don't we want to win?'"
Harbaugh's response was that he didn't care about winning exhibitions, he wanted to set the team up for wins in the regular season.”
“This is not a trap game for us. This is a rivalry game,” left tackle Joe Staley said. “We expect the best effort out of them. It’s always a very physical game regardless of records. We came into their place when they went to the Super Bowl that year (2008), went to their house and beat them. We had a bad record that year.”
One thing about trap games is that they usually do not happen when reporters continue bringing it to the coaches attention and make a big point of it. The Niners haven’t done shit for the past decade before this season. They are now tasting success and continue to want to prove people wrong. They also know that this is their 2nd division game of the season and will pretty much have the division locked up by Thanksgiving with a win.
People are talking a lot about the Niners schedule seem to be forgetting about Arizona’s schedule. The Cardinals are not gonna have much left in the tank for this game. Week 7 vs. Pitt (West Coast), Week 8 @ Balty (East Coast), Week 9 vs. STL (West Coast), and Week 10 @ PHI (East Coast). They have been travelling a lot and are off of two large comeback victories in consecutive weeks. When bad teams come back like that it takes a lot of energy out of them and playing a GOOD defense and very physical Niners team in front of a rowdy Candlestick crowd, I think they are gonna be in tough here. Another thing I don’t like for the Cardinals is that Kolb returned to practice and now Whisenhunt and Skelton have been having to deal with a lot of garbage about a QB controversy, which I think will ruin their focus a little. Matchup-wise the Niners are gonna give the Cards fits here.
The Cardinals have a stud wideout in Fitzgerald. Unfortunately, the Niners have a great defensive back in Carlos Rogers and schemes to slow down top wideouts that have slowed down wideouts like Calvin Johnson, Nicks, etc. The Cards will not be able to run the ball at all here with a banged up Beanie Wells going up against a top 3 run D. This will lead to a lot of 3rd and longs and that’s gonna be a disaster for John Skelton and the Cards who GIVE UP THE 2ND MOST SACKS IN THE LEAGUE against a good Niners pass rush.
On the other side of the ball the Cards D has been improving but I think they’ll be a little worn down heading into this game. Their secondary is nothing special and with the way Smith hurled the rock last week I think the Niners can move the chains. Gore is going to play and him and Hunter will run the ball well here. I’ll take the Niners in a comfortable win.
Ravens -6.5 (-113) to win 30 units
Not many people like this play. I all I see and hear are how the Bengals are such a good play at +6.5 or +7. The Ravens looked like junk last week against Seattle, but then again they always do against bad teams. Here they return home where they are dominant in big games. This year they beat the Steelers 35-7, Texans 29-14, and Jets 34-17 in routs at home. The Ravens are a good team when they are focused and they will be really focused here. WITH A WIN THE RAVENS WILL BE IN 1ST PLACE IN THE AFC AND ABLE TO CONTROL THEIR DESTINY. They are going up against a scrappy Bengals team with the same record and who always give them a tough time…they’ll be ready to go. If the Bengals were at full strength I would have layed off this game but they aren’t. They are missing their best defender in DB Leon Hall, their best pass rusher in DE Dunlap, and their best wideout and offensive weapon in A.J. Green. YIKES!
On offense the Ravens will go with a much more balanced attack after throwing the ball way too much last week. Ray Rice ONLY RAN THE BALL 5 TIMES…5 TIMES. Rice is one of the best running backs in the game and after getting so few carries I think he’s gonna have a ton of energy in the tank tomorrow against a Bengals team probably still licking their wounds after a physical game with the Steel. Leon Hall is one the premier defensive backs in the league. With him out, Boldin and Smith will be able to get open for Flacco and the Bengals won’t be able to focus on the stopping the run as much.
The Bengals offense is not very good. Cedric Benson hasn’t done anything the past couple of games and I think Balty is gonna shut him down big time. Dalton has no A.J. Green so Caldwell and Simpson probably won’t get that open against Webb, Reed and Williams. The Ravens D did well last week they were just worn out because of two stupid kick return fumbles leading to a lot of red zone oppurtunities for the Seabags. Now I know Ray Lewis is out, but the Ravens will be even more focused to step up for him. I think this proud D comes up big tomorrow. Ravens by Double Digits in a statement game over this public and fashionable underdog in the Bengals who are missing their 3 Key players. Plus the Ravens do their best when no one expects them to so this is a nice spot to take em.
2-Team 7-Point Teaser- Ravens PK and 49ers -3 (-130) to win 10 units
Just insurance in case one of these spreads get backdoored, as I don’t see either of these teams losing.
Dolphins -2 (-110) to win 25 units
People expect the Bills to bounce back here but I don’t. This game reminds me of the Lions-Bears last week. The Bills are a .500 ball club after their defensive tackle Williams went out with an injury. The Bills are a young team that hasn’t tasted success before and do not really know how to stop the bleeding of a losing streak like veteran teams do.
"We put in some good practice time and really thought we'd come out here and play well," Fitzpatrick said. "It's hard to even think ahead right now because of how embarrassing that loss was."
The Bills put in a great deal of effort but got absolutely smoked by the Jets and Cowboys in consecutive weeks. They now are starting to doubt themselves as contenders. The Dolphins on the other hand are a veteran ball club playing really well right now. They played some tough teams and lost some close games before getting going the last 2 weeks. After finally winning their first home game in over a year I don’t think the Dolphins want to lose another one when the fans start coming to watch em.
On offense the Bills are not looking good this week. They are missing their starting Center and their two best receivers in Nelson and Stevie Johnson are playing banged up. I think Vontae Davis can slow down Johnson the way Revis did a couple weeks ago. The Bills have one of the best running backs in the game in Fred Jackson, but the Dolphins are gonna focus on him and do a decent job with their 6th best run D. The Dolphins have also been getting pressure to the quarterback a lot the last couple of games and I think Cam Wake and Co. can bother Fitzpatrick.
The Bills defense has been disgusting since NT Kevin Williams got a season-ending injury. The Dolphins led by the rejuvenated Reggie Bush should get some yards on the ground. Moore has been playing well and will be able to tank advantage of a mediocre Bills secondary who’ll be without starting safety George Wilson.
The sharps have pumped the line from -1 to -3 within the past couple of hours and I think they are right on this one and the public’s wrong. Gimme the Phins here!
Browns ML (-110) to win 20 units
Oh god I’m taking one last stand on the Browns. Last play of the week and viewer discretion is advised as you’d probably want to cover your eyes if you’re watching this dump match between the Browns and Jags. The Jaguars are playing their 4th road game in 5 weeks and will be going for 3 home games after this including a big division tilt with the Texans. The Browns are angry after losing a game that they should have won last week at home. I think they take it out on a banged up Jags team.
The Dawg Pound is always a tough place to play and the Browns have a top-notch pass D. Gabbert is going to have an awful time throwing the ball and that will allow the Browns to really key-in on the running attack of the Jags. The Browns rush D was really good the first 6 weeks or so before some bad performances against the Niners, Texans, and Rams. The Jags have no pass threat so I think they’ll be able to handle MJD who doesn’t average many yards a carry anyways as the Jags don’t do that well in YPC on the ground.
On the other side of the ball the Jags are banged up. They lost their best defensive back and defensive tackle in Mathis and Knighton, respectively to injury. The Browns led by Ogbonnaya has improved his rushing ability and can take advantage of this. They also get Massaquoi back which will be a big boost for McCoy as he will have an added target to go along with Little. The Jags won’t be able to pressure McCoy that much with O-Linemen Mack, Pashos, and Thomas all healthy. Gimme the Browns here as they lost their ugly game last week but I think they get it back this week with a win knowing that they have a tough schedule from here on out.
GL
Hope Dolphins win would be a real shame if the Bills won and that took a chunk out of my future. Leaning strong to Minny and Philly as well, we'll see if I add em or not.
NFL Preseason-to-date: 7-1-0 (+21.66 units)
NFL Regular Season-to-date: 30-29-1 (+65.55 units)
Futures:
Jacksonville Jaguars Under 6 Wins (+155) to win 50 units 
Buffalo Bills Over 5 Wins (-150) to win 15 units 
Buffalo Bills Over 5.5 Wins (Even) to win 15 units
49ers to win NFC West Division (+272) to win 30 units
Ravens to win Super Bowl (+1006) to win 65 units
Bears to win NFC Championship (+2700) to win 200 units
ya I don't think it's going to be a rout but I think the Dolphins win here and it's gonna take the Bills a game or 2 to right the ship IMO
Good news for you, I don't like SF. ARI is playing pretty well with Skelton and SF is due to lose one ATS and possilby SU.
Will be interesting. I think the Niners have that killer instinct this week and matchup really well with a beat up Cardinals team. If they are focused like I think they will be then they'll cover for sure but I am a fan of Skelton though that's why I took em against the Rams.
*NOTE:*
Hey guys just wanted to let you know I'm getting a weird feeling about the Phins game. So if you are cloning any picks don't lock in the Phins yet- want to sleep on that one. Will update any changes tomorrow morning. BAL, SF, the teaser, and CLE are ready to rock for sure. Sorry for the inconvenience
thanks man glad to hear that- I might actually not play the Phins they worked hard to end their season losing streak and home losing streak so they might exhale here against a hungry Bills team- might want to sleep on this one kinda wish I didn't post that play
SF's D is gonna be too much for a banged up ARZ squad
GL Homer Love SF myself, especially in a tease. Any tease. .. hehe I'm a homer for the 2nd straight week for sure but I really like the play and I don't think the Niners look ahead here as Harbaugh will have them focused
If you are doing a teaser I would strongly consider Balty no way in hell they blow that game with Cincy's best playmakers hurt and the AFC home-field advantage potentially at stake- I would tease the Niners not sure about the Lions and Packers though although I do think the Lions win
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