Posted:
#26
love the pick here. Also looking to take indy ML 
0
Monday Night Football, AUSSIE'S Pick
Posted:
#29
Quote Originally Posted by wasabitobiko:
You sure you don't mean over 84% on the OVER?.. That's what I'm reading.. and the line opened at 42 and has moved south to 40..
That would support fading the public Auss..
You're perfectly correct mate. My bad. That should read 84% on the over, rather than under. Just my typo.
You sure you don't mean over 84% on the OVER?.. That's what I'm reading.. and the line opened at 42 and has moved south to 40..
That would support fading the public Auss..
0
Manning on MNF = OVER
Posted:
#38
I'm confused here, if it opened at 42 and people are slamming the over, would that not mean that the line would go up and not down. Is this one of those cases of reverse line movement.
You have the mojority of people on one side but wise guys make plays the other way and since they have bigger bets they cause the line movement. I the line goes back up to 42 or close to it I will be all over the under if not just teasing TENN and the Under by 7
0
Posted:
#46
excellant handicapper
Quote Originally Posted by Aussieguy:
Good luck
23W-15L YTD
Has the MNF Under draught been broken yet?! Well you wouldn't think so when the MNF Over sits so pretty at 8-0-1 this NFL season!!!!!! Therefore, would I be way too stupid to take a stab at the Under here???? Or is it more like a sucidial case, where one is stabbing his own self by taking this Under?!
Whatever the case, all i know is that Tennessee boast the stingiest defense, allowing just 66 points during their last six games, and they rank third in the league in total defense, where they've given up just 268.5 yards per game (179 through the air and 89.5 on the ground).
I also find it quite interesting that over 84% of the bets taken so far have been on the under, yet the total hasn't budged at all. I don't think it'll move much either. ... Sharp money has been on the under
Pick: UNDER 40.5 for a 2.5 Unit play
Good luck AUSSIE
0
Posted:
#48
I'm confused here, if it opened at 42 and people are slamming the over, would that not mean that the line would go up and not down. Is this one of those cases of reverse line movement.....
That's where public consensus and Sharp Syndicates collide. Their money keeps this number down.
AC yeah you can't be anymore correct about the law of averages coming into effect here. I'm hoping the push last week was the beginning of another trend. Hopefully it goes one better this week, but I also appreciate pipedoctor's post where he mentioned Manning MNF=Over! It's a valid point for sure and I've taken into consideration.
This is just a "couldn't resist" wager, as we count down 24 more hrs. There'll be a couple of picks in the Pick 'n' Roll section tomorrow
.
Good luck everyone and let's hope this baby stays well and truly UNDER
0
Hot Forum Topics
