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Monday Night Football, AUSSIE'S Pick

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23W-15L YTD
Has the MNF Under draught been broken yet?! Well you wouldn't think so when the MNF Over sits so pretty at 8-0-1 this NFL season!!!!!! Therefore, would I be way too stupid to take a stab at the Under here???? Or is it more like a sucidial case, where one is stabbing his own self by taking this Under?!
Whatever the case, all i know is that Tennessee boast the stingiest defense, allowing just 66 points during their last six games, and they rank third in the league in total defense, where they've given up just 268.5 yards per game (179 through the air and 89.5 on the ground).
I also find it quite interesting that over 84% of the bets taken so far have been on the under, yet the total hasn't budged at all. I don't think it'll move much either. ...  Sharp money has been on the under
Pick: UNDER 40.5 for a 2.5 Unit play
 Good luck
AUSSIE

 

 
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Posted: #2
BOL tonight....
 
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I'm on
 
keep up the good work aussie
 
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parlayed the under with Querrey to beat the pizza muncher bagdadis in the tennis
 
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GL MATE
 
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Posted: #7
GL I have the nuder as well
 
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Posted: #8
under

 
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Posted: #9
Hey Auss,
 
Actually line opened at 42 at Pinnacle and a couple others. Down to 40 now. I show 78% on Over (80% 1st Half on Over)...
 
Texans do have the stingy D.... and on the flip side, their O is all about the ground game. I foresee lots of Colts in the box, blitzing "thru" the runnin backs and applying bu-ku pressure on Collins (who isnt exactly mobile or accurate.)
 
Under is a solid cap, and a good call for tonite. That being said...   and..... Under .... cause a little luck or divine intervention cant do no harm.
 
 
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Posted: #10
Quote Originally Posted by lonetreejj:

Hey Auss,
 
Actually line opened at 42 at Pinnacle and a couple others. Down to 40 now. I show 78% on Over (80% 1st Half on Over)...
 
Texans do have the stingy D.... and on the flip side, their O is all about the ground game. I foresee lots of Colts in the box, blitzing "thru" the runnin backs and applying bu-ku pressure on Collins (who isnt exactly mobile or accurate.)
 
Under is a solid cap, and a good call for tonite. That being said...   and..... Under .... cause a little luck or divine intervention cant do no harm.
 


Titans you mean sir?
 
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Posted: #11
bol
 
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Yes Neef.... Titans
 
early mornin grogs got me.
 
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Quote Originally Posted by Aussieguy:

23W-15L YTD
Has the MNF Under draught been broken yet?! Well you wouldn't think so when the MNF Over sits so pretty at 8-0-1 this NFL season!!!!!! Therefore, would I be way too stupid to take a stab at the Under here???? Or is it more like a sucidial case, where one is stabbing his own self by taking this Under?!
Whatever the case, all i know is that Tennessee boast the stingiest defense, allowing just 66 points during their last six games, and they rank third in the league in total defense, where they've given up just 268.5 yards per game (179 through the air and 89.5 on the ground).
I also find it quite interesting that over 84% of the bets taken so far have been on the under, yet the total hasn't budged at all. I don't think it'll move much either. ...  Sharp money has been on the under
Pick: UNDER 40.5 for a 2.5 Unit play
 Good luck
AUSSIE

 



You sure you don't mean over 84% on the OVER?..  That's what I'm reading.. and the line opened at 42 and has moved south to 40..

That would support fading the public Auss..



 
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GL 2nite mate, this has been a tough game to cap
 
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Posted: #16
gl aussie
 
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Posted: #17
These guys have a point.  According to Vegas Insider/Sportsbook.com is looks like the O/U opened at 41.5 and is at 40 currently. Looks like the public is at 87% on the OVER. 
 
 
Week 8 Monday Oct 27, 2008
INDIANAPOLIS COLTS @ TENNESSEE TITANS
Record Line Betting Trend
Teams 225 Indianapolis Colts (3-3) (2-1 A)  L-1   41.5   40.0   38%   81%   87% 
226 Tennessee Titans (6-0) (3-0 H)  W-6   -4.0   -4.0   62%   19%   13% 
  Analysis  ·  Line Movements  ·  BT Movements  ·  Weather  ·  Injuries  ·  Player News  · Picks
 
 
 
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Posted: #18

It cut off the end. Let me try again.

Week 8 Monday Oct 27, 2008

INDIANAPOLIS COLTS @ TENNESSEE TITANS
Record Line Betting Trend
Teams 225 Indianapolis Colts (3-3) (2-1 A)  L-1   41.5   40.0   38%   81%   87% 
226 Tennessee Titans (6-0) (3-0 H)  W-6   -4.0   -4.0   62%   19%   13% 
  Analysis  ·  Line Movements  ·  BT Movements  ·  Weather  ·  Injuries  ·  Player News  · Picks
 
 
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Posted: #19
Did it again! Sorry!
Supposed to be Betting Trend O 87%, U 13%
 
 
BTW, any thought on a 1H line?
Thanks BOL!
 
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Posted: #21
Gonna hope titans D scores some and takin the over
 
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Posted: #23
I'm with ya Aussie...Think that push last week breaks ground on the over streak. UNDER she is..GLuck
 
Titans 20
Colts  17
Bet with your wallet not your heart
 
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Posted: #24
GL AussieGuy
 
 
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GL Aussie
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