Posted:
#1
Now at -110 +3.5 really would have liked to see that line trend toward +3 and +2.5. I’m on Steelers since this morning…
Line movement is bad for Steelers
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Views: 2136
Posts: 23
Posted:
#7
Quote Originally Posted by davemsh:
Line movement is because Cook is playing
Line movement is because Cook is playing
Cook was announced as playing at 10am. The line has been trending towards 4 all day. Don’t be surprised if it hits 4 before kick which is a death sentence to Pittsburg backers. Just my opinion after 25 years of this.
Posted:
#11
Quote Originally Posted by Pro_Fball_Picks:
Quote Originally Posted by davemsh: Line movement is because Cook is playing Cook was announced as playing at 10am. The line has been trending towards 4 all day. Don’t be surprised if it hits 4 before kick which is a death sentence to Pittsburg backers. Just my opinion after 25 years of this.
Quote Originally Posted by davemsh: Line movement is because Cook is playing Cook was announced as playing at 10am. The line has been trending towards 4 all day. Don’t be surprised if it hits 4 before kick which is a death sentence to Pittsburg backers. Just my opinion after 25 years of this.
Like the line movement is indicative of who is going to win....people still believe there are people out there that have some sort gift to pick games.....their pick, my pick, and anyone else's pick ( spread betting ) has the same chance of winning.
Posted:
#14
Line movement is the most important indicator of professional sports betters. It’s more important than who’s injured, who’s playing, which coach has covid, who they lost to last week, etc. For some reason people that don’t know how to read it or don’t want to put time into it just say it doesn’t matter and any bet can win/lose.
Posted:
#20
Quote Originally Posted by Ishman17:
Quote Originally Posted by Pro_Fball_Picks: Quote Originally Posted by davemsh: Line movement is because Cook is playing Cook was announced as playing at 10am. The line has been trending towards 4 all day. Don’t be surprised if it hits 4 before kick which is a death sentence to Pittsburg backers. Just my opinion after 25 years of this. Like the line movement is indicative of who is going to win....people still believe there are people out there that have some sort gift to pick games.....their pick, my pick, and anyone else's pick ( spread betting ) has the same chance of winning.
Quote Originally Posted by Pro_Fball_Picks: Quote Originally Posted by davemsh: Line movement is because Cook is playing Cook was announced as playing at 10am. The line has been trending towards 4 all day. Don’t be surprised if it hits 4 before kick which is a death sentence to Pittsburg backers. Just my opinion after 25 years of this. Like the line movement is indicative of who is going to win....people still believe there are people out there that have some sort gift to pick games.....their pick, my pick, and anyone else's pick ( spread betting ) has the same chance of winning.
Exactly. In this case it looks to be right but it's wrong all the time.
In Week 13 there were only 3 games that moved a full 1.5 points from the opening numbers. All 3 of them lost both ATS and SU.
The Bengals opened at 1.5 and went off at 3. They proceeded to get killed.
The Ravens opened at 3 and went off at 4.5. That's a massive move across those numbers. They lost SU.
The Niners opened at 2 and went off at 3.5. They lost the game badly.
Source is bookies.com and these were the only full 1.5 point line moves.
0-3 ATS
0-3 ML
Posted:
#22
@Danny9999
You are making a couple of mistakes with sweeping generalizations. You are mentioning opening line vs closing line which has nothing to do with what I am talking about. If you learn to diagnose line movement in situational forms such as tonight’s game (Steelers off a big win against a super over valued ravens team in the eyes of the public, Vikings off a lose to the lions which literally crushed the public last week due to teasers, Steelers with the better overall record, -3 juiced to $125 all day to scare off public betters who won’t lay that, the line moving to -3.5 mid day and trending towards -4 to scare off more public, etc.). These situations aren’t available every week never mind every game - another that comes to mind recently was the 49ers vs Rams a few weeks back and the Patriots going to +2.5 the other night against the Bills.
The second mistake you are making is you are saying “line movement loses all the time”. Well, of course it does? If it didn’t then this would be the easiest investment known to man and we would all be filthy rich. The key is to learn to diagnose line movement that matters vs what doesn’t. This is also another reason recreational betters lose 99% of the time - They see a post like this, go into Sunday, bet against the line movement, and go 1-3 on the day and give up.
Anyways GL
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