Let's talk about Broncos @ Dolphins

Dolphins favorite by only -6.5 is already my pick.

Tua is getting the ball out extremely quickly, he’s only been sacked once and is facing the LEAST amount of pressure per dropback. This is significant because the Denver Broncos are generating the second-least amount of pressure in the league.

The Broncos need to be concerned about their defense as a whole after getting torched by the Commanders in Week 2 that could barely move the football in Week 1 vs. the dinky Cardinals. Denver has now allowed 27 or more points in five of its last seven games and won’t have an easy time vs. quite possibly the league’s top offense.

Miami’s defense had a solid bounce-back performance in Week 2 vs. the Patriots, allowing just three points in the opening three quarters. I’m sure the Dolphins defensive coordinator Vic Fangio — who isn’t far removed from being fired as head coach of the Broncos — would love nothing more than to embarrass his old team.

Miami should have a nice home-field advantage in that early-season South Florida heat and humidity. This will also be Denver’s first game in the early afternoon timeslot.

Me personaly, I love Russel Wilson (I'm a Seahawk), and I know he's playing better football this year. But won't bet Denver this year, especially on the road against possibly the best AFC team at the moment. Denver's defense and Denver's OL protection of Russell is NOT playing well this year.

Hell, I wouldn't bet Denver here even if they were getting +10.5.

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thoughts?

Oh yeah, almost 69% of the public is on Dolphins -6.5.

And they are right on being here, just as they were right yesterday on being on 49ers -10.5 against the Giants. (final score 30-12 for the 49ers).

Don't forget that the public is not always 100% wrong on their picks.

Actually, I wish I had a official number about the public being right or wrong for Last Season, does someone have it?

In general, the public is right about half the time. 

I like Miami to beat Denver by at least 10. Tua is the front runner MVP now so expect a lot out of him against a mediocre Broncos squad. Russell Wilson will have at least two turnover, probably in the 2nd H. I have Dolphins winning the Division this year. Broncos will have a tough time in the Miami heat.  

All over Dolphins. Denver D has been a mess this year. Dolphins will roll 

Fangio and Chubb will be there to greet them when they get off the plane.

Yes they will Mr Russo..

It's interesting but Sean Payton (if you look at his track record) has about the worst ATS record in weeks 1 & 2 that probably exist in the history of the world.

When you think about it, the line seems suspiciously low.  You have a 70%+ clip of bettors proclaiming this one is over already.

I see value in the Broncos,  Wilson did alright last week.  Ya, the wheels fell off but there were some good things I saw out of him.  

Ironically, if I saw -7.5, I'd lean Miami but the -6.5 is catching my eye.  It's too fishy (pardon the pun).  

I can see Denver hanging around and like last week the backdoor is open for some monkey business.  Not far fetched for the Fish to be up by 10, 11 late in the game and Russell goes vintage and breaks the hearts of Miami bettors everywhere.

Siding with the Broncos this week.  And just to add a teensy bit of doubt here...  Our pod of dolphins may just have the slightest of forecasting on next week's trip to Orchard Park.  Talk about a heavyweight tilt.  Sunday seems like a sparring match before the big road game in seven days.

GL on your bet.

Let Russ cook!

NFL is tough. MIA isn’t as good as people may think out the gate. Broncos are unreliable. GL. 

@North-Japan

 Well said 

and like SF who started 2-0 on the road came home and took care of business. 
I also think Miami comes home Hot and hungry.  

@Fuse

 If the Miami Defense continues to improve under Vic Fangio then Miami is good.  

That’s a sizable amount of points -6.5 and I do think that Belicheck put out a blue print on how to play Miami defensively with safety’s.. with waddle out.. this favors the broncos.. they won’t need to generate too much pressure and they will gladly give up plays underneath.. Denver has been playing well offensively..the defense has been there guy in the armor..I do believe even though Russell Wilson has looked like a pile of dog crap since last year he’s been playing better this season and he “looks” better than Mac Jones.. he also has better receivers.. Miamis defense gives up points as well…gave up 34 to chargers and only won by 2 points also versus NE won by 1 score 24-17….by a weaker receiving corps..to me 6.5 is a lot…

Miamis defense is very suspect in my opinion... I ultimately think this is there weakness.. schemes are useless if you don’t have the players executing I believe Denver stays in the game and keeps it close

Good Luck with your choice