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    All Forums | NFL Betting Forum

    Let me help you...NFL Week 15...

    «First Previous 1234 Next Last»
    NinjaNight
    JetsFan37
    smacksmiter
    Vectorfsm
    Rowdie22
    ...
    Participants:
    Search
    Views: 9877
    Posts: 79
    «First Previous 1234 Next Last»
     
    NinjaNight
    NinjaNight
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    Posted: Dec. 12, 2018 - 7:54 PM ET #26

    Quote Originally Posted by smacksmiter:

    I'm seeing some people talking about high winds at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City for the game tonight...

     

    That game isn't tonight, you're a day too early 
    On a quest to be the very best
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by smacksmiter:

    I'm seeing some people talking about high winds at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City for the game tonight...

     

    That game isn't tonight, you're a day too early 
     
    JetsFan37
    JetsFan37
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    Posted: Dec. 12, 2018 - 8:01 PM ET #27

    With Wentz out I like the Rams 
    Reply
    With Wentz out I like the Rams 
     
    smacksmiter
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    Posted: Dec. 12, 2018 - 9:09 PM ET #28

    Quote Originally Posted by NinjaNight:


    That game isn't tonight, you're a day too early 

    I'm glad somebody caught that...lol...
    PM for the skinny on the down low
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by NinjaNight:


    That game isn't tonight, you're a day too early 

    I'm glad somebody caught that...lol...
     
    NinjaNight
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    Posted: Dec. 12, 2018 - 9:47 PM ET #29

    Quote Originally Posted by JetsFan37:

    With Wentz out I like the Rams 

    Careful, they might actually be better with Foles. I liked Rams with Wentz in.
    On a quest to be the very best
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by JetsFan37:

    With Wentz out I like the Rams 

    Careful, they might actually be better with Foles. I liked Rams with Wentz in.
     
    Vectorfsm
    Vectorfsm
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    Posted: Dec. 13, 2018 - 12:13 PM ET #30

    I'm feeling great about:

    Bears
    Pats
    Hawks
    Saints

    So good I'm going to do a 4 gamer on them...just figuring the amount.

    Leans are:

    Rams
    Jags

    GL ALL!

    Reply

    I'm feeling great about:

    Bears
    Pats
    Hawks
    Saints

    So good I'm going to do a 4 gamer on them...just figuring the amount.

    Leans are:

    Rams
    Jags

    GL ALL!

     
    Vectorfsm
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    Posted: Dec. 13, 2018 - 12:32 PM ET #31

    FYI my book (online) is offering Pats at 2.5 up to a $5500 bet.

    Reply

    FYI my book (online) is offering Pats at 2.5 up to a $5500 bet.

     
    smacksmiter
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    Posted: Dec. 13, 2018 - 7:37 PM ET #32

    I'm seeing a LOT of love for the Chargers tonight...last week there was a ton of love for Minnesota too...Seattle was a nice easy winner for me...just sayin.......but I'm not the type that makes picks just to go contrarian to Covers...

    Public money is moving toward the Chiefs a bit it seems...up to -4 at some spots now...

    Melvin Gordon highly unlikely to play...even if he does, he will not be his normal self...Ekler out as well...Chargers are starting 2 rookie running backs..this will allow the Chiefs to focus on disrupting Rivers...Have you ever seen Phyllis Rivers when he gets pressure, especially up the middle?...he is BAD..I have lost so much money on him when he panics and twists his panties up in a wad so tight he can't breathe....

    Andy Reid has literally owned the Chargers in Arrowhead...he just doesn't lose to them...

    Eric Berry..the leader of the Chiefs defense...is back..even if in a limited snap role...that's a big deal to the Chiefs...

    Short week...always favors the home team...

    Did the #1 Baltimore defense stop Mahomes....nope...will the Chargers defense stop Mahomes?...nope...


    I just can't wager on Rivers in this spot...if I lose, so be it...Mahomes is the new gun in the NFL and I am going to bet that he can out duel the old gunslinger in this game...

    I can still get the -3.5...buying the .5..why?  It's the NFL, that's why...

    Good luck tonight!








    PM for the skinny on the down low
    Reply
    I'm seeing a LOT of love for the Chargers tonight...last week there was a ton of love for Minnesota too...Seattle was a nice easy winner for me...just sayin.......but I'm not the type that makes picks just to go contrarian to Covers...

    Public money is moving toward the Chiefs a bit it seems...up to -4 at some spots now...

    Melvin Gordon highly unlikely to play...even if he does, he will not be his normal self...Ekler out as well...Chargers are starting 2 rookie running backs..this will allow the Chiefs to focus on disrupting Rivers...Have you ever seen Phyllis Rivers when he gets pressure, especially up the middle?...he is BAD..I have lost so much money on him when he panics and twists his panties up in a wad so tight he can't breathe....

    Andy Reid has literally owned the Chargers in Arrowhead...he just doesn't lose to them...

    Eric Berry..the leader of the Chiefs defense...is back..even if in a limited snap role...that's a big deal to the Chiefs...

    Short week...always favors the home team...

    Did the #1 Baltimore defense stop Mahomes....nope...will the Chargers defense stop Mahomes?...nope...


    I just can't wager on Rivers in this spot...if I lose, so be it...Mahomes is the new gun in the NFL and I am going to bet that he can out duel the old gunslinger in this game...

    I can still get the -3.5...buying the .5..why?  It's the NFL, that's why...

    Good luck tonight!








     
    smacksmiter
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    Posted: Dec. 13, 2018 - 7:49 PM ET #33

    Adding in a small teaser...6.5 point ...

    Houston (NBA -1.5)... LC 5 unit selection...
    K.C. +3
    K.C./LAChargers OVER 48

    $200 to win $270..

    PM for the skinny on the down low
    Reply
    Adding in a small teaser...6.5 point ...

    Houston (NBA -1.5)... LC 5 unit selection...
    K.C. +3
    K.C./LAChargers OVER 48

    $200 to win $270..

     
    Rowdie22
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    Posted: Dec. 13, 2018 - 7:54 PM ET #34

    I'm liking the over, but don't feel like its a safe bet....probably a no play for me tonight.....IDK  it's getting to crunch time, I've put about 10 minutes of thought into this game so far this week.   
    Reply
    I'm liking the over, but don't feel like its a safe bet....probably a no play for me tonight.....IDK  it's getting to crunch time, I've put about 10 minutes of thought into this game so far this week.   
     
    smacksmiter
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    Posted: Dec. 13, 2018 - 8:55 PM ET #35

    Quote Originally Posted by Rowdie22:

    I'm liking the over, but don't feel like its a safe bet....probably a no play for me tonight.....IDK  it's getting to crunch time, I've put about 10 minutes of thought into this game so far this week.   

    I did lean to the over but didn't want to make it a primary play...liking what I see from the Chiefs tonight...doesn't look like there will be any problem scoring...

    Game is definitely not over but liking the start for sure...

    PM for the skinny on the down low
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by Rowdie22:

    I'm liking the over, but don't feel like its a safe bet....probably a no play for me tonight.....IDK  it's getting to crunch time, I've put about 10 minutes of thought into this game so far this week.   

    I did lean to the over but didn't want to make it a primary play...liking what I see from the Chiefs tonight...doesn't look like there will be any problem scoring...

    Game is definitely not over but liking the start for sure...

     
    smacksmiter
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    Posted: Dec. 13, 2018 - 9:38 PM ET #36

    Took a small live bet to win $200 on Chargers OVER 20.5 for the game...

    PM for the skinny on the down low
    Reply
    Took a small live bet to win $200 on Chargers OVER 20.5 for the game...

     
    smacksmiter
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    Posted: Dec. 13, 2018 - 9:46 PM ET #37

    2H....is PK...O/U 27...

    Leaning to Chiefs and UNDER...

    No play as of yet...

    PM for the skinny on the down low
    Reply
    2H....is PK...O/U 27...

    Leaning to Chiefs and UNDER...

    No play as of yet...

     
    smacksmiter
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    Posted: Dec. 16, 2018 - 12:05 AM ET #38

    Tough loss on the Chiefs on Thursday night...softened a bit by a win on the Chargers OVER TT in the game...but didn't really like either of the matchups today at all so laid off...

    As expected, the POM with the N.E. Patriots has steadily moved up toward -3 since I locked it in at -1 early in the week...still liking that play more and more with the injury information coming out of Pittsburgh...it appears that Pittsburgh will be pretty one dimensional and Big Ben will be throwing with sore ribs...

    Working on other plays, will be up this evening and tomorrow morning...

    PM for the skinny on the down low
    Reply
    Tough loss on the Chiefs on Thursday night...softened a bit by a win on the Chargers OVER TT in the game...but didn't really like either of the matchups today at all so laid off...

    As expected, the POM with the N.E. Patriots has steadily moved up toward -3 since I locked it in at -1 early in the week...still liking that play more and more with the injury information coming out of Pittsburgh...it appears that Pittsburgh will be pretty one dimensional and Big Ben will be throwing with sore ribs...

    Working on other plays, will be up this evening and tomorrow morning...

     
    smacksmiter
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    Posted: Dec. 16, 2018 - 2:15 AM ET #39

    Was doing some digging into the games and found this nugget...

    Oakland Raiders LG Kelechi Osemele (toe) has been downgraded to OUT vs. the Bengals...

    Why might this be important?...One of the backups is Chaz Green and Gruden actually mentioned that he would probably be playing if Osemele and another O lineman, Gabe Jackson, would be unable to play this week...

    Chaz Green used to play for the Cowboys ...key word is USED...he was put in at left tackle last year when the starter, Tyron Smith was injured in a Dallas road game in Atlanta...Green proceeded to allow 6 sacks and single handedly lost the game for the Cowboys and he was released and picked up by the Raiders...

    If he is playing at guard, it might be ok...but...if they put him at tackle...hmm...just something to be aware of...



    PM for the skinny on the down low
    Reply
    Was doing some digging into the games and found this nugget...

    Oakland Raiders LG Kelechi Osemele (toe) has been downgraded to OUT vs. the Bengals...

    Why might this be important?...One of the backups is Chaz Green and Gruden actually mentioned that he would probably be playing if Osemele and another O lineman, Gabe Jackson, would be unable to play this week...

    Chaz Green used to play for the Cowboys ...key word is USED...he was put in at left tackle last year when the starter, Tyron Smith was injured in a Dallas road game in Atlanta...Green proceeded to allow 6 sacks and single handedly lost the game for the Cowboys and he was released and picked up by the Raiders...

    If he is playing at guard, it might be ok...but...if they put him at tackle...hmm...just something to be aware of...



     
    BlackwaterOP
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    Posted: Dec. 16, 2018 - 9:34 AM ET #40

    Looking forward to today Smacks!

    thumbs_up

    clover

    Believe
    Reply

    Looking forward to today Smacks!

    thumbs_up

    clover

     
    NinjaNight
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    Posted: Dec. 16, 2018 - 10:19 AM ET #41

    I was liking Oakland, but with the offensive line injuries this would seem to go the Bengals way at home.
    On a quest to be the very best
    Reply
    I was liking Oakland, but with the offensive line injuries this would seem to go the Bengals way at home.
     
    smacksmiter
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    Posted: Dec. 16, 2018 - 12:02 PM ET #42

    Seeing a ton of love for the Chicago Bears today...

    Brian Beluga is out on the offensive line for the Packers...

    The Packers will not be starting any players on the defensive line who started on opening day for them this year...D tackle Kenny Smith is out this week and he was the lone remaining starter from week one...

    The Bears can give up turnovers..21...but also get turnovers...34...for a league best ratio of +13...the question will be...can the Packers defense create turnovers...they have 14 on the year...

    Rodgers just has not looked like the Rodgers of old years to me...something does not pass the eye test...whether it's the knee injury earlier this year...the poor offensive line...breaking in new wide receivers...Jimmy Graham sucking bad this year...

    How do so many think they can go 2-0 against this Bears defense this year?...the odds are stacked against it as far as how I see it...

    PM for the skinny on the down low
    Reply
    Seeing a ton of love for the Chicago Bears today...

    Brian Beluga is out on the offensive line for the Packers...

    The Packers will not be starting any players on the defensive line who started on opening day for them this year...D tackle Kenny Smith is out this week and he was the lone remaining starter from week one...

    The Bears can give up turnovers..21...but also get turnovers...34...for a league best ratio of +13...the question will be...can the Packers defense create turnovers...they have 14 on the year...

    Rodgers just has not looked like the Rodgers of old years to me...something does not pass the eye test...whether it's the knee injury earlier this year...the poor offensive line...breaking in new wide receivers...Jimmy Graham sucking bad this year...

    How do so many think they can go 2-0 against this Bears defense this year?...the odds are stacked against it as far as how I see it...

     
    BlackwaterOP
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    Posted: Dec. 16, 2018 - 12:07 PM ET #43

    Spit it out Smacks...Let's go!

    clover

    Believe
    Reply

    Spit it out Smacks...Let's go!

    clover

     
    smacksmiter
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    Posted: Dec. 16, 2018 - 12:21 PM ET #44

    Quote Originally Posted by BlackwaterOP:

    Spit it out Smacks...Let's go!

    clover


    Got to tell you, brutha...this week is the toughest card I have seen this year...listen to this little quote that I pulled off of ESPN...

    "Biggest need at this point for Caesars Palace sportsbooks is the San Francisco 49ers, who are home underdogs to the Seattle Seahawks. "Most evenly bet Sunday I've seen in a while. 49ers are our only big need," Caesars risk manager Jeff Davis tells ESPN."

    I have seen a TON of love for the 49ers today on Covers...

    This statement by the books is telling us something...the games today will be VERY close games...taking the points, IN GENERAL...should be profitable...but some of these dogs are extremely tough to swallow...

    Picks in 10-15 minutes...but it will not be a big card...

    PM for the skinny on the down low
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by BlackwaterOP:

    Spit it out Smacks...Let's go!

    clover


    Got to tell you, brutha...this week is the toughest card I have seen this year...listen to this little quote that I pulled off of ESPN...

    "Biggest need at this point for Caesars Palace sportsbooks is the San Francisco 49ers, who are home underdogs to the Seattle Seahawks. "Most evenly bet Sunday I've seen in a while. 49ers are our only big need," Caesars risk manager Jeff Davis tells ESPN."

    I have seen a TON of love for the 49ers today on Covers...

    This statement by the books is telling us something...the games today will be VERY close games...taking the points, IN GENERAL...should be profitable...but some of these dogs are extremely tough to swallow...

    Picks in 10-15 minutes...but it will not be a big card...

     
    smacksmiter
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    Posted: Dec. 16, 2018 - 12:30 PM ET #45

    In no particular order...

    Cincinnati -3...Oakland sucks...and they suck more with Chaz Daniels playing O Line...liked what I saw from Driscoll last week and the Cincy defense may be getting healthy...

    Baltimore -8.5...The Bucs won't be able to move the ball vs this defense and Lamar can score against the Bucs...

    Buffalo -2.5...Matt Stafford has a very bad back...and the Lions suck more than the Bills...Bills defense will win them this game...

    Chicago -5...Rodgers will not beat this healthy Bears defense 2x in a year...Brian Beluga is out, will be yet another huge loss to that Packers O Line...

    Tenn/NYG UNDER 42...bad weather, lots of running, shortened game, no Beckham...

    Seattle -3.5...Mullins vs Wilson...ok...people saw that game last week and the public has overreacted yet once again...

    N.O. -6.5...Cam has a bad shoulder and is trying to play through it...ain't going to work again this week...

    PM for the skinny on the down low
    Reply
    In no particular order...

    Cincinnati -3...Oakland sucks...and they suck more with Chaz Daniels playing O Line...liked what I saw from Driscoll last week and the Cincy defense may be getting healthy...

    Baltimore -8.5...The Bucs won't be able to move the ball vs this defense and Lamar can score against the Bucs...

    Buffalo -2.5...Matt Stafford has a very bad back...and the Lions suck more than the Bills...Bills defense will win them this game...

    Chicago -5...Rodgers will not beat this healthy Bears defense 2x in a year...Brian Beluga is out, will be yet another huge loss to that Packers O Line...

    Tenn/NYG UNDER 42...bad weather, lots of running, shortened game, no Beckham...

    Seattle -3.5...Mullins vs Wilson...ok...people saw that game last week and the public has overreacted yet once again...

    N.O. -6.5...Cam has a bad shoulder and is trying to play through it...ain't going to work again this week...

     
    NinjaNight
    NinjaNight
    Captain
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Sep, 2015
    Posts: 5206
    Posted: Dec. 16, 2018 - 12:31 PM ET #46

    Quote Originally Posted by smacksmiter:


    Got to tell you, brutha...this week is the toughest card I have seen this year...listen to this little quote that I pulled off of ESPN...

    "Biggest need at this point for Caesars Palace sportsbooks is the San Francisco 49ers, who are home underdogs to the Seattle Seahawks. "Most evenly bet Sunday I've seen in a while. 49ers are our only big need," Caesars risk manager Jeff Davis tells ESPN."

    I have seen a TON of love for the 49ers today on Covers...

    This statement by the books is telling us something...the games today will be VERY close games...taking the points, IN GENERAL...should be profitable...but some of these dogs are extremely tough to swallow...

    Picks in 10-15 minutes...but it will not be a big card...


     I was leaning Colts the whole week but I changed my mind earlier and am going Dallas +3.5
    On a quest to be the very best
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by smacksmiter:


    Got to tell you, brutha...this week is the toughest card I have seen this year...listen to this little quote that I pulled off of ESPN...

    "Biggest need at this point for Caesars Palace sportsbooks is the San Francisco 49ers, who are home underdogs to the Seattle Seahawks. "Most evenly bet Sunday I've seen in a while. 49ers are our only big need," Caesars risk manager Jeff Davis tells ESPN."

    I have seen a TON of love for the 49ers today on Covers...

    This statement by the books is telling us something...the games today will be VERY close games...taking the points, IN GENERAL...should be profitable...but some of these dogs are extremely tough to swallow...

    Picks in 10-15 minutes...but it will not be a big card...


     I was leaning Colts the whole week but I changed my mind earlier and am going Dallas +3.5
     
    TimBrowneye
    TimBrowneye
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    Joined: Nov, 2017
    Posts: 88
    Posted: Dec. 16, 2018 - 12:43 PM ET #47

    Raiders +3 will probably be my easiest bet all year

    Reply

    Raiders +3 will probably be my easiest bet all year

     
    smacksmiter
    smacksmiter
    Banned
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    Joined: Dec, 2004
    Posts: 14064
    Posted: Dec. 16, 2018 - 12:54 PM ET #48

    Quote Originally Posted by TimBrowneye:

    Raiders +3 will probably be my easiest bet all year


    Easy money...go get it brutha...

    PM for the skinny on the down low
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by TimBrowneye:

    Raiders +3 will probably be my easiest bet all year


    Easy money...go get it brutha...

     
    HoustonSports
    HoustonSports
    Hall of Fame
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Apr, 2004
    Posts: 22937
    Posted: Dec. 16, 2018 - 2:10 PM ET #49

    Quote Originally Posted by TimBrowneye:

    Raiders +3 will probably be my easiest bet all year

    Looks like you are going to be 100% correct !!


    At this moment it looks like this will one of the easiest losses of the year

    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by TimBrowneye:

    Raiders +3 will probably be my easiest bet all year

    Looks like you are going to be 100% correct !!


    At this moment it looks like this will one of the easiest losses of the year

     
     
    smacksmiter
    smacksmiter
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    Joined: Dec, 2004
    Posts: 14064
    Posted: Dec. 16, 2018 - 2:34 PM ET #50

    Taking the UNDER 17 in Jax/Wash 2H to win $500.
    PM for the skinny on the down low
    Reply
    Taking the UNDER 17 in Jax/Wash 2H to win $500.
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