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HERE IT IS SIMON'S 11-1 NFL AND GAME OF YEAR

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Posted: #26

Can't argue against a 20-0 system Simon or an 11-1 record !

You're right ...
St Louis has not layed chalk since the Rams played @ home against Atlanta giving 3 to the Falcons on 11/18/07
That's 28 straight games were the Rams have been underdogs ...
and counting ...
Detroit went 21 straight games without giving chalk ...not since 9/7/08 were they were 3.5 point favorites in Atlanta .
The Lions went on to lose that game 21-34 , so I guess they get to try again .
St louis has lost 17 games in a row and they should ask Detroit how hard it is to get that first win .
The Lions went 19 games without winning a game , and we all know they went an entire season without winning a single game .
It seems like a perfect spot for St Louis to get that win and monkey off their back !
The Lions QB situation is a mess , their star wide receiver is a game time decision and the Lions  defense gives away points like it was candy on Halloween . 
I can't blame you a bit !


 
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Posted: #27
Had the Jets myself in another sys last week.

Also had STL marked for tomorrow.

Like the plays, but would also like to know what the sys is
if you don't mind.

Also have Tenn in 3 diff sys's - any thoughts??

BOL!!
 
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Posted: #28
good god I wouldn't make the Rams my play of the year if my life depended on it. There are better bets on the table, regardless of whether or not this may be a right play.
 
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Posted: #29
I like the RAMS and the Over.  Both Ds giving up big points....  Bulger will live up to his Big pay package and SJ will have a good day
 
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Posted: #30
Quote Originally Posted by mcthatch37:

good god I wouldn't make the Rams my play of the year if my life depended on it. There are better bets on the table, regardless of whether or not this may be a right play.


Like which one?
 
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Posted: #31
Quote Originally Posted by RobertoFiory:

You don't have to give away your perfect system ...I can give you one ...or a few ..if you like ...
something to feed the restless crowd !

STL at DET(4) 43.5...
system...
road teams coming off 7 or more su losses are 34-13 ATS since 83
Play on St Louis !

somewhere u said that you like detroit?

 
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Posted: #32
Quote Originally Posted by SimonSezSo:

As promised, my NFL GAME OF THE YEAR today.  Won't call it a lock cuz there's no such thing.  Win, lose, or draw, my one and only G-O-Y...won't be another.  Won't cry if it loses, won't make excuses, won't gloat if it wins.  We'll just move on to next week...either way.  Two weeks ago I posted my college G-O-Y with Toledo + 7 vs. N. Illinois.  Heard plenty of bashers and doubters but cashed with a Outright winner.  So doubt all you want, bash all you want, but wait till it gets beat before you put your foot in your mouth and bash me on it.  My regular plays 1st then my big play:

BRONCS/RAVENS OVER 41.5

JETS -3

PACK -3

JAX/TENN OVER 41.5

DALLAS -9.5

 

As with the Toledo Rockets, a G-O-Y doesn't have to be a BIG game as far as power teams or divisional leaders.  On the contrary, usually easier to spot winners among the mediocre no-one-cares games.  Only a guy with no brains or big balls is gonna step up on this game UNLESS they look at some of the things I look for.  Some sharpies are gonna say..never bet against a team off a bye.  Others are gonna say never bet on a crap team.  Had bunches tell me that last week with Vandy and today with UCLA.  I'm simply going with a team I think matches up nicely with a team that has not layed chalk for almost two years.  NOT ONCE SINCE DEC '07!  A team with veteran QB vs. either a rookie QB (probable status) or an over-the-hill backup.   A team with a chip on its shoulder and a chance to get a win and a monkey off its back vs. a team that did that three weeks ago...then returned to reality and got shut-out the following week.  But lastly..and the majority of bettors laugh them off...this game hits on a solid System (no, not a simple "trend"!!) that has come into play 20 times and NEVER lost.  And I'm betting it won't Sunday.  Yep they suck.  But I'm betting not any more than the team laying the chalk. 

ST. LOUIS RAMS + 4

GOOD LUCK!!

 
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Posted: #33

Raidernator76 

I do like Detroit ...but hell , I am a stats guy ...I can make convincing arguments for any team ! ...
ok maybe not these teams ..
Look for Detroit to come out very focused tomorrow ...
In a weird way , this is their super bowl ( ok toilet bowl for us ) ,
because this is a team that has been down for so long and coming off a winless season ...that this is their opportunity to make another team feel worse .
Trust me , they want St Louis to match their streak of futility badly .
Of course St Louis wants this game , but this game for Detroit @ home , off the bye is theirs to lose . ( and yes , they are capable of doing just that )
St Louis needs a GPS to find the endzone , and SJ has yet to get his Gamin ...
Offensively , Detroit will exploit that 30th ranked defense and put up enough points to cover this spread .
That is IMHO
But Simon , this game means more to you than it does to me ...
So, respectfully .....Best of luck

 
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Posted: #34

bol Simon!

 

 
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Posted: #35
I'm a Rams fan and they are just flat terrible. Detroit has some offensive and the Rams do not play any D.  I can't bet them but I hope it hits for you. 
 
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Posted: #36
The Rams have lost 17 consecutive games and Detroit is 2-28 straight up in their last 30 games, so both teams should be fired up to play a game that they have a good chance of actually winning. St. Louis is only 12-28-1 ATS the last 3 seasons, but they're 6-4 ATS during that span when facing a team with a losing record, including 2-0 ATS this season - a 2 point loss at Washington and an overtime loss at Jacksonville two weeks ago. Both of these teams are bad on both sides of the ball, but my math model favors Detroit by just 1 1/2 points. When two bad teams (win percentage of less than .200) play each other it is usually best to take the road team, especially in a non-division game (that's 68-36-2 ATS).
 
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Posted: #37
BOL Simon
 
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Posted: #38
 
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Posted: #39

Battle of the garbage teams! But I do hope you hit your GOY Simon, cause I'm on it too!

 
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Posted: #40

Love the Rams pick.   But I also think the Den/Balt over is as sold of a pick you will find in todays card......Absolutely love it......I smell a big time parlay hit....RAMS & DEN/BALT OVER.......Thanks Dude & good luck 

 
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Posted: #41

DROPPIN DIMES...GAMEHENGER...IGOTTHEGOODS...COD2288:  First off, a trend is not a System.  Not even close.  If you watch the "System" forum you'll find 7 winners in my last 8 posts (UCLA and Texas yesterday, Jets last Sunday).  U can read the System utilized for each play...and find it is NOT just a simple trend.  Today's System is not being disclosed...because quite frankly...I have a few that I will not make public.  I will say that this one is based on a combination of game TOTALS/bye weeks/opponents.  I'll leave it at that...you can doubt it, pitch it, laugh at it..whatever you want.  I'm not one that's gonna go against a 20-0 system and that number alone is not the reason for the pick.  I'm not asking you or anyone else to play the game, but a few guys on here are looking for info that could help 'em.  So don't play it, I don't give a damn!

BNN727--I have no opinion on the Titans today...only to wonder if the BYE may have hurt em as much as help em.  2 weeks is a long time to think about how bad you've been, GL

McThatch37--I'm sure there are "BETTER BETS'" out there today.  For you.  Who are they...do you post your records, picks?  As for my money..it'll go on my pick thank you!  I gotta believe I'm a little sharper than you...

All the rest of you..supporters, bashers, whoever..thanks & BOL

 
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Posted: #42
HEY ROBERTO FIORI..
 
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Posted: #43
 THIS GUYS PICKS ARE ALWAYS GARBAGE. I WOULDN'T BET ON YOUR PICKS WITH YOUR MONEY!
 
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Posted: #44

Quote Originally Posted by DrChron:

 THIS GUYS PICKS ARE ALWAYS GARBAGE. I WOULDN'T BET ON YOUR PICKS WITH YOUR MONEY!

#1--Check my record --it's posted.  Did I win a Game you went opposite and lost??  I'm impressed by the 8 posts you have, you're an intelligent guy..

#2--Did anyone ask you to bet on my picks??

#3--You don't have my money..

#4--Thanks for inputting your wisdom, we all appreciate it

 
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Posted: #45
gl im likin' it also
 
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Posted: #46

I like it so much I think they win straight up. +170

Good Luck

 
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Posted: #47

GL today Simon

I follow you on the Toledo few weeks back and win big.

Will follow u on the Rams.

 
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Posted: #48
Quote Originally Posted by Raidernator76:

somewhere u said that you like detroit?


Not just a "like" but his play of the week!!!  Roberto, you have a huge following on this site.  I must say I am confused too.   Is the margin for plays truly as thin as you suggest?  Wow.   
 
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Posted: #49
I have been fortunate enough to watch both of these teams play this year(being a Vikings fan) and I agree with this play.  The Rams are perfectly capable of beating a crap team on the road.  Their offense can move the ball its just the red zone TO's that are screwing them over.  The Rams can maintain possession while the Lions are more of a big play play offense.  I could see this being a 3 point Rams win.  IF CJ doesnt play this should be easy.
 
 
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Posted: #50

BOSTON..DaRAIDERS..DIMEPLAYER...DTOWN...ORANGE...JBAIT...LAZYCLOUDS BOL and Thanks

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