As promised, my NFL GAME OF THE YEAR today. Won't call it a lock cuz there's no such thing. Win, lose, or draw, my one and only G-O-Y...won't be another. Won't cry if it loses, won't make excuses, won't gloat if it wins. We'll just move on to next week...either way. Two weeks ago I posted my college G-O-Y with Toledo + 7 vs. N. Illinois. Heard plenty of bashers and doubters but cashed with a Outright winner. So doubt all you want, bash all you want, but wait till it gets beat before you put your foot in your mouth and bash me on it. My regular plays 1st then my big play:
BRONCS/RAVENS OVER 41.5
JETS -3
PACK -3
JAX/TENN OVER 41.5
DALLAS -9.5
As with the Toledo Rockets, a G-O-Y doesn't have to be a BIG game as far as power teams or divisional leaders. On the contrary, usually easier to spot winners among the mediocre no-one-cares games. Only a guy with no brains or big balls is gonna step up on this game UNLESS they look at some of the things I look for. Some sharpies are gonna say..never bet against a team off a bye. Others are gonna say never bet on a crap team. Had bunches tell me that last week with Vandy and today with UCLA. I'm simply going with a team I think matches up nicely with a team that has not layed chalk for almost two years. NOT ONCE SINCE DEC '07! A team with veteran QB vs. either a rookie QB (probable status) or an over-the-hill backup. A team with a chip on its shoulder and a chance to get a win and a monkey off its back vs. a team that did that three weeks ago...then returned to reality and got shut-out the following week. But lastly..and the majority of bettors laugh them off...this game hits on a solid System (no, not a simple "trend"!!) that has come into play 20 times and NEVER lost. And I'm betting it won't Sunday. Yep they suck. But I'm betting not any more than the team laying the chalk.
ST. LOUIS RAMS + 4
GOOD LUCK!!
thanks!!
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