Have a 70$ Future on Bucs to win SB that pays 1k

played it months ago, how would you go about middling this Super Bowl? 

I would let it ride

I have a 5K future on KC that pays $37500

and I am feeling the pressure LOL

Me 2 let it ride.  For a $70 investment go for it

Or bet KC ML to win $70 and free roll the super bowl and smoke lots of bud and have fun hahaha

GL

@AFentomologist

 You should hedge and bet Tampa Bay ML at +160 right now for 15K and guarantee a nice chunk of change..GL

@SuckmyRick

 May look into that although I do think KC beats TB

 I hate these threads..

You made the wager knowing you wouldn't hedge it.

Then when it gets close, should I hedge it.

The answer is NO every time, unless you think the Chiefs will win.

Besides it is only $1k who cares.  That's nothing.

Depends. As someone who gambles year round and aims to grind out profits, I hedge around 500 in that spot to guarantee profit.

If you just do it for fun here and there let it ride. Unless an extra 500 bucks would be a big deal to you, help you pay for something important than you'd be foolish to turn down the guaranteed cash.

Of course, most people won't hedge that spot because they actually want action in 'the big game' more than they want to turn a profit.

Super Bowl doesnt have to mean Super Bet. IMO id rather have an extra 500 bucks to spend on hookers and coke than worry about who s gonna win for the next two weeks.

That's  a tough one. Only way you make guaranteed money is to bet KC money line. Might be worth a look at -150ish

only problem is you gotta lay about 800 to win 500 on chiefs ML from the opening line 

@NutinButtLove

 Tru dat

@AFentomologist

 TB is + $$ and the ML will go down from here.. Take 10-15K and hedge the other way..guaranteed a nice chunk of change..  u don't want to.lose your 5k investment and the 37500 potential winning..better to take 20k guaranteed and celebrate a great play..gl brother

I believe iam reading it correctly.  He said has 5K future on KC.

Bet Tampa Bay ML 10-15K

Middle your futures bet on KC and guarantee 20K profit. Thats my advice.  GL

You should let it ride.  $1000 isn't going to change your life and a six month investment which is why I don't like futures but it only cost you $70. Let it play out the best you could probably do is middle for $400 since the favs are the Chiefs.  That would be $66 a month or $2 a day.

Why don’t you bet Tb +4 for the same bet amount and guarantee tie or win both if KC wins by 3 or less? 

The process:
1.  I think the Buccs will win the Super Bowl

2. Oh wait, maybe the won't so I should hedge.

Edge is the smartest thing to do.

At the end of the day it is still money in your pocket!

What is true is that some of the smaller books have a major decision to make re: hedges

Why?  Guys like these, who they thought were squares who put $ on Tampa to win it all after the got Brady.  I mean there is no way let's laugh at these mushes.  Oh wait.

@SuckmyRick

 Thanks for the advice and I may regret it but I just think the Chiefs win here.  Going to let it ride!

William Hill DC has a $40k bet on Tampa that pays $520k if they win

Now that's a sweat lol

@budwiser

 wow!  you arent kidding!!  I dont think I would be able to sleep for two weeks!

Chiefs are gonna win the championship. Plain and simple. They are too good and more importantly too determined. 

@AFentomologist

 you or the book?

@AFentomologist

 Good Luck buddy.  2 weeks to go.  Maybe u change your mind the closer you get.  Wish u the best sir

@AFentomologist

Outstanding future wager bro!  My suggestion to you to minimize your risk:   look at soccer favorites everyday that are -400 or greater to win in regulation, and 2-team-parlay each with Bucs ML to an amount of your choosing.  In basketball a -400 favorite, whether it's for a quarter, half, game, can miss due to a very high variance, whereas, in a 90 minute soccer match where there is noticeable gap in talent, the implied probability of a -400 or higher line hitting is very, very strong.  If you rinse, recycle, and repeat this for two weeks you will end up with a bunch of parlays in the neighborhood of +200 or so leading up to Feb 6th.  You may miss a few, but it won't be many.  I doubt the Bucs will sniff +200 on the ML come game-day as it would take an obscene amount of Chiefs money to move Bucs to +200.  

For the record, I've used this strategy across the board on sports in the past when the size of my future wagers warranted a hedge.  In a game like the super bowl with a line of -3.5, it's HIGHLY UNLIKELY that you will hit a middle.  I see Chiefs covering or Bucs winning.  Been watching NFL since 1990 and have not yet seen a super bowl in 30 years where a spread of 3.5 or less was met with a favorite winning and dog covering.

I'm sure you'd love nothing more than the Chiefs to run the opening kickoff for a TD but if the Bucs score first (particularly a TD), that -170 on KC will drop to -110.

BOL my man