I know this is a betting forum, but are you really that confused with what I said in my post?
I said nothing about a lock, nor did I say the Giants are unbeatable or that the Redskins suck. However, I did say that the Giants are the best team in the NFL right now and that the Redskins are struggling right now.
So, your comments lead me to believe that you struggle with comprehending what you read.
Here, I would suggest that you read my post a few times. Then, really try to think about what you just read. Really think. Now, that might hurt for a while, but the headaches should pass after time.
If you have any questions after that, feel free to contact me personally.
Kinda rough, but deserved. As a redskin fan, and fan of the Beasts of the NFC East, cant play a side, though I feel you are going to hit again, but I do like the under alot, and will play that. Giants without Burress and an ailing Jacobs should be slowed down enough to keep them around 20, but I dont see Washington scoring more than 20. GL
Quote Originally Posted by talent888:
I know this is a betting forum, but are you really that confused with what I said in my post?
I said nothing about a lock, nor did I say the Giants are unbeatable or that the Redskins suck. However, I did say that the Giants are the best team in the NFL right now and that the Redskins are struggling right now.
So, your comments lead me to believe that you struggle with comprehending what you read.
Here, I would suggest that you read my post a few times. Then, really try to think about what you just read. Really think. Now, that might hurt for a while, but the headaches should pass after time.
If you have any questions after that, feel free to contact me personally.
Kinda rough, but deserved. As a redskin fan, and fan of the Beasts of the NFC East, cant play a side, though I feel you are going to hit again, but I do like the under alot, and will play that. Giants without Burress and an ailing Jacobs should be slowed down enough to keep them around 20, but I dont see Washington scoring more than 20. GL
The Giants only being -3.5 is this week's "easy bet." No capping necessary here. The Giants are the best team in the NFL and beat my Redskins handily in week 1.
Before Vegas starting giving money away a few weeks ago with games like this I would have said Washington had the makings of a great play. But now you might as well join the 94% of the public and take the free money and get some Christmas shopping done.
agreed
Quote Originally Posted by redskinsnut:
The Giants only being -3.5 is this week's "easy bet." No capping necessary here. The Giants are the best team in the NFL and beat my Redskins handily in week 1.
Before Vegas starting giving money away a few weeks ago with games like this I would have said Washington had the makings of a great play. But now you might as well join the 94% of the public and take the free money and get some Christmas shopping done.
First let me say as always your handicapping is great. I tail your picks but I must point out the following:
I have been watching a trend for 12 years (i dont have infor prior to that) how many times can an NFL team cover the spread consecutively in a season. And what are the probablities. Cover three in a row has a 50% chance of covering the 4th game. 4 cover in a row 40% chance of covering the 5th. Covered 5 times in a row has a 20% chance of covering. Covered six times in a row 10% chance and never had there been a time where a team covered the 7th in a row til this year until Tenn this year. They failed to cover a week later. Now the Giants are going for their 7th in a row they have a chance to cover but its extremely small.
I have been a Giants fan since the early 70's but my money is on the skins +4.5.
Q
let me start by saying i have no bet against the Giants all year, and i picked them to repeat as SB champs before the 1st game of the year, and i still fully expect them to do that... i am not a Giants fan, and i am not a bandwagoner, and i am a firm believer that you never bet on a team to repeat as champs...
BUT... combined with the information quoted above, and the fact that this is the 3rd straight road game for the Giants (a situation that has an extremely low probability for a cover), and the fact that this posted line is begging for people to bet on the Giants... there is no way in hell i am gonna miss out on this opportunity for an easy winner with Washington... they will win this game...
merely a bump in the road for the Giants, though... they still win the Super Bowl...
Quote Originally Posted by Qulicious:
First let me say as always your handicapping is great. I tail your picks but I must point out the following:
I have been watching a trend for 12 years (i dont have infor prior to that) how many times can an NFL team cover the spread consecutively in a season. And what are the probablities. Cover three in a row has a 50% chance of covering the 4th game. 4 cover in a row 40% chance of covering the 5th. Covered 5 times in a row has a 20% chance of covering. Covered six times in a row 10% chance and never had there been a time where a team covered the 7th in a row til this year until Tenn this year. They failed to cover a week later. Now the Giants are going for their 7th in a row they have a chance to cover but its extremely small.
I have been a Giants fan since the early 70's but my money is on the skins +4.5.
Q
let me start by saying i have no bet against the Giants all year, and i picked them to repeat as SB champs before the 1st game of the year, and i still fully expect them to do that... i am not a Giants fan, and i am not a bandwagoner, and i am a firm believer that you never bet on a team to repeat as champs...
BUT... combined with the information quoted above, and the fact that this is the 3rd straight road game for the Giants (a situation that has an extremely low probability for a cover), and the fact that this posted line is begging for people to bet on the Giants... there is no way in hell i am gonna miss out on this opportunity for an easy winner with Washington... they will win this game...
merely a bump in the road for the Giants, though... they still win the Super Bowl...
This is awesome... You're are correct, it is where it's at to get people like you to bet on the Skins and fade NY. Classic...
Oh ya, the way you have been picking, you might want to tail me on this one....
Man, you aren't kidding about that his picks are worse than his breaff! Mac, please keep your picks to yourself along with your money if you've been playing them.
[Quote: Originally Posted by talent888]
This is awesome... You're are correct, it is where it's at to get people like you to bet on the Skins and fade NY. Classic...
Oh ya, the way you have been picking, you might want to tail me on this one....
Man, you aren't kidding about that his picks are worse than his breaff! Mac, please keep your picks to yourself along with your money if you've been playing them.
Couldnt agree more.... I was taking you seriously til you said buy the hook.... immediately discredited
The hook has saved me more money and won me more money than the extra juice that I spend.
But you're propably one of those guys that would tail a 55% capper who does not buy hook rather than tail a 75% capper who does buy the hook when hitting key #'s. To each is own though.
Quote Originally Posted by WinRaces:
Couldnt agree more.... I was taking you seriously til you said buy the hook.... immediately discredited
The hook has saved me more money and won me more money than the extra juice that I spend.
But you're propably one of those guys that would tail a 55% capper who does not buy hook rather than tail a 75% capper who does buy the hook when hitting key #'s. To each is own though.
I actually think they play better without Burress. He has been a big distraction lately. When Burress is in, Manning seems to think he has to get him involved, which leads to forced throws into double coverage.
Quote Originally Posted by BigUnit:
Burress is out this week!
I actually think they play better without Burress. He has been a big distraction lately. When Burress is in, Manning seems to think he has to get him involved, which leads to forced throws into double coverage.
So what your saying is that you are 11-3 in your "Golden Plays", and 6-1 in your non "Golden Plays". Meaning I'll wait for your non golden plays to see if your going to have a good day seeing that you hit a better percentage in those.
So what your saying is that you are 11-3 in your "Golden Plays", and 6-1 in your non "Golden Plays". Meaning I'll wait for your non golden plays to see if your going to have a good day seeing that you hit a better percentage in those.
13 games on the Sched for the weekend and here are the results. I am thinking 10-3 maybe 9-4 ATS. We see some weak lines. For those who like to bet on all the games, here you are. I also included top 5 picks and a 5 point teaser that can't lose.
Buf -6.5
Bal -7 Ind -4.5 Car +3
No +4.5
Nyg -3.5 Stl +9 SD -4.5 Pit +1
Oak -3
Nyj -8
Min -3 Jax +3
Top 5 - ( In order )
1) Ind - 4.5 Manning and the WR are back on track, Addai apears to be healthy and the Colts are winning. Indy desperately needs the win to remain holding a wildcard in the competitive AFC. Cleveland has no chance of making the playoffs and can't get a consistent start out of the QB position. Their WR's can't hold onto the ball and their D has as many holes as a field of groundhogs. Indy will win by a touchdown or more.
2) Buf -6.5 Trent Edwards: a scrambling qb? No I don' t think so but he did take off 6 times for 40 yards and 2tds last week. With their playoff lives on the line, he will get the job done. We like buffalo to keep the offence going in a big way against a very weak and inexperienced secondary. Buffalo should put up 40+.
3) Nyg -3.5 At home, on the road, it doesn't seem to matter to the Giants. They dominate the line of scrimmage and run all over thier opponents. Why should it be any different this week? With a banged up Clinton Portis and a suspect offensive line, the giants should give Cambell all he can handle. Giants are the best team in football right now and the redskins are not at thier level just yet. Play the G men.
4) NO +4.5 Drew Brees = MVP ....they can put up huge passing numbers against anyone. Tampa Bay only scores 23 a game and although they should score more against a terrible Saints D, they won't score enough to cover this one. Take the MVP and the points.
5) Min -3 We are going to the roll the dice on SNF and play the vikings, Our power system has them at exactly -3, which normally wouldn't make it a good play. We are the playing the circumstances on this one. A very important divisional games in which we have no faith in either QB. So after Qb comes rb, and we love what Peterson does when he gets it. We arre going to play the Vikings to take over the division and never look back for a playoff spot.
Teaser: Indy +1 = No chance they lose this game
Stl + 14 = They have been beaten up lately and only lose by a td against a mainly rushing attack of Miami.
No + 9.5 = Drew Brees... enough said
13 games on the Sched for the weekend and here are the results. I am thinking 10-3 maybe 9-4 ATS. We see some weak lines. For those who like to bet on all the games, here you are. I also included top 5 picks and a 5 point teaser that can't lose.
Buf -6.5
Bal -7 Ind -4.5 Car +3
No +4.5
Nyg -3.5 Stl +9 SD -4.5 Pit +1
Oak -3
Nyj -8
Min -3 Jax +3
Top 5 - ( In order )
1) Ind - 4.5 Manning and the WR are back on track, Addai apears to be healthy and the Colts are winning. Indy desperately needs the win to remain holding a wildcard in the competitive AFC. Cleveland has no chance of making the playoffs and can't get a consistent start out of the QB position. Their WR's can't hold onto the ball and their D has as many holes as a field of groundhogs. Indy will win by a touchdown or more.
2) Buf -6.5 Trent Edwards: a scrambling qb? No I don' t think so but he did take off 6 times for 40 yards and 2tds last week. With their playoff lives on the line, he will get the job done. We like buffalo to keep the offence going in a big way against a very weak and inexperienced secondary. Buffalo should put up 40+.
3) Nyg -3.5 At home, on the road, it doesn't seem to matter to the Giants. They dominate the line of scrimmage and run all over thier opponents. Why should it be any different this week? With a banged up Clinton Portis and a suspect offensive line, the giants should give Cambell all he can handle. Giants are the best team in football right now and the redskins are not at thier level just yet. Play the G men.
4) NO +4.5 Drew Brees = MVP ....they can put up huge passing numbers against anyone. Tampa Bay only scores 23 a game and although they should score more against a terrible Saints D, they won't score enough to cover this one. Take the MVP and the points.
5) Min -3 We are going to the roll the dice on SNF and play the vikings, Our power system has them at exactly -3, which normally wouldn't make it a good play. We are the playing the circumstances on this one. A very important divisional games in which we have no faith in either QB. So after Qb comes rb, and we love what Peterson does when he gets it. We arre going to play the Vikings to take over the division and never look back for a playoff spot.
Teaser: Indy +1 = No chance they lose this game
Stl + 14 = They have been beaten up lately and only lose by a td against a mainly rushing attack of Miami.
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