Posted:
#26
Any thoughts on later games? Thanks
*EdgeHunter Week9 – No Luck, Just Finding Edges! (4-1) HUGE TARGET RUN*
Posted by EdgeHunterGuru Denver Broncos -2.5 (Huge Target) 26-21 missed the thread but 
Posted:
#37
Quote Originally Posted by EdgeHunterGuru:
@cd329 Appreciate you, brother! You hit the nail on the head. Too many people get caught up trying to figure out what the oddsmakers are thinking instead of focusing on the actual matchup. I’m not saying the books can’t make sharp lines, because they absolutely do. But my job is to find where I believe they got it wrong. I study the teams, identify the advantages, and trust my research. I’m going to win some and lose some, that’s part of this business. But I’m not going to second guess a solid play because of some conspiracy theory. At the end of the day, I just want to put myself on the right side more often than not and have more beer at my disposal ! Haha
out of curiosity what kind of beer ? You drink the fancy shit or just give you a keystone and you happy lol
@cd329 Appreciate you, brother! You hit the nail on the head. Too many people get caught up trying to figure out what the oddsmakers are thinking instead of focusing on the actual matchup. I’m not saying the books can’t make sharp lines, because they absolutely do. But my job is to find where I believe they got it wrong. I study the teams, identify the advantages, and trust my research. I’m going to win some and lose some, that’s part of this business. But I’m not going to second guess a solid play because of some conspiracy theory. At the end of the day, I just want to put myself on the right side more often than not and have more beer at my disposal ! Haha
Posted:
#42
Quote Originally Posted by EdgeHunterGuru:
@cd329 Appreciate you, brother! You hit the nail on the head. Too many people get caught up trying to figure out what the oddsmakers are thinking instead of focusing on the actual matchup. I’m not saying the books can’t make sharp lines, because they absolutely do. But my job is to find where I believe they got it wrong. I study the teams, identify the advantages, and trust my research. I’m going to win some and lose some, that’s part of this business. But I’m not going to second guess a solid play because of some conspiracy theory. At the end of the day, I just want to put myself on the right side more often than not and have more beer at my disposal ! Haha
@cd329 Appreciate you, brother! You hit the nail on the head. Too many people get caught up trying to figure out what the oddsmakers are thinking instead of focusing on the actual matchup. I’m not saying the books can’t make sharp lines, because they absolutely do. But my job is to find where I believe they got it wrong. I study the teams, identify the advantages, and trust my research. I’m going to win some and lose some, that’s part of this business. But I’m not going to second guess a solid play because of some conspiracy theory. At the end of the day, I just want to put myself on the right side more often than not and have more beer at my disposal ! Haha
Well you might need to get a bigger storage room to store all that beer,loll
You got the core traits to win at this stuff and i salute you for that. Your digging to find where the odds makers make their mistakes. Sometimes those mistakes arent actual mistakes and they do it to make people over think, when the winner was right in front of them. And from what i have seen from you, you dont let the odds makers drift you away from the team you feel is the winning side.
Look at the huge line move today on the saints. I believe that line moved so much because the saints were the number one pick in the circa contest and all the gamblers wanted to ride that pick. I believe the books actually favored the browns, so raising the saints line up, they got the bettors to chase that line move and jump on the saints and the books got 1.5 points extra on the browns, who they probably thought they had a good shot with at the original line, especially since the number 1 pick in that contest doesnt have a great record.
Great job once again
Posted:
#44
@cd329
Haha, I might need that extra storage room soon! Appreciate the kind words, sir. I’ve learned not to let line movement shake my confidence in my research. You are right, sometime the best play is the one right in front of you. Just gotta stay disciplined and keep putting in the work! That takes years of losing on dumb overthinking too! Lol
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