***** DIVISIONAL ROUND --- Smitty's Divisional NFL Playoff Winners ******

What’s the purpose of posting your personal record if nobody witnessed it but yourself? 

nice work so far 

Thanks for posting, BOL with the next one

Excellent

@UnrankedChamp

 There are some on covers that know how I've done , but I decided to post the remainder of the postseason on here .

I do that to give people an idea of how I'm doing so they know I'm locked in, which I think is fair when people are betting hard-earned money.

Rams v Bears

The first thing analysts seem to point to is the cold weather being an issue for the Rams in this game. The Rams have been able to adapt to adverse conditions all year. 

Firstly, the Rams offense is coming in flying high scoring 34 points against a Panther defense that performed well all year. 

The Rams possess the pass rush to finally give Caleb Williams fits. I have been all over the Bears on this incredible run they've had this season, but the road stops here. 

Sean McVay's playoff experience speaks for itself, as they attempt to return to the Super Bowl for the 2nd time in 5 years. 

This offense is superior to that one, is arguably the best Matt Stafford has ever had in his entire career. Davante Adams is back to being healthy and Puca Nacua will beat this Chicago secondary over the top all night long. 

This Bear squad is near bottom of the league in yards allowed & points allowed, and with their vulnerability against the pass, I expect it to be a long day for this Bears D trying to get stops. 

The Bears opportunistic D thrives on takeaways, something McVay and Stafford pride themselves in ( ball control).

This is arguably Matt Stafford's best season yet, which is hard to believe after all the superb offenses this guy has been a part of. 46 touchdowns, 4700 pass yards, and just 8 INTs. 

The 2021-22 Super Bowl win was impressive but the sheer dominance & volume this season at age 37 is as impressive as it gets. 

The key to the Rams in this game is limiting Caleb Williams mobility and forcing him into tough decisions in the pocket. In a game of this magnitude, the Bears are last minute moving Joe Thuney to LT for the injured Ozzy Trapilo while back-up Jordan McFadden will be starting at left guard. The last thing I'd be doing in a game as frigid as this ( feels like 10 degrees) with light snow showers is be shuffling the offensive line before the biggest game of Caleb Williams young career.

Matt Stafford makes it back to the top of the mountain as the Rams put an end to a magical run by Caleb Williams and cement their spot in the NFC Championship game.

The Play:

LA RAMS -3.5

7u Play Of The Night 

Let’s go Rams 

 Posted by UnrankedChamp  What’s the purpose of posting your personal record if nobody witnessed it but yourself?  nice work so far .... i get it about the personal record posting,,,however i do like that he posted it to show how well he has been doing.... if you believe the guy it help know how he has been trending... and i believe the guy but sadly i have not made coin using (or lack of using) his plays....  best of luck going forward   

I have not kept exact "tabs" on:

asmth14's exact "personal record", however, I have been following him, for QUITE SOME TIME now, and can personally vouch for THE FACT that, he is one of the most EXCEPTIONAL-&-successful cappers, in "Covers"

AND, his info-&-picks, have helped me make PLENTY coin!!!

@asmth14

@lajohn

 Appreciate it -- good to see you LAJ.

Best of luck tonight everyone. I'll be back at halftime.

Yes, Bears are #1 EPA Per play on offense in 2nd Halves but their luck runs out here.

2H RAMS -3

5U LARGE

Get him next week 

Another great weekend. Rams squandered that cover many times. National championship tomorrow 

Thanks for posting, much appreciated

Live & learn. Tough thing here is I had discussed with a good friend this week that I may even buy it to 2.5 ( though I normally wouldn't ) due to closeness of the two teams, given that Bears always seemed to find a way to make every game interesting , while the Rams seemed to unfortunately keep teams many times--- but when gameday came up I felt like they'd win by a TD so laid off.  

One other thing of note I didn't post because I didn't have time leading up to kickoff is the Bears at home this season NEVER lost by more than 3 points. They had two narrow 3 point losses in the regular season but the margin being 3.5 felt a bit odd. That said, I didn't see anyone else mention it nor any " talking heads" re-iterate this so I kind of downplayed it in my head a bit. Well... Bears finish the season with a bright future & a good young squad but they had far too many chances on offense ( and drops)  & on defense , they've got some work to do in the offseason in all facets.

Can't win em' all no matter how good of a read you have on games sometimes. I knew the over was likely too good to be true ( wouldn't hit ) and was laying off entirely or playing Bears TT under coming in--- decided it was a " no bet ." As far as the spread, it lands on a 3 point margin of victory roughly 13-14% of the time ( one way or the other ).  I should have known better and am kicking myself as someone that prides myself on reading where a line should be on any given matchup, especially for the big games. 

Back at it next week.

NFL Posted Covers Record:

10-5 & a push [66.6%]

NFL Personal Playoff Run:

25-11 & a push [~70%]

Back for the Conference Championship round.

Have a nice week everyone.

@asmth14

 We will see you next week for a Sweep...

@asmth14

 Nice record and picks this weekend