Posted:
#51
Its all good just making conversation. Maybe this is the week everything goes the opposite way.
0
******Buffalo @ Oakland ******
Posted:
#53
Quote Originally Posted by bpickin:
Please stop. They were not favored at open or close. Please just stop. They have not covered at home as a favorite at close since last year. Do your research before you badger me. I like the discussion, but it seems like none of you guys really know anything about anything... for the sake of you guys down my throats, I really hope the raiders COVER AT HOME as faves and then we won't be able to talk about it anymore lol.
You didnt say cover as favorites you said they haavent covered a game at home. That is simply not true. Calm down
0
Posted:
#57
Quote Originally Posted by bpickin:
Only referring to them as a favorite. They haven't covered as a favorite at home since last year WEEK 9 someone said earlier. As pick or home dog or whatever is a mother story. I haven't even tracked any of that.
Only referring to them as a favorite. They haven't covered as a favorite at home since last year WEEK 9 someone said earlier. As pick or home dog or whatever is a mother story. I haven't even tracked any of that.
How many times have they been a favourite at home in the last 10 years? As mentioned they crushed Denver at home so why not Buffalo?
You learn more from losing than winning. You learn how to keep going.
0
Posted:
#58
Lol. They were not the favorite at open or close in Denver game. What happens in between means nothing. They have not covered as a favorite at home since forever. And if you want to include the Denver game that is fine and we will just say that Oakland has not covered as a favorite of 3.5 or more since forever. I like under 50 as well.
0
Posted:
#59
10 years I have no idea. It just dates back to mid season last year... that's a very long time in my book considering they are favored at home enough each year for it to be significant. Honestly there are better games this week. I don't even really care for this matchup aside from the fact that they are favored again at home. That and the fact that they next Thursday and messed up finger would be the only edge I have on this game. It's def enough for me to take 3.5... but so far I only have them in parlays...
0
Posted:
#64
Quote Originally Posted by Damaged99:
So the raiders haven't covered as a favorite at home in ten years. When is the last time the Raiders were 9-2 SU and the top team in the afc? Do you take any of this intot account or just bet trends blindly?
So the raiders haven't covered as a favorite at home in ten years. When is the last time the Raiders were 9-2 SU and the top team in the afc? Do you take any of this intot account or just bet trends blindly?
That wasn't me who mentioned them not covering 10 years. I only know about now back to last year...to answer your question tho, NO I do not take in to account any of that. It's all about who covers and who does not. They can go 16-0 SU and 0-16 ats. The part that matters( well at least I would think being that this is a sports betting site) is the ats.
0
Posted:
#65
Quote Originally Posted by thehuntman:
How many times have they been a favourite at home in the last 10 years? As mentioned they crushed Denver at home so why not Buffalo?
Denver is on a decline.. teams are figuring out there defense..
They should have lost 3 straight and be 6-5 right now..
But honestly everyone should take a step back and think about winning money and not about who covers this game bc this game is going way way over.. as long as Watkins or Woods starts bc Taylor has nobody to throw to.. Buffalo games have gone over 9 of last 10 games.. Both these defense are horrible only strength is both defensive lines.. as long as you can block and escape the pocket you can have big plays against both secondaries.. Cam absolutely destroyed the Raiders defense in 2H like mind blowing..
0
Posted:
#66
It's all about the ATS baby.
One example is afc west underdog roadies. If my memory is not mistaken, before SAN Diego lost on the road and did not cover agaianst Denver the afc west roadie underdogs had covered Ats all the way back before to last year. I rode that train until the whee fell off and I'm back on that train again which is why I bet kc the other day lol. I don't trust it like I did, but if you can pick your spots you can make some money. Another is DIVISION games. There is always a pattern or trend and if you can catch it you will kill it...
One example is afc west underdog roadies. If my memory is not mistaken, before SAN Diego lost on the road and did not cover agaianst Denver the afc west roadie underdogs had covered Ats all the way back before to last year. I rode that train until the whee fell off and I'm back on that train again which is why I bet kc the other day lol. I don't trust it like I did, but if you can pick your spots you can make some money. Another is DIVISION games. There is always a pattern or trend and if you can catch it you will kill it...0
Posted:
#67
Quote Originally Posted by bpickin:
That wasn't me who mentioned them not covering 10 years. I only know about now back to last year...to answer your question tho, NO I do not take in to account any of that. It's all about who covers and who does not. They can go 16-0 SU and 0-16 ats. The part that matters( well at least I would think being that this is a sports betting site) is the ats.
Ok so they're 7-4 ATS and the Bills are 5-5-1
0
Posted:
#68
I track so many things and I keep notes to go back the following year... I am undefeated (all documented on this site in archives) in the playoffs for 2 straight years including 5 straight super bowl winners. It goes further, but I don't know the true results before then. Ask anyone and they will tell you. People bash my playoff betting style and when it comes around you may also, but I will make money. Betting the playoffs is so easy if you can be patient and not bet all the games... It also follows a trend and pattern just like the season does. You have to know numbers and stats... for example teams that score 40+ have lost SU the following weeek all year EXCEPT Atlanta. They did it twice early on and I know this because I bet them as a dog every time. There is so much money to be made it's insane. The hardest thing is discipline and money management. I bet WAY TOO MANY parlays. Yes I win, but I'm sure if I stopped completely and just bet straight I may do better over time. Who knows tho because most of my major cash outs were from parlays.
0
Posted:
#70
Quote Originally Posted by thehuntman:
How many times have they been a favourite at home in the last 10 years? As mentioned they crushed Denver at home so why not Buffalo?
They're going to blow out Buffalo. This team is so good and keeps winning and covering. The offense is sick and Carr gives mac effort every game. Jack Del Rio is also on a crusade this year playing aggressive. People are going broke betting against them. The defense also has a hell of a pass rush. 3 or less I'm laying it all day. Buffalo had a nice little run but all against garbage teams. Different story here.
0
Posted:
#71
As far as the other reason I like buffalo is because they play next Thursday. Teams that play Sunday prior to Thursday not involved in a division game on that Sunday have been horrible ats all year except 1 game with Houston and the Sunday before thanksgiving... even dallas f minny did not cover who play next Thursday and even tho their games were played on Thursday before it still counts because it was a holiday and normally it would have been Sunday. The Thursday night game was Pitt/Indy... this has been near flawless and it's another train that I have been riding since I picked up on it and will ride it until the wheels fall off as well.
0
Posted:
#72
Quote Originally Posted by Damaged99:
They're going to blow out Buffalo. This team is so good and keeps winning and covering. The offense is sick and Carr gives mac effort every game. Jack Del Rio is also on a crusade this year playing aggressive. People are going broke betting against them. The defense also has a hell of a pass rush. 3 or less I'm laying it all day. Buffalo had a nice little run but all against garbage teams. Different story here.
Seriously tho, how come no one cares about his finger? Yes he played the rest of the game last week, but what if his finger gets swollen or something like that? I'm thinking buff and under
0
Posted:
#74
Quote Originally Posted by bpickin:
I track so many things and I keep notes to go back the following year... I am undefeated (all documented on this site in archives) in the playoffs for 2 straight years including 5 straight super bowl winners. It goes further, but I don't know the true results before then. Ask anyone and they will tell you. People bash my playoff betting style and when it comes around you may also, but I will make money. Betting the playoffs is so easy if you can be patient and not bet all the games... It also follows a trend and pattern just like the season does. You have to know numbers and stats... for example teams that score 40+ have lost SU the following weeek all year EXCEPT Atlanta. They did it twice early on and I know this because I bet them as a dog every time. There is so much money to be made it's insane. The hardest thing is discipline and money management. I bet WAY TOO MANY parlays. Yes I win, but I'm sure if I stopped completely and just bet straight I may do better over time. Who knows tho because most of my major cash outs were from parlays.
I track so many things and I keep notes to go back the following year... I am undefeated (all documented on this site in archives) in the playoffs for 2 straight years including 5 straight super bowl winners. It goes further, but I don't know the true results before then. Ask anyone and they will tell you. People bash my playoff betting style and when it comes around you may also, but I will make money. Betting the playoffs is so easy if you can be patient and not bet all the games... It also follows a trend and pattern just like the season does. You have to know numbers and stats... for example teams that score 40+ have lost SU the following weeek all year EXCEPT Atlanta. They did it twice early on and I know this because I bet them as a dog every time. There is so much money to be made it's insane. The hardest thing is discipline and money management. I bet WAY TOO MANY parlays. Yes I win, but I'm sure if I stopped completely and just bet straight I may do better over time. Who knows tho because most of my major cash outs were from parlays.
I love parlays too and bet too many according to others but if you know how to pick ML dogs you can make a fortune on parlays. I've done well this year. Hopefully it keeps going nothing better than collecting big before the holidays
0
Hot Forum Topics
