37-17 last 54 posts/plays......11-1 over weekend....8-1 yesterday.....Denver @ San Diego Writeup

Very impressive sir, your another good capper that don't spit plays out of your ass.  I applaud your discipline and keep it up. 

Thanks guy's and good luck to everyone

Quote Originally Posted by 808-Warrior:



Gilberto:
What are your thoughts on the over 50?  We know SD will score and the only way it does not go over is if Denver scores like 10 pts. I see SD getting out to a big lead and maintaining that into the 4th and giving up a late TD in prevent D but still covering easy.  I have 1H at SD -6.5 and feel like playing that.  Do we use the same philosophy that the total is high to keep everyone from going OVER the total which almost looks like a given.
on your great week!  Keep your picks coming as it usually validates what I am thinking.

I rarely play over or under and when I do it's just a small play. As an example I took Philly under 2H 23.5 last night and lost.

It seems as the over would be where I would lean, but there are much better cappers on the over/under than me. Not sure which ones but I know there are alot of people that play the over/under.

Good luck

Yeah a little weak today, just didn't have time to post everything this morning and this looks pretty easy. However, out of respect to my title of this post here is some insight into interesting information on San Diego. Not sure if will help, but I love the Charger Girls......quite possibly the hottest cheerleaders in the NFL. 

What I love is they don't have to have any intelligence.....which gives me a chance!

To audition for the Charger Girls, one must meet the following requirements:

• Must be at least 18 years old. There is no maximum age.
• Must have a reliable means of transportation.
• Must attend a mandatory weekend mini-camp.
• Must be able to attend rehearsals twice a week, as well as all home games.
• There are no height or weight requirements, but all candidates are encouraged to be in good physical condition.

I'm on Denver +9 but best of luck to you on your play

OK, here are the real numbers I've been looking at and it might help especially on 2H plays. One main driver for me is the time of posession comparison. Denver offense is #24 at 29:14 vs San Diego Defense #2 at 27:07 which equals about 1 extra possession difference.In addition San Diego is #1 in yards per play at 4.65 on defense

1H Scoring Comparison:

Denver 3.11 1Q  #21 in league    Charger defense 6.0 #28

Denver 7.56 2Q  #11                  Charger defense 8,22 #24

Denver 6.44 3Q #6                     Charger defense 2.67 #6

Denver 5.44 4Q #23                    Charger defense 5.0 #5

I'll add a few more on the other side shortly. But for me no 1H play just on these numbers but will likely play 2H depending on what the stats show me.

San Diego 1Q scoring  5.0 #1   Denver Defense 4.44 #22

S Diego 2Q scoring 6,89 #18    Denver Defense 7.22 #19

S Diego 3Q scoring 7.0 #2         Denver Defense 7.22 #30

S Diego 4Q scoring  7.67 #10    Denver Defense  9,11 #30

Denver #22 on offense giving up Sacks per game

San Diego # 1 in defensive sacks per game.

(This will mean quick decisions by Orton)

San Diego #25 in giving up Sacks per game

Denver #30 in getting to the QB sack

Quote Originally Posted by oddsbuster:

BOL Gilberto...

to you as well

the line has moved to 8.5

Quote Originally Posted by mightymouse:

BOL Gilberto and everyone else....on SD and under myself...I think ppl are still thinking about Denver's recent performance of hanging 50+ pts....I doubt they will do much scoring tonight as SD cruises away late in the 3rd qt....

Good luck!

Ok, cant resist. After seeing Denver hasn't scored a single point in the first quarter on the road and they average 6.0 in the 2ndQuarter:

CHARGERS 1H -6