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All Forums | NFL Betting

🏈🏈🏈 “To BEt, or not to BEt, that is the question” ...Fubah2's risky bets

«First Previous 404142 ... 272273274 Next Last»
fubah2
KellyM_1964
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fubah2
fubah2
Legend
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Joined: Aug, 2012
Posts: 38824
Posted: Feb. 7, 2023 - 4:37 AM ET #976

Quote Originally Posted by KellyM_1964:

glitch in covers software ???

There seemed to be for about 2 hours.  Repaired now I guess.

 

TESTING

Reply
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Quote Originally Posted by KellyM_1964:

glitch in covers software ???

There seemed to be for about 2 hours.  Repaired now I guess.

 

TESTING

 
fubah2
fubah2
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Joined: Aug, 2012
Posts: 38824
Posted: Feb. 7, 2023 - 6:53 AM ET #977

TEST 2  

is this message box still pushed way over to the left third of the page?

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is this message box still pushed way over to the left third of the page?

 
fubah2
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Posted: Feb. 7, 2023 - 12:11 PM ET #978

Quite the week!

Beyonce sets a new record!

King James about to set a new record!  (I remember Jabbar's final season)

an_2drinks Uplifting State of the Union Address tonight!  at 9:00 et

SUPERDUPER BOWL on Sunday!

Gronk to attempt halftime 25 yd fieldgoal!

 

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Quite the week!

Beyonce sets a new record!

King James about to set a new record!  (I remember Jabbar's final season)

an_2drinks Uplifting State of the Union Address tonight!  at 9:00 et

SUPERDUPER BOWL on Sunday!

Gronk to attempt halftime 25 yd fieldgoal!

 

 
KellyM_1964
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Posted: Feb. 7, 2023 - 2:21 PM ET #979

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Gronk to attempt halftime 25 yd fieldgoal!

 

gronk   an_boggienight

 

 

 

 

 

 

"I'm the MOST HONEST human being that GOD EVER created!" - Donald "the felon" Trump
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Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Gronk to attempt halftime 25 yd fieldgoal!

 

gronk   an_boggienight

 

 

 

 

 

 

 
fubah2
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Posted: Feb. 7, 2023 - 5:15 PM ET #980

Quote Originally Posted by KellyM_1964:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Gronk to attempt halftime 25 yd fieldgoal!   gronk

Apparently a lot of gamblers stand to gain some free credits *IF* Gronk can deliver.  A 25 yarder it's not that difficult. 

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Quote Originally Posted by KellyM_1964:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Gronk to attempt halftime 25 yd fieldgoal!   gronk

Apparently a lot of gamblers stand to gain some free credits *IF* Gronk can deliver.  A 25 yarder it's not that difficult. 

 
fubah2
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Posted: Feb. 7, 2023 - 11:27 PM ET #981

[Quote: Originally Posted by fubah2]SuperDuper Bowl props I am seriously considering but not yet decided:  Alt. line, KC +10 -400 looks to have a very good shot to cover

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[Quote: Originally Posted by fubah2]SuperDuper Bowl props I am seriously considering but not yet decided:  Alt. line, KC +10 -400 looks to have a very good shot to cover

 
zircon
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Posted: Feb. 8, 2023 - 1:28 PM ET #982

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

SuperDuper Bowl props I am seriously considering but not yet decided:  Alt. line, KC +10 -400 looks to have a very good shot to cover

A lot of juice but I can't forsee Chiefs being routed.

GL clover

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Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

SuperDuper Bowl props I am seriously considering but not yet decided:  Alt. line, KC +10 -400 looks to have a very good shot to cover

A lot of juice but I can't forsee Chiefs being routed.

GL clover

 
fubah2
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Posted: Feb. 8, 2023 - 2:47 PM ET #983

Quote Originally Posted by zircon:

A lot of juice but I can't forsee Chiefs being routed. GL

That was my thought exactly. thumbs_up

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Quote Originally Posted by zircon:

A lot of juice but I can't forsee Chiefs being routed. GL

That was my thought exactly. thumbs_up

 
fubah2
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Posted: Feb. 8, 2023 - 3:47 PM ET #984

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

SuperDuper Bowl props I am seriously considering but not yet decided:  Alt. line, KC +10 -400 looks to have a very good shot to cover 

 

Even toying with the idea of betting both teams at +10 on the alt line, as the odds are high this will be a close game

Undecided.

 

 

 

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Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

SuperDuper Bowl props I am seriously considering but not yet decided:  Alt. line, KC +10 -400 looks to have a very good shot to cover 

 

Even toying with the idea of betting both teams at +10 on the alt line, as the odds are high this will be a close game

Undecided.

 

 

 

 
fubah2
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Posted: Feb. 8, 2023 - 3:47 PM ET #985

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

SuperDuper Bowl props I am seriously considering but not yet decided:  Alt. line, KC +10 -400 looks to have a very good shot to cover 

 

Even toying with the idea of betting both teams at +10 on the alt line, as the odds are high this will be a close game

Undecided.

 

 

 

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Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

SuperDuper Bowl props I am seriously considering but not yet decided:  Alt. line, KC +10 -400 looks to have a very good shot to cover 

 

Even toying with the idea of betting both teams at +10 on the alt line, as the odds are high this will be a close game

Undecided.

 

 

 

 
fubah2
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Posted: Feb. 8, 2023 - 10:46 PM ET #986

[Quote: Originally Posted by fubah2]SuperDuper Bowl props I am seriously considering but not yet decided: 

For a game I anticipate will not be high scoring this looks interesting:  Alt. line, total under 60 -340

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[Quote: Originally Posted by fubah2]SuperDuper Bowl props I am seriously considering but not yet decided: 

For a game I anticipate will not be high scoring this looks interesting:  Alt. line, total under 60 -340

 
fubah2
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Posted: Feb. 8, 2023 - 10:46 PM ET #987

[Quote: Originally Posted by fubah2]SuperDuper Bowl props I am seriously considering but not yet decided: 

For a game I anticipate will not be high scoring this looks interesting:  Alt. line, total under 60 -340

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[Quote: Originally Posted by fubah2]SuperDuper Bowl props I am seriously considering but not yet decided: 

For a game I anticipate will not be high scoring this looks interesting:  Alt. line, total under 60 -340

 
fubah2
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Posted: Feb. 9, 2023 - 4:05 AM ET #988

Quote Originally Posted by vanzack:

This is honestly what the majority of gamblers do not understand. You try to get your chips in on a bet that is a perceived edge.  Sometimes it wins, sometimes it loses.  But if you are able to repeat it enough - you will win. So I always say - the process is way more important than any result.  The process is what proves you can do this longterm, the result is just a short term data point.  In your example above, if you can flip the coin once - you will lose 50% of the time.  But if you can get 100 flips at the same odds, or 1k flips - you are going to be profitable. So many around here criticize +odds ML dogs for losing.  I like to say - I make wagers ALL THE TIME THAT I THINK WILL LOSE.  What?  Yes.  I make +odds wagers all the time that are likely to lose.  But when you are betting +500 dogs, you are only betting that you think the real odds are less than +500 - you are not betting that it has a better than 50/50 chance of winning. A lot of this separates amateurs who bet their rent on every game vs guys that look at long term results.

Yes, very good points.

thumbs_up

 

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Quote Originally Posted by vanzack:

This is honestly what the majority of gamblers do not understand. You try to get your chips in on a bet that is a perceived edge.  Sometimes it wins, sometimes it loses.  But if you are able to repeat it enough - you will win. So I always say - the process is way more important than any result.  The process is what proves you can do this longterm, the result is just a short term data point.  In your example above, if you can flip the coin once - you will lose 50% of the time.  But if you can get 100 flips at the same odds, or 1k flips - you are going to be profitable. So many around here criticize +odds ML dogs for losing.  I like to say - I make wagers ALL THE TIME THAT I THINK WILL LOSE.  What?  Yes.  I make +odds wagers all the time that are likely to lose.  But when you are betting +500 dogs, you are only betting that you think the real odds are less than +500 - you are not betting that it has a better than 50/50 chance of winning. A lot of this separates amateurs who bet their rent on every game vs guys that look at long term results.

Yes, very good points.

thumbs_up

 

 
Zeus4par
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Posted: Feb. 9, 2023 - 10:44 AM ET #989

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by vanzack: This is honestly what the majority of gamblers do not understand. You try to get your chips in on a bet that is a perceived edge.  Sometimes it wins, sometimes it loses.  But if you are able to repeat it enough - you will win. So I always say - the process is way more important than any result.  The process is what proves you can do this longterm, the result is just a short term data point.

This is  a winning formula because even a small edge repeated scores of times will produce a good profit. That should be the bottom line.    

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Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by vanzack: This is honestly what the majority of gamblers do not understand. You try to get your chips in on a bet that is a perceived edge.  Sometimes it wins, sometimes it loses.  But if you are able to repeat it enough - you will win. So I always say - the process is way more important than any result.  The process is what proves you can do this longterm, the result is just a short term data point.

This is  a winning formula because even a small edge repeated scores of times will produce a good profit. That should be the bottom line.    

 
fubah2
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Posted: Feb. 9, 2023 - 6:14 PM ET #990

[Quote: Originally Posted by fubah2]SuperDuper Bowl props I am seriously considering but not yet decided: ?? Valdes-Scantling scores TD anytime, YES +250...nice payoff with a decent shot ??

 

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[Quote: Originally Posted by fubah2]SuperDuper Bowl props I am seriously considering but not yet decided: ?? Valdes-Scantling scores TD anytime, YES +250...nice payoff with a decent shot ??

 

 
fubah2
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Posted: Feb. 9, 2023 - 9:24 PM ET #991

[Quote: Originally Posted by fubah2]SuperDuper Bowl props I am seriously considering but not yet decided:

This looks good if we assume a slow first Q.....Outcome of first team drive? KC Chiefs no score -150.....not ready to pull the trigger on this one yet.

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[Quote: Originally Posted by fubah2]SuperDuper Bowl props I am seriously considering but not yet decided:

This looks good if we assume a slow first Q.....Outcome of first team drive? KC Chiefs no score -150.....not ready to pull the trigger on this one yet.

 
fubah2
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Posted: Feb. 10, 2023 - 12:35 AM ET #992

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

SuperDuper Bowl props I am seriously considering but not yet decided: This looks good if we assume a slow first Q.....Outcome of first team drive? KC Chiefs no score -150.....not ready to pull the trigger on this one yet.

 

Patrick Mahomes is named NFL’s 2022 Most Valuable Player   an_clap

win

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Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

SuperDuper Bowl props I am seriously considering but not yet decided: This looks good if we assume a slow first Q.....Outcome of first team drive? KC Chiefs no score -150.....not ready to pull the trigger on this one yet.

 

Patrick Mahomes is named NFL’s 2022 Most Valuable Player   an_clap

win

 
fubah2
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Posted: Feb. 10, 2023 - 8:03 AM ET #993

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Patrick Mahomes is named NFL’s 2022 Most Valuable Player

I read on another forum that the league MVP coming from a team involved in the SB is just  1 - 9  to win the SB.

Is that accurate??

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Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Patrick Mahomes is named NFL’s 2022 Most Valuable Player

I read on another forum that the league MVP coming from a team involved in the SB is just  1 - 9  to win the SB.

Is that accurate??

 
zircon
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Posted: Feb. 10, 2023 - 10:22 AM ET #994

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Patrick Mahomes is named NFL’s 2022 Most Valuable Player

A fine season which will not be diminished no matter the outcome of Sunday's game.

 

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Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Patrick Mahomes is named NFL’s 2022 Most Valuable Player

A fine season which will not be diminished no matter the outcome of Sunday's game.

 

 
fubah2
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Posted: Feb. 10, 2023 - 4:24 PM ET #995

[Quote: Originally Posted by fubah2] SuperDuper Bowl props I am seriously considering but not yet decided: ? Either team to score 35 pts? No -300 ?? ....looks decent as I don't see this as a high scoring affair

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[Quote: Originally Posted by fubah2] SuperDuper Bowl props I am seriously considering but not yet decided: ? Either team to score 35 pts? No -300 ?? ....looks decent as I don't see this as a high scoring affair

 
fubah2
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Posted: Feb. 10, 2023 - 5:50 PM ET #996

Quote Originally Posted by zircon:

  A fine season which will not be diminished no matter the outcome of Sunday's game.

He is terrific.

He'll be about 90% as usual come gametime

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Quote Originally Posted by zircon:

  A fine season which will not be diminished no matter the outcome of Sunday's game.

He is terrific.

He'll be about 90% as usual come gametime

 
fubah2
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Posted: Feb. 10, 2023 - 10:22 PM ET #997

[Quote: Originally Posted by fubah2]SuperDuper Bowl props I am seriously considering but not yet decided:  ??Chiefs over 1.5 fieldgoals -115??

Leaning here as I really think TDs are going to be hard to come by.

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[Quote: Originally Posted by fubah2]SuperDuper Bowl props I am seriously considering but not yet decided:  ??Chiefs over 1.5 fieldgoals -115??

Leaning here as I really think TDs are going to be hard to come by.

 
fubah2
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Posted: Feb. 11, 2023 - 12:26 AM ET #998

[Quote: Originally Posted by fubah2]  SuperDuper Bowl props I am seriously considering but not yet decided:  ??EAGLES to score UNDER 3.5 TDs -210??? ....for me to lose this one the EAGLES would need to score 4  TDs....so at least 28 pts for the Eagles plus whatever in fieldgoals.....I am not so sure I am seeing them score 30+ against the Chiefs, because a good offense with Mahomes is likely to in turn reduce the number of possessions for Hurts.

Undecided but this looks decent

 

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[Quote: Originally Posted by fubah2]  SuperDuper Bowl props I am seriously considering but not yet decided:  ??EAGLES to score UNDER 3.5 TDs -210??? ....for me to lose this one the EAGLES would need to score 4  TDs....so at least 28 pts for the Eagles plus whatever in fieldgoals.....I am not so sure I am seeing them score 30+ against the Chiefs, because a good offense with Mahomes is likely to in turn reduce the number of possessions for Hurts.

Undecided but this looks decent

 

 
fubah2
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Posted: Feb. 11, 2023 - 12:26 AM ET #999

[Quote: Originally Posted by fubah2]  SuperDuper Bowl props I am seriously considering but not yet decided:  ??EAGLES to score UNDER 3.5 TDs -210??? ....for me to lose this one the EAGLES would need to score 4  TDs....so at least 28 pts for the Eagles plus whatever in fieldgoals.....I am not so sure I am seeing them score 30+ against the Chiefs, because a good offense with Mahomes is likely to in turn reduce the number of possessions for Hurts.

Undecided but this looks decent

 

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[Quote: Originally Posted by fubah2]  SuperDuper Bowl props I am seriously considering but not yet decided:  ??EAGLES to score UNDER 3.5 TDs -210??? ....for me to lose this one the EAGLES would need to score 4  TDs....so at least 28 pts for the Eagles plus whatever in fieldgoals.....I am not so sure I am seeing them score 30+ against the Chiefs, because a good offense with Mahomes is likely to in turn reduce the number of possessions for Hurts.

Undecided but this looks decent

 

 
 
KellyM_1964
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Posted: Feb. 11, 2023 - 10:35 AM ET #1000

ho about  gronk ??  an_2drinks

"I'm the MOST HONEST human being that GOD EVER created!" - Donald "the felon" Trump
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ho about  gronk ??  an_2drinks

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